Thor, you make me
Those were not meltdowns, dammit! They were just one-liners expressing indecision.
Please ignore the worse meltdown that occurred during the pages you didn't read.
I believe in giving less weight to towntells in replacing-in posts, since the replacement often had a glimpse into the town's perspective before being spoiled by his role PM...but awesome. Thor looks town.
By the way, whatever happened to Locke Lamora? He hasn't posted all week.
Going to get ready and then finish a couple of posts/responses today. (Really, the fact is probably response enough for Benmage...but I can't resist.) But after that, I'd be willing to hammer RedCoyote. I think what's tipped me over from doubting myself, to actually believing he has a good chance of flipping scum, was both the point Thor brought up about Red's reaction to jason's claim (I kind of skimmed over it, and missed that he voted jason not for thinking Nikanor had a guilty on him, but SOLELY for not knowing it was a mountainous game
) and this:
RedCoyote wrote:fitz, Mina, Sotty, Fur ... they're all effectively saying, in one way or another, that Percy is town because they feel it in their gut. fitz, when pressed, is unable to tell us why he feels that Percy is town. Mina has admitted to as much. Elmo is blatantly ignoring Percy in favor of his narrow focus on me over some technical issue with my play.
This is a misrepresentation. At least in my case, I've given reasons for why I think he's town (his reaction to your posts, for example, and his "contradiction" not being that damning).
And on a side note, my gut town reads are pretty awesome. (My gut
scum
reads, on the other hand...
) Town play often looks very natural and unscripted, so it's easy to pick up when someone isn't playing to the crowd. Sometimes I'll
lean
town on scum for bad gut or meta reasons (and then realize afterward that I missed major warning signs), and sometimes I'll think a scumbag is playing in a protown manner...but often, I'll just
know
someone is town. Percy has been looking increasingly obvtown with every post.
Anyone have a reason I should wait until tomorrow? I know Percy said he'd have something to say in twenty-four hours.
If Red flips scum, then that clears Furcolow, Kaleidoscope (neither of whom would flip back and forth between voting their own scumbuddies all day), and probably Sotty and Thor. That leaves Baby Spice and LrdWhyt. Personally, I actually think LW is more likely to be scum than Baby Spice (and it's a little weird how he's gotten so little attention compared to Percy/Red/BS/Nikanor to a lesser extent).
If Red flips town, I'll look more closely at Kaleidoscope and Sotty (I like a lot of what she's doing, but a few of her stances don't feel perfectly organic, as if she's hedging her bets a bit).
But I'll probably vote LrdWhyt tomorrow, either way. I'm ISO-ing BS, and to be honest, I don't find her scummy so much as hard to read and not the brightest bulb. LrdWhyt, on the other hand...seriously, just ISO him. His only content is 1) saying that the slip on, and 2) a huge list of opinions that seem to come from nowhere and consist of wishy-washy and vague one-liners. He doesn't have any solid opinions. On the off-chance I die tonight (stranger kills have been made), my last request is that you put serious pressure on him. Get him to explain those reads.
jason, I'm just curious. Why do you think Red is "scummy"? I don't think you've mentioned him before.
Well, Red, it looks like it's time for a claim.
(sorry, I couldn't resist.
)