Page 235 of 323

Posted: Thu May 30, 2019 9:52 am
by Moongrass
How is this day not over yet.

Posted: Thu May 30, 2019 10:08 am
by Creature
In post 5846, NanceFloor wrote:
In post 5841, Creature wrote:Have we decided on a coalition?
Who do you think should be in 2nd coalition?
Haven't thought because not sure I trust anyone from the previous coalition but it's pretty likely coalitioning will simply fail.

Posted: Thu May 30, 2019 10:09 am
by Titus
In post 5851, Creature wrote:
In post 5846, NanceFloor wrote:
In post 5841, Creature wrote:Have we decided on a coalition?
Who do you think should be in 2nd coalition?
Haven't thought because not sure I trust anyone from the previous coalition but it's pretty likely coalitioning will simply fail.
Vote mine then. Scum will be divided into two equal pools if it fails.

Posted: Thu May 30, 2019 10:10 am
by Creature
I'm too lazy to type all names into a vote rn.

Posted: Thu May 30, 2019 10:11 am
by Creature
VOTE: whatever Titus voted

Posted: Thu May 30, 2019 10:16 am
by Titus
Thank you. That's 3.

Posted: Thu May 30, 2019 10:18 am
by Creature
If the mod counts it.

Posted: Thu May 30, 2019 10:21 am
by Titus
0verki11, chennisden, MariaR, Moongrass, Succinct, Time Devil, Titus

That's the coalition if he doesn't

Posted: Thu May 30, 2019 10:32 am
by Chemist1422
VOTE: 0verki11, chennisden, MariaR, Moongrass, Succinct, Time Devil, Titus

zzz

Posted: Thu May 30, 2019 10:33 am
by 0verki11
In post 5789, Time Devil wrote:
Player 1Player 2
RadiantCowbells
0verki11
mbaki (Moongrass)
NanceFloor
OkaPoka
BrightEyedFish
Time Devil
themilkcartonkid (Succinct)
Ankamius (Pink Ball)
Clemency
Creature
Chemist1422
Taly (Skygazer)
JohnnyEnglish (MariaR)
chennisdenTitus


Fuscosco
- Not in dance, scumflip

Green
- Townflip
Bright Green
- Confirmed Town
Red
- Veto Survivors
Yellow
- Coalition Leftovers
Pink
- Scummy non-coalitioners
Normal - Towny non-coalitioners

VOTE: Succinct, Time Devil, MariaR, chennisden, Titus, RadiantCowbells, Skygazer

Last two are subject to change.

-TL
Nance floor is obv town though.

Posted: Thu May 30, 2019 10:33 am
by Titus
4

Posted: Thu May 30, 2019 10:50 am
by Creature
VOTE: 0verki11, chennisden, MariaR, Moongrass, Succinct, Time Devil, Titus

Posted: Thu May 30, 2019 11:01 am
by Skygazer
no

it tells us practically nothing and we miss out on a chance to just instawin

bad

Posted: Thu May 30, 2019 11:14 am
by Titus
In post 5862, Skygazer wrote:no

it tells us practically nothing and we miss out on a chance to just instawin

bad
I'm not sure how dividing the group half way is bad. Second, how would any other coalition
objectively
tell us more?

Third, we still have a remote instawin chance.

Posted: Thu May 30, 2019 11:31 am
by NanceFloor
In post 5862, Skygazer wrote:no

it tells us practically nothing and we miss out on a chance to just instawin

bad
+1

Posted: Thu May 30, 2019 11:32 am
by NanceFloor
In post 5863, Titus wrote:
In post 5862, Skygazer wrote:no

it tells us practically nothing and we miss out on a chance to just instawin

bad
I'm not sure how dividing the group half way is bad. Second, how would any other coalition
objectively
tell us more?

Third, we still have a remote instawin chance.
Alright, when not if it fails, can I say I told you so?

Posted: Thu May 30, 2019 12:20 pm
by Succinct
In post 5723, RadiantCowbells wrote:
In post 5721, Succinct wrote:I don't exactly trust you
oh ok
do your own coalition then.
I meant no offense.
I'm a
replacement
. I'm lost and confused.
I don't trust
anyone
.
Even townreads (e.g. NanceFloor) aren't absolute, and even were they, I'm not sure I trust the townreads to have their reads be
accurate
.

