Posted: Sun Jul 12, 2020 6:58 am
Klick why do you keep making scummy posts
I thought you said I stopped doing thatIn post 775, Isis wrote:Klick why do you keep making scummy posts
I have a theoryIn post 779, Galron wrote:Why is everyone voting for Hoopla if she isn't scummy?
Interesting, your logic is a lot more complicated than what I had in mind. I thought Klick being called scummy but not wagoned increased his chances of being scum, since scum aren't going to start a wagon on each other (most of the time).In post 743, Isis wrote:The wagon on Klick wasn't heavily supported by cases and reasoning. I think scum would be less likely to get involved with a wagon that didn't look good.In post 717, Replacement for Sujimichi wrote: If you haven't already, could you elaborate on the last one, Isis? I would think your given logic would make Klick more likely scum than town.
The trend that Klick is pointing at similarly indicates that he's getting voted by townies on their B-game rather than townies on their A-Game which makes it less likely to be a winwagon than one full of townies on their A-game. Admittedly that's still going to be a better wagon than one full of scum, but it's hard to explain the frame of reference you're using as you go I guess - all wagons are more likely to be on town than scum and my "big picture take" is a bunch of townies that don't feel confident do a weak job rebutting that presumption.
What reasons does he use normally when he OMGUSes? Is it simply a "I scumread you because you scumread me and you're wrong", or does he find other reasons to support that? The OMGUS itself is NAI if you're telling me he does it as either alignment, but the reasons he uses to support it may still be scum-indicative.In post 744, Isis wrote:bob is infamous for an omgus bias, unfortunatelyIn post 727, Replacement for Sujimichi wrote:It also comes right after Gera suspects you - and for meta reasons no less.
It's often pretty stretchy reasons and it does make him hard to read.In post 783, Replacement for Sujimichi wrote:What reasons does he use normally when he OMGUSes? Is it simply a "I scumread you because you scumread me and you're wrong", or does he find other reasons to support that? The OMGUS itself is NAI if you're telling me he does it as either alignment, but the reasons he uses to support it may still be scum-indicative.In post 744, Isis wrote:bob is infamous for an omgus bias, unfortunatelyIn post 727, Replacement for Sujimichi wrote:It also comes right after Gera suspects you - and for meta reasons no less.
In post 786, Isis wrote:It's often pretty stretchy reasons and it does make him hard to read.In post 783, Replacement for Sujimichi wrote:What reasons does he use normally when he OMGUSes? Is it simply a "I scumread you because you scumread me and you're wrong", or does he find other reasons to support that? The OMGUS itself is NAI if you're telling me he does it as either alignment, but the reasons he uses to support it may still be scum-indicative.In post 744, Isis wrote:bob is infamous for an omgus bias, unfortunatelyIn post 727, Replacement for Sujimichi wrote:It also comes right after Gera suspects you - and for meta reasons no less.
In post 787, bob3141 wrote:Day still has 7 days. We shouldnt be think of ending this day phase now.
Wait a minute - based on what? You preflip associating?In post 760, Galron wrote:Una's.In post 740, Bellaphant wrote:@galron, your poat about the wagon feels like info, not analysis - who's jump on that wagon feels scummy/badly positioned?
If you look at 732, you'll see why I don't like the way you voted. I don't mind the vote itself -- I just don't like the way it was done. All told, I'm not a huge fan of this lynch as it stands, but Hoopla is scummy, and we really need information.In post 790, UnaBombaH wrote:Wait a minute - based on what? You preflip associating?In post 760, Galron wrote:Una's.In post 740, Bellaphant wrote:@galron, your poat about the wagon feels like info, not analysis - who's jump on that wagon feels scummy/badly positioned?
I now have nasty feeling about this wagon with Galron dropping posts like this, and then joining the wagon anyway..
Do you actually think you were in any amount of danger Bob?In post 621, bob3141 wrote:In post 616, notscience wrote:That was a great catchup I truly feel like I know where you stand on the game bob
mostly from what ive seen. That una is whiteknighting. He is pushign a town read on me without realy explaining. Something scum do if they dont want to push a lynch but are not against it forming.
See how he keeps sayign i dont want bob, bob is a mislynch ect
But not once says a reason as to why he thinks that. Town come up with reasosn as they want to stop mislynches. Scum dont want to provide town with a reason not to vote that player. As thats against their wincon.
When i read his posts it just feels like im reading a newspaper.
You go on to cite myself and notty as the two most likely suspects on your wagon. I largely began the call to wagon you (although Isis voted you first), and notty hopped on towards the end but specifically has made the same observation as you here that your wagon took off fast, and has been the most hesitant to continue on with your wagon.In post 630, Hoopla wrote:as a quick observation: the rapid acceleration of my wagon (when the possibility of a hoopla-wagon was wafting through the air) should give the town a clue as to my alignment.
I mean, up to this quote I think your game has been pretty anti-town regardless of your alignment. I lean town on you, but I'm not super confident and if you were wagoned today I wouldn't be that upset. I don't think the things you're doing are inherently scummy but I can see why others would think so.In post 632, Dunnstral wrote:Here are my sources:
[...]
This is amidst you calling me town sporadically so it's pretty weird
Geraintm explicitly stated rather early on that he didn't like it when people hopped around with their votes. I get this as a tell that works generally, but when applied specifically to geraintm it doesn't hold much water.In post 637, Hoopla wrote:this was an influential reason in why i powered and sat on the geraintm wagon as much as i did. he was a classic candidate of scum finding a vote acceptable enough to be unchallenged, then sitting on it without much reevaluation. it takes effort to be constantly reevaluating the gamestate as scum and to find convincing reasons for your opinions to change. this is why we see scum sit on hivemind-approved votes longer than town, as switching votes incurs the risk of receiving additional attention/critique of your play.
players like klick and notscience seem vote-hoppy-happy anyhow, so i don't extend the tell to capable, aware players like them, but i suspect this tell is meaningful for a player like geraintm and why i still suspect him.