[REVIEW] Open Setup Reviews

This forum is for discussion of individual Open Setups, including theoretical balance.
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yessiree
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Post Post #1049 (isolation #0) » Mon Nov 09, 2020 11:42 pm

Post by yessiree »

Proposing to make one change to Lovers and Losers. Instead of a mafia lovers trio, they are split between a lovers pair and a loner.

Lovers and Losers

9 Players:

2 Mafia Lovers
1 Mafia Goon

4 Town Lovers (2 pairs)
2 VTs

  • Daystart
  • Nightless
  • Only one VT may get eliminated and only one Town Lover may get eliminated.
  • If someone attempts to eliminate a role that has already been eliminated, the game ends in a mafia victory.


The original setup had an EV of 2/3 favouring town, by mass claiming during start and eliminating from VT claims. This change aims to combat that.

Edit: I thought this change would make the setup slightly scum-sided but I just did some calculations and the EV is exactly 50% which should still make this somewhat town sided in practice.
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Post Post #1052 (isolation #1) » Tue Nov 10, 2020 7:31 pm

Post by yessiree »

In post 1050, BBmolla wrote:I approve
thanks :)
In post 1051, T-Bone wrote:Let's see it in action!
roger that
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Post Post #1054 (isolation #2) » Wed Nov 11, 2020 3:28 pm

Post by yessiree »

I had planned to wanted to mod it already, but wasn't sure if I could just /in to mod a modified version of an already approved setup, so just making sure here
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Post Post #1058 (isolation #3) » Thu Nov 12, 2020 3:56 pm

Post by yessiree »

In post 1056, Jingle wrote:Your EV calc is off, btw. When you factor in the repeated role elimination bit you get that mafia should win 5/9 games. (1/3 mafia is the last pick in the first pool plus 2/3*1/3 mafia is the last pick in the second pool.) So slightly scumsided from an EV standpoint. 44% odds of a town win is still playable though.
yeah you're right, EV of town win should be 44%. (I remember I had 4/9 + 1/18 = 50% but I forgot how I did the calculations and now I realize I was wrong)

in practice though, assuming the use of optimal strategy to mass claim and playing around 2 elimination pools, players that can obvtown can basically turn the first mafia elim from a 1/3 to an 1/2, so it will be interesting to see how this aspect plays out in real games
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