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Posted: Tue Nov 05, 2013 12:33 pm
by Bulbazak
In post 571, sangres wrote: I'm hoping ffery will look into this a bit and see if you cracked the Bulbazak code.
You do know that if you crack the code and figure out how to read me completely that I'll have to rework my entire playstyle, right (Although, I'm kinda doing that already...)?

Posted: Tue Nov 05, 2013 12:37 pm
by sangres
In post 575, Bulbazak wrote:
In post 571, sangres wrote: I'm hoping ffery will look into this a bit and see if you cracked the Bulbazak code.
You do know that if you crack the code and figure out how to read me completely that I'll have to rework my entire playstyle, right (Although, I'm kinda doing that already...)?
I get too many false positives as things stand. And as ny165 attests, I can sometimes get a false positive read mislynched. :/

Posted: Tue Nov 05, 2013 2:50 pm
by F-16_Fighting_Falcon
Okay, I'll buy the responses in and they make sense to me. I think Sangres is probably town although nowhere near obvtown, but I hope it gets there sometime during the game and I am willing to wait and see. I'll solidify my reads on Bulbazak and TPR after digging through meta. ETL and Pitoli still read town.

BBMolla
, I think Chaos needs to be prodded/replaced. He hasn't posted for more than 4 days.

I am not sure why anyone is reading TIP as town. He hasn't done anything in this game to give me a townread on him.
In post 571, sangres wrote:
In post 492, F-16_Fighting_Falcon wrote:What do you think of the fact that both heads are reading Bulbazak and Chaos as scum and TIP as town?
This isn't actually true.
Who are your scumreads now?

Posted: Tue Nov 05, 2013 3:01 pm
by sangres
In post 575, Bulbazak wrote:
In post 571, sangres wrote: I'm hoping ffery will look into this a bit and see if you cracked the Bulbazak code.
You do know that if you crack the code and figure out how to read me completely that I'll have to rework my entire playstyle, right (Although, I'm kinda doing that already...)?
I'm not that easy to meta dodge, you know. Once I figure you out, it's quite the struggle to shake me off you.
In post 577, F-16_Fighting_Falcon wrote:Who are your scumreads now?
At the moment, I'm thinking somewhere in the realm of CO/TiP/TPR, but I still want ffery to confirm your theory before being anywhere close to confident on Bulbazak since I don't have the time to do it myself.

Posted: Tue Nov 05, 2013 3:05 pm
by F-16_Fighting_Falcon
Okay, that sounds awesome. That's exactly what I was thinking too. I am feeling much better about your slot everytime we discuss reads.

Posted: Tue Nov 05, 2013 3:37 pm
by Bulbazak
In post 578, sangres wrote: I'm not that easy to meta dodge, you know. Once I figure you out, it's quite the struggle to shake me off you.
I doubt I can do that extreme of a meta shift anyway.

Posted: Tue Nov 05, 2013 4:03 pm
by BBmolla
In post 542, BBmolla wrote:Prodding ChaosOmega
He's got another few hours I think.

Posted: Tue Nov 05, 2013 5:47 pm
by TheIrishPope
In post 577, F-16_Fighting_Falcon wrote: I am not sure why anyone is reading TIP as town. He hasn't done anything in this game to give me a townread on him.
Nothing?
Ask me questions or something

Posted: Tue Nov 05, 2013 5:50 pm
by F-16_Fighting_Falcon
Okay. What are your reads on each player in the game along with reasoning?

Posted: Tue Nov 05, 2013 5:55 pm
by TheIrishPope
I already gave that

Posted: Tue Nov 05, 2013 5:55 pm
by TheIrishPope
Have you not been paying attention to the game?

Posted: Tue Nov 05, 2013 5:55 pm
by TheIrishPope
Pretty silly of you

Posted: Tue Nov 05, 2013 6:10 pm
by F-16_Fighting_Falcon
In post 522, TheIrishPope wrote:sangres: Null-town. He's playing pretty passively and not being as aggressive as I'd thought they'd be. Reads are pretty alright, nothing to complain about.

