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Posted: Wed Apr 21, 2021 10:57 am
by unwnd
In post 748, fferyllt wrote:I don't have a godtier town read on Ivy.
I'm not going to try to dig into this again until maybe tonight. But, here's my bedrock assumptions
I really can't conceive of Bell not being scum.
I would be hammered by now if he were replace-out town and left a vote on me.
I'd be yelling about your not unvoting me, except if Luke and Ivy were both scum this game would be over already.
Egix is cop-cleared town. There's no third option here.
So
Egix (cop clear)
Wheme
Myself
Ffery
Ivyeo
Lukewarm
Right? Schadd doesn't post alive people and I am habitually lazy
Posted: Wed Apr 21, 2021 10:58 am
by fferyllt
Wheme was elimmed on day 1.
Egix
You/Bell
me/Endless
Ivyeo
Lukewarm
Posted: Wed Apr 21, 2021 10:59 am
by unwnd
Actually Egix being the cop clear puzzles me a bit further in regards to what I asked Ivyeo
Posted: Wed Apr 21, 2021 11:00 am
by unwnd
In post 751, fferyllt wrote:Wheme was elimmed on day 1.
Egix
You/Bell
me/Endless
Ivyeo
Lukewarm
The easy route for me then is to just say and Ivyeo/Lukewarm team has been letting us joust this whole time then
Posted: Wed Apr 21, 2021 11:01 am
by fferyllt
Why wouldn't they just hammer me?
That makes no sense.
You have no choice but to put me in your scumpile whether you're town or not.
Posted: Wed Apr 21, 2021 11:02 am
by unwnd
It would actually explain why Lukewarm is the only person really entertaining your push, but also trying to make it seem You/Bell are scum together. Frankly that just isn't very sensible, and I know from observing your scumplay (and just general degree of competence) that getting into an overbloated fight with your partner who you especially are cognizant of behavior and pointed them out to some degree
Is not a winning move
Posted: Wed Apr 21, 2021 11:03 am
by unwnd
In post 754, fferyllt wrote:Why wouldn't they just hammer me?
That makes no sense.
You have no choice but to put me in your scumpile whether you're town or not.
You were at E-1? You might give me war flashbacks to myself where I assumed the lack of hammer with Lunar/Peta meant Lunar had to be town. That was your game too lol
Posted: Wed Apr 21, 2021 11:07 am
by fferyllt
I AM AT E-2 WITH 2 SCUM ALIVE
If YOU ARE TOWN WHY AM I NOT HAMMERED?
from my perspective you must be scum. From your POV I must be scum.
If my perspective is wrong, HOW?
Posted: Wed Apr 21, 2021 11:09 am
by unwnd
Well first of all
UNVOTE:
And second of all, it's a newbie game. I had to ask myself the same exact thing here. From what I gather as well Egix is the only SE slot here, so it could potentially be two newbies who are being overly cautious or even just not here to coordinate two votes. How long has he kept his vote there?
Posted: Wed Apr 21, 2021 11:11 am
by unwnd
Alright since last night and both Ivyeo/Lukewarm have pitched in
I don't like that I could be possibly wrong about you here
Posted: Wed Apr 21, 2021 11:16 am
by fferyllt
It's been almost 24 hours and everyone has posted since then.
Luke has been very active since I joined the game. Most of the time when I'm posting, he's right there and replying.
Ivy posts infrequently, a few once a day, I think.
I wish I could believe you're town. Posting while not caught up is something I have trouble seeing you do as scum. But the GAMESTATE screams to me that you're scum. and Bell's play definitely points that direction, too.
Posted: Wed Apr 21, 2021 11:19 am
by unwnd
Yeah I do see that, but I also see this and wonder if the rabbit hole isn't that deep
In post 736, Ivyeo wrote:I'm really sorry, have been busy IRL, reading from start of day now.
Meaning Lukewarm has potentially been coaxing the situation and Ivyeo's own lack of know-how has been getting in the way of just voting together?
Posted: Wed Apr 21, 2021 11:20 am
by fferyllt
Luke and Ivy are both at least somewhat experienced in shorter mafia game formats. Luke has been a fairly logical player all along. I've been wondering if his tunneling is genuine or not.
