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Posted: Sun Oct 06, 2019 4:11 am
by eth0s
There's no counter wagon. We have 50 hours left. Something is wrong about this. If egix flips green then I think scum!spangled is setting me up for a ML.


I'm not even voting for egix. Why would he look at
me
differently for a green flip there?

Posted: Sun Oct 06, 2019 4:11 am
by eth0s
I'm not even sure egix isnt scum thats the fucked up part

Posted: Sun Oct 06, 2019 4:11 am
by eth0s
one of him and spangled are

Posted: Sun Oct 06, 2019 4:12 am
by eth0s
the other one is in {faustiv, draynth, geyde}

I need more time to figure this out via association

Posted: Sun Oct 06, 2019 4:14 am
by eth0s
Actually he might just be setting me up for a NK. iirc he hard townread Veggie and then he died n1. makes sense from a scum!spangled kill point of view. Not only that but veg was one of my 2 hard TRs, leaving me reliant on spangled after he dies

Posted: Sun Oct 06, 2019 4:15 am
by eth0s
geyde I am inclined to trust you second most right now. can you get some wagon/votecount analysis going to help me out here?

Posted: Sun Oct 06, 2019 4:17 am
by eth0s
In post 704, eth0s wrote:Actually he might just be setting me up for a NK.
wait actually this only makes sense if he's busing egix

Posted: Sun Oct 06, 2019 4:19 am
by eth0s
I really don't like that so much of spangled's reasoning hinges on a POST 75 read list. That hardly means anything at this point except for potentially outing associations and that's part of what contributed to my bad hammer on nmsa

Posted: Sun Oct 06, 2019 4:21 am
by eth0s
In post 689, Jamelia wrote:
In post 683, eth0s wrote:Also I'm sorry for disappearing guys. Forgot to announce V/LA as I am out of town at funeral services. I will be back within the next 30 hours or so.
eth0s, I hope everything is alright.
thank you. It is, and was a nice service.
In post 689, Jamelia wrote:Do you think that Dyranth is still a stronger scum lead than Egix? If so, do you think we take a risk and lynch Dyranth over Egix in hopes of "content" (as was your logic in lynching NMSA over faustiv in D1, assuming that lynching NMSA would give us more info than a faustiv lynch)?
Not sure, currently looking at a few options as you probably see by now. I think I need to resort pretty heavily

Posted: Sun Oct 06, 2019 4:27 am
by eth0s
Maybe no counter wagon isn't a bad thing here? I'm confused. NMSA was the counter wagon to me and we are both town so maybe the scum are committing to votes on different people?

Posted: Sun Oct 06, 2019 4:28 am
by eth0s
I'm having a hard time understanding how spangled's recent posts come from a scum mindset. I also think Draynth reacted to me and geyde in a pretty townie way.

Posted: Sun Oct 06, 2019 4:29 am
by eth0s
I'm wondering why I was let off the hook so easily today? Maybe I was cold AF in my reads. Obviously I mislynched a PR but my other scumreads could have also been way wrong. But if I was wrong in faustiv then wouldnt scum be going after him as an easy mislynch today?

Posted: Sun Oct 06, 2019 4:30 am
by eth0s
Faustiv was let off rather easily too. And both of us sort of disengaged each other. I can't tell if that makes him town or if he is just complacent with letting me mislynch or get shot tonight

Posted: Sun Oct 06, 2019 4:36 am
by Jamelia
In post 712, eth0s wrote:Faustiv was let off rather easily too. And both of us sort of disengaged each other. I can't tell if that makes him town or if he is just complacent with letting me mislynch or get shot tonight
The only person who even scumread him hard was Dyranth and he was basically told off saying that targeting Faustiv was a easy mislynch.

I don’t think it’s a mislynch at this point.

Posted: Sun Oct 06, 2019 4:39 am
by eth0s
In post 713, Jamelia wrote:
In post 712, eth0s wrote:Faustiv was let off rather easily too. And both of us sort of disengaged each other. I can't tell if that makes him town or if he is just complacent with letting me mislynch or get shot tonight
The only person who even scumread him hard was Dyranth and he was basically told off saying that targeting Faustiv was a easy mislynch.

I don’t think it’s a mislynch at this point.
are you saying you think faustiv is scum?

Posted: Sun Oct 06, 2019 4:40 am
by eth0s
In post 710, eth0s wrote:I'm having a hard time understanding how spangled's recent posts come from a
town
mindset. I also think Draynth reacted to me and geyde in a pretty townie way.
ebwop

Posted: Sun Oct 06, 2019 4:41 am
by Jamelia
In post 711, eth0s wrote:I'm wondering why I was let off the hook so easily today? Maybe I was cold AF in my reads. Obviously I mislynched a PR but my other scumreads could have also been way wrong. But if I was wrong in faustiv then wouldnt scum be going after him as an easy mislynch today?
Absolutely agree with this too. I mentioned this early on, why are we just forgetting about D1? I absolutely agree that Egix is not a town lead for me. He’s very null, but there’s nothing screaming SCUM compared to other players (as I’ve mentioned before). I think we’re about to lynch Egix in the same way we lynched Spam. We might be rifht this time, or we could have been strayed down the wrong path AGAIN.