This is what I was thinking as well. Passive, but I like their reads. I am fairly convinced they are town now.
pitoli: I've been troubled over what pitoli's alignment is. I've decided that he's dead null for now. The things he posts can come from either alignment.
What things made you believe town and what made you believe scum?
Bulbazak: This is so obvTown. There is no way he's scum. I refuse to believe it. I'm confused as to why sangres votes him. Someone isn't scum for making a weak case. Will have to read on the game he talked about.
Did you get around to reading that game? How did you develop such a strong townread?
ChaosOmega: This is null-scum because he's been doing shit now. He won't compromise, he won't act logically, and it's like textbook scum (but I refuse to believe it's too easy.)
Can you elaborate on this? What exactly do you mean "too easy?"
The Purple Rose: Ah, the AtE machine. Yeah, this is still scum.
Is this still for the refusal to post a case on you?

Posted: Tue Nov 05, 2013 6:16 pm
by TheIrishPope
On pitoli, it's how she turns from serious to funny lol no effort in mere posts when people suspect her.
It seems really weird to me that she changes posting style depending on who's on her side and who's not.
Naw I haven't read the game still because I forgot >.> but seeing from this game, he's been consistent with questions and pushes and the like
Chaos, when I said "too easy" I meant "I don't think he'd play so scummy that it'd be easy for me to catch him being scum." Plus with the absolutely no posting and the reputation of the slot, yeah I'm suspicious.
TPR yes her refusing to post a case is weird as fuck but also, when she saw my wagon wasn't getting traction (and a counterwagon was being made on her) she did a 180 no scope on pitoli

Posted: Wed Nov 06, 2013 7:57 am
by sangres
In post 578, sangres wrote:At the moment, I'm thinking somewhere in the realm of CO/TiP/TPR, but I still want ffery to confirm your theory before being anywhere close to confident on Bulbazak since I don't have the time to do it myself.
Working on it.

I have limited chunks of time right now, so I'm going to tackle and post my thoughts about other bulba games as I get the chance. At least for this one, I'm not doing a good job of linking posts, but his iso is pretty easy to follow.

Newbie 1429


http://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?f=11&t=31157

He correctly identified the scum team (beginner, scumbab101) within a couple of pages. His early votes switched between them, until he decided beginner's scumminess was actually a site meta clash.

In post 170 he unvoted scumbag101 with no indication why, and asked nacho about his reason for voting caled. In 229, he explains that the unvote reason was scumbag101's replace out and wanting to see what the replacement would do.

Even after dropping the beginner vote, he engaged beginner a LOT on day 1, so I think he remained at least a little suspicious.

In post 301 he says all his leads have dropped and he's basically trying to decide whether to join the caled wagon.

He votes Nacho on day 2 but it didn't feel like a vote with a lot of conviction behind it - more like PoE. He switches to Yiley because he felt Yiley was way overplaying the Newb card. Late day 2 he switches back to Nacho, still calling it PoE, and indicating he doesn't think the two are on the same team. He was mislynched, and continued to think Nacho was scum in his final post after the hammer.

--------

I don't think this game gives a sense of binary reads at all, but of the games I've played with bulba I think this one was notable for his not having strong reads/opinions about who was scum on day 1. When I replaced into the game late day 1, I was actually suspicious because of his lack of conviction/certainty. I wound up meta-ing another bulba newbie games to see if the lack of go-for-the-throat was typical of how he plays newbie games. The game I picked was a scum game, and I wound up drawing more bad conclusions about his play in 1429.

I took his flip as more evidence that I tend to find him scummy no matter what his play. When I adjust for that bias, my reads aren't much better because I wind up with false negatives.

If I had not been the N1K I would probably have pushed for either a Bulba or Nacho mislynch on day 2.

Posted: Wed Nov 06, 2013 8:32 am
by EspeciallyTheLies
Tip is still being less than helpful. I dont understand why we arent lynching him.

