Mini 1217 - Campaign Mafia (Game Over!)


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Post Post #9 (isolation #0) » Wed Aug 10, 2011 3:19 pm

Post by Packbat »

VOTE: Timeater

Maruchan did exactly the same thing -- forcing the pace of the game and costing town information -- as scum in Newbie 1122.
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Post Post #18 (isolation #1) » Wed Aug 10, 2011 3:27 pm

Post by Packbat »

The hammer was #645. L-1 was #629 if you want context.

Oh, and Maruchan pulled a similar ignorance gambit by talking about quicktopics roundabout #201.
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Post Post #26 (isolation #2) » Wed Aug 10, 2011 3:32 pm

Post by Packbat »

Maruchan wrote:
Packbat wrote:The hammer was #645. L-1 was #629 if you want context.

Oh, and Maruchan pulled a similar ignorance gambit by talking about quicktopics roundabout #201.

As stated earlier: my meta can not be used against me until you have one townie game from me to compare.

I'm not doing comparative meta - I'm just establishing that the WIFOM argument of "it's too obvious to come from scum" does not apply here.
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Post Post #42 (isolation #3) » Wed Aug 10, 2011 3:40 pm

Post by Packbat »

Lurconis wrote:
Maruchan wrote:
Although now that I look back, I pretty much gave the town the win on a silver platter because timeater can not post a single word and he is still more likely to win.



So if you gave the town the win cause timeeater is more likely to win, that would mean you were scum? Scumslip?

VOTE: Timeeater

L-1 here.
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Post Post #68 (isolation #4) » Wed Aug 10, 2011 3:59 pm

Post by Packbat »

Maruchan wrote:@Packbat, I never WIFOMed the "I wouldn't be stupid enough to do that" in 1122. I seriously, would never have killed muffinman, if Oversoul had been my partner.

What are you talking about? I'm talking about WIFOMing
this game
.

@Quiliford, I didn't know that before game so why does the rule apply to me?

It doesn't matter if it applies to you. We have entirely independent reasons to believe you're scum.

Maruchan wrote:
Quilford wrote:We don't know that you elected yourself before you knew your alignment!

I've told you. I told you all WHEN I elected myself too.

Its your fault you don't believe me.

But if we believe you, then how does:
@Pomegranate, I thought I was helping town by not giving the scum the chance to see which of them was most-town-loved.

...make any sense?
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Post Post #77 (isolation #5) » Wed Aug 10, 2011 4:07 pm

Post by Packbat »

Y'know, actually:

UNVOTE: Timeater

...I want to hear everyone with a vote post at least once with their opinion of all this before the hammer, just to give us extra material to analyze after the flip. I'll replace my vote after Tovarish, Johhog, Twistedspoon, and Shadow Dancer have contributed.
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Post Post #95 (isolation #6) » Wed Aug 10, 2011 4:26 pm

Post by Packbat »

This is irrelevant to Maruchan's attempts to earn our sympathy by portraying himself as an idiot, but:

Maruchan wrote:if I appeal to packbats, it only affects me and her.

...I'm sorry, but that's pretty hilarious.
My beard is in my avatar
. I'd think it was fairly unambiguous!

(Not that I mind - I've even encouraged that confusion once or twice, just not here.)
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Post Post #98 (isolation #7) » Wed Aug 10, 2011 4:30 pm

Post by Packbat »

Maruchan wrote:
Packbat wrote:This is irrelevant to Maruchan's attempts to earn our sympathy by portraying himself as an idiot, but:

Maruchan wrote:if I appeal to packbats, it only affects me and her.

...I'm sorry, but that's pretty hilarious.
My beard is in my avatar
. I'd think it was fairly unambiguous!

(Not that I mind - I've even encouraged that confusion once or twice, just not here.)

sorry mixed you up with Panacea. I did the same in another game and everyone was like "Who df is Packbat?"

And cue everyone in this game saying "who df is Panacea?" :P

Really, it's no problem at all - I was just amused.
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Post Post #117 (isolation #8) » Wed Aug 10, 2011 4:46 pm

Post by Packbat »

Maruchan wrote:oml, we should totally apply to Oman for Packbat to get that as a title. "Mafiascum's Bearded Lady" He says it has happened to him in games before

Technically, I didn't have a beard when I was an active user on the Dominic Deegan Keenspace/Keenspot discussion board, and that's the chief occasion I'm thinking of. (That and Second Life, but SL doesn't count.)

Also, if you're going to macro, I
do
have the original full-size version of the photo.
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Post Post #120 (isolation #9) » Wed Aug 10, 2011 4:52 pm

Post by Packbat »

"Acting like" town means doing the things that a player in your position should do, if they are town.

