Posted: Mon Nov 09, 2020 7:48 am
You’re kidding, right?In post 5583, Titus wrote:Pooky scumread increased if either flips scum.In post 5578, PookyTheMagicalBear wrote:why can't shelly/uno be T/T
You’re kidding, right?In post 5583, Titus wrote:Pooky scumread increased if either flips scum.In post 5578, PookyTheMagicalBear wrote:why can't shelly/uno be T/T
no that makes sense. still waiting on VCA from titus. i dunno why we're giving her a free pass to not play like town!her does.In post 5625, Gloria Cleary wrote:You’re kidding, right?In post 5583, Titus wrote:Pooky scumread increased if either flips scum.In post 5578, PookyTheMagicalBear wrote:why can't shelly/uno be T/T
I don’t see how what he said was scummy. If it makes logical sense it isn’t. Just like LLD’s read on Hopkirk. Irrespective of what either flip, I think Pooky is town here.In post 5584, Noraa wrote:If both flip scum, we're yeeting pooky tomorrow.
Pooky is pretty obvious town here. If @Noraa, @Titus whomever can’t see that, that’s on them.In post 5605, PookyTheMagicalBear wrote:like reading shelly iso from d2 - she heavily shades/votes fred multiple times before he becomes "inevitable" and that doesn't make much sense for her to do as a scum-bussing if she is going to hop off the wagon.
Fred interactions + Adorable switch to LLD look the worst for Fidget. It could be Tayl0r but would scum!Fred make it that glaringly obvious? Idk but “his why is Fidget being sr” and then I’m not tr her”, sound a lot like distancing. I wouldn’t scroll anyone on that list rn because it isn’t your typical rule of three type deal, it was Fred trying to influence LLD to shoot. Fred was fine giving the scroll to Adorable when she wanted to yeet Noraa but as soon as Adorable switches to Fidget, he switches to LLD. I don’t think that’s a coincidence. And he kept Adorable on his hit list.In post 5608, Bell wrote:Was talking to Titus actually.In post 5603, PookyTheMagicalBear wrote:why wouldn't I derail shelly-wagon if I think shelly is town?
I just want to hit within Taylor/ShellyC today and then see what happens with Fidget.
In post 5394, MUSHSHAGANA wrote:So, Theta for LHF? Suits me fine.
I'm still intent on a Shelly->Tayl0r->Fidget elimination order, determine next steps off of flips. If all three come up red we have a VERY good shot of winning by raw POE and we can just curse our way through the playerlist. If one comes up green, we stop and reassess at that stage. Best case here is LLD hitting one of those three (preferably Tayl0r or Shelly) then we can hit the other two next day. If we hit S->T->S we are, if my math is right, on track to a win again next day, so we can afford one gamble on a high doubt slot with red associatives (Fidget) that day. I don't feel like Shelly or Tayl0r are gambles.
But if LLD hits in the top of that group and we somehow go S->T->T it stops us from going down a blind alley at a critical stage. If LLD eliminates outside of those 3 we're forced to figure out if it affects the associatives on the board before we hit them, and I have an unfortunate suspicion that the answer is "not by much" regardless of flip or LLD's target if she scroll-passes outside of there. Given we are pretty much coalescing around Shelly being highly scummy and most people are sort of like "yeah seems reasonable" on Tayl0r and Fidget as targets, that's crucial info to get out of the way with the coming guaranteed flip so scum can't mindgame us into reconsidering mid-scrollpass during the next day.
In post 5395, MUSHSHAGANA wrote:FTR, if anyone has doubts that scum could fake us out day 2, recall how hard we bought Fred green before the flip spoiling LLD pass. If Fred hadn't spoiled the flip that way we would have ditched all these fine vintage associatives and almost certainly hit S->T->T -- which keeps us in the running but doesn't put us back on a winning track.
Now think: we hit some rando and go S->T->T today. We hit shelly scum next dayphase, shelly plays it off like we hit town, puts a hurt down on Tayl0r, we fall for it and let her pick some target from the LHF list. We go S->T->T and if Fidget is town, we are nowhere near being on track for the win as we close on the endgame.
Mindgames next dayphase are a serious concern, hence why I want LLD to pass in that group today.
Those posts from Pooky scream townie mindset. Anyway, it doesn’t look to me like they’re linked. I’m not confident on Shelley but I’m really not picking up scum vibes from her, so I think Pooky could be right.In post 5628, Noraa wrote:Perhaps its wifomy but I do feel like I will be extremely sus of pooky if uno and shelly are both red.
QuotedIn post 5634, MUSHSHAGANA wrote:Whoops, there were two. Still important, thanks.
In post 5394, MUSHSHAGANA wrote:So, Theta for LHF? Suits me fine.