Posted: Wed Nov 06, 2013 8:51 am
by TheIrishPope
Oh now you wanna lynch me
Ask me questions then

Posted: Wed Nov 06, 2013 9:26 am
by Lastsurvivor
In post 570, Bulbazak wrote:I could care less about her defense of me. That wasn't the important part of that post. Also, why would I care if Pitoli is my ally or enemy if I'm scum? She's not exactly the strongest player in the game. I don't see why you would think I would back off of her as scum and not push her, especially if she is really easy to push.
To be fair, you're hardly the one I have to convince.

Regardless, considering that you had been pushing a Pit lynch and nothing had came out of it except a dismantled L-1 wagon, you thought you could move to a more viable target (F16) and, in the process, make a friend out of Pit.

Why would you want Pit as a friend, you ask? What scum doesn't want friends, no matter how strong they may be, I retort.


---

TiP how have the recent events of the game (since you posted your reads) changed your reads?

Posted: Wed Nov 06, 2013 9:54 am
by BBmolla
Replacing ChaosOmega

Posted: Wed Nov 06, 2013 11:45 am
by Bulbazak
In post 592, Lastsurvivor wrote: Why would you want Pit as a friend, you ask? What scum doesn't want friends, no matter how strong they may be, I retort.
My point is that reversing my read on Pitoli and befriending her as scum would be a stupid move. There was no indication that interest in a Pitoli wagon was dead, as evidenced by Chaos's post, so there would have been no need for me to abandon the wagon as scum. And let's be honest, a mislynch that could easily be attributed to town Bulba trumps making a friend with someone who won't make it to Lylo or give me that much towncred. The point is that I don't need to make friends as scum, I just need for the people in the game to see me as town.

Posted: Wed Nov 06, 2013 12:23 pm
by BBmolla
T-Bone replaces ChaosOmega

Posted: Wed Nov 06, 2013 12:37 pm
by T-Bone
ETL in 10 words or less, why are you scum?

Posted: Wed Nov 06, 2013 1:19 pm
by Lastsurvivor
In post 594, Bulbazak wrote:My point is that reversing my read on Pitoli and befriending her as scum would be a stupid move. There was no indication that interest in a Pitoli wagon was dead, as evidenced by Chaos's post, so there would have been no need for me to abandon the wagon as scum. And let's be honest, a mislynch that could easily be attributed to town Bulba trumps making a friend with someone who won't make it to Lylo or give me that much towncred. The point is that I don't need to make friends as scum,
I just need for the people in the game to see me as town.
To clarify, when I say "make friends" with Pit, I mean make mutual townreads. I.e., you buddying her so that she'll see you as town.

I'll repeat myself. My point is that you only switched to F16 so suddenly because you couldn't push Pit's lynch through.

Also, CO's case was met with immediate skepticism, so I wouldn't call it a revival to the Pit wagon.

Posted: Wed Nov 06, 2013 1:30 pm
by Bulbazak
In post 597, Lastsurvivor wrote:
In post 594, Bulbazak wrote:My point is that reversing my read on Pitoli and befriending her as scum would be a stupid move. There was no indication that interest in a Pitoli wagon was dead, as evidenced by Chaos's post, so there would have been no need for me to abandon the wagon as scum. And let's be honest, a mislynch that could easily be attributed to town Bulba trumps making a friend with someone who won't make it to Lylo or give me that much towncred. The point is that I don't need to make friends as scum,
I just need for the people in the game to see me as town.
To clarify, when I say "make friends" with Pit, I mean make mutual townreads. I.e., you buddying her so that she'll see you as town.

I'll repeat myself. My point is that you only switched to F16 so suddenly because you couldn't push Pit's lynch through.

Also, CO's case was met with immediate skepticism, so I wouldn't call it a revival to the Pit wagon.
And I repeat, if I was scum, I'd want to keep the Pit-lynch option open. There's no way I would buddy her in the manner you are suggesting.

Posted: Wed Nov 06, 2013 1:35 pm
by EspeciallyTheLies
In post 596, T-Bone wrote:ETL in 10 words or less, why are you scum?
Because lazy.