"Sounding like" town means behaving in a fashion which seems to be more likely from a town player than from a scum player, whether or not you are doing the things you should be doing as town.
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Post Post #123 (isolation #10) » Wed Aug 10, 2011 5:03 pm

Post by Packbat »

I'm actually going to bed - enjoy your dinner.
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Post Post #124 (isolation #11) » Wed Aug 10, 2011 5:04 pm

Post by Packbat »

Or post-dinner, whatever.
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Post Post #168 (isolation #12) » Thu Aug 11, 2011 4:42 am

Post by Packbat »

Maruchan wrote:Oh, FTAO TOWN: I NEVER ONCE LIED TO ANY OF YOU, EVERY POST I MADE WAS TRUTHFUL. You only have yourselves to blame that Scum have the lead

On the contrary, if you are town, you played carelessly and to scum's benefit, as you yourself explained. Scum begin with an informational advantage; it is to town's benefit to gain information even at the cost of giving town information.
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Post Post #169 (isolation #13) » Thu Aug 11, 2011 4:42 am

Post by Packbat »

ebwop: even at the cost of giving
town
scum
information.
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Post Post #177 (isolation #14) » Thu Aug 11, 2011 4:54 am

Post by Packbat »

My top suspect is Twistedspoon. Quilford's behavior makes a lot of sense from a town perspective; he might be scum, but he might be genuine. Lurconis is terrible. Johhog might be town.
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Post Post #188 (isolation #15) » Thu Aug 11, 2011 6:57 am

Post by Packbat »

Twistedspoon wrote:
Packbat wrote:My top suspect is Twistedspoon. Quilford's behavior makes a lot of sense from a town perspective; he might be scum, but he might be genuine. Lurconis is terrible. Johhog might be town.

if I'm you top suspect then you should be able to say why. As top suspect you can't just leave it at that. I've explained my reads and I expect you to as well

This isn't based on any prior game - it's my impression that you tried to distance yourself from Timeater and then changed your mind to vote for him. As you may have noticed (he said, sarcastically) I don't have all that much to go on.

Anyway: I think we should pick our strongest read - scum
or
town - for the next candidate. That will force the scum into a more difficult situation for picking an opposite.
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Post Post #193 (isolation #16) » Thu Aug 11, 2011 7:14 am

Post by Packbat »

Twistedspoon wrote:
Packbat wrote:
Anyway: I think we should pick our strongest read - scum
or
town - for the next candidate. That will force the scum into a more difficult situation for picking an opposite.

I don't see why I'd want to pick my top town read. They're probably the ones I'd want with me as long as possible to help catch the scum

as soon as they're nominated, they'll leave after that round. best keep them for as long as possible, no?

The goal is to maximize the probability that each election elects the correct player. If town's strongest read noms themself, scum will struggle to pick an opponent who can fool the town into reversing the read,
and
the read is more likely to be correct in the first place. There's only three real cases, bear in mind. First: we choose the towniest townie, and they nominate themselves - and (probably) get elected. Win. Second: we choose the scummiest scumbag, and they nominate themselves - and (probably) get defeated. Win. Third: we choose the scummiest scumbag, they
refuse
to nominate themselves, and the towniest townie nominates themself instead - and as soon as the scumbag is forced to stand for election, they lose. Win.

I don't see any flaw in it. Do you?

PEdit: I'll explain my reasoning on Lurconis in a bit - don't change the subject.
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Post Post #213 (isolation #17) » Thu Aug 11, 2011 10:41 am

Post by Packbat »

Johhog wrote:The thing is, I don't really want to nominate a scummy player today, if a scum gets elected this evening we need to elect right three times in a row. Nah, I want us to nominate a town player. Preferably hiplop or Twistedspoon. Hm, hell I'm not sure of hiplop. Wouldn't Twistedspoon be a good nomination?

If a scummy player is nominated, and that scummy player is scum, scum must choose a
townie
to run against him. The benefits are the same: one player with known alignment and an opponent with alignment logically implied.
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Post Post #226 (isolation #18) » Thu Aug 11, 2011 12:17 pm

Post by Packbat »

hiplop wrote:oh god. I forgot about this completely

Wouldn't a scummy player be better for the town? we want obv towns for end game dont we?

Good point - although we need to have a backup towny volunteer available, in case deadline looms and our scummy candidate concedes the case by refusing to self-nom.
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Post Post #341 (isolation #19) » Fri Aug 12, 2011 4:14 am

Post by Packbat »

Wow, you wonder if Johhog is waiting on his Lurconis reasoning until:

Twistedspoon wrote:
Packbat wrote:
PEdit: I'll explain my reasoning on Lurconis in a bit - don't change the subject.

how about now? I don't want you to forget :/

...a townie gets around to posting something for him to crib from?

(Yes, my read on Johhog has flipped to scum.)

Now, my Lurc (what an appropriate nick!) story starts at #48

Lurconis wrote:
Quilford wrote:Is there any opposition to me nominating myself tomorrow, considering I should be basically confirmed town?

PEdit: Doesn't mean you were refreshing the wiki every 40 minutes?



