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Posted: Tue Oct 12, 2021 6:54 am
by Knight Daffodil
I feel like the only way that nightkill makes sense is if Rose and Indigo are town.
Maybe it's wifom, but... wow
Posted: Tue Oct 12, 2021 6:55 am
by Knight Daffodil
An S/S pair is probably bad for us here. It means our odds of missing are higher.
Posted: Tue Oct 12, 2021 6:56 am
by Knight Daffodil
Oh, also, with all due respect Azure, that was a bad move even if you had been right.
Posted: Tue Oct 12, 2021 6:57 am
by Knight Chartreuse
In post 673, Knight Crimson wrote:Rainbow/Daffodil concerns me greatly since i haven't bothered to read Rainbow all game and I thought Daffodil was vaguely town.
Beige/Chartreuse seems like a pair that would get killed if they were T/T since, as I mentioned, I feel Chart dominates the thread and could lead town to victory (as town lol).
I forgot about the possibility of an S/S pairing. It seems like a really bad idea to me but if there is one, then we have more lenience.
See? You’re making a meta argument. Tsk tsk. That’s a no no. I also have been working damn hard to do things several players are known for because soon as I say certain words people know me for who I am. I feel if you were town then you’d realize that this is either a we can elim almost anyone and win scenario or 50/50 at worst.
In 1,1,1,0 scum did not dance with each other which means only 1 T/T pair remains. Long as we don’t elim there we are good.
If it’s 2,1,0,0 then 50/50 odds we do a proper elim.
Time to sort with this hood and see what comes up.
Posted: Tue Oct 12, 2021 6:57 am
by Knight Crimson
In post 678, Knight Chartreuse wrote: In post 673, Knight Crimson wrote:Rainbow/Daffodil concerns me greatly since i haven't bothered to read Rainbow all game and I thought Daffodil was vaguely town.
Beige/Chartreuse seems like a pair that would get killed if they were T/T since, as I mentioned, I feel Chart dominates the thread and could lead town to victory (as town lol).
I forgot about the possibility of an S/S pairing. It seems like a really bad idea to me but if there is one, then we have more lenience.
See? You’re making a meta argument. Tsk tsk. That’s a no no. I also have been working damn hard to do things several players are known for because soon as I say certain words people know me for who I am. I feel if you were town then you’d realize that this is either a we can elim almost anyone and win scenario or 50/50 at worst.
In 1,1,1,0 scum did not dance with each other which means only 1 T/T pair remains. Long as we don’t elim there we are good.
If it’s 2,1,0,0 then 50/50 odds we do a proper elim.
Time to sort with this hood and see what comes up.
What do you mean, meta argument?
Posted: Tue Oct 12, 2021 6:58 am
by Knight Crimson
I'm saying that you've been dominating thus far and if you're town that's really good probably to the point where if both you and Beige are town then you're a good NK
Posted: Tue Oct 12, 2021 6:59 am
by Knight Crimson
Why do I keep sounding like I'm making meta arguments when I'm not? I should really read my posts before I send them. I have no idea who any of you are nor do I care.
Oh, by the way, shit keeps getting worse because I don't really know if my partner is town or not.
Posted: Tue Oct 12, 2021 7:00 am
by Knight Chartreuse
In post 680, Knight Crimson wrote:I'm saying that you've been dominating thus far and if you're town that's really good probably to the point where if both you and Beige are town then you're a good NK
Ah I have been working on doing the meta of a good town player. Alas when my plans to not slip my identity are too good I get paranoid. What do you make of my scum only have one or two safe elims?
Posted: Tue Oct 12, 2021 7:02 am
by Knight Crimson
Do we lose if we eliminate a T/T pair when there is an S/S pair present..?
T/T
T/T
T/S
S/S
Oh that is a loss isn't it
Oh dear
Posted: Tue Oct 12, 2021 7:03 am
by Knight Crimson
In post 682, Knight Chartreuse wrote: In post 680, Knight Crimson wrote:I'm saying that you've been dominating thus far and if you're town that's really good probably to the point where if both you and Beige are town then you're a good NK
Ah I have been working on doing the meta of a good town player. Alas when my plans to not slip my identity are too good I get paranoid. What do you make of my scum only have one or two safe elims?