It's hard to believe that they'd be unaware of quickhammers if they are both scum.
Posted: Wed Apr 21, 2021 11:20 am
by unwnd
I really think you're town here too ffery and if you're not it won't be me to say it
Posted: Wed Apr 21, 2021 12:25 pm
by Lukewarm
In post 749, unwnd wrote:Ivyeo I ISO'd your slot and noted that you believed it was Demainer>Egix in terms of your evil team, yet somehow the conversation has been more about me and FFery. Some other notable feelings I saw is this strange inference of 'not wanting to get it wrong' earlier in the game with a lot of loose dialogue, and then coming in with strong convictions towards your team. Where exactly did this change and more importantly, why are you not fighting over it?
In post 752, unwnd wrote:Actually Egix being the cop clear puzzles me a bit further in regards to what I asked Ivyeo
Because the amount of information available to players change over time...
Ivy's demainer>egix post was 341. Egix was cleared by a cop on 343. So discussing Egix's alignment compared to other people became a moot point almost immediately after she made that post.
We are not pas post 750, Demainer is dead and Egix is cop cleared. Of course the conversation has moved past those two.
Maybe only looking at ISOs is making you lose the context of the gamestate when various posts were made?
Posted: Wed Apr 21, 2021 12:28 pm
by unwnd
I'm aware that looking at ISOs is only one chunk of provided context, but I very much believe in just getting out whatever is on your mind
Posted: Wed Apr 21, 2021 12:30 pm
by Lukewarm
In post 741, Ivyeo wrote:@luke
I may be missing something, you're scared to go for bell because you're afraid of a FF+You+Me in F3 right?
Basically. If we vote Bell, then we will start day 4 with ff+me+you, and the whole game, win of lose, will hinge on my ability to convince you to vote ff more convincingly then ff's ability to convince you to vote for me. And that terrifies me.
I would much rather the town's win be determined by Egix making a decision today, then for it to all rest on my persuasive ability compared to ff tomorrow.
Posted: Wed Apr 21, 2021 12:38 pm
by Lukewarm
In post 744, unwnd wrote:Hey ffery and everyone else
I haven't read much of anything but did feel like ffery/bell (myself) could be potentially warring against another as tvt
Imo, this is not an option that anyone, including a Town-you, should entertain.
If your slot was town and voted ff who is also town, then replaced out, then mafia would have had an certain victory. Both mafia could have voted against FF, and won. With him replacing out, they could have done so very safely because they knew they had a while before the slot could change the vote.
From any perspective, bell's vote on fferyllt has confirmed that there must be a minimum of one (and I believe two) mafia between [unwnd / fferyllt]
Posted: Wed Apr 21, 2021 12:43 pm
by unwnd
You display a certain degree of understanding that makes me believe in some crazy scenario that admitinggly I have entertained
That you would be ringleader if Ivyeo is your partner. I assume the door is shut in terms of Me/Ffery ever both being town regardless?
Posted: Wed Apr 21, 2021 1:33 pm
by fferyllt
how would that even work?
Posted: Wed Apr 21, 2021 1:39 pm
by unwnd
I find it very odd that I'm somewhat fighting against both of you right now on my position. I feel like you as scum would be more than content if I were being a dipshit and floating a townread on you, but maybe my thought is just too out there for you to potentially entertain as scum
Posted: Wed Apr 21, 2021 1:43 pm
by unwnd
Occam's razor implies I am a dipshit here. Is that what you want though? The problem from my perspective when I was looking at this game from the outside is that you were going rounds with Bell with none of the input elsewhere. Lukewarm's disposition about this being SvS is the most insane thing possible, I still maintain that. You+Bell being scum is not what is happening here. That was one of my first goals to achieve
Posted: Wed Apr 21, 2021 1:45 pm
by fferyllt
if luke is town you and I can't both be town. it's simple math at this point.
if you're town you can be trying to figure out if one of luke/me is town
that's not what you're doing.
Posted: Wed Apr 21, 2021 1:49 pm
by unwnd
Do you think it's personally in my best interest as scum to come in here and spit rhetoric at you
Posted: Wed Apr 21, 2021 1:50 pm
by Ivyeo
If you're trying to distance, Yes actually