If he flips scum no problem if he flips town, all of us who quick voted him, myself included, are scum sus and we should discuss it I feel. That is just my gut reaction anyway.

This is the first point where I began to feel oddly about Lurconis - in part because this feels like laying the groundwork for the unfavorable flip. He follows it up with #86:

Lurconis wrote:
Maruchan wrote:
Pomegranate wrote:If you hadn't read your PM yet and therefore didn't know whether you were town or not, why were you volunteering/cutting off discussion in order to help the town?

I already answered this, I had good reasons for myself why it was good for town or for scum. If I had had to defend myself to scum in a QT, I would have sued the reason you're all using against me. it hampered town communication.



This is sort of a WIFOM situation you say you were prepared to defend yourself as scum or town but since your town your using your town defense. How do we know you didn't already defend yourself in the scum QT?


To be fair
Maybe you really hadn't checked your role pm I admit it is possible. It just still doesn't sit right.


...where he is blatantly fence-sitting - once again, trying to defend himself against the inevitable townflip.

There's other stuff to mention in his feed, but his Maruchan/Timeater behavior will do.




Johhog wrote:Nah, we need a obvtown or a obvscum, and I'm afraid most won't agree that you're obvtown Twisted. Quilford is one candidate we could nominate as obvscum, but I would prefer Shadow or something along that line tbh.

I find this hilarious, given that Quilford is my obvtown candidate and Twistedspoon is my obvscum candidate.

Quilford wrote:I'd be fine with nominating myself.

If we don't have a better candidate at deadline, that's all right with me; right now I'd rather have Twistedspoon volunteer - in fact, a scumflip from him captures Johhog and Lurconis as well.

Crazy wrote:
TS wrote:
@crazy: were scum role Pms sent out at the same time as town Pms, and would we be able to use role PM time to deduce alignments?

I'm declining to answer this.

You can't send simultaneous PMs - there's a posting rate restriction. You didn't know this, TS?

nomination votes

ShadowDancer - 2 (Twistedspoon, Johhog)
Quilford - 1 (Quilford)
Twistedspoon - 1 (Packbat)
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Post Post #343 (isolation #20) » Fri Aug 12, 2011 4:23 am

Post by Packbat »

All three of my scum suspects have expressed suspicion of a guy who posted three times in the game so far based solely (so far as I can tell) on his third post.

No, I don't want Shadow Dancer nominated. Barring townflips from at least one of you (and probably more), Shadow Dancer is on my
town
list,
just because
y'all are so eager to nom him.
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Post Post #345 (isolation #21) » Fri Aug 12, 2011 4:33 am

Post by Packbat »

Johhog wrote:What is your reasons for suspecting me Packbat?

*headdesk*

I suddenly feel like a complete idiot. People, look at Johhog's ISO and check out this sweetness:

Johhog [url=https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?p=3335114#p3335114]#139[/url] wrote:Oh I just realised - everyone is hating Maruchan, so he is pretty likely bussed scum.

No hammer yet though.

Also, Quilford, why? Because I don't agree with you?
Johhog [url=https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?p=3335130#p3335130]#145[/url] wrote:Fuck it's a hammer. I bet Timeater was scum. Couldn't we at least have waited for him to say something?!

This day was terribad.

I haven't even gotten as far as the stuff that actually convinced me and, oh, look! He's scummy.

(And no, "I changed my mind because of the quickhammer" doesn't count as an excuse
unless
you think that scum quickhammered - and Twistedspoon was a town read for you. #178.)

If you need more from me, I'll come back and post more, but I think that ought to be convincing all by itself.
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Post Post #347 (isolation #22) » Fri Aug 12, 2011 4:40 am

Post by Packbat »

Johhog wrote:And your point is... ?

Why did you change your mind between #139 and #145?
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Post Post #372 (isolation #23) » Fri Aug 12, 2011 8:50 am

Post by Packbat »

Shadow Dancer wrote:I have certain plans with this game... which pretty much involve folowing my game plan and win this. Not giving any prospect into what I'm goning to do at any point in the future is key element of it, though. Watch and learn.

...huh. Okay, I'll give you a shot.
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Post Post #415 (isolation #24) » Thu Aug 18, 2011 3:43 pm

Post by Packbat »

My gut would seem to suggest that Pomegranate is the obvious townie. Logically, then, I should vote for Johhog. Thoughts?
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Post Post #417 (isolation #25) » Thu Aug 18, 2011 6:34 pm

Post by Packbat »

WIFOM.
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Post Post #429 (isolation #26) » Fri Aug 19, 2011 10:04 am

Post by Packbat »

Judging by the players who have voted so far, I am once again inclined to vote Pomegranate. Shadow Dancer and Twistedspoon were L-1 and hammer on Timeater.
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Post Post #449 (isolation #27) » Fri Aug 19, 2011 1:56 pm

Post by Packbat »

Couple things.

