The point is if scum knows that getting lynched D1 is v likely to decrease their odds of winning the more likely assumption is that scum try to avoid getting lynched
How do you avoid getting lynched? Generally my go to move is not calling the main person defending me scum
Like yes, if chem flips scum here, I should be policied tomorrow basically
In post 795, the worst wrote:it's just a fallacious argument which may be disingenuous, and seems uncharacteristic vs. the rest of your reads. :#
Where is the bit that’s fallacious and that may be disingenuous
Posted: Wed Jan 01, 2020 9:52 pm
by Alduskkel
i mean i see menalque's point about chemist and i disagree with tw about it being "moon logic" but I think chemist is still scummy enough that there's a pretty good chance he flips red
Posted: Thu Jan 02, 2020 2:18 am
by Datisi
Posted: Thu Jan 02, 2020 2:24 am
by Datisi
Chemist1422 has been lynched Day 1. He was a
Vanilla Townie
.
The sun sets, it is now Night 1. Uncrowned hasn't posted in the last 24h so he has to reply to the Night start PM.
Sunrise in (expired on 2020-01-04 14:30:00).
Posted: Sat Jan 04, 2020 2:30 am
by Datisi
The sun rises. Everyone is alive to see it.
It is now Day 2.
Posted: Sat Jan 04, 2020 2:30 am
by Datisi
With 8 votes in play, it takes 5 to lynch.
Everybody
(0): Nobody
Not Voting
(8): Menalque, the worst, emps, HH, Uncrowned, AaronFrost, Look At Me Im So Town, Alduskkel
So you guys don't have to do it yourself, that means there is one of these three combinations of roles in this game.
Mafia One-Shot Strongman, Town Babysitter Town Roleblocker.
Town Babysitter, Town Roleblocker, Mafia Rolecop.
Town Roleblocker, Mafia Rolecop, Town Rolecop.
The reason my evidence is not conclusive is that there is a chance that there is a Town Babysitter in this game that watched over the person who got picked for the NK.
Posted: Sat Jan 04, 2020 2:43 am
by Uncrowned
This might have been a terrible time to announce it but I felt like doing something ballsy.
Posted: Sat Jan 04, 2020 2:43 am
by JJJ
VOTE: emps
Posted: Sat Jan 04, 2020 2:43 am
by JJJ
I think it's good. FTR I don't want a babysitter to claim yet. Emps is probably just scum.
-X
Posted: Sat Jan 04, 2020 2:45 am
by Uncrowned
I don't want the other PR, whether it's rolecop or babysitter to claim either. I don't think we get any benefit out of it.
yeah I was being dense idk how I misunderstood this
In post 99, Menalque wrote:also, to clarify, you're saying your emps vote wasn't RVS?
In post 818, Uncrowned wrote:Interestingly I had you as my next highest scumread aside from Emps, HH.
However, a Mena/Emps team would make sense given how Mena reacted to my early game push on Emps.
Yeah I was just looking back at mena and aldu's ISO's while ctrl+f'ing "emps" and mena looks much worse.
99% sure emps is just scum here and if it red flips you can rb me if it makes you feel better.
-X
Posted: Sat Jan 04, 2020 2:54 am
by JJJ
well I didn't realize I still had those quoted. Disregard for now, I wanted to talk to Y before I cased an associate more in depth.
-X
Posted: Sat Jan 04, 2020 2:56 am
by JJJ
I know it's early to be saying all this but there are certain scenarios that can go down today in which I think you should state your rb target for tonight beforehand. Like if we are positive emps/someone else is about to flip scum.
-X
Posted: Sat Jan 04, 2020 2:57 am
by JJJ
Even a conditional like "if emps flips scum I'm gonna rb HH"
that way I can be confirmed if he red flips and you die
Posted: Sat Jan 04, 2020 3:02 am
by Uncrowned
Depends on his flip. If Emps flips red and is also the PR, we're in a very good spot. Babysitter if they exist can go on me (or maybe they won't, HA scum there's some WIFOM for you, take that) and I can go go for someone else I susp.
If he flips red and isn't PR, there's a 1 in 3 chance I die even if I pick the right person to roleblock due to the One-Shot Strongman ability.
If he flips green... well... fuck.
Posted: Sat Jan 04, 2020 3:03 am
by JJJ
I guess aldu makes some sense mechanically even if mena makes more sense socially, as scum.
Aldo had a lot more heat than emps and was statistically more likely to be rb'ed, tracked, etc last night. Mena slightly more hot than emps I think, but not as bad as aldu in that regard.