Proposing to make one change to Lovers and Losers. Instead of a mafia lovers trio, they are split between a lovers pair and a loner.
The original setup had an EV of 2/3 favouring town, by mass claiming during start and eliminating from VT claims. This change aims to combat that.
Edit: I thought this change would make the setup slightly scum-sided but I just did some calculations and the EV is exactly 50% which should still make this somewhat town sided in practice.
[REVIEW] Open Setup Reviews
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yessiree
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yessiree Mafia Scum
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thanksIn post 1050, BBmolla wrote:I approve
roger thatIn post 1051, T-Bone wrote:Let's see it in action!- yessiree
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yessiree Mafia Scum
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yessiree Mafia Scum
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yeah you're right, EV of town win should be 44%. (I remember I had 4/9 + 1/18 = 50% but I forgot how I did the calculations and now I realize I was wrong)In post 1056, Jingle wrote:Your EV calc is off, btw. When you factor in the repeated role elimination bit you get that mafia should win 5/9 games. (1/3 mafia is the last pick in the first pool plus 2/3*1/3 mafia is the last pick in the second pool.) So slightly scumsided from an EV standpoint. 44% odds of a town win is still playable though.
in practice though, assuming the use of optimal strategy to mass claim and playing around 2 elimination pools, players that can obvtown can basically turn the first mafia elim from a 1/3 to an 1/2, so it will be interesting to see how this aspect plays out in real games - yessiree
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