I can't make a coalition because coalitions require me to have trust I lack.
I trust your coalition more than I trust Titus's (so long as they're not one and the same), and that's the best I can offer so long as I'm lost/confused.

Posted: Thu May 30, 2019 12:29 pm
by Titus
In post 5865, NanceFloor wrote:
In post 5863, Titus wrote:
In post 5862, Skygazer wrote:no

it tells us practically nothing and we miss out on a chance to just instawin

bad
I'm not sure how dividing the group half way is bad. Second, how would any other coalition
objectively
tell us more?

Third, we still have a remote instawin chance.
Alright, when not if it fails, can I say I told you so?
Sure. I"m doing it as much for the info as I am success.

Posted: Thu May 30, 2019 12:31 pm
by Titus
In post 5866, Succinct wrote:
In post 5723, RadiantCowbells wrote:
In post 5721, Succinct wrote:I don't exactly trust you
oh ok
do your own coalition then.
I meant no offense.
I'm a
replacement
. I'm lost and confused.
I don't trust
anyone
.
Even townreads (e.g. NanceFloor) aren't absolute, and even were they, I'm not sure I trust the townreads to have their reads be
accurate
.

I can't make a coalition because coalitions require me to have trust I lack.
I trust your coalition more than I trust Titus's (so long as they're not one and the same), and that's the best I can offer so long as I'm lost/confused.
Succinct, I'm not going for an auto win. If it fails, we have 2 pools with at least 1 scum that have no overlap but conftown. Do you understand that?

Posted: Thu May 30, 2019 12:34 pm
by Skygazer
there's like a >99% chance that that's already the case; i dont feel like we'll be getting any new info, and the info def wouldn't outweigh the potential autowin we can get :l

Posted: Thu May 30, 2019 12:37 pm
by Succinct
In post 5761, Titus wrote:Then explain why Clemency got shot over both Creature and Chemist.
My feelings're that Creature's more likely town than scum. (However, he's not town to the point of being cleared.) Chemist's harder to read but could be scum.

Posted: Thu May 30, 2019 12:49 pm
by Succinct
In post 5789, Time Devil wrote:
Player 1Player 2
RadiantCowbells
0verki11
mbaki (Moongrass)
NanceFloor
Time Devil
themilkcartonkid (Succinct)
Creature
Chemist1422
Taly (Skygazer)
JohnnyEnglish (MariaR)
chennisdenTitus
Bright Green
- Confirmed Town
Red
- Veto(+Coalition) Survivors
Yellow
- Coalition Leftovers
Personal reference.
3 scum left. Unless scum paired with scum, half these contain scum.
I don't buy any of these being scum-scum.
I think most likely 1-2 scum in {Time Devil, Chemist, Skygazer}; 1-2 scum in {0verki11, Moongrass, chennisden/Titus}.
However, this is largely just VCA beyond conditional Creature/NanceFloor/RC townreads.

Posted: Thu May 30, 2019 12:56 pm
by Succinct
In post 5869, Skygazer wrote:there's like a >99% chance that that's already the case; i dont feel like we'll be getting any new info, and the info def wouldn't outweigh the potential autowin we can get :l
This.

I see little reason in confirming what's common sense. It tells us what we already know.

VOTE: RadiantCowbells, NanceFloor, Succinct, Creature, MariaR, Skygazer, Titus

Not very good vote, but all I can think of.

Posted: Thu May 30, 2019 1:33 pm
by Titus
In post 5872, Succinct wrote:
In post 5869, Skygazer wrote:there's like a >99% chance that that's already the case; i dont feel like we'll be getting any new info, and the info def wouldn't outweigh the potential autowin we can get :l
This.

I see little reason in confirming what's common sense. It tells us what we already know.

VOTE: RadiantCowbells, NanceFloor, Succinct, Creature, MariaR, Skygazer, Titus

Not very good vote, but all I can think of.
This is literally coalition 1 minus chemist and adding me and Maria R.

Posted: Thu May 30, 2019 3:00 pm
by Titus
If you want to talk about high odds of failure, the most members of coalition 1 exist, the higher the odds of failure.

The coalition voted for only works if 1) Chemist is the only group 1 scum 2) I am town and 3) MariaR is town.
I predict this coalition to fail. Then Chemist mislynched. Then MariaR mislynched. Then you'll come for me, and I will vote this post and my efforts.

I will casually remind you that strongly held beliefs are not evidence.

Objectively, it's best to confirm the alignments of everyone uncoalitioned.