Super Smash Bros. Mafia! GAME OVER!!
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K read the thread:
GOOD LORD WHY ARE WE TOWN VOTING MPR STOP THIS MADNESS NOW.
Only way I'd EVER give him a kill if he was confirmed three ways to sunday.
Seriously. Un-wagon him now.
ReEsurio: This is a large ass theme game so you won't have to be worried about my tunneling.
ReFurry: I DONT USE KILLS IMPULSIVELY AND RECKLESSLY. I WILL TREASURE IT GREATLY AND USE IT IN THE MOST PRO-TOWN FASHION YOU CAN THINK OF. YOU HAVE MY WORD.
Town-vote: Fate
Unvote:
Lynch vote: MongooseFate is absurdly beautiful. 運命に弄ばれる
"Fate you keep alternating between narratives of doing it for fun and doing it for the sake of winning"- Fate
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Gollum you might want to elaborate because both my votes were 100% serious and Nacho's town vote on me was 150% serious and 50% love so......
QUIT SUCKIN UP TO THE MOD. ITS ANIMORPH FOR FUCKS SAKE WHO CARES?Fate is absurdly beautiful. 運命に弄ばれる
"Fate you keep alternating between narratives of doing it for fun and doing it for the sake of winning"- Fate
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ALL the more reason to just blindly townwagon me. You yourself saw firsthand what I can do with a 1v1 in [REDACTED]gandalf5166 wrote:I don't understand the whole broken link suspicion. As far as I'm aware, everyone got a broken link. Correct me if I'm wrong? I ALSO don't get why everyone is freaking out about the town votes. Even if scum got the Smash Ball, they would be forced to use it in a pro-town way. Gollum, talk to the Ring, and act as if you and the ring are a joint force, i.e. Furry looks scummy, my precioussssssss. Also, Framm, I'm sorry about that game. I forgot about the game, and I accidentally removed it from my subscriptions instead of 971. I would post some content, but I've got to run. Will probably not be able to post again until about noon tomorrow CST.
SO COME ON WHADDYA SAY.
@FRAYED: FRAYED->FARADAY?
hmmmmmmmmFate is absurdly beautiful. 運命に弄ばれる
"Fate you keep alternating between narratives of doing it for fun and doing it for the sake of winning"- Fate
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Well of course it was inaccurate. I just thought Faraday/Frayed sounded similar.
>___>
I won't fish anymore. You already narrowed yourself down to a small pool of people who believe in Fate's scumhunting skillz.
In other news I'm not sure what you see in KirbyFate is absurdly beautiful. 運命に弄ばれる
"Fate you keep alternating between narratives of doing it for fun and doing it for the sake of winning"- Fate
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Uhhh bunnylover, I was calling for more town votes on me.
For scum I'm voting Mongoose, and I'm MORE sure that I'm town that he's scum, hence me calling for a town wagon on myself as a higher priority.Fate is absurdly beautiful. 運命に弄ばれる
"Fate you keep alternating between narratives of doing it for fun and doing it for the sake of winning"- Fate
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Look we've already decided I'm both obvtown and trustable. If we put it off, "hmmm we should wait for more info before we power up Fate" I COULD BE DEAD BY THEN.SGRaaize wrote:Fate, you are aware that you can only win one day, right?
Are you sure you want the Vig-Kill and the Invulnerability right on this first night? You won't be able to use it any other day, and everyone seems to trust you here (not sure why), so why not wait until a better day when you are sure of a target?
Unless you already have something in mind now, or unless you wanna escape from a possible kill.
If I get it today, I'll get NK immunity for one night, and then we'll talk for a good long time D2 before I throw something down.Fate is absurdly beautiful. 運命に弄ばれる
"Fate you keep alternating between narratives of doing it for fun and doing it for the sake of winning"- Fate
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This game is huge, caps are not necessary. I'm also curious as to how you know what I would do as scum.Pikachu wrote:[AGM]
FATE ISN'T POSTING IN ALL CAPS? WHAT? Something is amiss. I do not endorse this town wagon. Especially because Fate totally would start a town wagon on himself as scum.
The lynch Kirby wagon, though, isthehip place to be. Book your tickets now while you still can.
Where's your meta coming from AGM? Assumptions?Fate is absurdly beautiful. 運命に弄ばれる
"Fate you keep alternating between narratives of doing it for fun and doing it for the sake of winning"- Fate
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Oh wow Kirbyoshi has EIGHT votes?
