Open 399: Faith Plus 1 (Day Seven)
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Voting bloc at day start is a terrible idea. It diminishes accountability for votes, blunts scumhunting, and stunts the development of quality through competition. Pluralism for the win.
Kondi is scummy for suggesting it. D:<as gregor samsa awoke one morning from uneasy dreams he found himself transformed in his bed- Psyche
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Okay, I see that this thread will be high in posts but low in lines per post. Good enough for me.
I kind of wish I were scum, reading this. You guys seem easily subject to cognitive biases and thus manipulation. Since I'm not scum, I'll make an effort of pointing out your biases as the game continues so you can regulate yourselves accordingly. Or I'll get bored and just use your biases to push my top suspects. Eh.
No one here seems particularly boss at mafia, and I don't think I'll be an exception. That's good in a sense for both alliances, since skilled scum are deadly and skilled town are amazing (though often really nitpicky); however, I'd hypothesize this general dearth in extensively developed skill is more of a help for scum — I mean, their job is so much easier.
It's going to be an uphill battle, but I think that as long as we have a good D1 lynch that isn't forced because of deadline, we'll be fine.
/final rumination before posting reads and junk.
PE: As long as you aren't voting to L-2, go for it. But I'd like to have that gut feeling, too, first.as gregor samsa awoke one morning from uneasy dreams he found himself transformed in his bed- Psyche
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Scummy:
Kondi
Not for a dumb idea, but for the presentation. It all seems like a scum gambit designed to earn town cred. She did it in a way more affected and grandiose than players usually do. Reminds me of scum earlygame initiative more than a protown tactic.
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Her Chrimi vote was disingenuous. It was definitely NOT done because Kondi found Chrimi scummy — indeed, Kondi barely pushed that reading at all. Instead, it's clear that the vote was done to justify a crappy attempt at reaction fishing. The reasoning behind the Chrimi vote was flimsy, too.
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Her appeal to meta is unimpressive.
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Her claim that Kassadin is readable and seems like town without much elaboration makes me think she's abusing her knowledge of alliances as scum.
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She has nonetheless not been very effectual with her votes and her reads are lacking in substance.
Morton
Lackadaisical response to Kondi, disingenuous or unjustified show of confidence in a trollie vote, mehfulness + apparent knowhow= contradiction
Townish:
Om
Venmar
Trollie
Darkling
What I've got so far. I'm capable of posting more detailed cases on kondi and on morton, which I'll do once I get into the mood.
A few things:
Attacking me for not being active in the first 24 hours of the game is either a noobtell or a scumtell. It's ridiculous to think my inactivity in such a short time span warrants a "lurker" label.
Om should know that I'm not bandwagoning on any vibes, his or anyone else's, until I have my own, substantiated reasons for doing so, which lynch advocates are still responsible for providing.as gregor samsa awoke one morning from uneasy dreams he found himself transformed in his bed- Psyche
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Makes his fail seem more legit.
↑ Om of the Nom wrote:PSYCHE PSYCHE PSYCHE PSYCHE.
BANDWAGON BK AND GET A FREE PRIZE! YOU KNOW YOU WANT TO!
PSYCHE PSYCHE PSYCHE PSYCHE.
Give me onegoodreason.as gregor samsa awoke one morning from uneasy dreams he found himself transformed in his bed- Psyche
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From a dramatic, complex reaction-fishing tactic? Enough in the long run.as gregor samsa awoke one morning from uneasy dreams he found himself transformed in his bed- Psyche
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I've used this "hypothetical optimum" defense as scum before. Not too convincing now.
↑ MattP wrote:
Making his fail "seem" more legit is not justification for a townread on him.
Have you read the entire thread so far? I pointed out a VERY scummy post by venmar.
Also to add, Venmar constantly puts his foot into the water regarding his ideas and the second anyne finds him scummy he immediately backtracks. He is showing every classic scumtell in the book.
p-edit: I swear to God Om nom, STFU
I'm not seeing it. Venmar's an earnest newbie.as gregor samsa awoke one morning from uneasy dreams he found himself transformed in his bed- Psyche
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↑ Om of the Nom wrote:Also kuribo said I should probably try and adapt to the playstyle of yelling at people till I get what I want.
They are substantiated by the feel of his posts. The voices inside my head are reading BK's posts in a scummy way.
Ur doin it rong...
Gah. Much of this added discussion is unsubstantial.as gregor samsa awoke one morning from uneasy dreams he found himself transformed in his bed- Psyche
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↑ Om of the Nom wrote:I'm doing it right, that's basically how I caught you and Staeg in 396, except I had a little meta help there.
@MattP: Pffft, as if I'd ever be a boy scout.
Did you get any of us lynched?as gregor samsa awoke one morning from uneasy dreams he found himself transformed in his bed- Psyche
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↑ Om of the Nom wrote:@Psyche: No, but that's because I didn't push it crazily as I'm doing now.
Why not intelligently?as gregor samsa awoke one morning from uneasy dreams he found himself transformed in his bed- Psyche
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↑ Om of the Nom wrote:@Psyche: Answer this question honestly, would you attack Fate for playing like this?
