Posted: Tue Oct 08, 2013 12:26 pm
Which part of the reasoning did I have?
https://forum.mafiascum-staging.net/
This post?In post 503, fferyllt wrote:And you don't think that seeing other people voting and expressing concerns might fan niggles and reservations into flames?In post 502, SpyreX wrote:Except he wasn't - until there was a wagon.I can see why the neighborhood would make town-NotSci freaking paranoid.
Do you really think that's a thing? I think buddies of a scummillerfakeclaim would be more inclined to at least say something about it rather than avoid it altogether (it's probably a bit of really pretentious half baked theory, but I'm thinking pregame deliberated actions like that would compel scum to say something because it gives them an easy way to enter the game).In post 511, ChannelDelibird wrote:If Brian flips scum, we get to see how partners reacted to his miller claim. In that instance, I think Kaze broadly avoiding taking a stance on it, as observed by Spyrex a couple of pages ago, might be useful as a buddy indicator.
Man, this actually reads really really genuine to me...which leaves me not really sure what's going on in this game anymore.In post 533, Brian Skies wrote:As far as why I'm not voting anyone yet, it's because I've been put in this awkward dilemma. I usually like to gauge early reads based on how people are reading the way I'm playing. The problem is that I claimed my role with a terrible opening post and I haven't done anything to seem town. On the contrary, I've been playing pretty poorly and I'm a miller. Although I want people to read me as town, I can't tell if it's because they legitimately believe me, buddying me, or trying to use my flip as an excuse to get towncred. On the other hand, I can't tell if people that are reading me as scum are trying to push a mislynch on me or if they're legitimately reading me as scum for my play. And then there's Spyrex, who isn't even reading me at all.
I don't think it's as simple as pressure voting...or at least it seemed that way to me at the time. Tossing a vote down "for pressure" is an incredibly easy way for scum to hide and ride on an easy wagon.In post 538, Brian Skies wrote:I've been liking Kaze as town thus far, so I don't really have an issue with this read as a whole. The only problem is that he doesn't understand why people were voting him. People thought he was scummy, so they pressured him. There could also have been scum voting him. It's nitpicking, but it's meh to me.
Other than that, it's mostly based on meta that I'm unfamiliar with. And it feels somewhat informed, but he might just be that strong of a player. His posts read like town posts and I would like for him to be town. But to be honest, I'm not confident in reading him at all, especially with such a small sample to base my read off of. Not to mention he replaced Maestro who just lurked all day. Regardless, the basis for his reads make sense to me. The null-read on Smudger especially reads genuine to me. I'm willing to call him town for now.
This, though...ugh.In post 563, Brian Skies wrote:@SK: That hurts my feelings a bit. But if town can find the scumteam off my death, then so be it. You already have my claim, so town can just lynch away.
I'm assuming your read was only based on Smudger at this point. A lot of Smudger's actions looked scummy at first glance, but when attacked about it, he didn't seem to care. He continuously expressed the attitude of "so what?" I feel like scum would be more sensitive about how people view them. The conflict between his actions and his attitude when attacked about his actions gave me a null-read of the slot. Also, despite being extremely verbose, I had extreme difficulty spotting contradictions (as in nothing jumps out at me). Also, he asked questions and pushed back. The reason why I thought your read of him was genuine was because it was something I felt as well. Smudger was a person I couldn't wrap my head around. Since replacing in, Lolwagons has appeared town to me. I liked his entrance post a lot.In post 608, Empire wrote:What is it about the Smudger-null-read that read genuine to you?
bawk bawkWhen I found out I was a neighbour I instantly looked it up on the Wiki. I instantly thought scum-town, but I wanted to give him the chance to try and prove himself. When I got into the QT, he seemed a bit too into the whole town-town bit. All a neighborhood is is a night connection between 2 players. We don't know each other's alignment. But, he seemed all too ready to townread me which really bugs me.
