In post 731, Knight Chartreuse wrote:If I recall correctly someone said the general pattern was that scum were in the less active people in prior dances. That is seems false now. I am busy with charts. Can someone look up who? I think they might be scum.
That would be my date, Lavender. Although I agreed with her (it is true, past dance games follow that pattern).
I believe Rainbow/Daff or Indigo/Rose is the T-T pair.
And if you were paired with Daff or me, this would be so much easier.
So, we need to extend the next two days as long as possible, so that you and Chartreuse can help me to figure it out. If Rose is town, then I lean to Daffodil being the town in that pair but rn I honestly don’t know.
This imho isn’t how to go about it.
1) Examine each pair including your own. Can either be scum? If so down to elim.
The “lean to Daffodil being town in the pair” doesn’t matter. If there is scum in the pair flip it.
In post 644, Knight Daffodil wrote:I currently prefer Indigo to get a pair. I think all three are likely town, but Indigo is likely more capable of escaping the LHF zone.
I really did like this post. God idk, all three of you sound so sincere.
In post 777, Knight Lavender wrote:I just got home, and apparently this game is now that one meme with the guy delivering pizza to the burning building.
Is this not transparently a WIFOM shot to cover a S-S pairing by getting a wider pool of elims on T-T pairs?
Because in the hot seat, that is exactly the play I would have made.
Somebody on the mafia team is a fellow lover of mind games, it would seem.
Can you explain this post again because it doesn't make sense to me
Far from settled, I want to reread. But right now Beige feels like the most likely scum to me and Chart has some equity also, whereas I'm less interested in a Lavender vote partly because Crimson has basically no scum equity.
I was going to vote, but I suppose I shouldn't vote hastily in 5v3.
In post 777, Knight Lavender wrote:I just got home, and apparently this game is now that one meme with the guy delivering pizza to the burning building.
Is this not transparently a WIFOM shot to cover a S-S pairing by getting a wider pool of elims on T-T pairs?
Because in the hot seat, that is exactly the play I would have made.
Somebody on the mafia team is a fellow lover of mind games, it would seem.
Can you explain this post again because it doesn't make sense to me
I think there's potentially a scum S-S pairing, with one deepwolf paired to one LHF scum. By making a WIFOM kill in the "middle fo the pack" T-T pairings, they increase paranoia on the remaining T-T pairs, which at this point in time I believe is my own, and one more. Remember, even if there's a S-S pairing, a T-T pairflip is game over. This increases their target size from one to two. I would say the other is rainbow's, but she outright LIED about the reads in the hood so now I don't know.
In post 779, Knight Daffodil wrote:Far from settled, I want to reread. But right now Beige feels like the most likely scum to me and Chart has some equity also, whereas I'm less interested in a Lavender vote partly because Crimson has basically no scum equity.
I was going to vote, but I suppose I shouldn't vote hastily in 5v3.
In post 779, Knight Daffodil wrote:Far from settled, I want to reread. But right now Beige feels like the most likely scum to me and Chart has some equity also, whereas I'm less interested in a Lavender vote partly because Crimson has basically no scum equity.
I was going to vote, but I suppose I shouldn't vote hastily in 5v3.
In post 779, Knight Daffodil wrote:Far from settled, I want to reread. But right now Beige feels like the most likely scum to me and Chart has some equity also, whereas I'm less interested in a Lavender vote partly because Crimson has basically no scum equity.
I was going to vote, but I suppose I shouldn't vote hastily in 5v3.
Explain your read?
I don't have a satisfying answer to that right now, my early townread just feels stale and I can't remember why I gave it. Hence the need to reread and firm up. Like I've said, everyone kind of feels town so I'm thinking about degree.
I do want to see how scumreads on Burgundy came about (I'm not saying it's a scummy opinion to have had, Rainbow and I were planning on going that way too, but the how is interesting).
Whoever said I was one of three low posters or whatever was really misrepresenting the situation, in that I had just as many posts as most everyone else, minus 1 or 2
In post 779, Knight Daffodil wrote:Far from settled, I want to reread. But right now Beige feels like the most likely scum to me and Chart has some equity also, whereas I'm less interested in a Lavender vote partly because Crimson has basically no scum equity.
I was going to vote, but I suppose I shouldn't vote hastily in 5v3.
This post makes no sense. It’s likely that a scum elim will eliminate a town player. If Beige has scum equity fine I can see that in some ways, but this does nothing to explain why Crimson + Lavender doesn’t contain scum. All it does is say “Let’s not elim Crimson.” If it is 1-1-1 it means we are going to lose a town when we elim a scum.
I am building in uncertainty. I may be wrong. If you are 20% likely to be scum, Beige is 70%, Lavender is 80% and Crimson is 0%, then it's better to elim Beige/you even if Lavender were my #1 pick.
In post 750, The Rainbow Knight wrote:I think it's important to have everyone's thoughts about where the destination is down so we can look back to what people wanted as we progress down the path we are taking.
???? What does this mean ?? “Destination is down”???
as in "written down" so we know what they want the end to be.
In post 777, Knight Lavender wrote:I just got home, and apparently this game is now that one meme with the guy delivering pizza to the burning building.
Is this not transparently a WIFOM shot to cover a S-S pairing by getting a wider pool of elims on T-T pairs?
Because in the hot seat, that is exactly the play I would have made.
Somebody on the mafia team is a fellow lover of mind games, it would seem.
In post 792, Knight Daffodil wrote:I am building in uncertainty. I may be wrong. If you are 20% likely to be scum, Beige is 70%, Lavender is 80% and Crimson is 0%, then it's better to elim Beige/you even if Lavender were my #1 pick.
I’m pretty sure this isn’t the move. If we define a failure as a double town elim, then there’s actually a higher chance to fail elimming Beige/Chartruese than Lavender pair. I’m aware that you probably randomly chose your numbers. But if your overall point is that you’d rather take out two moderately scummy people over one strongly scummy person, then I’d probably disagree. If I completely missed ur point then my bad. Actual content soon tm
In post 792, Knight Daffodil wrote:I am building in uncertainty. I may be wrong. If you are 20% likely to be scum, Beige is 70%, Lavender is 80% and Crimson is 0%, then it's better to elim Beige/you even if Lavender were my #1 pick.
That’s not how any of that works. I think you’re trying to use percentages to buddy me up but in that scenario you elim Lavender, unless you believe 2-1-0 is more likely. The scenario you presented only works if you believe that. However you seem way too tunnelvisiony. Let’s say you’re right Beige is scum: I flip town. Then there is a minimum one other scum team. (In that world I know there is two). This is why you always elim your number one pick for scum regardless of the alignment of the other player. If you just rip off the bandaid and assume you will end up elimming the partner town it goes better.
Even if you're an evil rainbow, you're still the apple of my eye <3
I might have to leave now before you pocket me again :O
What is your actual thoughts on Daffodil?
I was disappointed he wasn't that present during the night when we were in private together but every time see him posting in the main thread he feels so gloriously townie.
I'm conflicted about what this means. I'll write up a longer post that can better show what I think about him and you can let me know if you see something I don't?