First: I'm finding this entire game incredibly frustrating, primarily because there is essentially
no town
for any townie to count on - half the players in the game are scum, so it's a bear trying to get a sense of what the
real
townies are thinking.

Second: I think Shadow Dancer has the right of it. If the Mafia have no reads on the townies to go by, then the Mafia can't nominate scummy townspeople
or
towny scum.

Oh, and
Johhog is at L-1
. Just mentioning it in hopes that we won't have another ridiculously short day.
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Post Post #458 (isolation #28) » Sat Aug 20, 2011 5:43 am

Post by Packbat »

The way I see it, there are two possibilities.

One: Johhog is town, and one or more of Shadow Dancer, Twistedspoon, Duplicity, and Lurconis is voting him (or announcing an intention to do so, in the last case) for towncred.

Two: Johhog is scum, and one or more of Shadow Dancer, Twistedspoon, Duplicity, and Lurconis has been fooled.

Given that scum is in the lead, I really don't see why they would try to angle for towncred right now. If they can get just two townies to vote their way by chance, they can leave whichever of their own players is towniest off the wagon, hammer, and waltz in for a D3 perfect scum victory. Given this, I would expect it to be like pulling teeth to try to get four votes for town in here, and we have four votes available for Johhog in
under two days
.

I don't buy it. At all.

VOTE: Pomegranate
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Post Post #473 (isolation #29) » Sat Aug 20, 2011 4:44 pm

Post by Packbat »

hiplop wrote:
Packbat wrote:The way I see it, there are two possibilities.

One: Johhog is town, and one or more of Shadow Dancer, Twistedspoon, Duplicity, and Lurconis is voting him (or announcing an intention to do so, in the last case) for towncred.

Two: Johhog is scum, and one or more of Shadow Dancer, Twistedspoon, Duplicity, and Lurconis has been fooled.

Given that scum is in the lead, I really don't see why they would try to angle for towncred right now. If they can get just two townies to vote their way by chance, they can leave whichever of their own players is towniest off the wagon, hammer, and waltz in for a D3 perfect scum victory. Given this, I would expect it to be like pulling teeth to try to get four votes for town in here, and we have four votes available for Johhog in
under two days
.

I don't buy it. At all.

VOTE: Pomegranate

What about BUSSING?

They don't need to bus.
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Post Post #476 (isolation #30) » Sun Aug 21, 2011 5:36 am

Post by Packbat »

One gets you two that Johhog flips scum.
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Post Post #513 (isolation #31) » Sun Aug 21, 2011 4:46 pm

Post by Packbat »

Quilford wrote:Pretty sure Packbat, hiplop and Lurconis are the remaining townies.

You're proposing that
all three scum
voted for the townie?
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Post Post #515 (isolation #32) » Sun Aug 21, 2011 6:25 pm

Post by Packbat »

I'm not seeing a benefit commensurate with the cost of giving town a free election.
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Post Post #530 (isolation #33) » Wed Aug 24, 2011 2:59 pm

Post by Packbat »

Hurrah. I don't like either of these candidates.
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Post Post #539 (isolation #34) » Thu Aug 25, 2011 3:38 am

Post by Packbat »

Twistedspoon wrote:
Duplicity wrote:
@ Mod -
Can you PM the remaining players letting them know the day started, I only just noticed when I saw Lurc post.

packbat and quilford knew the day had started.....

I have a tab with my Subscriptions open whenever the browser is open - sometimes I refresh that thing every minute, when I'm especially bored.

Manufactured reasoning for calling someone scummy = scummy, obvs.
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Post Post #541 (isolation #35) » Thu Aug 25, 2011 4:05 am

Post by Packbat »

Lurconis wrote:
Packbat wrote:
Twistedspoon wrote:
Duplicity wrote:
@ Mod -
Can you PM the remaining players letting them know the day started, I only just noticed when I saw Lurc post.

packbat and quilford knew the day had started.....

I have a tab with my Subscriptions open whenever the browser is open - sometimes I refresh that thing every minute, when I'm especially bored.

Manufactured reasoning for calling someone scummy = scummy, obvs.


If twisted is such scum why no vote for his opposition or are you trying not to seem to eager to vote your scum bud.

I haven't started my reread - I don't believe I have enough bits of evidence to establish which of these two is the scummier. More importantly, my gut was saying that hiplop was scum, and I'm not going to contradict it based on a single erroneous proposition.
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Post Post #550 (isolation #36) » Thu Aug 25, 2011 11:44 am

Post by Packbat »

I think my gut was correct - I don't like Twistedspoon's play, but I don't like hiplop's play
more
. hip's been a nonentity, and I don't like his reactions to the Johhog wagon/my announcement of L-1 of the same (#452 and vicinity - I'm lazy-ISOing). Twisted has been more active, posting more analysis, all that.
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Post Post #554 (isolation #37) » Fri Aug 26, 2011 3:23 am

Post by Packbat »

Duplicity wrote:We're both at a stand still right now. I'm leaning heavily towards TS being town, I don't think he would have bussed that strongly but Shift is insisting that there's no scum motivation for hiphop to put himself up against TS when he was planned and likely to be nominated and elected the next day.

