Mafiascum.net

In post 773, MURDERCAT wrote:

In post 382, shellyc wrote:

In post 378, Bell wrote:You’re basically dead to me at this point shelly.
This is your scum game.

...

asking for reads = scummy
paranoia = scummy

this is omgus by the way, i've been SR on bell since forever

Kinda agree with bell tbh

In post 800, MURDERCAT wrote:

In post 445, shellyc wrote:

In post 439, Lady Lambdadelta wrote:I'll just as soon burn you to the ground for doing this as I will let that happen.

yes noraa dies today im like, not opposed to that at all but i feel we're wasting too much energy on outed scum

Ehh shelly is pinging me hard with some of these posts

In post 2434, MURDERCAT wrote:Pooky/Shelly/Toogeloo/Vaxkiller/Lapsa

This is the scumteam, no questions please

In post 2593, MURDERCAT wrote:I literally can't overstate how confident I am in my solve and that flea is therefore town

In post 2454, MURDERCAT wrote:VOTE: toogoloo

In post 3555, Toogeloo wrote:My personal feelings of who I think the scum team are:
Hopkirk
Theta Alpine
Gloria
Vaxkiller
UNOwen

In post 3556, MURDERCAT wrote:Nice, hit vax

In post 3588, MURDERCAT wrote:If you had handed me the scroll I was shooting Lapsa FWIW

In post 3883, MURDERCAT wrote:This is a placeholder? Are we reaction testing? Shelly is smart enough to fake this reaction

In post 4500, MURDERCAT wrote:Ok look, LLD was town for day 1 because trying to sort her preflips would be a huge pain. We really needed to hit scum to see if she would just die but because we didn't now we actually have to see if she is scum. I think there is some evidence she is scum:

- She never reevaluated the Noraa read but was still really willing to go for Toog despite her tunnel on Noraa. Yes the plan was to go for Noraa in 3rd slot, but she then shifted gears towards Hopkirk? I think town LLD should in a rage about not hitting Noraa there if the tunnel is real. I also feel like the let's be sure to hit scum 3rd slot is anti-town, but that's just my opinion.
- LLD's anger about Noraa seemed fake to me. There were overreactions there that, IMO, seemed off. I know LLD is an emotional player, but I don't think you get that angry about caught scum.
- The Hopkirk read was bad. I had hopkirk pegged as town and LLD's reasoning about the poetry was super off.
- I haven't seen any deep reads from LLD. It's a lot of surface level stuff and I think we are deep enough into this game to get some real content.

Here's the biggest reason I think we should "180" as I think Shelly put it. On day 1, in my mind there was an early D1 town block of {me, LLD, Pooky, MUSH}. These four players were generally accepted to be not in the elim pool. Given the knowledge that I am town, the odds that the others players are also randomly town is 0.376 (14/19*13/18*12/17). The odds of randomly getting a T>T>T on D1 given that I am not eliminated and I know I am town, is 0.472 (14/19*14/18*14/17). Given that we ended up with a T>T>T the new conditional probability that {LLD, Pooky, MUSH} are all town (again, from my POV knowing that I am town) is 0.135. That is a pretty serious drop that, FMPOV, means we should be reevaluating players we considered to be town.

The numbers would be different for all of us, but the general idea holds. The fact that we didn't hit scum yesterday means we need to broaden our lim pool for today as there is a higher likelihood that our initial reads were wrong.

In post 4452, MURDERCAT wrote:I think there is a good shot fredrick is town and we are being snowed by strong scum players

In post 4645, MURDERCAT wrote:VOTE: Fred

I'm willing to go with you and bell today because I took my shot D1 and missed.

In post 5552, MURDERCAT wrote: These posts are really interesting, it seems like there are sides forming around Shelly/Uno

One thing to note is that scum will probably hard defend partners today because they will really want to avoid S>T>S

If Shelly is scum we should come back here

In post 5714, MURDERCAT wrote:

In post 5712, PookyTheMagicalBear wrote:this is some very selective iso reading MC

Yes, I'm aware. I'm accumulating evidence that Shelly is scum. ie if Shelly is scum, these are the things that provide evidence of that

In post 5722, MURDERCAT wrote:I think I've seen enough, Shelly's reads are constantly against mine. Consider my vote there

In post 5745, MURDERCAT wrote:You're bugging me out this game Titus, you have a scum flip why does it feel like you aren't really searching

In post 5746, MURDERCAT wrote:

In post 3274, Hectic wrote:

Votecount 1.20

(FINAL)

[11]

Toogeloo

:

Hopkirk

,

MURDERCAT

, Titus,

Toogeloo

,

Theta Alpine

,

MUSHSHAGANA

,

Lady Lambdadelta

,

Noraa

, UNOwen, shellyc,

Bell

HAMMER

[2] Tayl0r Swift:

PookyTheMagicalBear,

Bell

[2]

Bell

:

Tayl0r Swift,

Vaxkiller

[2] shellyc:

Fidget, Flea The Magician

[1]

Noraa

:

Adorable

[1] PookyTheMagicalBear

Gloria Cleary

[1] Adorable:

Lapsa

[1] Not Voting:

Zdenek

I find it hard to believe that any of those greens are wrong and I also doubt that wagon was all town.

In post 5862, MURDERCAT wrote:I didn't like how Titus tested the waters with UNO before shifting to Shelly if Shelly does come up scum

In post 5885, MURDERCAT wrote:I have a pretty solid town read on taylor which has also led me to question Pooky for the same reason.

In post 6006, MURDERCAT wrote:

In post 6004, MUSHSHAGANA wrote:And a HURT tag isn't a vote.

DGB replaced Lapsa, so DGB can be scum.

I am watching this as well

In post 6308, MURDERCAT wrote:Titus has been kind of floating in a way that makes me suspicious, I think there is a lot to be learned about the associations with Fred but it doesn't seem as if she has dug into it the way I'd expect her to. Of course, she did replace into this game and has had real life stuff going on, but still all I can go off is what she has posted and I'm not that impressed by it at the moment. I similarly don't like Titus's UNO vote.

In post 6310, MURDERCAT wrote:Given my gut read that shelly is scum, I'd say gut says titus is more likely scum than town at the moment

In post 6379, MURDERCAT wrote:I'd like to enter for the record

Fred/Shelly/Goofball/Flea/Titus

Perhaps Pooky is in there instead? Mostly anyone who voted UNO

Pedit

In post 6510, MURDERCAT wrote:{MURDERCAT, Bell, Noraa} - the town block, not worth discussing. 100% cleared from my POV
{UNOwen} - potential applicant to the town block, I'm going to double check for myself but from memory also clear
{Tayl0r Swift, Gloria Cleary} - town by play, looks like they are clearly solving to me
{Adorable} - town by association with Fred, but I should reread to look for what Shelly said about this slot

Leaving:

PookyTheMagicalBear
Titus
Flea The Magician
Dripping Goofball
Fidget

In post 6549, MURDERCAT wrote:dgb is scum pretty sure

In post 6613, MURDERCAT wrote:Pooky, I'm thinking we hit Titus scum today, vote me tomorrow, I scroll you and you can take out goofball. Leave town with 1 scum left to find and we get to hang out in the dead thread, thoughts?