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Posted: Mon Aug 08, 2022 9:02 am
by GuiltyLion
mmm

that post explains your thought process a bit more, but I'm just struggling to understand why scum!Vivax panics there. I usually assume scum are attempting to
not
panic in any circumstances, especially on D1 of a game where they have four teammates to help them out. I feel it's rare you see someone let the mask slip so quickly unless they're just bad at mafia.

And for scum!Vivax to panic, like you mentioned it pretty much only makes sense if Greeting is also scum and Vivax wants towncred for being a bus vote, right? If town!Greeting, why is scum!Vivax panicking? So already we have to assume scum!Greeting in order for scum!Vivax to really make sense.

My other thought is that there's a possible explanation or town!Vivax panic and vote - he might have seen a bunch of players coalescing on Greeting, thought "oh shit, what if I'm totally wrong and Greeting is scum, and I'm going to get pushed next after the flip?", and voted there. Again, not great play, definitely erratic, but to me that feels more likely than the same thought process coming from Vivax as scum - as I said, I tend to think scum are more likely to be overly cautious/calm rather than panicky, and then if nothing else the odds that Greeting/Vivax is S-S are low in a vacuum.

Posted: Mon Aug 08, 2022 9:12 am
by furtiveglance
I think Loki, Greeting, GuiltyLion, Fire and Roden are 5 of 7 other town.

KittyTacky, Kuti plz, Aristeia, Dannflor, Radical Rat probably has 2 town (or 3 if I townread a mafia).

Bell and Vivax are both mafia.

Posted: Mon Aug 08, 2022 9:13 am
by furtiveglance
In post 776, furtiveglance wrote:I think Loki, Greeting, GuiltyLion, Fire and Roden are 5 of 7 other town.

KittyTacky, Kuti plz, Aristeia, Dannflor, Radical Rat probably has 2 town (or 3 if I townread a mafia).

Bell and Vivax are both mafia.
What does everyone else think?

Or do you not want to say?

Posted: Mon Aug 08, 2022 9:16 am
by GuiltyLion
I'm not sold on Vivax especially if Greeting is town, for reasons I've said

I could vote Bell if we're not doing KT, but I also still think KT is scum and kinda surprised people aren't jumping on him after he said he was demoralized because this is a mountainous setup, to me that just felt like such an awkward self defense

Posted: Mon Aug 08, 2022 9:20 am
by furtiveglance
I'd rather vote Bell than KT but I want Bell to check in first, voting out someone who isn't here always feels a bit wrong

Posted: Mon Aug 08, 2022 9:30 am
by Radical Rat
In post 775, GuiltyLion wrote:mmm

that post explains your thought process a bit more, but I'm just struggling to understand why scum!Vivax panics there. I usually assume scum are attempting to
not
panic in any circumstances, especially on D1 of a game where they have four teammates to help them out. I feel it's rare you see someone let the mask slip so quickly unless they're just bad at mafia.

And for scum!Vivax to panic, like you mentioned it pretty much only makes sense if Greeting is also scum and Vivax wants towncred for being a bus vote, right? If town!Greeting, why is scum!Vivax panicking? So already we have to assume scum!Greeting in order for scum!Vivax to really make sense.

My other thought is that there's a possible explanation or town!Vivax panic and vote - he might have seen a bunch of players coalescing on Greeting, thought "oh shit, what if I'm totally wrong and Greeting is scum, and I'm going to get pushed next after the flip?", and voted there. Again, not great play, definitely erratic, but to me that feels more likely than the same thought process coming from Vivax as scum - as I said, I tend to think scum are more likely to be overly cautious/calm rather than panicky, and then if nothing else the odds that Greeting/Vivax is S-S are low in a vacuum.
I would agree with you on the broad claims, scum generally are calmer and less prone to panic, but I also don't 100% buy the panic claim in the first place. If it IS genuine, then only the scum explanation makes sense to me, and if it ISN'T true... then it's a pretty obviously scum-motivated lie defending a bad vote. The Town explanation is
theoretically
possible, but I don't really get the impression that Vivax as a player really cares about his image that much? I have no actual backing for this beyond vibes, but I suspect he's actually a competent player when he puts in the effort to be.

Posted: Mon Aug 08, 2022 9:40 am
by Radical Rat
In post 776, furtiveglance wrote:I think Loki, Greeting, GuiltyLion, Fire and Roden are 5 of 7 other town.

KittyTacky, Kuti plz, Aristeia, Dannflor, Radical Rat probably has 2 town (or 3 if I townread a mafia).

Bell and Vivax are both mafia.
I always struggle to read lurker slots, so I don't have strong opinions on those yet.
GuiltyLion brings up a good point with Kitty's mountainous complaints being very odd for Day 1 though.

I also don't really have any solid townreads yet. It's hard to work through with such a high scum ratio, makes me second-guess everything.
I am leaning Town on quite a few people, but I'd rather not disclose a full list yet. No reason to make scum's night decisions any easier for them.

Posted: Mon Aug 08, 2022 9:41 am
by Loki Dokie
In post 779, furtiveglance wrote:I'd rather vote Bell than KT but I want Bell to check in first, voting out someone who isn't here always feels a bit wrong
Idk what to make of Bell. I can’t obvtown them which is concerning but they do have some content that might be townie but most of its fluff and does sound kind’ve wooden.