I don't know Fate. So, yes.
Shotgun...no. Trollie's a pretty rad guy.as gregor samsa awoke one morning from uneasy dreams he found himself transformed in his bed- Psyche
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↑ drmyshotgun wrote:Scums would be fucking rejoicing now and Faith Healers will be fucking facepalming.
Do I give a shit? Fuck no.
I'm the fucking Cop and the rock-heads who were on me ranting and whining about my posts better fuck off with this shit.
Idiot.as gregor samsa awoke one morning from uneasy dreams he found himself transformed in his bed- Psyche
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Okay, lemme think.
13 players.
1 is confirmed town.NOTE TO ANYONE: IF YOU ARE COP, AND SHOTTY ISNT, CLAIM NOW.
3 are scum.
2 are faith healers.
7 are still unconfirmed townies.
And 1/9 is confirmed town to whichever townie reading this, sans shotgun.
We want shotgun to survive the night. Not organizing the Faith healers to do this is inefficient. Besides, the faith healers' roles are pretty insignificant and they obstruct each other by operation.
The 50% chance of faith healer success means that a claimed faith healer AND cop will present a dilemma for the scum:
On one hand, they'd have a 50% chance of successfully preventing one more role from being confirmed, and killing the cop. However, selecting the cop as a NK target and failing thanks to a faith healer will both lose them a kill AND allow another role to be confirmed the next day.
Therefore, selecting cop as an NK target is still risky for them.
The existence of two poorly organized faith healers, however, decreases this risk for them and provides no viable alternative strategy. A lack of a claimed faith healer is actually reducing our chances of having a surviving cop tomorrow.
On the other hand, a claimed faith healer is not actually much of a loss to town.
Again, Having two active, disorganized faith healers is actually the setup's way of controlling the efficacy of the doctor. A faith healer claiming both removes this disorganization AND isn't much of a risk since we have an extra faith healer after that.
And, we'll have the opportunity for this wonderful strategy:
1. The claimed faith healer protects the cop.
2. The unclaimed faith healer protects the claimed faith healer.
3. The cop scans.
This will optimally increase the risk of a scum NK, regardless of their eventual choice. We'll have a better chance of a cop survival for two reasons:
1. There's a 50% chance a protect will fail.
2. The scum may be motivated by this risk to select a different target.
However, 2. will become an risky decision, itself, thanks to our second faith healer.
With this in mind, I'm going toclaim Faith Healer and elect to protect Shotgun tonight. I'll need to make sure the other faith healer isn't dumb enough to not trust me tonight, of course, but I think I can handle myself. I'm confident that this is the best way to mindfuck the scum.as gregor samsa awoke one morning from uneasy dreams he found himself transformed in his bed- Psyche
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Stop being silly. Someone CCing shotty wouldn't make a difference.
A massclaim would totally reduce the usefulness of the strategy. There needs to be one faith healer announcing what he'll do, and another working in the shadows with respect to this information.as gregor samsa awoke one morning from uneasy dreams he found himself transformed in his bed- Psyche
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I'm not scum. Let the other faith healer decide that. If you're the other faith healer, stfu and decide that to yourself.as gregor samsa awoke one morning from uneasy dreams he found himself transformed in his bed- Psyche
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A mass claim will not really make things easier for scum. The 50% dynamic of faith healers makes everything tricky for scum, either way. However, a mass claim now would leave 1 PR vulnerable.
If we wait until scum gets lucky and wins the faith healer coin flip, then the faith healers can protect each other. Until then, cop protecting at the expense of faith healer survival is optimal play.
The problem with having the unclaimed healer protect shotty is that it gives scum the obvious option of killing me. Besides, it does not REALLY alleviate fears that "shotty will die because I'm lying scumscum(!)", since in either case, shotty is vulnerable if I am scum.
In all cases,
Shotty is vulnerable to the probability that I am scum.
But in two casescase (I elect to protect not-shotty or we mass claim),
A faith healer is vulnerable AND shotty is vulnerable.
The first case is the most efficient. Iamtrustworthy. I wouldn't make this dumb gambit; it's unnecessary. And I plan to be consistently protown throughout the game. Let it be known to all of you —no matter what, I am protecting shotty tonight. Deal with that how you will, other Faith Healer. But try not to be stupid about it.
Kondi is scum trying to improve her NK odds by instilling suspicion. It is ungrounded. There is no reason to think I am lying. I wouldn't have claimed if I didn't think I had a sufficient townie record this game. There's no need to place extra doubt on it.as gregor samsa awoke one morning from uneasy dreams he found himself transformed in his bed- Psyche
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There is more than a 50% chance that I am scum. It's not like you don't have a whole thread to make that judgment from.
Besides, there are only 3 scum and 13 players. To suppose there's s fifty percent chance I'm scum is silly. Statistics can say whatever you want them to. They are not a useful tool in this situation. Just read my iso at the end of the day and decide if I'm a liar or not. That is the otimal way to approach this.as gregor samsa awoke one morning from uneasy dreams he found himself transformed in his bed- Psyche
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↑ kondi2424 wrote:You wouldn't make this dumb gambit? But I would make a dumb gambit as scum involving a voting bloc that doesn't help me at all? And you're still calling me a girl?
