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Posted: Wed Oct 28, 2020 3:33 am
by Dunnstral
I like this wagon

Posted: Wed Oct 28, 2020 3:37 am
by Uncrowned
I feel like the whole number thing is a weird thing to pin peta on

Plus the choice of number kinda fits how they've been playing this whole game personality wise tbh

Is there something specific that's pinging you about it?

Posted: Wed Oct 28, 2020 3:38 am
by skitter30
In post 625, Dunnstral wrote:I like this wagon
I support the righteous and glorious lilith wagon, but recognize that my efforts have a fairly decent chance of being futile today due to her position in the draft

But i shall continue to pursue my quest regardless

Posted: Wed Oct 28, 2020 3:38 am
by skitter30
I dont really see scum!peta

Posted: Wed Oct 28, 2020 3:39 am
by Dunnstral
Sorry I meant to say I DON'T like this wagon

Posted: Wed Oct 28, 2020 3:39 am
by petapan
lmfao

Posted: Wed Oct 28, 2020 4:29 am
by davesaz
In post 552, Uncrowned wrote:Is there a reason you've singled out TGP here while ignoring most of the others slots in the game?
I don't normally comment on stuff I agree with or butt into other people's conversations.

Posted: Wed Oct 28, 2020 4:33 am
by davesaz
In post 553, Hoopla wrote:i also just realised jackson virgo is in the group of 4's. this is shocking play on my part. there's no way i'm executing from that bracket on D1.
More focus on posting and less on numbers.

Posted: Wed Oct 28, 2020 4:35 am
by davesaz
In post 559, Hoopla wrote:there is max one scum amongst us 4's, unless a zany gambit is afoot.
If there are multiple 4's, one of them would want to make this argument.
If I had rolled scum I totally planned to talk the team into doubling or tripling just to break the numbers game.

Posted: Wed Oct 28, 2020 4:37 am
by davesaz
In post 561, Uncrowned wrote:Hoopla's joining of your wagon though makes me believe that if one of you is scum, the other will not be.
Nah, never underestimate the power of an early bus. It's basically without risk and can establish anti-associatives if too many people think this way.

Posted: Wed Oct 28, 2020 4:37 am
by skitter30
This focus on doubles/multiples is boring and wifom-y

Posted: Wed Oct 28, 2020 4:40 am
by davesaz
In post 584, skitter30 wrote:
In post 576, Hoopla wrote:dunnstral - played a game as scum against him recently, and he was a dominant voice on D1 that seemed quite obviously town. granted, i had confirmed info that game which can sometimes trick you into thinking someone is more town than they actually are, but i haven't seen similar town energy from him yet.
He has towngames like the one you describe, but he also has towngames where he's more underwhelming and absent

I approve of your assessment of me : thumbsup:
My experience is mostly the underwhelming games.

Posted: Wed Oct 28, 2020 4:41 am
by TheGoldenParadox
to clarify, and give better reasons for my reads since a lot of people have been questioning/attacking my posting: I strongly think Penguin is scum because of his interactions with other players in the game, as well as reasons I cannot talk about because of ongoing games.
In post 576, Hoopla wrote:she also tricked me into attacking a fellow member of the 4 bracket!
I also, separately, read Hoopla as scum because of her vote hopping and what looks to be a very opportunistic mindset where the goal is miselimination rather than scum hunting and finding town, and in that regard, the above quote is really bad - you shouldn't be "tricked" into attacking people unless your reads aren't actually genuine.

Finally, I think the probability of them being scum
together
is extremely high to the point where if i'm right on hoopla, penguin is almost guaranteed scum. this is due to three reasons - first, Penguin's interaction with Hoopla in as well as Hoopla's ignoring of Penguin. second, they both chose the number 4. which leads into the third reason:

hoopla has done a TON of work this game convincing people that there's max one scum in the 4s. if there is one scum, and she's town, then eliminating randomly in the 4s (1/3) has a better chance of hitting scum than eliminating randomly in the rest of the PL (1/5).
sure, there might be 0 scum, but the especially problematic part is that she COMPLETELY ignores the 4s for reads purposes. thus, i think the scumteam including penguin and hoopla is extremely likely, and I also think that that third member of the scumteam ISN'T a 4 (because having 2 members as 4s and 1 member outside that group seems most reasonable from a scum!hoopla perspective). i would wager that this is a scum gambit that backfired because both me and JV also chose 4, therefore catapulting the two to the bottom of the draft pick instead of somewhere around the middle where they otherwise would be.