Like I said earlier, I agree with the analysis on Egix and I think that I would be fine with lynching him as well.
Consider this my intent to hammer in 24 hours.
But in the same way we DIDNT let Spam defend themselves or claim anything, let’s not rush into this again.

Posted: Sun Oct 06, 2019 4:41 am
by Draynth
In post 713, Jamelia wrote:
In post 712, eth0s wrote:Faustiv was let off rather easily too. And both of us sort of disengaged each other. I can't tell if that makes him town or if he is just complacent with letting me mislynch or get shot tonight
The only person who even scumread him hard was Dyranth and he was basically told off saying that targeting Faustiv was a easy mislynch.

I don’t think it’s a mislynch at this point.
When did I hard scumread faustiv today?

Posted: Sun Oct 06, 2019 4:42 am
by eth0s
Now that I think of it why did Faustiv play so reactionary and defensively day 1 when people were pointing fingers at him and then come back today with a post like when under no pressure? It seems like a townie post in isolation but what prompted this shift in effort? Why didn't we see anything like this from him before?

Posted: Sun Oct 06, 2019 4:42 am
by Jamelia
In post 714, eth0s wrote:
In post 713, Jamelia wrote:
In post 712, eth0s wrote:Faustiv was let off rather easily too. And both of us sort of disengaged each other. I can't tell if that makes him town or if he is just complacent with letting me mislynch or get shot tonight
The only person who even scumread him hard was Dyranth and he was basically told off saying that targeting Faustiv was a easy mislynch.

I don’t think it’s a mislynch at this point.
are you saying you think faustiv is scum?
I think that it is highly more likely that Faustiv is scum than he is town, based on D1. I said during that day if Spam flipped green then Faustiv must be town, but Faustiv was VERY SURE Spam was town, with no real reason why. I’m pretty sure the rest of us were either up in the air about Spam or scumleaning them. There was no posts Spam put out that made him a lock town like Faustiv was trying to claim. Faustiv was either very confident in his townreading skills or he absolutely knew that Spam was town...

Posted: Sun Oct 06, 2019 4:43 am
by eth0s
I think hammering egix in 24 hours is a bad idea. It smells like a mislynch. Where is the resistance? His defense is bad but how telling is that really? I don't know egix meta

Posted: Sun Oct 06, 2019 4:43 am
by eth0s
In post 719, Jamelia wrote:
In post 714, eth0s wrote:
In post 713, Jamelia wrote:
In post 712, eth0s wrote:Faustiv was let off rather easily too. And both of us sort of disengaged each other. I can't tell if that makes him town or if he is just complacent with letting me mislynch or get shot tonight
The only person who even scumread him hard was Dyranth and he was basically told off saying that targeting Faustiv was a easy mislynch.

I don’t think it’s a mislynch at this point.
are you saying you think faustiv is scum?
I think that it is highly more likely that Faustiv is scum than he is town, based on D1. I said during that day if Spam flipped green then Faustiv must be town, but Faustiv was VERY SURE Spam was town, with no real reason why. I’m pretty sure the rest of us were either up in the air about Spam or scumleaning them. There was no posts Spam put out that made him a lock town like Faustiv was trying to claim. Faustiv was either very confident in his townreading skills or he absolutely knew that Spam was town...
okay vote him with me then. The egix wagon is bad

VOTE: faustiv

Posted: Sun Oct 06, 2019 4:44 am
by Jamelia
In post 717, Draynth wrote:
In post 713, Jamelia wrote:
In post 712, eth0s wrote:Faustiv was let off rather easily too. And both of us sort of disengaged each other. I can't tell if that makes him town or if he is just complacent with letting me mislynch or get shot tonight
The only person who even scumread him hard was Dyranth and he was basically told off saying that targeting Faustiv was a easy mislynch.

I don’t think it’s a mislynch at this point.
When did I hard scumread faustiv today?
You’re right, you didn’t. You scumread Eth0s. That makes it so...no one scum read Faustiv even after their D1 actions. I just find that fascinating

Posted: Sun Oct 06, 2019 4:44 am
by Jamelia
VOTE: faustiv for reasons above.

Posted: Sun Oct 06, 2019 4:45 am
by Draynth
Regardless everyone needs to give their thoughts on egix's alignment before the hammer.
If he gets lynched and anyone has plausible deniablity it makes day 3 awkward whether its LYLO or not