Look, that slip that wasn't pointed is BS. He clearly meant that no one has dropped any SCUMtells yet, even though he had a slight town read of Frayed.
WE'RE NOT LYNCHING KIRBY TODAY.
LESS KIRBY VOTES
MORE FATE TOWNVOTES.
Good things will happen, I promise.
Preview: Yes I expect to be dead soon after I use the smash ball and nail scum. Maybe I will draw doc protection though, but its unimportant. I always play as if I'm going to be killed N1 because it has happened quite often.Fate is absurdly beautiful. 運命に弄ばれる
"Fate you keep alternating between narratives of doing it for fun and doing it for the sake of winning"- Fate
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Fair enough SGR, your vote is appreciated.
I'm promising a huge 28 player game that I'll use it in a pro-town matter though. My reputation is at stake, and I won't fail to deliver.Fate is absurdly beautiful. 運命に弄ばれる
"Fate you keep alternating between narratives of doing it for fun and doing it for the sake of winning"- Fate
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Not a loss as a reputation for "good play" no, but a loss for reputation as "Towniest town in all of townsville that can be trusted."
I value my town game as much more important than my scum game, as it is my favorite alignment.Fate is absurdly beautiful. 運命に弄ばれる
"Fate you keep alternating between narratives of doing it for fun and doing it for the sake of winning"- Fate
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This is the cut-off for an all town wagon on me. (Not sure about gandalf actually).Fate (6): Fate, Nachomamma8, Kirbyoshi, Chronopie, gandalf5166, SGRaaize
Any further votes won't net as much town credit.
Voiced opposition has been categorized into:
Logical:
SGR (at first)
Illogical:
AGM-Nonexistant scum meta of me?
MPR-Knows I am powerful as town and good with reads but calls it "a bad idea" without reasoning?
Those placed under illogical are automatically granted a FoS.Fate is absurdly beautiful. 運命に弄ばれる
"Fate you keep alternating between narratives of doing it for fun and doing it for the sake of winning"- Fate
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If it isn't obvious already, this townvote mechanic has me really interested. Its like reverse wagon analysis.
Just like scum are more likely to push a lynch wagon then town, TOWN are more likely to push a town wagon than scum. Hence we can actually scumhunt by townwagoning.
^This becoming apparent is why I've made a cut-off limit for the town reads gained by pushing my townvote wagon though.Fate is absurdly beautiful. 運命に弄ばれる
"Fate you keep alternating between narratives of doing it for fun and doing it for the sake of winning"- Fate
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At this point in time enough pages have gone by without content from Mongoose that he is better Smashball material than lynch material. Diddn's post have not come off as geniune. His reluctance to comment on any town wagon, or real wagon, and focus on primarily defending his selftown-vote actions retroactively make me believe this wagon will hit home.
Unvote:
Lynch Vote: diddin
@Furry: I am quite sane this game, actually.Fate is absurdly beautiful. 運命に弄ばれる
"Fate you keep alternating between narratives of doing it for fun and doing it for the sake of winning"- Fate
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The difference between a vig and a lynch.
A lynch requires a majority of the game to all agree on that person being scummy. This person is run-up, he makes defenses, accusations, connections, etc. It is much better to be done on an active player than a silent lurker.
Though the bad thing is that scum usually tend to lurk for this reason. Its hard to build a wagon off a sole reason like: He's lurking, because not a lot of discussion can be generated off that.
Hence, Smash ball. It takes one person to decide, and they're dead, no discussion necessary but you hit probably scum. Clearer now?Fate is absurdly beautiful. 運命に弄ばれる
"Fate you keep alternating between narratives of doing it for fun and doing it for the sake of winning"- Fate
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I'm against the secondary lynch for reasons others have stated.
Also:
1. The town is compromised of scum, whereas if you "King" town (me) you are guaranteed unbiased decision making.
2. Trying to discuss two lynches at once is very difficult and not optimal because the game is designed that you can only make one at a time for a reason: To be able to search for connections only after the first flip, which can't be done as it will be night.
3. I'm Fate and I like killing scum with my own hands.Fate is absurdly beautiful. 運命に弄ばれる
"Fate you keep alternating between narratives of doing it for fun and doing it for the sake of winning"- Fate
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That's fine and good (although pretty weak in my opinion).