VOTE: hoopla thinking about it more, not only am i inclined to believe hoopla is strongly scum from the above, i also believe that Hoopla flipping red absolutely condemns Penguin whereas the opposite is not necessarily the case, and so this is a better elimination for today.

Posted: Wed Oct 28, 2020 4:42 am
by davesaz
In post 590, JacksonVirgo wrote:I don't like the fact they refuse to read in the 4s or whatnot, I feel that's just stupid for town to do.
Exactly, the numbers should be the last thing on our minds d1. It doesn't actually become relevant until someone early in the draft doesn't get NK'd.

Posted: Wed Oct 28, 2020 4:44 am
by davesaz
In post 594, JacksonVirgo wrote:Is there a world where all the PRs are active btw?
I have not looked at all previous runs, but AFAIK there has always been at least one PR that is not chosen in the draft.

Posted: Wed Oct 28, 2020 4:47 am
by davesaz
In post 612, JacksonVirgo wrote:Get fucked Hoopa I now have the cake!
It doesn't appear on my browser, so I think it shows based on the client-side timestamp. Happy scumday in advance I guess? :giggle:

Posted: Wed Oct 28, 2020 4:50 am
by Something_Smart
In post 544, JacksonVirgo wrote:Uh, what? Natural is not a convoluted way of saying good.
Yes, but that's not the point.

The point is faking reads as scum isn't hard, because they don't have to be super nuanced and complex-- because usually town's reads are not all that nuanced or complex.

Posted: Wed Oct 28, 2020 4:51 am
by Something_Smart
In post 553, Hoopla wrote:i also just realised jackson virgo is in the group of 4's. this is shocking play on my part. there's no way i'm executing from that bracket on D1.

i apologise to jackson virgo for my overeagerness.
You think that bracket is likely to be all town?

Posted: Wed Oct 28, 2020 4:52 am
by PenguinPower
tgp

Posted: Wed Oct 28, 2020 4:53 am
by Something_Smart
In post 565, Uncrowned wrote:sorry to be self-indulgent but do you have any thoughts on Post 552
It seems mostly accurate and I would like to hear a response from dave if he hasn't given one yet.

Posted: Wed Oct 28, 2020 4:58 am
by Something_Smart
In post 583, skitter30 wrote:Except town!her usually brings a lot more content, is more focused, doesn't ask inane questions which basically dont go anywhere (but this is something she does as scum!), and is capable of quickly becoming an obvtown force to be reckoned with
Maybe?

I don't feel like she exhibited these characteristics that much in the last game I played with her. She did become obvtown but like on D4 after I died, and I died still being paranoid of her.

Posted: Wed Oct 28, 2020 5:01 am
by Something_Smart
In post 594, JacksonVirgo wrote:Is there a world where all the PRs are active btw?
I took some stats on this setup a little while back. (I can link them if anyone's curious.) They don't directly answer this but I think from collecting them I recall this happening only a few times out of 15. Usually at least one is missed.

Posted: Wed Oct 28, 2020 5:05 am
by Something_Smart
In post 601, petapan wrote:you seem to be commenting on a lot of trivial things
I mean, they're just commenting on a lot of things, full stop.

Posted: Wed Oct 28, 2020 5:07 am
by Something_Smart
In post 637, TheGoldenParadox wrote:if i'm right on hoopla, penguin is almost guaranteed scum.
Wouldn't it make more sense to vote PP first then?

Posted: Wed Oct 28, 2020 5:10 am
by PenguinPower
Their answer is in the same post
In post 637, TheGoldenParadox wrote:i also believe that Hoopla flipping red absolutely condemns Penguin whereas the opposite is not necessarily the case, and so this is a better elimination for today.