Shift is a noob just like gorilla so I'll probably just ignore his decision.
Although I understand that the one week deadline means we can't draw/drag things out I really want another day or two to discuss this with Shift, no one vote before then please.

I'm about 75% noob as well, but Shift's story makes sense to me as well (although I don't know how good hiplop's odds actually were - better than I guessed, clearly).
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Post Post #556 (isolation #38) » Fri Aug 26, 2011 5:07 am

Post by Packbat »

On the contrary - you thought "who's the towniest townie that I can still beat?" To which hiplop is a good answer, as the folk who like one of you generally like the other,
but
between the two of you, you're the better campaigner.

Hypothetically speaking.
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Post Post #565 (isolation #39) » Fri Aug 26, 2011 10:40 am

Post by Packbat »

Quick note: it's quite possible my area will be hit by Irene tomorrow - I'm putting myself on
V/LA until September 1st
just in case. If it turns out to miss my area, I will report as such; if my power and Internet service are interrupted, I'll be back as soon as I can.
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Post Post #570 (isolation #40) » Fri Aug 26, 2011 1:59 pm

Post by Packbat »

Shadow Dancer wrote:@Pack: If at all possible at least place your vote.

Okay - if I have to place a vote now:

VOTE: hiplop

I'll move that if I have to.
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Post Post #585 (isolation #41) » Sat Aug 27, 2011 4:41 am

Post by Packbat »

Twistedspoon wrote:
Packbat wrote:
VOTE: hiplop

I'll move that if I have to.

which part of hiplop do you find most town?

His posts are tolerable - the only problem with them is that their kind of thin and sparse at the same time.
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Post Post #593 (isolation #42) » Sat Aug 27, 2011 8:55 am

Post by Packbat »

I've had a feeling that Twistedspoon's posting was ... artificial, since hiplop's nomination. Facts like his flip-flopping on whether hiplop's
ISO
was scummy (I've seen scum with towny ISOs) and his trying to paint showing up early when the thread reopened as scummy tend to push Twistedspoon farther from the townie end of the reads than he was before, for example.

Pre-Edit: Oh, and hiplop raises another good point - Twistedspoon took my answer to "which part of hiplop do you find most town?" and pretended that it was an answer to "why are you voting hiplop". I'm voting hiplop because I have been convinced that Twistedspoon is scum, not because I was convinced that TS was town.
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Post Post #595 (isolation #43) » Sat Aug 27, 2011 9:37 am

Post by Packbat »

Twistedspoon, why did you say hiplop was towny before he was selected to run against you today?
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Post Post #607 (isolation #44) » Sat Aug 27, 2011 11:29 am

Post by Packbat »

Twistedspoon wrote:
hiplop wrote:Not a bad actor :oops:

Theres no fucking reason to AtE like that, honestly. You're being a drama queen ~

saying you're a bad actor is appeal to emotion how?

You're 'acting' since you're trying to be townie when you're obviously not to me

kudos for dismissing my entire post as AtE though

Misrepresentation. Again. hiplop said that there was no good reason to appeal to the emotions of the other players - which could be debated, I suppose, but it is a fact that you
did
try to appeal to their emotions in several places (another example: "The only reason you're still alive is because Johog assumed the rest of the townies would be able to see the forest for the trees, but so far only Luc has done this"). He did
not
say "all you posted is AtE".

And "he didn't respond to the rest of it" doesn't fly, because the rest of it is redundant with earlier posts.
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Post Post #635 (isolation #45) » Sun Aug 28, 2011 5:14 am

Post by Packbat »

FOR GOODNESS SAKE WHY CAN'T I GET A SINGLE CALL RIGHT!?
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Post Post #636 (isolation #46) » Sun Aug 28, 2011 5:19 am

Post by Packbat »

Quilford is town.
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Post Post #637 (isolation #47) » Sun Aug 28, 2011 5:20 am

Post by Packbat »

Wait, scratch that. I thought scum would be unlikely to accidentally hammer town, but if it
was
an accident, then it's just a hiplop vote.
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Post Post #638 (isolation #48) » Sun Aug 28, 2011 5:39 am

Post by Packbat »

For reference:

