Main thing is that I'm really suspicious of Fitz and Pine
Posted: Tue May 15, 2018 6:47 pm
by Kokichi Oma
Did you read me and wisdom's claims or no
Posted: Tue May 15, 2018 6:48 pm
by DeasVail
Yes
Posted: Tue May 15, 2018 6:57 pm
by dramonic
In post 665, Kokichi Oma wrote:Then if I'm scum just lynch me. This is getting stupid. We have confirmed scum in group 2. I had no way of knowing what wisdoms power was, dram. So why would I be scum trying to lynch myself? You make no sense
I gave three different reasons, none of which have anything to do with Wisdom's role.
In post 497, SirCakez wrote:On another topic since 2 is dying today - can we talk about REALMEN? I just looked at their ISO and it's entirely shitposting, mechanics talk and unexplained reads. There's no real gamesolving. IDK how I had them at null.
About time
Wisdom: you definitely swap koki out. Koki is either 100% telling the truth or is scum. The flip would tell us the answer. Also everyone has suspects from group 3. I for one am not townreading any of them except possibly cake. Swap koki with realmen. Or swap koki with dramon. Or maybe even muffin because I'm not seeing what makes him so town either except for the fact that he's agreeing with dramon which is suicide for scum. Because dramon's strategies are horrible imo.
And for those doubting koki -
Why did he vote for group 2 long before claiming?
How would he know about wisdom's role?
I like the idea of locktowning koki tomorrow, and we have a good chance of hitting 2 scum if we swap him with someone in group 3.
Alternatively we can maybe swap DV or eddie with koki since there's some disagreement on who scum is in group 3. Like it's such a polarizing group.
You really hate lynching confirmed scum don't you.
Posted: Tue May 15, 2018 6:58 pm
by zMuffinMan
why is eddie so high? why am i so low?
Posted: Tue May 15, 2018 6:58 pm
by BuJaber
Swap dramon with wisdom & koki in your list and we'd be pretty close in terms of reads. But you currently have dramon way too high and wisdom/koki way too low imo.
Posted: Tue May 15, 2018 7:03 pm
by BuJaber
@Dramon:
Confirmed scum is in group 2 as per koki's suggestion.
I see no reason to doubt him.
BUT even if he's lying there's still a good chance to hit scum in pine/riku. AND if not he'd be confirmed scum. I'm not worried about lylo as much as you seem to me. The day 2 partitions are going to tell you a LOT depending on where they put koki.
The timing of 297 was pretty town. Town players with a role are likely to think that there's not much harm in softclaiming. However, this was at a time when there was talk about the setup being mountainous. Scum are probably not going to know too much about what kind of roles town will, so I think it's unlikely that scum would do something as conspicuous as softing a PR and risking negative attention /at at time/ when people are talking about the setup possibly being mountainous. Especially given the usual negative reaction to softclaiming.
If this happened now, it wouldn't be alignment-relevant, because lots of roles are coming to the surface. But I felt the timing of it back then was pretty town.
Posts like 641 seem genuine based on the kind of role that he probably has. Would also be weird coming from scum who is arguing that town need PRs because it does remove mislynch targets and helps town townhunt.
You are so low because there's nothing about your play here that really indicates town to me. I think your claimed role could fit with either scum or town. Admittedly, there's nothing about you that's particularly scummy imo though. But a lot of my reads are based on ~feeling~
Posted: Tue May 15, 2018 7:10 pm
by zMuffinMan
i believe dram and see no reason to assume he's lying
Posted: Tue May 15, 2018 7:10 pm
by DeasVail
Also I would go for lynching group 2, but am not ready to do it yet.
Posted: Tue May 15, 2018 7:11 pm
by DeasVail
*what kind of roles town will have
Posted: Tue May 15, 2018 7:12 pm
by zMuffinMan
im heading home now so ill wait til i get to my computer before looking at that. talk about your hf read in the mean tine
Posted: Tue May 15, 2018 7:12 pm
by dramonic
In post 683, DeasVail wrote:I think your claimed role could fit with either scum or town.
muffin claimed something? <_<
Posted: Tue May 15, 2018 7:13 pm
by zMuffinMan
a variant of wisdom's role
Posted: Tue May 15, 2018 7:14 pm
by BuJaber
Group 3 wagon was starting to overtake group 2 and THEN koki claimed. That means he wasn't worried about group 2 getting lynched.
If he is scum pulling a gambit it's to protect someone from group 3. And honestly why would he do it just to protect 1 person? He'd have to be protecting 2 scum in group 3.
Or it's for WIFOM reasons and one of his partners is in group 2.
In both of these cases we swap him out with someone in group 3 and we have a very good chance of hitting scum.
But really he's just telling the truth so your point is void.
Besides you have plenty of other suspects in group 2 so I don't know why you're advocating against it.
Pedit - ah lol a 3rd claim.
Okay let's swap cake with koki and lynch group 3. How is THAT for guaranteeing a scum lynch for the maximum potential price of 3 townies.
Pedit pedit - wait what 4 claims? Muffin what's yours?
Posted: Tue May 15, 2018 7:22 pm
by dramonic
Group 3 had not grown in 150 posts when he claimed, I don't know why you call that overtaking. Actually Group 2 had grown since.
Group 1 was the same size as well.
You're just... wrong through and through.
Posted: Tue May 15, 2018 7:23 pm
by dramonic
In post 690, BuJaber wrote:In both of these cases we swap him out with someone in group 3 and we have a very good chance of hitting scum.
OR we don't swap and have a 100% chance of hitting scum.
This is incredibly basic.
Posted: Tue May 15, 2018 7:28 pm
by Pine
So we're all agreed, we're lynching me
In the group we know contains scum
Swapping out confirmed Town for another scumspect like Cakez or Dram
mine's a variant of wisdom's role, except he can swap two other people, i can only swap myself and someone. the action is public (requires me typing something in thread) and resets the votecount. i'm guessing wisdom's is the same
it's why i suggested a mass-claim might be useful to co-ordinate actions and get a more optimal lynch group. though i've since changed my mind after thinking it over
Posted: Tue May 15, 2018 7:33 pm
by dramonic
In post 693, Pine wrote:Swapping out confirmed Town for another scumspect like Cakez or Dram