Now why don't you comment on the rest of your wagon?
Also you're not voting as of the latest vote count, why not take charge if you feel you are being voted by scum?Fate is absurdly beautiful. 運命に弄ばれる
"Fate you keep alternating between narratives of doing it for fun and doing it for the sake of winning"- Fate
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diddin wrote:Honestly right now the wagon on me is terrible, half the people on it haven't even contributed original reasoning and just sheeped. People like VEZOKENER are likely scum who are trying to blend in by voting the leading wagon.
Pure WIFOM and what about it makes you think i'm lying?manho wrote:
it is really scummy. i don't believe in any RVS-ending gambit. and after re-reading the original post, i really don't think it was an intentional gambit, so diddin is lying and should be lynched.diddin wrote:I self-townvoted as a gambit to end RVS early and generate discussion.
It's not harming anybody now and I'm too lazy to un-townvote so I'll keep it where it is.
Also pointless WIFOM and never even explains why it's scummy. He sounds like I planned on having everyone self-townvote forever, which I wasn't.Kocc42 wrote:@Diddin: I had to read through a lot of pages and reading quickly, I didn't see what was different between the 2 plays, after it was explained however I understood. Fate has a high expectation to meet and asked for the immunity and kill. You proposed a pointless strategy of everyone only self voting and now you claim it was just to make things take a serious turn. But if you hadn't been called out for it would you have continued, under the guise that you're just a cautious townie?
Wagonvote with no reasoning given.Zaziesurio wrote:Y'know, I just read diddin's iso, and I don't buy it.
unlynch vote: Mongoose
lynch vote: diddin
Still don't like Mongoose, though.
Bandwagon vote for no reason.xVEZOKENERx wrote:Let's lynch diddin then.
unvote
Vote diddin
So my wagon is pretty much screaming scumdriven right now over WFOM and RVS gambits.
^You didn't mention Kirby here. He isn't voting you, also. Do you still find him scummier than your "scum-driven" bandwagon?
^Rhetorical question. More diddn votes.Fate is absurdly beautiful. 運命に弄ばれる
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What about Nachomamma's+???(I'm sure there's at least one more)? You seem to have a fixation with wanting him to comment on my vote in particular, what about the rest of the wagon?Pikachu wrote:[FRIEND]
WHAT ABOUT FATE'S VOTE
Sitback and let me interrogate diddin, Friend.Fate is absurdly beautiful. 運命に弄ばれる
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So you rather trust your vote to Pikachu for his case on Kirby rather than your OWN reads of your own wagon?
Also it isn't a OTHER wagon, I'm on YOUR wagon, and so are a few other people. What reads do you have off the votes you on yourself you didn't comment on?
THIRD: If you're not against me getting the Smash Ball then vote me. Townvoting a dead end wagon is stupid. Especially since you yourself give no indication that you want the wagon to change to Furry, since you're fine with mine.Fate is absurdly beautiful. 運命に弄ばれる
"Fate you keep alternating between narratives of doing it for fun and doing it for the sake of winning"- Fate
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Hold on Pikachu, I'm busy.
Frayed... you're online and it only takes 10seconds to say "you're right" and vote diddin.
I better see a full post from you coming soon.
@diddin: Responses to my questions will be appreciated.Fate is absurdly beautiful. 運命に弄ばれる
"Fate you keep alternating between narratives of doing it for fun and doing it for the sake of winning"- Fate
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Except that Kirby's wagon is the largest right now.diddin wrote:Switz votes me for the apparent contradiction that I explained to be out of context, hasn't commented on me since, as well as this odd "people FoSing and HoSing him with out voting" thing I don't understand.
Reads on people on my wagon.
Fate and Pikachu are probably town.
Neutral on nacho and switz, neutral-scummy on zazi.
VEZOKENER, manho, and kocc42 are most likely to be scum on my wagon IMO.
Now you may be asking "but diddin, you said that zazi bandwagoned on you horribly too!" While it's true zazi wagoned on me, outside of that his posts have been more town than vezo/manho/kocc.
Kirby wagon isn't taking off, and VEZOKENER coasting and calling for a mass name claim has eclipsed Kirby's scumminess. UNVOTE: , VOTE: VEZOKENER
Fate If I'm reading the rules correctly you don't need a majority of townvotes and just the most, as such I'm voting Furry because I think he's more town than you. If it turns out we do need majority I will townvote you.