D1: Maruchan (volunteered @4) vs. Timeater (selected) Post# Voter |
Maruchan
Timeater
| -------------------|-------------------| 8 Quilford | . V | 9 Packbat | . V | 17
Pomegranate
| . V* | * L-2 30 Lurconis | . V† | † L-1 41
hiplop
| V 4 | 77 Packbat | 1 u | 127 Shadow Dancer| 1 V† | 131
Johhog
| V 4 | 133
Johhog
| u 4 | 142
Twistedspoon
| V 4 | 144
Twistedspoon
| u ~V~ | ===[] -------------------|-------------------| | 1 5 | Timeater = scum D2: Johhog (volunteered @392) vs. Pomegranate (selected) Post# Voter |
Johhog
Pomegranate
| -------------------|--------------------| 420 Shadow Dancer| V . | 425
Twistedspoon
| V* . | * L-2 447 Duplicity | V† . | † L-1 458 Packbat | 3 V | 464 Quilford | 3 V* | * L-2 474 Lurconis | ~V~ 2 | ===[] -------------------|--------------------| | 4 2 | Johhog[/color] = Townie D3: Twistedspoon (volunteered @525) vs. hiplop (selected) Post# Voter |
Twistedspoon
hiplop
| -------------------|---------------------| 353 Lurconis | V . | 570 Packbat | 1 V | 608 Duplicity | 1 V† | † L-1 611 Shadow Dancer| V† u | 621 Quilford | ~V~ 1 | ===[] -------------------|---------------------| | 3 1 | Twistedspoon = Townie
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Post Post #639 (isolation #49) » Sun Aug 28, 2011 5:41 am

Post by Packbat »

Sorry, tyop fix:

D1: Maruchan (volunteered @4) vs. Timeater (selected) Post# Voter |
Maruchan
Timeater
| -------------------|-------------------| 8 Quilford | . V | 9 Packbat | . V | 17
Pomegranate
| . V* | * L-2 30 Lurconis | . V† | † L-1 41
hiplop
| V 4 | 77 Packbat | 1 u | 127 Shadow Dancer| 1 V† | 131
Johhog
| V 4 | 133
Johhog
| u 4 | 142
Twistedspoon
| V 4 | 144
Twistedspoon
| u ~V~ | ===[] -------------------|-------------------| | 1 5 | Timeater = scum D2: Johhog (volunteered @392) vs. Pomegranate (selected) Post# Voter |
Johhog
Pomegranate
| -------------------|--------------------| 420 Shadow Dancer| V . | 425
Twistedspoon
| V* . | * L-2 447 Duplicity | V† . | † L-1 458 Packbat | 3 V | 464 Quilford | 3 V* | * L-2 474 Lurconis | ~V~ 2 | ===[] -------------------|--------------------| | 4 2 | Johhog = Townie D3: Twistedspoon (volunteered @525) vs. hiplop (selected) Post# Voter |
Twistedspoon
hiplop
| -------------------|---------------------| 535 Lurconis | V . | 570 Packbat | 1 V | 608 Duplicity | 1 V† | † L-1 611 Shadow Dancer| V† 2 | 612 Duplicity | 2 u | 621 Quilford | ~V~ 1 | ===[] -------------------|---------------------| | 3 1 | Twistedspoon = Townie
Last edited by Crazy on Sun Sep 04, 2011 5:55 am, edited 2 times in total.
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Post Post #640 (isolation #50) » Sun Aug 28, 2011 5:43 am

Post by Packbat »

...if the moderator wants to delete the extraneous [/color] in the Johhog = Townie line, I would appreciate it.

Fixed.
-Crazy
Last edited by Crazy on Sun Aug 28, 2011 8:42 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Post Post #645 (isolation #51) » Wed Aug 31, 2011 9:04 am

Post by Packbat »

My vote history isn't much help right now - both Lurconis and Shadow Dancer have been on every victorious candidate, and both have been in that position once early and twice late.
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Post Post #650 (isolation #52) » Thu Sep 01, 2011 4:30 am

Post by Packbat »

I'm tempted to hammer Lurconis right now. If Lurconis were scum, I would have been a good candidate to pair against him.
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Post Post #654 (isolation #53) » Thu Sep 01, 2011 4:57 pm

Post by Packbat »

Shadow Dancer looks horrid in ISO, and Lurconis looks fairly good. Also, #653.

Duplicity, you should post soon; I plan to hammer Lurc.
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Post Post #656 (isolation #54) » Thu Sep 01, 2011 5:10 pm

Post by Packbat »

I think it is likely that the game is over, but if it isn't, I'd like Shadow Dancer to say who is scum if I'm town. The other surviving player should self-nom in that case.
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Post Post #663 (isolation #55) » Fri Sep 02, 2011 12:01 am

Post by Packbat »

Why are you unvoting, Quilford?
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Post Post #665 (isolation #56) » Fri Sep 02, 2011 12:09 am

Post by Packbat »

Why did you vote Lurconis in the first place?
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Post Post #669 (isolation #57) » Fri Sep 02, 2011 4:35 am

Post by Packbat »

...Quilford is making zero sense.

