Page 31 of 78
Posted: Tue Apr 21, 2020 12:04 pm
by AaronFrost
Kinda thinking it's just bob and Aloratom? That almost feels too easy though.
bob hard defended the chemist wagon near the end of the day while trying to make a push onto davesaz.
Alora hopped on at the end of day presumably to bus for the towncred. I kind of explained everything wrong with his play already.
VOTE: aloratom
Posted: Tue Apr 21, 2020 12:10 pm
by Morning Tweet
I thought you were leaning it not being SvS? what are the chances both partners got ran up for the entirety of the day?
VOTE: Gamma Emerald
Bussing is right though. i'm inclined to think it's elsewhere than Alo
Posted: Tue Apr 21, 2020 12:21 pm
by AaronFrost
I was leaning that way until tictac slot flipped red. I also explained that the flip wouldn't change my read on Aloratom.
How do you feel about bob MT?
Posted: Tue Apr 21, 2020 12:22 pm
by AaronFrost
Chemist1422 (7): Gamma Emerald, Cat Scratch Fever, Hectic, profii, HoldenGolden, Aloratom, SirCakez
Aloratom hopped on last minute
Posted: Tue Apr 21, 2020 12:24 pm
by AaronFrost
In post 730, Aloratom wrote: In post 729, Chemist1422 wrote:I said earlier I didn't have a read on Alora because I didn't know what was playstyle I think
At this point I'll keep it for self-pres though
VOTE: Chemist
^ There's also this weird post from Chemist regarding Alora
Posted: Tue Apr 21, 2020 12:29 pm
by Morning Tweet
In post 752, AaronFrost wrote:I was leaning that way until tictac slot flipped red. I also explained that the flip wouldn't change my read on Aloratom.
How do you feel about bob MT?
I kind of.. had trouble interpeting why he didn't want to lynch Chem. What sticks out in my mind specifically is that he said it was 50/50 chances Chem is scum, which is better than 25/75, but he still didn't want to lynch her.
It's weird, but its bob so I can't say 100%. I'm really curious why he thought dave was a stronger lynch, but i fear if I ask he's just going to say "look back at the case"
By saying "Keep it for self-pres", is Chem trying to say she thought Alo was town ? It's a weird post although i dont think it specifically implies SvS, unless im misunderstanding it
Posted: Tue Apr 21, 2020 12:46 pm
by Hectic
[Gamma, profii, bob] are the looking into pool. I'm gonna join Morning on a dive on Gamma.
VOTE: Gamma Emerald
Posted: Tue Apr 21, 2020 12:50 pm
by Hectic
So, one reason for Misty being so demotivated might have been that Aloratom vs Misty was SvS, and there was no way out of a scum lynch one way or another. However, I would've expected them to bus a little more rather than Aloratom switch vote last minute.
But THEN there is this:
In post 555, SirCakez wrote: In post 541, Morning Tweet wrote:I realized something about the tictac wagon-- I think regardless of tictac's alignment, there's probably scum on it. Okay maybe that's not a super hard deduction to make but bear with me here
I agree with this
VOTE: aaron actually
I'm less certain Chemist is scum here and Aaron is not making me feel good about this wagon
Aloratom joins the Aaron wagon which kinda suggests he might be trying to create one that isn't him/Misty.
Posted: Tue Apr 21, 2020 12:53 pm
by Hectic
You never addressed the reasoning behind this vote, Aloratom.
Posted: Tue Apr 21, 2020 12:56 pm
by Hectic
In post 438, profii wrote: In post 436, davesaz wrote:3 of us so far think you're not scumhunting.
Pedit @ SirCakez -- no, you're on to something. Joke posting can indeed be cover for fake scumhunting.
Did you look for those posts or do you just have a reference bank of posts to demonstrate your scum hunting prowess
In post 457, profii wrote:
Probably best to let hectic respond seeing as the post was directed at him
Why did you ask this, profii?
Posted: Tue Apr 21, 2020 1:07 pm
by AaronFrost
In post 755, Morning Tweet wrote:It's weird, but its bob so I can't say 100%. I'm really curious why he thought dave was a stronger lynch, but i fear if I ask he's just going to say "look back at the case"
I don't think his case on dave was all that convincing, I might take a second look at it though. I want to know if he still holds his opinion on him given our new flips.