Therefore your excuse to switch off onto someone that was voting you (aka who I called you out on for not voting) is bullshit.
It doesn't say I need a majority, no. I'll take that point off your case thoughFate is absurdly beautiful. 運命に弄ばれる
"Fate you keep alternating between narratives of doing it for fun and doing it for the sake of winning"- Fate
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You could've just referenced my post and been done with it Furry. You don't get any town points because I already said all of that first.
Comment on diddin's claim is missing as well.Fate is absurdly beautiful. 運命に弄ばれる
"Fate you keep alternating between narratives of doing it for fun and doing it for the sake of winning"- Fate
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Tanstalas, I've been meaning to say this on behalf all the town but:
SHUT UP. Seriously, you're play has been nothing but set-up speculation. PErsonally I think you're just a goddamned newbie in waaay over his head in a theme game and not scum, but you're really distracting the town when all you say is:
MASON+COPOZ?
SCUM BUSDRIVER?
NOSCUM FAKECLAIMS?
BADGUYTOWN COME FORWARD?
Etc.
Please stop. Just stop posting ANYTHING to do with the set-up or possible roles or ANYTHING.
Focus on day play.Fate is absurdly beautiful. 運命に弄ばれる
"Fate you keep alternating between narratives of doing it for fun and doing it for the sake of winning"- Fate
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Oops.
Teach you to buddy up to me frayed:
^Here he asks me questions. I NEVER RESPOND TO THESE QUESTIONS. Instead his next post that is after mine is quoting me, saying:Frayed wrote:That said...
Fate, what is your opinion of the newly forming seth wagon?
Opinion on kirbyoshi?
Who do you think is scum? Why?
^Fluff post about him being an alt.frayed wrote:
Faraday and Frayed sound nothing alike. My username isn't even capitalized!Fate wrote:Well of course it was inaccurate. I just thought Faraday/Frayed sounded similar.
>___>
I won't fish anymore. You already narrowed yourself down to a small pool of people who believe in Fate's scumhunting skillz.
In other news I'm not sure what you see in Kirby
MY CONCLUSION:
He wasn't being genuine in his scumhunting of me, but merely putting on a show to appear pro-town and asking questions. The fact that he didn't press me further led me to believe he already knew I was town.
The rest of his ISO contains:
Discussion about lynch mechanics, calling Furry obv-town for a hider strategy, saying he'll post content later, calling Gollum town for some reason, wanting twilight to end.
Meh, I'm not sorry. There may have been better shots but I was sick yesterday (day of the deadline) and didn't feel like doing a re-read.
That said I'd like to start...
HmmmFate is absurdly beautiful. 運命に弄ばれる
"Fate you keep alternating between narratives of doing it for fun and doing it for the sake of winning"- Fate
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Who the hell is Stels? He's definitely not where I'd put my town vote today.
Townvote: Nacho
Still obvtown for being early on my town wagon and pushing for it with clear reasoning. Now for the lynch vote I'm thinking:Fate is absurdly beautiful. 運命に弄ばれる
"Fate you keep alternating between narratives of doing it for fun and doing it for the sake of winning"- Fate
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Coaching the godfather?!?!Chronopie wrote:Diddin's defensive posts are terribad.
Rather than just pointing out that you are being bandwagoned, which is blatantly obv. Try finding the reasons of the people that started the wagon, and actually refute the points.
For example, if person A says: Lynch X because 1, 2, 3.
Person B: I agree, vote X.
You can comment that B is BWing, but would be better served by Going: A, you are wrong because 4,5,6.
un-lynch vote, lynch vote: Diddn
1. Here's how to defend yourself.
2. Imma vote you nao
Vote: ChronopieFate is absurdly beautiful. 運命に弄ばれる
"Fate you keep alternating between narratives of doing it for fun and doing it for the sake of winning"- Fate
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I didn't think your questions really applied to me. I mean hell first of all it was obvious that Traitor was the label for Mafia if you're any good at english, second it was obviously a scum-daykiller that hit Socio because I sure as hell wouldn't have shot him as town, THIRD of course it wasn't scummy of me to shoot who I thought was scum. You have a problem with the reasons I gave to have shot Frayed? Say them.Kirbyoshi wrote:Also, Furry and Fate: Why did you not answer my questions?
That said I don't think Diddin's vote on you was a bus, so you're still pretty clear in my mind.
