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Posted: Fri Jun 14, 2019 8:49 am
by Skygazer
In post 6799, RadiantCowbells wrote:Do you want the mathematical explanation of why flipping town is optimal today?

If we go for scum and hit scum that means I win as deepwolf. Is that a chance you're willing to take?
was this @ me?

Posted: Fri Jun 14, 2019 8:50 am
by RadiantCowbells
No it's @TD

Posted: Fri Jun 14, 2019 8:52 am
by RadiantCowbells
In post 6798, Skygazer wrote:revealing maria and titus and hitting town gives us a townbloc of me/rc/[titus/maria]

rc doesn't get nk'd, revealed doesn't get nk'd, meaning i get nk'd

we'd have a pool of chennis/[maria/titus]/0verkill/td

uhhh if we reveal scum then we venge in our non revealed pool and if they're scum it's auto and if they're town they can just venge the revealed scum, right??
This still only effectively gives us 3 flips VS 4

Posted: Fri Jun 14, 2019 8:53 am
by Time Devil
In post 6799, RadiantCowbells wrote:Do you want the mathematical explanation of why flipping town is optimal today?

If we go for scum and hit scum that means I win as deepwolf. Is that a chance you're willing to take?
um sure

yeah if you're a deepwolf the game's already lost

switching my vote for now:

VOTE: Reveal

-TL

Posted: Fri Jun 14, 2019 8:58 am
by RadiantCowbells
If everyone agrees I'm town I would want to reveal Chennis because all my reads are based on him being scum and if I'm wrong there I need to reevaluate hard.

Posted: Fri Jun 14, 2019 9:08 am
by RadiantCowbells
actually it turns out that it's significantly -equity to venge before 4 way

Posted: Fri Jun 14, 2019 9:08 am
by RadiantCowbells
safer kinda

Posted: Fri Jun 14, 2019 9:09 am
by RadiantCowbells
actually we want to venge first

Posted: Fri Jun 14, 2019 9:09 am
by RadiantCowbells
actually chennis is still never optimal flip we want town no matter what

Posted: Fri Jun 14, 2019 9:10 am
by RadiantCowbells
wheee

Posted: Fri Jun 14, 2019 9:11 am
by RadiantCowbells
VOTE: reveal

Posted: Fri Jun 14, 2019 9:11 am
by Skygazer
if we reveal town today what does 1 of 4 tell us tomorrow considering we'd have 6 ppl with 1 conf town/1 obv town tomorrow,,, im not getting it in my head :c

Posted: Fri Jun 14, 2019 9:12 am
by RadiantCowbells
it was never actually about the 1 of 4 u get me

Posted: Fri Jun 14, 2019 9:13 am
by RadiantCowbells
like it's just another lynch

could use call a friend instead for the same reason u know

Posted: Fri Jun 14, 2019 9:19 am
by Skygazer
ohhh then clearly when im NKd yall should just call a friend on me so i can spend 24 hours drafting a meme of a post

Posted: Fri Jun 14, 2019 9:21 am
by RadiantCowbells
i've avoided triggering myself by rereading the very early game pre-confbias rep out but i should probably do that.

Posted: Fri Jun 14, 2019 9:32 am
by RadiantCowbells
i don't actually have to post thoughts to not get scumread right

Posted: Fri Jun 14, 2019 9:52 am
by MariaR
I'm not revealing myself

Posted: Fri Jun 14, 2019 9:55 am
by MariaR
If you think scum me kills the person who was hard defending me you're pretty bad at this game. NKA is normally bad but since this is an open game it changes slightly with only 2 players left. Titus isn't a bad reveal but most certainly isn't the best.

Posted: Fri Jun 14, 2019 9:55 am
by RadiantCowbells
do you understand why it's optimal to flip town here?

Posted: Fri Jun 14, 2019 9:57 am
by Titus
In post 6819, RadiantCowbells wrote:do you understand why it's optimal to flip town here?
Does it matter RC? You think I am dumbass town.

We can just reveal me, lynch then do 1 of 4.

Posted: Fri Jun 14, 2019 9:58 am
by MariaR
In post 6819, RadiantCowbells wrote:do you understand why it's optimal to flip town here?
I do, that's why I don't really mind a titus flip. I'm more so questioning why you yourself aren't hard pushing for your own reveal.

Posted: Fri Jun 14, 2019 10:01 am
by MariaR
Btw TD is 10)% the lynch today just so you know. No idea why we've let that slot get by so much

Posted: Fri Jun 14, 2019 10:01 am
by MariaR
100%
curse you typo

Posted: Fri Jun 14, 2019 10:03 am
by Titus
In post 6821, MariaR wrote:
In post 6819, RadiantCowbells wrote:do you understand why it's optimal to flip town here?
I do, that's why I don't really mind a titus flip. I'm more so questioning why you yourself aren't hard pushing for your own reveal.
He's outside the pool of confscum. There MUST be scum in our grouping.