Thing is wrt to GL’s theory, if Bell is actually scum here and scum wanted to bus, they would most likely bus Bell because he absolutely hates rolling scum and would likely beg to be put out of his misery.

Posted: Mon Aug 08, 2022 9:46 am
by Radical Rat
Gun to head, I'd pick Kitty over Bell, but I still would much rather Vivax.

Posted: Mon Aug 08, 2022 9:46 am
by Loki Dokie
In post 778, GuiltyLion wrote:I'm not sold on Vivax especially if Greeting is town, for reasons I've said

I could vote Bell if we're not doing KT, but I also still think KT is scum and kinda surprised people aren't jumping on him after he said he was demoralized because this is a mountainous setup, to me that just felt like such an awkward self defense
Kitty was never demoralized in Schadd’s game. I don’t even know how he feels about playing either alignment. Kitty is always awkward, so that’s totally nai for him.

Posted: Mon Aug 08, 2022 9:51 am
by Loki Dokie
In post 783, Radical Rat wrote:Gun to head, I'd pick Kitty over Bell, but I still would much rather Vivax.
@Vivax, give us some reads. both town and scum with explanations.

I think the very fact that he continues to make unreadable posts and keeps trolling me, in addition to everything I and others have already stated, doesn’t give me a lot of confidence that I’m wrong here.

Posted: Mon Aug 08, 2022 10:00 am
by Loki Dokie
In post 777, furtiveglance wrote:
In post 776, furtiveglance wrote:I think Loki, Greeting, GuiltyLion, Fire and Roden are 5 of 7 other town.

KittyTacky, Kuti plz, Aristeia, Dannflor, Radical Rat probably has 2 town (or 3 if I townread a mafia).

Bell and Vivax are both mafia.
What does everyone else think?

Or do you not want to say?
I’m still on the fence with Greeting but agree on Fire and Roden.

Of your second line, I probably like RR. Dann. Kuti best but I honestly don’t know yet.

My most confident trs are GL, you and fire, probably RR, Dann as well. \_0_/

Still unsure about Bell. My only confident sr right now is Vivax

Posted: Mon Aug 08, 2022 11:16 am
by Bell
Here. Apologies. Work is starting up again.

Posted: Mon Aug 08, 2022 11:17 am
by Bell
Anything interesting happen in the last few pages?

Posted: Mon Aug 08, 2022 11:18 am
by Bell
Doesn't look like it.

Posted: Mon Aug 08, 2022 11:20 am
by Dannflor
less feigned indifference pls

more on who you want to kill

Posted: Mon Aug 08, 2022 11:25 am
by Bell
In post 760, fireisredsir wrote:also scum has a ton of wiggle room in this situation so please later be careful about assumptions that people usually make like "oh scum wouldn't all pile on a wagon together" or "scum must be the ones pushing this counterwagon to scum" because they have 5 people. we need 7 to elim. to get an elim on scum without bussing we need 7/8 town people to agree. that's just not really ever gonna happen if scum doesn't want it to

so scum is free to just mostly do whatever they want and be as unconventional as possible with their votes in order to look unpaired with each other, bc they know that multiple of them will have to flip at some point
Caution preaching does not make me feel warm inside.

Posted: Mon Aug 08, 2022 11:25 am
by Bell
In post 790, Dannflor wrote:less feigned indifference pls

more on who you want to kill
Thinking.

Posted: Mon Aug 08, 2022 11:26 am
by Bell
Wait, why is my indifference feigned.
I'm just not sure which players are scum or not. It's not indifference, it's being indecisive.

Posted: Mon Aug 08, 2022 11:29 am
by Bell
Vivax is all over the place for me.

Kitty hasn't done anything. I get "Meta says they're always like this"
but even for that, I'm not seeing any hyper posting which they say they're capable of.

Posted: Mon Aug 08, 2022 11:31 am
by Dannflor
It feels a little too deliberate when your response to a couple votes on you in the last few pages + others saying they'd be fine with a wagon on you is "nothing interesting happened." Like, "oh, look at me, I don't care about this."

Did I misinterpret that reaction?

Posted: Mon Aug 08, 2022 11:32 am
by Bell
Kutiplz has managed to uptick as town by 0.000000125%. But that's basically it. I just don't want to lose this game to the lurker slots. Truth be told this game should be relatively easy after this first elimination and it's probably relatively important that we hit right, but honestly. Given my accuracy it's probably better just to go for the unsolvables.

Posted: Mon Aug 08, 2022 11:39 am
by Bell
In post 795, Dannflor wrote:It feels a little too deliberate when your response to a couple votes on you in the last few pages + others saying they'd be fine with a wagon on you is "nothing interesting happened." Like, "oh, look at me, I don't care about this."

Did I misinterpret that reaction?
When a player disappears for 2 days getting pressured for it, is not exactly what I would call out of the ordinary. it's perfectly normal for a player to slip down in a reads list. I've had this happen to me a lot, an everytime I get back all the reads right themselves back into town leans. Because I'm not difficult to sort and I'm relatively in your face when I'm here. "A little too deliberate" is quite the round about way of saying something you could be saying plainly instead. I actually can't tel which ones are scum and which ones aren't in terms of push because the takes are defaults to something plain.

Posted: Mon Aug 08, 2022 11:41 am
by Loki Dokie
@Bell who do you townread?

Posted: Mon Aug 08, 2022 11:41 am
by Bell
I think Loki's indecision of me looks natural but meh. It's not a slam dunk.