Also I'm debating whether to join the Furry town wagon or not. Sure he's been "pro-town" but a few people I don't particularly like have called him obvtown.
And I know forsurethat nacho's town.
If you know what I mean.
In a recent game he was the only one the whole game to ever call me out as scum. I ended up winning D6 after both buddies were killed D1n D2. Suffice to say I trust his reads almost as much as my own.Fate is absurdly beautiful. 運命に弄ばれる
"Fate you keep alternating between narratives of doing it for fun and doing it for the sake of winning"- Fate
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This guy TVing Furry isn't doing any favors.Chronopie wrote:Now here's what bugs me. "Traitor Mafia" + Blue Flip, would suggest two scum teams.
But we had one Smash Vig Kill + One kill. Supposing two Scum Teams + Smash Vig + possible SK, we should have 3-4 kills per night. We had two. So we either have doc(s), Jailkeeper(s), BPT(s), or NKImm SK/GF(s). (Also, The smash vig kill ignores all Protects/NKImm abilities, I asked)
It's possible that our Dead JK prevented an NK last night, but we can't ask them. :/
Town Vote: Furry
Holding off on L-V for now.
Semi V/LA until home internet restored (shouldn't be more than 1-2 days)(Can still post when at Uni)
"OH HAI GUYS ONLY ONE KILL+SMASZH? LEMME SPECULATEEEEEEEE"
I regret not shooting him. I always give him the benefit of the doubt and he always ends up being a detriment to town.
We'll see if Tanstalas has smartened up or if we have two morons for vig fodder.Fate is absurdly beautiful. 運命に弄ばれる
"Fate you keep alternating between narratives of doing it for fun and doing it for the sake of winning"- Fate
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Nacho sent me a package last night.
It said:
"From: TOWN
To: You FATE!
<3 Nacho"
AKA
Townvote Nacho now.
I'm not really good at the whole "subtly influence town with secret knowledge" thing. OOPS I TIPPED YOUR HAND DUN BE MAD NACHO.Fate is absurdly beautiful. 運命に弄ばれる
"Fate you keep alternating between narratives of doing it for fun and doing it for the sake of winning"- Fate
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I'm tired of this "secret reason" bullshit. You didn't want to townvote me yesterday because of secrets that haven't been revealed, and now you don't want to townvote Nacho who is 100% town to me.
AND the fact that you're STILL parking your fuckin vote on MPR is why I had to OUT Nacho as town in order to divert the Smash ball from you. Furry.
IN OTHER NEWS.
Chrono still isn't posting content/suspects so he can die.Fate is absurdly beautiful. 運命に弄ばれる
"Fate you keep alternating between narratives of doing it for fun and doing it for the sake of winning"- Fate
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Guilty or no guilty Gandalf's play has been shit and SchizoHydra brings up a good point.
Unvote:
Vote: Gandalf
Also I REALLY don't like this post:Switz wrote:
So...softclaim? If you're going to post in thread that you have a guilty read on someone and you're serious and you really feel like revealing your role at this point in time, then do it. And with a little less flavor so we can understand what you're saying.Gollum wrote:(NERO STOP BULLSHITTIN YOU KNOW WE GOT A GUILTY ON HIM LAST NIGHT)
Fate is absurdly beautiful. 運命に弄ばれる
"Fate you keep alternating between narratives of doing it for fun and doing it for the sake of winning"- Fate
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OR this one^ But Kocc's other posts in this game balance it out so that I'm not paranoid.Kocc42 wrote:
What the crap?mongoose wrote:since it wasnt counted last time:
townvote nacho
This way we either confirm two town members or find two mafia members.
also, gollum and furry, you guys are making no sense
That makes no sense. Fate confirming his scumbuddy is an incredibly ballsy and risky play without much reward in the long run. Why can't it be the case that Fate is town and Nacho is scum or that Fate is scum and Nacho is town?
Unvote, Vote: Mongoose(BTW, I still think Kirby is good vig material)
Untownvote, TownVote: Nacho
I'll change my votes if Gollum was serious about that investigation.Fate is absurdly beautiful. 運命に弄ばれる
"Fate you keep alternating between narratives of doing it for fun and doing it for the sake of winning"- Fate
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^BTW THIS IS NOT CONTENT AND I HOPE YOU SHOOT WHO I SHOULD HAVE SHOT NACHO.