In post 755, Morning Tweet wrote:By saying "Keep it for self-pres", is Chem trying to say she thought Alo was town ? It's a weird post although i dont think it specifically implies SvS, unless im misunderstanding it
I think it is scum indicative for Alora if scum Chem wanted to confuse us or disassociate himself from him.
Posted: Tue Apr 21, 2020 1:09 pm
by AaronFrost
In post 757, Hectic wrote: In post 555, SirCakez wrote: In post 541, Morning Tweet wrote:I realized something about the tictac wagon-- I think regardless of tictac's alignment, there's probably scum on it. Okay maybe that's not a super hard deduction to make but bear with me here
I agree with this
VOTE: aaron actually
I'm less certain Chemist is scum here and Aaron is not making me feel good about this wagon
Aloratom joins the Aaron wagon which kinda suggests he might be trying to create one that isn't him/Misty.
Yeah that vote looked super opportunistic at the time, even more so now.
Gamma and profii are other options I could look into as well.
Posted: Tue Apr 21, 2020 1:26 pm
by Wake1
Very, very interesting...
Posted: Tue Apr 21, 2020 1:26 pm
by HoldenGolden
Another option though is chem just didnt want to provide any associative information at all during day 1 given the likely hood of getting lynched. If they had start giving out reads there would be more ways to directly link people. This makes the lack of an alo read make more sense.
I'm currently not sure after thinking if scum!chem would of offer more of a fight to try and distance them if alo is indeed scum. Wouldnt it make sense to put up some opposition against your scum buddy there?
Posted: Tue Apr 21, 2020 1:27 pm
by HoldenGolden
Also informed scum jk? Neighborizer enabler?
This is a fun first 13p game so far :p
Posted: Tue Apr 21, 2020 1:30 pm
by Wake1
I see SirCakez has been shanked.
What is the likelihood we're looking at a 3-man team?
How common is that in a 13-player game?
I'm going to look through Chemist's post history to see if I can suss out some Scum.
Posted: Tue Apr 21, 2020 1:30 pm
by Wake1
*It's actually extremely important that we decide if this is a 3-man Scumteam or not.
Posted: Tue Apr 21, 2020 1:33 pm
by Wake1
Also, I called it on tictac early.
However, I totally missed that he had been replaced by Chemist.
Posted: Tue Apr 21, 2020 1:35 pm
by HoldenGolden
Scum would have to have some sort of 3 man team. Idk balance in step ups like this, but I would assume there is 3.
How common are roles like traitors though typically? How does it change the game wake if there is 3 or 2 scum?
Also I havent consider it till now, but is it also common for there to be 3rd party in a 13p set up? I thought it was >15 above, but the informed part of chems pm makes me now skeptical
Posted: Tue Apr 21, 2020 1:37 pm
by Wake1
IF my memory serves, we no longer do 3rd party Scum in 13-player Normals. I could be wrong though. I thought they did away with Multiball in Mini Normals.
Posted: Tue Apr 21, 2020 1:52 pm
by Wake1
Profii, what did you do last Night?
Posted: Tue Apr 21, 2020 2:50 pm
by Adorable
tictac/Chemist didn't get in a 1vs1 with anyone. A scum lynch who doesn't get in a 1vs1 with anyone is always hard for me to figure out who their scum buddies could be. Alora was the counter wagon to Chemist and do you guys think scum tried to make a counter wagon? I recall on 2 of my completed games when there was a wagon one one of the scum players they made a second wagon.
Posted: Tue Apr 21, 2020 3:15 pm
by Aloratom
In post 751, Morning Tweet wrote:I thought you were leaning it not being SvS? what are the chances both partners got ran up for the entirety of the day?
VOTE: Gamma Emerald
Bussing is right though. i'm inclined to think it's elsewhere than Alo
You think there are two mafia?
Posted: Tue Apr 21, 2020 3:20 pm
by Wake1
In post 772, Aloratom wrote: In post 751, Morning Tweet wrote:I thought you were leaning it not being SvS? what are the chances both partners got ran up for the entirety of the day?
VOTE: Gamma Emerald
Bussing is right though. i'm inclined to think it's elsewhere than Alo
You think there are two mafia?
This.
Posted: Tue Apr 21, 2020 3:31 pm
by Wake1
Morning Tweet, what'd you do last Night?