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Posted: Wed Aug 15, 2012 5:15 am
by MattP
Actually, why are we ruling out CO as scum fake-claiming the non-scum kill role? Staeg isn't confirmed.
Posted: Wed Aug 15, 2012 5:21 am
by MattP
I would take the gambit of directing CO's NK. I trust my reads on Sham and DV. If we don't we go into 2v4 lylo with both DV and Sham and I don't like it.
Posted: Wed Aug 15, 2012 5:29 am
by Shamrock
The Quilford and IceGuy kills have the same flavor, so CO being mafia would mean that the SK targeted those two and the mafia targeted Amrun. This doesn't seem very likely to me.
Again, the problem with directing CO's NK is that if CO is SK, if we do not lynch town today and the mafia/SK do not crosskill or pick the same target tonight, we end up in a 2-2-1 tomorrow.
But if we do lynch CO today, no matter what alignment he is, we have 6 alive tomorrow and thus get another lynch (and it would probably be safe to no-lynch tomorrow to get from mylo to lylo).
Posted: Wed Aug 15, 2012 5:30 am
by Shamrock
Also wait how is Staeg not confirmed if you gunsmithed him?
Posted: Wed Aug 15, 2012 5:36 am
by MattP
↑ Shamrock wrote:Also wait how is Staeg not confirmed if you gunsmithed him?
I confirm Staeg non-scum but can still be the second kill slot assuming it's a SK (since the vig would should up positive on gunsmith result)
CO confirms he is the second kill slot
Therefore, Staeg is not scum or the second kill slot
Therefore, Staeg is town.
I could be gunsmith to give the SK more immunity or to get a false positive on a vig.
Posted: Wed Aug 15, 2012 6:52 am
by Staeg
I am actually here and uh I believe we should let CO live (if only to be counterclaimed by bullets).
2-2-1 tomorrow if we lynch town and CO deviates from the plan/shoots town and CO is a SK is actually potentially better than 4-2
@CO: how much time did you spend thinking about your shot N1 and your role in general when you received it?
Posted: Wed Aug 15, 2012 10:28 am
by DeasVail
So, Shamrock thinks I'm scum, and I'm basically reiterating my previous reasons for thinking him scum, but he
still
goes to the effort of defending against my claims! Why would he if, (a) he's already done it previously and (b) he doesn't even think I'm town.
Posted: Wed Aug 15, 2012 10:33 am
by Shamrock
Wat?
Maybe because I don't want us to mislynch me?
Posted: Wed Aug 15, 2012 10:35 am
by MattP
I like it when DV makes shitty attempts to try to distance from his scumbuddy Shamrock, it's adorable.
Posted: Wed Aug 15, 2012 10:37 am
by Jarvis
DV - consistent. Though I imagine you plan on twisting whatever answer I give to suit you.
Am I the only one who noticed the odd synergy between this:
Shamrock wrote:This seems like a decent plan, should wait for Michel to check in though
and Michel's post, followed by Shamrock's unvote. It's pretty uncanny, and makes me wonder.
Michael, why would a gender reveal be useful now?
Matt, Staeg, your thoughts on the likelihood of DV/Shamrock both being scum?
well I guess that answers for one of you
Posted: Wed Aug 15, 2012 10:46 am
by Staeg
↑ Jarvis wrote:Matt, Staeg, your thoughts on the likelihood of DV/Shamrock both being scum?
Probable but not 100% (about 70%).
The last post of DV was real bad, though. Will vote when CO comes in and responds.
unvote
Posted: Wed Aug 15, 2012 10:47 am
by MattP
It's also scumvenient that DV only mentions Vash to say he has an undecided read on him. Shamrock did a better job of disassociating himself from Vash. Michel tries too hard to look town. Best case scenario is that we use CO to kill off two of them today/tonight, lynch CO tomorrow and lynch the last one of the michel/DV/sham trio D5. It's idiotic that we are talking about 2-2-1 fears when more than statistics go into this game. Jarvis is protown, Bitmap townslipped, Staeg is practically confirmed unless CO is weird gambit scum, and I'm obvtown. That leaves four players. CO is almost definitely not scum. That leaves three players for two scum positions. So we kill two tonight and we're good.
Posted: Wed Aug 15, 2012 10:48 am
by DeasVail
Can I ask that you kill me
after
you kill Shamrock?
Posted: Wed Aug 15, 2012 10:48 am
by Bitmap
↑ DeasVail wrote:
Bitmap-
Probably town, but:
Q's:
What made you so confident that the lynch was off after the hammer? What is your current read of me?
Why would scum benefit from claiming miller? If the "miller" lynch was going to be that easy, why would scum even claim that role? As for you, I'm not sure.
Posted: Wed Aug 15, 2012 10:51 am
by Staeg
Fucking dickfucks, one of the scum is BP and DV is now throwing bombs of WIFOM
I vote to uhh
Posted: Wed Aug 15, 2012 10:56 am
by MattP
Derp derp if DV is doing that then deas is scum and you should be voting him
Posted: Wed Aug 15, 2012 10:56 am
by Staeg
↑ MattP wrote:Derp derp if DV is doing that then deas is scum and you should be voting him
I want to find out if CO is SK or vig - that is important mr. matt
Posted: Wed Aug 15, 2012 10:59 am
by DeasVail
↑ Shamrock wrote:Wat?
Maybe because I don't want us to mislynch me?
Because everyone was totally going to sheep me...
Also, I don't understand what was so WIFOMy about my previous post.
Posted: Wed Aug 15, 2012 11:08 am
by Staeg
DV, I'll humor you on the offchance that you're town - Why do you want to be shot at night instead of killed today?
Posted: Wed Aug 15, 2012 11:12 am
by MattP
↑ Staeg wrote: ↑ MattP wrote:Derp derp if DV is doing that then deas is scum and you should be voting him
I want to find out if CO is SK or vig - that is important mr. matt
Securing essentialy a double lynch > knowing if chaos is a SK
Posted: Wed Aug 15, 2012 11:13 am
by DeasVail
Oh, because I'm BP of course!
Actually, it's just that I don't want to die and have Shamrock still alive, because I want him lynched/killed/whatever and would rather that happen sooner than later.
Also just getting it out there that I'd rather not die at all.
Posted: Wed Aug 15, 2012 11:14 am
by DeasVail
Wait, why would I be so eager to tunnel on my scumbuddy Shamrock all game, and not even have the balls to bus McStab who was obviously going down?
Posted: Wed Aug 15, 2012 11:20 am
by Shamrock
You did manage to write his name in big letters though, so, that's something I guess
Fun fact: DeasVail has not voted for anyone other than me since his catchup post after replacing in.
Posted: Wed Aug 15, 2012 11:21 am
by MattP
Deas is a scum PR most likely a RBer
Pedit then you would have been bussing both your partners d1
Posted: Wed Aug 15, 2012 11:21 am
by DeasVail
That's because you're not dead yet.
Pedit: Oh really?