I REALLY FUCKIN DO.
Care to elaborate WHY they aren't scum/WHO is scum?
Cause the only fuckin motivation I see from you is ruling out your other scumbuddies based on flipped scum's posts, and NOT hunting for scum.Fate is absurdly beautiful. 運命に弄ばれる
"Fate you keep alternating between narratives of doing it for fun and doing it for the sake of winning"- Fate
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^WHAT HE SAID.Pikachu wrote:[FRIEND]
Chrono, take away interactions with diddin. Who do you think is scum based purely on their play?
HOW ABOUT YOU LIST AAlso, Who would you have shot, your second and third choices? (Assuming you dealt with your top choice last night)SINGLEFUCKING SUSPECT FIRST BEFORE YOU ASK ME FOR MY 3RD 4TH AND 5TH.
YOU DIRTY FUCKIN HYPOCRITE.Fate is absurdly beautiful. 運命に弄ばれる
"Fate you keep alternating between narratives of doing it for fun and doing it for the sake of winning"- Fate
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YOU MISSED ONEGollum wrote:No guilty on gandalf. But, hey, I'd like some help lynching him.Unvote; Unvote: gandalf
I will accept it as he did mean he was voting gandalf5166. - The Master HandFate is absurdly beautiful. 運命に弄ばれる
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"gandalf5166 (9): Fate, MehPlusRawr, Gollum, gandalf5166, xVEZOKNERx, Framm 18, Switz. Kirbyoshi, mongoose"
Kirby it doesn't fucking matter what he claims, he's obvjester. "LYNCH ME TO AVOID PENALITEZZZZZZZ" bullshit. What a horribly way to play jester.
I'm guessing scum is one of these who has jumped on post-claim, re-reading.Fate is absurdly beautiful. 運命に弄ばれる
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THIS LYNCH WILL NOT GO THROUGH WHILE I DRAW BREATH.
WHAT THE FUCK ARE YOU GUYS DOING.
FURRY IF YOU WERE THE OBVTOWN BEACON EVERYONE SAID YOU WERE YOU WOULDN'T JUST BE A MINDLESS DICKLESS SHEEP.
"OH WELL IF HES TELLING THE TRUTH BAD THINGS HAPPEN"
SO SCUM CAN FAKECLAIM WHATEVER THE FUCK THEY WANT AND "UH OH IF HES TELLIN THE TRUTH TOWN WILL ALL DIE IF WE LYNCH HIM UH OHHHHHHHHH"
FUCK THAT NOISE>
HE LITERALLY CLAIMED THAT HE WANTS TO BE LYNCHED.
DO THE GODDAMNED MATH.
DO IT.
FUCK FLAVOR
FUCK SPECULATION
READ
THE
GAME.Fate is absurdly beautiful. 運命に弄ばれる
"Fate you keep alternating between narratives of doing it for fun and doing it for the sake of winning"- Fate
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We lose DAY FUCKIN TWO.
This day is ripe with information and I want another goddamned scum lynched.
RIGHT NOW scum are just piling on the Gandalf wagon like he's got a fuckin guilty on him and its making it HARD to scumhunt.
The fact that he DID claim "only night activated" is just to CORNER US into lynching him because "woooooohaaaaaaa dont wanna give scum two nights owahoaaaaaaaa"
JUST LIKE scum claiming vig and people asy "whoaaaaaaaaa give him a night to prove himself why not?" in which said obvscummy person gets to live another night because of a CLAIM.Fate is absurdly beautiful. 運命に弄ばれる
"Fate you keep alternating between narratives of doing it for fun and doing it for the sake of winning"- Fate
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mothrax wrote:Ok, so I appologize again for not posting but it is really hard to keep track of a game I missed the whole first day of... I feel like I replaced in...
But here is an attempt at content...
Mongoose has not been incredibly active(hypocrytical I know...) but he buddied early d1 with diddin... also, he jumped on the gandalf wagon after the claim. I think anyone who did this is scummy... gandalf put town in a crappy position for d2... we have two options... lynch him and one of three things happens... he flips jester, we lose. he flips BP, we lose a day, or he flips scum, we kill scum... a 66% chance of a really negative action happening...
or we let him live and nothing bad happens, though if he survives the night, he is scum... (unless he is protected, which is up to the doc)
for now:
lynchvote: Mongoose - Fate
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