VOTE: Lurconis

Duplicity, if Quilford quickhammers and Lurconis flips scum, nominate yourself.
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Post Post #679 (isolation #58) » Sat Sep 03, 2011 3:44 am

Post by Packbat »

Quilford wrote:So guys I was just thinking it would be a good idea not to be deadlined

Not a concern: September 7 is Wednesday - everyone will be back from V/LA by then.
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Post Post #681 (isolation #59) » Sat Sep 03, 2011 4:50 am

Post by Packbat »

The decision looks pretty easy to me. You have yet to offer a satisfying reason why anyone should vote for Shadow Dancer, and in the process of hunting for one, you yourself have admitted that there is reasonable cause for voting Lurconis.
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Post Post #683 (isolation #60) » Sat Sep 03, 2011 6:12 am

Post by Packbat »

Shadow Dancer wrote:Just in short for now: I am almost absolutely sure now that Pack is the last scum and that Quil and Dup are town.
I'll elaborate on it more tomorrow when I have more time.

Please note that this is exactly what scum is forced to say in this situation.
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Post Post #689 (isolation #61) » Sun Sep 04, 2011 5:26 am

Post by Packbat »

I wouldn't call it IIoA - it's useless, agreed, but it's useless because storytelling is not a reliable method of inference. Here, watch:




I.Maruchan vs. Timeater


When Timeater received two rapid votes for quicknomming, particularly when those votes seemed well-justified, scum!Pomegranate decided that it was an opportune moment to join in on the mislynch wagon. hiplop, naturally, set himself in opposition to separate himself from the eventual flip, but when one of the townies (Packbat) unvoted from the wagon to open up the floor for more discussion and showed no sign of returning any time soon, scum!Shadow Dancer decided to drop the L-1 vote to make it easier for a townie to hammer.

II. Johhog vs. Pomegranate


Shadow Dancer quickly voted for the townie for towncred, but when Duplicity caught Pomegranate out with a blatant scumslip, decided that he had to leave his vote there for the lynch.

...interesting. That makes Quilford the obvious scumpartner, as he followed Packbat onto Pomegranate in hopes that the Johhog support wasn't as strong as it appeared. Unfortunately, Packbat was the only idiot idiotic enough to vote for Pom, and the last townie walked in for the hammer.

Unless, of course,
Duplicity
is the obvious scumpartner, because he placed a vote on Johhog in a bow to the inevitable and wasn't before the townie hammer to see that Pomegranate wasn't quite dead.

III. Twistedspoon vs. hiplop


Lurconis drops an immediate vote on his stronger townread, Twistedspoon. Packbat continues to be a tool and votes the wrong guy, Duplicity following through either foolishness (if town) or avarice (if scum). Shadow Dancer drops a towncred vote on the townie. And, if Quilford is scum, Quil tries to take advantage of the apparent strength of the scum wagon, but reflexively votes the wrong way, accidentally giving town a second election.

IV. Lurconis vs. Shadow Dancer


Either:

Quilscum drops a towncred vote on the townie, hoping there will be no early hammer. Duplicity pretends to hammer. Quilford points out the fakeness of the vote to protect his partner, then unvotes before Packbat can hammer and cost him the game.

or:

Quiltown drops a vote on the obvious candidate. Dupliciscum pretends to hammer so he can get towncred for the gambit. Quilford is WIFOMed out and backs off.




Why, look at that!
It sounds just as plausible!
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Post Post #690 (isolation #62) » Sun Sep 04, 2011 5:28 am

Post by Packbat »

Also: I found another error in #639 -
Crazy, would you please replace the number 353 with 535 in that post?


Fixed.
-Crazy
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Post Post #692 (isolation #63) » Sun Sep 04, 2011 2:06 pm

Post by Packbat »

Lurconis wrote:Anyway reads as they stand: ShadowDancer (Confirmed Scum) Duplicity (Scum) Packbat (Village Idiot) Quillford (Town)

I wish I could contradict you. :/

(Not actually sure which of Duplicity and Quilford is scummier.)
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Post Post #715 (isolation #64) » Mon Sep 05, 2011 5:07 am

Post by Packbat »

I still think Lurconis is town, honestly.
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Post Post #716 (isolation #65) » Mon Sep 05, 2011 5:10 am

Post by Packbat »

I'd probably want Duplicity to self-nom too.
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Post Post #718 (isolation #66) » Mon Sep 05, 2011 7:59 am

Post by Packbat »

I will not self-nom.
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Post Post #722 (isolation #67) » Tue Sep 06, 2011 4:13 pm

Post by Packbat »

Well, that answers that question. Quilford, any questions you have, ask away - I'll answer them as completely and honestly as I can.
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Post Post #723 (isolation #68) » Tue Sep 06, 2011 4:23 pm

Post by Packbat »