Your previous strategy of sitting back and calling for a not-too-distant-future SK lynching was obviously less tenable than a 180. It doesn't make your tee-hee avoidance of voting SK or doing anything to progress the game to the point of your vote switch more acceptable, especially when your stated reason - that the wagon had too much steam as it was - wasn't relevant. The sort of position you took on the Aero/SK wagon was easily able to be abused according to gameflow. I thought the Aero wagon was bad and based on very shallow reasoning. That sort of early wagon with that sort of player could become a viable Day 1 lynch or become completely unviable as a target. Voting changes the way a wagon works and moves, and how you're held accountable for wagon flow and shift over time. You set up an opportunistic approach while avoiding scumhunting or progressing the game. That's a tactic. And that's scummy.In post 589, SpyreX wrote:Thats not what I'm getting at. If me changing my vote is suspect why would I do it as scum? If I'm scum, every interaction is for a reason. There isn't a good one there because I'm not.
Being in a Neighborhood correlates with being Town. Being in a mini Normal definitely correlates with being Town. I'm not so sure that the first is a significantly stronger correlation than the second. But:In post 589, SpyreX wrote:And your underlined... what? The 'baseline' is already in swing of a random player being town - I make reference to that being a general default. The 'baseline' of Neighborhoods is, by a margin, more likely to be town. Enough that I'm willing to roll with it until otherwise proven. Like this game.
Wait wait. I read the thing that tripped the switch given prior paranoia was the called Townread of you (along with a bunch of others). Am I reading right here?In post 599, notscience wrote:Because I initially wanted to try and keep it a secret but then paranoia got the better of me.
Ask and ye shall receive. Glad I have time for this tonight/no motivation to study for my molecular genetics exam.In post 593, CrashTextDummie wrote:Plum, any reads on someone not named Spyrex?
First time he mentioned YYR. Whaaaaat. Does this even make any sense??? And he says he likes Empire's points againstIn post 535, Brian Skies wrote:Also, I forgot to mention YYR. I could be hypocritical and say he's scummy for the reasoning you provided. Considering how I've been playing this game, I owe it to him to at least come in, defend himself, and make a case for himself being town. But by PoE, he's not looking too good at all right now.
First sentence seems full of 'I don't care about being lynched! Really! That's how you know I'm really Town and you shouldn't lynch me!', especially since he's not done much if any scumhunting off his own wagon. The CDB vote is really weird. It's not a wagon likely to happen, so it almost looks like his first priority with it isn't self-preservation. But it's not only lazy, it's not something that's going to progress the game, not only because of where the lone vote is placed, but because 'pings the gut' won't make anyone say anything. Except this. Basically, what could he realistically expect it to achieve besides getting people off his back about not voting?In post 563, Brian Skies wrote:@SK: That hurts my feelings a bit. But if town can find the scumteam off my death, then so be it. You already have my claim, so town can just lynch away.
Also, of the players not in my townpile, this is the one I'm most comfortable with voting right now:
VOTE: CDB
It pings the gut.
I'm a firm believer that intent matters a whole lot more than vote. There's no way I could 180 off that after saying its what I wanted far stronger than a simple vote (see the discussion here versus if I had simply hopped on then hopped off).In post 616, Plum wrote:Your previous strategy of sitting back and calling for a not-too-distant-future SK lynching was obviously less tenable than a 180. It doesn't make your tee-hee avoidance of voting SK or doing anything to progress the game to the point of your vote switch more acceptable, especially when your stated reason - that the wagon had too much steam as it was - wasn't relevant. The sort of position you took on the Aero/SK wagon was easily able to be abused according to gameflow. I thought the Aero wagon was bad and based on very shallow reasoning. That sort of early wagon with that sort of player could become a viable Day 1 lynch or become completely unviable as a target. Voting changes the way a wagon works and moves, and how you're held accountable for wagon flow and shift over time. You set up an opportunistic approach while avoiding scumhunting or progressing the game. That's a tactic. And that's scummy.
I'm not crazy. You are reading what happened with NS. It is as nonsense as it sounds considering I said that to him before the game started and it came out on the wagon.Wait wait. I read the thing that tripped the switch given prior paranoia was the called Townread of you (along with a bunch of others). Am I reading right here?