I'm still intent on a Shelly->Tayl0r->Fidget elimination order, determine next steps off of flips. If all three come up red we have a VERY good shot of winning by raw POE and we can just curse our way through the playerlist. If one comes up green, we stop and reassess at that stage. Best case here is LLD hitting one of those three (preferably Tayl0r or Shelly) then we can hit the other two next day. If we hit S->T->S we are, if my math is right, on track to a win again next day, so we can afford one gamble on a high doubt slot with red associatives (Fidget) that day. I don't feel like Shelly or Tayl0r are gambles.
But if LLD hits in the top of that group and we somehow go S->T->T it stops us from going down a blind alley at a critical stage. If LLD eliminates outside of those 3 we're forced to figure out if it affects the associatives on the board before we hit them, and I have an unfortunate suspicion that the answer is "not by much" regardless of flip or LLD's target if she scroll-passes outside of there. Given we are pretty much coalescing around Shelly being highly scummy and most people are sort of like "yeah seems reasonable" on Tayl0r and Fidget as targets, that's crucial info to get out of the way with the coming guaranteed flip so scum can't mindgame us into reconsidering mid-scrollpass during the next day.In post 5395, MUSHSHAGANA wrote:FTR, if anyone has doubts that scum could fake us out day 2, recall how hard we bought Fred green before the flip spoiling LLD pass. If Fred hadn't spoiled the flip that way we would have ditched all these fine vintage associatives and almost certainly hit S->T->T -- which keeps us in the running but doesn't put us back on a winning track.
Now think: we hit some rando and go S->T->T today. We hit shelly scum next dayphase, shelly plays it off like we hit town, puts a hurt down on Tayl0r, we fall for it and let her pick some target from the LHF list. We go S->T->T and if Fidget is town, we are nowhere near being on track for the win as we close on the endgame.
Mindgames next dayphase are a serious concern, hence why I want LLD to pass in that group today.
Pooky is town, very obviously so.In post 5635, MUSHSHAGANA wrote:And you can replace Tayl0r with Pooky in those. I don't give a fuck for either of those slots anymore since Pooky's hitting the brakes on obvscum shelly and Tayl0r's just like "hell, fuck it, lets go". Tayl0r might be hoping for bus cred, but she will get absolutely NOTHING from me here.
i feel like i was pretty early on the shelly is scum train. fortunately i dont care how you read me.In post 5635, MUSHSHAGANA wrote:And you can replace Tayl0r with Pooky in those. I don't give a fuck for either of those slots anymore since Pooky's hitting the brakes on obvscum shelly and Tayl0r's just like "hell, fuck it, lets go". Tayl0r might be hoping for bus cred, but she will get absolutely NOTHING from me here.
i feel like i was pretty early on the shelly is scum train. fortunately i dont care how you read me.In post 5635, MUSHSHAGANA wrote:And you can replace Tayl0r with Pooky in those. I don't give a fuck for either of those slots anymore since Pooky's hitting the brakes on obvscum shelly and Tayl0r's just like "hell, fuck it, lets go". Tayl0r might be hoping for bus cred, but she will get absolutely NOTHING from me here.
Considering that Bell is pretty obvtown now, this post looks really good for Shelley.In post 3881, shellyc wrote:Isn’t that hurt tag = final and I’m doomed to the graveyard as a d1 town triple pass
If we can do @taylor than 100% I think scum Taylor kinda clears bell?
Can anyone tell me why scum!Shelley would want to clear obvtown!Bell here?In post 5644, Gloria Cleary wrote:Considering that Bell is pretty obvtown now, this post looks really good for Shelley.In post 3881, shellyc wrote:Isn’t that hurt tag = final and I’m doomed to the graveyard as a d1 town triple pass
If we can do @taylor than 100% I think scum Taylor kinda clears bell?
I like you Mush but Pooky might possibly lead us to victory here. I think this post spews Shelley town.In post 5645, Gloria Cleary wrote:Can anyone tell me why scum!Shelley would want to clear obvtown!Bell here?In post 5644, Gloria Cleary wrote:Considering that Bell is pretty obvtown now, this post looks really good for Shelley.In post 3881, shellyc wrote:Isn’t that hurt tag = final and I’m doomed to the graveyard as a d1 town triple pass
If we can do @taylor than 100% I think scum Taylor kinda clears bell?
The very last thing scum!Shelley wants is an obvtown!Bell clear.In post 5646, Gloria Cleary wrote:I like you Mush but Pooky might possibly lead us to victory here. I think this post spews Shelley town.In post 5645, Gloria Cleary wrote:Can anyone tell me why scum!Shelley would want to clear obvtown!Bell here?In post 5644, Gloria Cleary wrote:Considering that Bell is pretty obvtown now, this post looks really good for Shelley.In post 3881, shellyc wrote:Isn’t that hurt tag = final and I’m doomed to the graveyard as a d1 town triple pass
If we can do @taylor than 100% I think scum Taylor kinda clears bell?
Another towntell.