That is one way of looking at it. I've been thinking about it more pessimistically, in terms of "We need to eliminate everyone but this pair or we lose". But you're not incorrect, I think.
Posted: Tue Oct 12, 2021 7:05 am
by Knight Crimson
I don't understand why scum would kill Seafoam. They would have tripped me up, potentially. Marigold I thought was fairly transparent town.
In post 675, Knight Daffodil wrote:I feel like the only way that nightkill makes sense is if Rose and Indigo are town.
Maybe it's wifom, but... wow
To bait us into eliminating them first, I suppose?
Could scum have not just killed any other towny pair instead though?
Oh, but I guess if there is no other towny pair..... I see what you mean now.
Posted: Tue Oct 12, 2021 7:07 am
by Knight Crimson
If scum were aiming for the towniest T/T pair in the game, and Seafoam/Marigold were that pair, that would imply that..
Knight Crimson - Knight Lavender
Knight Beige - Knight Chartreuse
Knight Daffodil - The Rainbow Knight
Each contain 1 scum. You're right.
How frustrating.
Posted: Tue Oct 12, 2021 7:12 am
by Knight Daffodil
Me neither. And I did make it clear to my partner that I suspected Seafoam. I don't know how much she conveyed via neighborhood though, I was a little tuned out.
Posted: Tue Oct 12, 2021 7:13 am
by Knight Daffodil
I think we're just losing this one for sure.
Posted: Tue Oct 12, 2021 7:13 am
by Knight Crimson
I did the same actually, I made it clear to Lav who then told Rainbow.
Posted: Tue Oct 12, 2021 7:14 am
by Knight Crimson
Is there any other explanation other than Lavender/Crimson, Daffodil/Rainbow, and Beige/Chart all contain one scum?
What team goes for that WIFOM play?
Posted: Tue Oct 12, 2021 7:14 am
by Knight Daffodil
How much did Lavender tell you about that conversation? I didn't hear much of anything, but to be fair, I did say I was busy.
Posted: Tue Oct 12, 2021 7:15 am
by Knight Daffodil
I think my answer to this is an S/S rose & indigo might.
Posted: Tue Oct 12, 2021 7:15 am
by Knight Crimson
I don't really know anything about the neighbourhood, to be honest.
Posted: Tue Oct 12, 2021 7:15 am
by Knight Daffodil
That makes me slightly uneasy!
Posted: Tue Oct 12, 2021 7:16 am
by The Rainbow Knight
if thats the case wouldn't it be rather simple to win?
Posted: Tue Oct 12, 2021 7:18 am
by The Rainbow Knight
we don't really need to identify which pair has scum in it, just which pair is possible to be s/s
Posted: Tue Oct 12, 2021 7:18 am
by Knight Indigo
Based off what I’ve read so far, liking both Crimson and Daffodil so far. I actually expected Daff/Rainbow or us to be the NK, unless I’m wrong about Rose and so far, I’ve seen nothing that pinged me. I’m glad I was actually right about Seafoam but Asure should have at least waited for some discussion. You don’t leave the dance before anyone other than the mod has even posted.
If I’m right about Rose, I’m surprised scum NK’d Marigold/Seafoam since people were suss on him. Maybe they thought I was more pushable due to my predecessor?
One thing I noted, when I theorized that scum was 2: 1 in both colors, I think only way I think that makes sense if I’m wrong about Daffodil or Rose. Otherwise, scum is most likely to be amongst the remaining cool players and people who jumped on me for that if correct could have possibly be tming.
Posted: Tue Oct 12, 2021 7:18 am
by Knight Crimson
I think Indigo is town... if we can be reasonably sure of that, perhaps that would help.
pedit: If we can be sure there are no S/S pairs, would that imply Rose/Indigo are T/T?
Posted: Tue Oct 12, 2021 7:19 am
by Knight Daffodil
I don't think the distribution even matters at this point.