Posted: Wed Jan 05, 2022 3:48 pm
Idk the more I try to think the less confident I get
I think while S_S made his position clear that he didn't want Ydra to endgame, he didn't actually do a lot to make that actually happen. He never gave game-related content as to why he believed Ydrasse was scum, he just said she shouldn't endgame by virtue of not being NK'd.In post 7143, Taly wrote:Still, why does he go after Ydra so blatantly? Trying to pull another T/T down or - the much less likely successful route - bussing Ydra? I think looking at his momentum in Ydra's read congruent to the suspicion of him lies the motive.
In post 6062, Something_Smart wrote:Well, my pet theory is that the IC almost always dies if they're partnered with town.
Taly should give his thoughts on Ydrasse, of course, but I don't feel like that pair should be endgaming.
In post 6067, GuiltyLion wrote:Agree here. The question is if Taly should leave earlier so we can get the info from a Ydra flip, or later in the offchance this is all WIFOM and Ydra is town and we might hit scum elsewhere firstIn post 6062, Something_Smart wrote:Taly should give his thoughts on Ydrasse, of course, but I don't feel like that pair should be endgaming.
Doesn't push it very strongly again:In post 6071, Something_Smart wrote:I think later because then we also get the benefit of an alive toucan.In post 6067, GuiltyLion wrote:The question is if Taly should leave earlier so we can get the info from a Ydra flip, or later in the offchance this is all WIFOM and Ydra is town and we might hit scum elsewhere first
and then when you later proposed that you should endgame, his responses were again, fairly muted:In post 6382, Something_Smart wrote:After Shiro/HQ my tentative flip order would be Taly/Ydrasse -> GL/Dats -> RH9/Alyssa, I guess.
But I'm definitely willing to listen to Taly and Alyssa, my reads this game have not been super strong or super good.
In post 6641, Something_Smart wrote:Taly, I can't speak to anything that happened in the PT, but I still feel like it's pretty unlikely that the scumteam would leave your pair alive if it's T/T. That would risk you coming out with a townread on Ydrasse, which would pretty much singlehandedly lose scum the game if they didn't have a S/S pairing.
Especially since the pair that died was STD/Titus, not a universally townread pair, or even the most townread pair overall. It may be that scum really wanted Titus dead... but Titus scumread Ydrasse, so that points back to her anyway.
He's not making a serious effort here to actually change your townread on Ydrasse, he's not casing her, just making a WIFOMy mech argument for why she shouldn't live. I feel like this serves the purpose of making him look good in the event that she flips scum, but without actually doing a whole lot to change anyone's minds if they are townreading her and don't want her to leave. It's not proactive play to actually get her outIn post 6650, Something_Smart wrote:I don't understand any of that post honestly. I haven't tried to shut down many things other than this, and I've been pretty insistent that Ydrasse shouldn't endgame, it's not a reactive thing. I have presented my own reads, and preferred leave order, and I've said that I will defer to what Taly wants.
I am in a good position gamestate-wise, at least I hope so, so why wouldn't I want to keep it that way, regardless of my alignment?
I haven't yet come across anything that made them look especially unpartnered in the first 65 pages. You're correct he was the first to say we shouldn't give reads on her:In post 7143, Taly wrote:Note: check early-game SS/Ydra interactions
I mean, I do remember SS being the original person saying never to voice a read on Ydra until intermission.
In post 1312, Something_Smart wrote:Nobody should be talking about their read on Ydrasse from now till intermission, I think.
I didn't quote this yesterday cause I don't think it's super AI, but I can definitely imagine 1313 being a post scum writes to try to disassociate from their partner, it's a little too "look at me I have a ~read~!" but again, does nothing to actually move the gamestate in any direction towards or away from her. It's an empty postIn post 1313, Something_Smart wrote:Which is slightly annoying because I have one.
as courtesy we should give her a chance for final reads/opinions in case she's town but she feels kinda resigned to me (as either alignment), and we don't want to stall too long. I'm fine with flipping her at this pointIn post 7154, RH9 wrote:GL, should we wait for Ydrasse to post her promised PT summary and stuff or not?
what would you say is the main distinguishing factor hereIn post 7158, Ydrasse wrote:i don't see how people think that this is... anything like my scum game at all
to me it's likeIn post 7160, GuiltyLion wrote:what would you say is the main distinguishing factor hereIn post 7158, Ydrasse wrote:i don't see how people think that this is... anything like my scum game at all
Luke mentioned that in Open 834.In post 7163, Ydrasse wrote:like if you want the meta here
https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?f=52&t=86520
this is the game where i do the things i do /the absolute best/
I don't think that any other scumteam managed to win Guardians of the Fortress since you, catboi, and unwnd did.In post 7169, Ydrasse wrote:im really proud of that game
I dunno, which of the gentlemen do you think scum!you would have the best chance of pocketing all the way through endgame? And when Taly proposed, how would scum!you play that off if you didn't want to pair with him?In post 7162, Ydrasse wrote:i'm literally doing the biggest thing someone could do if they were scum to handicap themselves and then i just fucking sit around doing nothing all game. like im good at being townread if i try to be because i know what /works/ and then i just said "fuck it no lol" this game danced and twirled some with taly said "yep ready to leave when you are boss" and did nothing but twiddle my thumbs when i could have just paired with someone else and brute forced my way to endgame with them
like yeah sure i let everyone scumread me and just sit there going yep mhm no i wont talk to you actually and just keep going hoping that im dragged along when if im scum i literally know that i am not going to die and have to like.... compensate for that
idk? i feel like most people honestly if i put my heart into it i could figure out how to feed into their thoughts and push them a long, the only people i wouldn't want to pair with as scum would be datisi or std probablyIn post 7172, GuiltyLion wrote:I dunno, which of the gentlemen do you think scum!you would have the best chance of pocketing all the way through endgame? And when Taly proposed, how would scum!you play that off if you didn't want to pair with him?In post 7162, Ydrasse wrote:i'm literally doing the biggest thing someone could do if they were scum to handicap themselves and then i just fucking sit around doing nothing all game. like im good at being townread if i try to be because i know what /works/ and then i just said "fuck it no lol" this game danced and twirled some with taly said "yep ready to leave when you are boss" and did nothing but twiddle my thumbs when i could have just paired with someone else and brute forced my way to endgame with them
like yeah sure i let everyone scumread me and just sit there going yep mhm no i wont talk to you actually and just keep going hoping that im dragged along when if im scum i literally know that i am not going to die and have to like.... compensate for that
I see your point here that you haven't tried to be townread, but I feel if you're scum the plan was never for you to endgame (as soon as you paired with Taly), it was to stay alive as long as possible to keep people paranoid about other slots, pocket Taly, and give away as little info as possible as to who your partners are. Which I could see fitting your ISO/play this game.
and the last point about compensating for not dying doesn't make sense to me because if you were widely townread it would make even less sense for you to not die. the only way you not dying is explicable (if you are scum) is if it's reasonable to think scum might try to WIFOM your slot, which can only work if you've got suspicion on you already