Page 4 of 49

Posted: Tue May 19, 2020 12:55 pm
by Night 3 Roses
lmao i'm sorry i'm still not getting it, what do you mean by "either no bomb or no supersaint"? there can be both in a game?

-D

pedit: good one but also why

Posted: Tue May 19, 2020 12:55 pm
by Night 3 Roses
yoink

-D

Posted: Tue May 19, 2020 12:56 pm
by DkKoba
In post 74, Hoctac wrote:DkKoba, you said you would use MS Paint for your setup spec but then used Excel/Spreadsheets instead? Is there a reason you lied there?
i thought i could mental math it.

Posted: Tue May 19, 2020 12:59 pm
by Hoctac
But at the end you couldn't, so you switched over to a more convenient app. I see, and this seems to all check out!

Posted: Tue May 19, 2020 12:59 pm
by DkKoba
uhhh if the setup rand doesn't roll each SS/bomb slot individually then my spec is useless but I went under the assumption that it does.

Posted: Tue May 19, 2020 1:01 pm
by Night 3 Roses
it first rolls how many "non-vigs" there are and then it's a coinflip between bomb/SS, not sure what's the difference

-D

Posted: Tue May 19, 2020 1:02 pm
by DkKoba
so we either have:

only SS
or only bombs?

Posted: Tue May 19, 2020 1:03 pm
by Night 3 Roses
no no no, sorry
coinflip between each non-vig slot

-D

Posted: Tue May 19, 2020 1:04 pm
by Night 3 Roses
each slot individually has 50/50 odds of being one or the other
sorry if i'm explaining bad it is 2 am and i am tired

-D

Posted: Tue May 19, 2020 1:05 pm
by HoldenGolden
In post 75, Night 3 Roses wrote:lmao i'm sorry i'm still not getting it, what do you mean by "either no bomb or no supersaint"? there can be both in a game?

-D

pedit: good one but also why
In post 73, DkKoba wrote:also did a quick reskim of things and almost thought about voting holden but i think im 'holden' back on that one.

my ego says to keep my vote parked.
*long sigh* the lack of MSPaint saddens me. Nice legend though.

What made you want to vote me?

Posted: Tue May 19, 2020 1:06 pm
by DkKoba
I like slot information and when I see pressure forming on someone it helps advance the game state :) but you are not a quiet slot so I don't see a particular need to flip my vote at the moment.

Posted: Tue May 19, 2020 1:07 pm
by HoldenGolden
Basically each category of roles (Vig vs Non vig) has an independent 50% chance of being either option from my understanding

Pedit: Fair enough.

Posted: Tue May 19, 2020 1:08 pm
by DkKoba
I MADE A FATAL MISTAKE IN MY GRAPH

Posted: Tue May 19, 2020 1:09 pm
by Night 3 Roses
10 total players?

-D

Posted: Tue May 19, 2020 1:09 pm
by HoldenGolden
Would there be any strategy in having the town non-vigs only claim non-vig rather than bomb/SS for any claims made post Day 1?

Other than preventing confusion, I only really think of one situation that would promote a full claim for that subsection of town PRs

Posted: Tue May 19, 2020 1:10 pm
by HoldenGolden
In post 69, ceejayvinoya wrote:My vote on Holden stays. Most awkward guy so far.
Also awkward in what way?

Dont be shy. I'm apperently the socially awkward one.

Posted: Tue May 19, 2020 1:11 pm
by Night 3 Roses
last run of the setup, we first only claimed either vig or non-vig to create the "pools", and later on when it came down to planning some other stuff fullclaimed.

-D

Posted: Tue May 19, 2020 1:11 pm
by DkKoba
also uh I don't know if this statistic is incorrect but I found something disconcerting in my probability calculation BUT now im no longer tired and have motivation for more MS paint

Posted: Tue May 19, 2020 1:22 pm
by DkKoba
Image fixed also added extra stats, the one about essentially 50/50 chance of only having a single type of non vig PR is disconcerting.

Posted: Tue May 19, 2020 1:31 pm
by DkKoba
I'm just going to throw out a few notes on what I think.

1.) no claims d1 because variance in PRs is enough for scum to hide in either pile without really being able to pin it down, however, they cannot both hide in 1 pile without being confirmed to both be in that pile. (at least I think so? I need to go over the possibilities. at least theres certain cases where it would become immediately apparent).
2.) n1 analysis will be important if there are obvious non-scum kills.
3.) idk bomb mechs but we can setup a slot code to make sure vigs don't all target the same person and we don't gain any info from a death. also don't want all vigs to suicide onto a single bomb if thats a thing LOL

Posted: Tue May 19, 2020 1:34 pm
by DkKoba
Image

this is an example situation where vig can self confirm themselves as a real vig, and thus can "claim" a kill for example if they are being lynched. (and this be clear). this is a niche case but its SOMETHING we can utilize if it happens, plus the vig in questiion would know they can aim to kill scum.

Posted: Tue May 19, 2020 1:39 pm
by Hoctac
Which shape represents me?

Posted: Tue May 19, 2020 1:41 pm
by DkKoba
Image you are lightning fast!

Posted: Tue May 19, 2020 1:43 pm
by DkKoba
anyways I think holden wifom'd too much so i think i changed my mind about voting them VOTE: holden

Posted: Tue May 19, 2020 1:50 pm
by HoldenGolden
In post 95, DkKoba wrote:Image

this is an example situation where vig can self confirm themselves as a real vig, and thus can "claim" a kill for example if they are being lynched. (and this be clear). this is a niche case but its SOMETHING we can utilize if it happens, plus the vig in questiion would know they can aim to kill scum.
How does this confirm anything by having them shoot a SS (which we have to know exists) that scum would be forced to shoot or gungho on their lynch to avoid being placed in the hammer spot? How would you coordinate that without the risk of mafia simply expending their rb ability on the claimed vig?

I think the only way to "confirm" a claim like this would be post the vig shot, but nothing stops vigs stacking up on one target unless we come up with a system for it.

Also lol, mafia shooting the bomb