D1: Maruchan (volunteered @4) vs. Timeater (selected) Post# Voter |
Maruchan
Timeater
| -------------------|-------------------| 8
Quilford
| . V | 9 Packbat | . V | 17
Pomegranate
| . V* | * L-2 30
Lurconis
| . V† | † L-1 41
hiplop
| V 4 | 77 Packbat | 1 u | 127
Shadow Dancer
| 1 V† | 131
Johhog
| V 4 | 133
Johhog
| u 4 | 142
Twistedspoon
| V 4 | 144
Twistedspoon
| u ~V~ | ===[] -------------------|-------------------| | 1 5 | Timeater = scum D2: Johhog (volunteered @392) vs. Pomegranate (selected) Post# Voter |
Johhog
Pomegranate
| -------------------|--------------------| 420
Shadow Dancer
| V . | 425
Twistedspoon
| V* . | * L-2 447 Duplicity | V† . | † L-1 458 Packbat | 3 V | 464
Quilford
| 3 V* | * L-2 474
Lurconis
| ~V~ 2 | ===[] -------------------|--------------------| | 4 2 | Johhog = Townie D3: Twistedspoon (volunteered @525) vs. hiplop (selected) Post# Voter |
Twistedspoon
hiplop
| -------------------|---------------------| 535
Lurconis
| V . | 570 Packbat | 1 V | 608 Duplicity | 1 V† | † L-1 611
Shadow Dancer
| V† 2 | 612 Duplicity | 2 u | 621
Quilford
| ~V~ 1 | ===[] -------------------|---------------------| | 3 1 | Twistedspoon = Townie D4: Lurconis (volunteered @634) vs. Shadow Dancer (selected) Post # Voter |
Lurconis
Shadow Dancer
| -------------------|------------------------| 647
Quilford
| V . | 655 Duplicity | x . | x = fake vote 662
Quilford
| u . | 669 Packbat | V . | 695
Quilford
| ~V~ . | ===[] -------------------|------------------------| | 2 0 | Lurconis = Scum
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Post Post #727 (isolation #69) » Wed Sep 07, 2011 12:39 am

Post by Packbat »

Quilford wrote:I'll most likely be voting Packbat, but I could probably be convinced either way.

I don't have much to offer - I've had a solid .000 batting average all game, which puts me on par with my previous record as a debate club competitor - but like I said, if you have any question about anything I've done, ask and ye shall receive.
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Post Post #729 (isolation #70) » Wed Sep 07, 2011 12:53 am

Post by Packbat »

The first thing that springs to mind is 608-612, the placing of a vote on hiplop by one head and the nuking of that vote by the other - Shift had a really good case supporting the hiplop vote based on Twistedspoon backpedaling, and as soon as Regfan gets on, he yanks the vote like it's toxic and backs away from the read with little explanation.

#655/#667 is rehearsed, and I'm an idiot for not picking up on that right away - Lurc
wasn't online
to think he was heading into the weekend with a completed game before Quilford - you - pointed out that Duplicity's vote was a fake, so why the comment?

If I see anything else, I'll add it to those two things.
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Post Post #731 (isolation #71) » Wed Sep 07, 2011 1:14 am

Post by Packbat »

I haven't reread - I'm really tired today, three hours of sleep tired. I could say that the #1 thing that scum would want is to not be on the Lurc wagon yesterday, being as they have to be able to sell themselves as town today, but I don't know how compelling a point that is.
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Post Post #734 (isolation #72) » Wed Sep 07, 2011 4:12 am

Post by Packbat »

Dude, I don't
even
know. I have all of one-and-a-marathon scum games - my meta is anything but gelled.

If I were to try to make recommendations, in order of most useful to you to read:
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Post Post #735 (isolation #73) » Thu Sep 08, 2011 11:31 am

Post by Packbat »

Any comment, Quil?
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Post Post #758 (isolation #74) » Fri Sep 09, 2011 2:15 am

Post by Packbat »

I still hate this setup. Quilford, did you look at any of the meta I gave you?
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Post Post #763 (isolation #75) » Fri Sep 09, 2011 5:56 am

Post by Packbat »

Twistedspoon wrote:
Regfan wrote:I'll post the mafia QT tomorrow if none of my partners object before then. Is there a dead QT?

yep

Man, now I'm wishing I was killed earlier - you guys had a lot more fun than I did.
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Post Post #767 (isolation #76) » Fri Sep 09, 2011 7:29 am

Post by Packbat »

Shadow Dancer wrote:Damn...
Packbat is the single most abysmal town player I've ever encountered in any of my games I guess... I mean - 100% wrong over four or five elections?

Gee, tell us how you
really
feel. :?

The more I think about the maru situation the more I think that some mod-legislation would have been appropriate. Not reading one's role PM pre-game before posting a vote or, in this case, entering an election is absolutely against the spirit of the game. Since this is an open setup any combination of force replacement and redistributing role PMs wouldn't have been too much trouble.

Yes.
Force-replace and role-rerolling would have been good, there - definite violation of community norms by Maruchan, here.
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Post Post #779 (isolation #77) » Fri Sep 09, 2011 5:02 pm

Post by Packbat »

I'm not sure - it
had
occurred to me that scum might try a WIFOM gambit.
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