Page 286 of 314
Posted: Mon Aug 20, 2018 9:28 am
by Ankamius
I don't disapprove of this wagon but don't end the day before I can analyze please
Posted: Mon Aug 20, 2018 9:29 am
by wavemode
the neighbors and masons weren't meant to be outed so early
but to avoid a late-game scenario where there are scum vs. 4-5 conftowns, they were given ample ability to PR-hunt
Posted: Mon Aug 20, 2018 9:29 am
by Ankamius
In post 7118, Vaxkiller wrote:
ARGH, creature im friggin town! Look at my voting history!
VOTE: Kublai Khan
Town case yourself.
Posted: Mon Aug 20, 2018 9:30 am
by Krazy
2/2 scum is in kk, gr, vax, and vax is least likely of the three.
Posted: Mon Aug 20, 2018 9:32 am
by Ankamius
Why not Skygazer, Krazy
Posted: Mon Aug 20, 2018 9:47 am
by JarJarDrinks
In post 7126, wavemode wrote:the neighbors and masons weren't meant to be outed so early
but to avoid a late-game scenario where there are scum vs. 4-5 conftowns, they were given ample ability to PR-hunt
Why did they shoot into non-confirmeds twice then?
Posted: Mon Aug 20, 2018 9:51 am
by Krazy
I think wave was right about dave. Daves sig exit would only be explainable for scum if there was a breakdown in scum pt and how tf does that happen with no red flips at that point? Also I lowkey see drunkposting as a towntell,altho you are welcome to disagree on that
Posted: Mon Aug 20, 2018 10:06 am
by Creature
Posted: Mon Aug 20, 2018 10:07 am
by Creature
would've been hillarious if I could see the scumchat.
Posted: Mon Aug 20, 2018 10:08 am
by Creature
Hmm...
Vanilla Cop dies, backup becomes it while UB untouched or backup dies and UB becomes it? Dunno.
Posted: Mon Aug 20, 2018 10:08 am
by Creature
Town must also be equally funky.
Posted: Mon Aug 20, 2018 10:08 am
by Creature
Concept of PRs vs non-PRs?
Posted: Mon Aug 20, 2018 10:09 am
by Ankamius
Davesaz was very mad at me in another game, probably a significant reason as to why he replaced out of this game
Posted: Mon Aug 20, 2018 10:09 am
by Creature
In post 7118, Vaxkiller wrote:
ARGH, creature im friggin town! Look at my voting history!
VOTE: Kublai Khan
The way you say it sounds fake though.
Posted: Mon Aug 20, 2018 10:09 am
by Ankamius
Guys I solved the setup yesterday
Backup vanilla cop only confirms it more
Posted: Mon Aug 20, 2018 10:11 am
by Creature
Oookay
Hmmm
Maybe I
should
reconsider
Posted: Mon Aug 20, 2018 10:13 am
by Creature
Inb4 Kublai Khan is mafia backup backup vanilla cop
Posted: Mon Aug 20, 2018 10:14 am
by Ankamius
Can someone check when davesaz replaced out here and when he got lynched in Fallout (large theme, dw it's no longer ongoing like it was yesterday)?
If they're very similar times, then him replacing out here doesn't mean anything since he was threatening to leave the site or get himself banned the day he got lynched there
Posted: Mon Aug 20, 2018 10:39 am
by Krazy
In post 1499, davesaz wrote:Replace out
Done with mafia.
See my sig.
Adios.
Fuck you very much.
I mean Dave certainly made it seem like he was sincere. This is his post from this game.
Dave was lynched in Fallout on the 20th.
His replaceout from this game was on the 29th.
He was also playing in Project Pinecone, which is an ongoing game in which his slot has not flipped. He was also under pressure in that game, so
your objection that there may have been other factors is sustained
. It's reasonable to want other reasons for Sky to be town than simply Dave's replaceout.
Can you explain why you think Sky is suspicious? I'm not sure I understand your case atm.
Posted: Mon Aug 20, 2018 10:51 am
by Ankamius
I don't know if I can explain it in words very well, the best I can do offhand is that the same reasons apply to her as an Gamma, except even stronger
Posted: Mon Aug 20, 2018 10:52 am
by Ankamius
Refer to my sig
I'm kind of notorious for not being able to explain my reads very well since I'm a macro type player and they're macro reads
Posted: Mon Aug 20, 2018 10:57 am
by Ankamius
Let me rephrase
I figured out how scum should be playing the day yesterday and it incriminated Gamma Emerald and Skygazer
Posted: Mon Aug 20, 2018 11:04 am
by Krazy
Well the problem with Sky being scum is that it would require 2/3 of KK, GR, and Vax to be town, and at the moment I don't think that's terribly likely.
Beyond that, Sky's play has been slightly townier than her predecessors. I'm also not sure that Frozen Angel does so much word vomit in a low activity game state as scum close to deadline. While Dave's replaceout has wifom I still think it's more likely to be towntilt than scumtilt, and Lovebird had nothing. So I end up with three townleans and a null out of the four people who played the slot, which is a lot townier than any of the other three candidates we have left.
This doesn't really look like scum replacing in to me at a glance:
In post 4563, Skygazer wrote:
(For the townreads on the wagon:)
Hopkirk/Ausuka are confirmed
PP - main counterwagon to wheme
JJD - pushed wheme heavily/consistently
Tchill - like their presence in the past pages
Wave - don't have an opinion of this slot but if Ausuka isn't voting him it's good enough for me for now
Creature - apparently town for a lot of people through meta lately? I'm kind of fuzzy on the deets. Not convinced they're scum w wheme looking at the shenanigans at the end of D2, seemed kind of too blatant for scum?
It's kind of hard to form solid reads this early on into my replacement because I haven't had any interactions but this is good enough for me to sheep for now
In post 4888, Skygazer wrote:Guys, texcat's progression onto dunn is pretty sus, he goes from townreading to suddenly scumreading for a single reason (
4315), laid pretty low for most of his wagon, and then hopping on with the naked vote right when the Dunn wagon actually starts to pick up (
4819) while his wagon is dying down.
VOTE: texcat
(Sorry for not really participating, I'm going to actively try to change that. I'm technically caught up but just feel so far behind and I kind of feel super out of my element considering I'm one of the newest people here and probably one of the worst scum hunters here. I'll actively work to change my activity levels)
Posted: Mon Aug 20, 2018 11:11 am
by Ankamius
4888 is independently scummy, thanks for pointing it out
Posted: Mon Aug 20, 2018 11:13 am
by Ankamius
GR is town
They were the hail mary wagon for scum when there was an opening to save Gamma
If GR was also scum, either another target would've been chosen to try to wagon or scum would've just let Gamma die (unlikely the latter since I don't think scum would've predicted I'd dig in my heels on that lynch like I did)