After laying out all the meta case for Jake, he would be found probably scummy to most town players, in my opinion. It was a solid meta case despiste the failed result, and in no point he had played this way as town across more than 5 town games, and in his exact scum game, he had been less active, solvy and stiffer. It matched his play here perfectly.
I was only able to rile up people to vote him, because he looked scummy. That couldn't have been an all scum-wagon, and dare I say, it was a rather quick wagon which I would say comes from how solid the argument seemed to be. However, there's something to consider here.
Even though we thought he was scum coasting as his meta, scum knew from the start he was only lynchbait lurker.
In fact, every bit of what happened here, happened in Large Theme Team Mafia 2020, only now with Elements, and a way less solid case.
Almost every person supporting and being inquisitive about Elements, was town. Mafia knew that he was only lynchbait lurker doing goofy stuff, and wouldn't get blood-eyed about him because they knew he was simply going to flip town. Mafia in those cases often like to take a backseat and let town go in the wrong direction rather than directly rile it up.
Now look at Popop reaction when Jake wagon/argument was coming around:
I feel this post can be easily faked...aside from the capslock. It may be silly, but the capslock seems to me like he's "impressed" and "excited" and if scum he would simply know I was being silly about the whole thing.
Luna also was inquisitive about Jake, although to a lesser extent, and Fire voted but didn't do much (I don't particularly find negative or positive). Zantetsu seemed to try to hold a conversation with Jake there and be suspecting him, contrast those to this:
In post 447, Jake The Wolfie wrote:I would consider a spontaneous hammer on Peter Pan to be a scum reveal.
However, if everyone had an equal chance to hammer them, who wouldn't be scumclaiming because of it?
Intent to hammer. Please claim
I dont like your concern about voting in sentence 1 there and if we dont hammer someone we will never move on
In post 650, profii wrote:popopopopopopo(6) ~ Luna Fox(24), Firebringer(31), Nero Cain(23), NorwegianboyEE(21), Peter Pan(8), profii(15)
Peter Pan(6) ~ Luna Fox(30), Firebringer(47), Zantetsu(45), popopopopopopo(31), Alchemist21(23), Elements(7)
Jake the Wolfie(6) ~ Luna Fox(49), Firebringer(89), Zantetsu(64), popopopopopopo(44), Churros(135), Jake the Wolfie(39)
Some interesting stuff in there.
With popopo on both the other wagons I'm wondering if that suggests scum #2 is trying to make sure that initial wagon doesn't resurface. Going to apply some scrutiny to {Luna/Fire/Zant} - obviously luna and fire will point out they were on the popopo wagon, but if they have some paltry reason for getting off, then that could be an indication of scum imo.
^ Still considering "popop initial wagon was really scummy, maybe every other is a counterwagon" but wanting to end the day in the "counterwagon" Jake.
In post 675, profii wrote:in the last few games I've played the scum day 1 lynches have had hella low velocity
So to see 3 rapid wagons means we probably arent hitting scum
(Norwe)
Spoiler:
In post 633, NorwegianboyEE wrote:I’m not sure how to feel. On the one hand, Jake’s responses are classic scummy. On the other hand, i still find Churros and Firebringer’s posts a bit weird. Also, why did Firebringer randomly start acting paranoid of Luna? Which posts of theirs prompted this?
In post 628, profii wrote:if we dont hammer someone we will never move on
Agreed.
Self-vote from Jake gives me a bit of a pause from outright condemning him. It might be scum giving up but i don’t see why he would do it and keep defending himself.
In post 710, NorwegianboyEE wrote:if a lynch needs to happen then let it happen. VOTE: Jake The Wolfie
I don't have a problem with the hammer but norwe didn't seem to me like he believed Jake was likely flipping wolf here. "if a lynch needs to happen" also kind of seems to imply "hey I'm voting because it's the designated wagon ok?".
I really feel at least one scum did flake on showing support, faith or being inquisitive on Jake wagon and I don't see how all of the above can come from town.
Very unlikely to me. It could have a townie there but all town seems very unlikely. Especially given Proffi/Peter/Norwe are grouping for popop lynch, if that means anything.
is that it
Posted: Wed May 06, 2020 4:51 pm
by Churros
yes
Posted: Wed May 06, 2020 4:52 pm
by Zantetsu
In post 976, Saudade wrote:Zantetsu other than being so pretentious you've exhibited very little talent, hush
But how would you know unless you knew whether or not my reads were correct?
Posted: Wed May 06, 2020 4:53 pm
by Churros
Saudade is definitely the kind to claim his eggs before the hatch