I've already explained that you have a 3/5 chance of being scum FMPOV. I'm not trusting you.
Having the other FH protect shotgun works BECAUSE you get killed if town. Then, the other FH can stay quiet and keep protecting shotgun.
Massclaim works like your plan if we don't trust you. It doesn't matter if one FH is unprotected as long as shotgun stays alive.
You're not scum for making a dumb gambit. You're scum for being scummy. Duh.
Your point of view is stupid. This thread is full of my posts and you're relying on weak theoretical probability. How smart is that?as gregor samsa awoke one morning from uneasy dreams he found himself transformed in his bed- Psyche
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Also, with my strategy, we have a 50% chance of confirming me as town tonight if the scumkill fails. It'll either be because I was targetted by scum or because shotgun was targetted as scum and a protect was a success.
By D2, we'll have 3 confirmed townies (or two confirmed townies + confirmed scum) and no dead townies, including a surviving cop. It's a more ambitious hope than other strategies can provide. I understand that it is only reasonable from the perspective that I am town, but if I can successfully prove to you (or, specifically, the faith healer) that I am town, then there is no problem with this strategy and we'll have achieved the optimum.
@Kondi: Oh, I thought it was because of the 3 scum: 2 Faith healer odds. Kk.as gregor samsa awoke one morning from uneasy dreams he found himself transformed in his bed- Psyche
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Sigh. Going through my notes, I have to admit that kondi is no longer my strongest scum read and that I've been unintelligently tunneling her. Him. Goddamn it, him. Sorry, your user reminds me of Condoleezza Rice.
The reasons I find him scummy include a consistent gut reaction to his posts. I don't think his early posts were a gambit as much as I think they were a disingenuous/scummy attempt to show earlygame initiative. It was much too affected and grandiose for my taste.
"gambit" suggests that he risked something for some bigger gain later, which isn't a good description of what I feel occurred.
His Chrimi vote clearly served not one purpose except to show that his earlygame tactic wasn't useless. All of her earlygame posts have this tone — "Silly human! I am above you and all my activities are above yours! How dumb of you to think otherwise!" — that I usually see in scum.
Reads as scum abusing his access to knowledge.as gregor samsa awoke one morning from uneasy dreams he found himself transformed in his bed- Psyche
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There's absolutely no apparent reason to think BK is scum.
I'm not changing my vote until I post a case on my strongest read, morton so that it is justified. Until then, I'm fine keeping my vite on a less strong scumread.as gregor samsa awoke one morning from uneasy dreams he found himself transformed in his bed- Psyche
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↑ kondi2424 wrote:REASONS MY INTENTION READS ARE TOWN
OmNom:
OmNom WOULD NOT continue pushing the Kassadin PL after I called him definite town if he were scum.
vijay:
Kassadin:
Venmar:the fact that he's pretty new makes him an easier read. He didn't bandwagon on me with the bloc thing and gave a different opinion on it, plus the general disagreeing with the crowd over it.
Darkling:He found (good) reasons that I could be town or scum due to the bait, when he could easily slip one way or the other as scum. It's like fencesitting, but in a towny way because it's unnecessary. He also didn't really push anyone until later, when there was plenty of opportunity to before.
MattP:Townslipped, already explained.
Good enough?
Not at all convincing. Though I share your reads, I don't think you'd develop them so arbitrarily as town. You aren't diffident enough. I still think you're abusing your scum knowledge.
↑ vijay2vasandani wrote:
Hmmmm.. XD just kidding.
1 for 1 is always good imo, even if we lose our cop. But seriously, this claiming. *sigh* might as well say it, I'm a Faith Healer as well.
All other FHs should claim now.
We aren't PLing today guys. Let shotgun sort that out for us. Once Kass is conftown/scum we can let scum nightkill him or we can lynch him.
NOOOOOO. I knew you were the Healer, too.
Okay, I had a good feeling.
↑ MattP wrote:THAT WILL NOT HAPPEN I ALREADY ILLUSTRATED WHY HE WILL NOT BE LYNCHED AND WILL MAKE US LOSE IN LYLO
I AM NOT LOSING BECAUSE OF HIM I ABSOLUTELY REFUSE TO
KONDI GET YOUR VOTE BACK ON HIM
This is bullshit kondi, how the fuck was it a good call? He didn't reveal anything we didn't already know, you just piggybacked his point. Well guess what, you and Kass are scumbuddies and that's why you were so hesitant to get on the wagon and were so quick to get off for BS reasoning. After we get him lynched you're next
/RAGE
There is absolutely no good reason to lynch anyone we can know is town. I don't care if Kassadin survives to LYLO if he's town. It's positively antitown to lynch someone so harmless without respect to their alliance.
Besides, there's not going to be a LYLO. This will not be a close game. We need more faith in our efficacy.
Kondi needs to die. My scumdar has never pinged so consistently. Morton is either not scum or can die tomorrow after he's posted more.as gregor samsa awoke one morning from uneasy dreams he found himself transformed in his bed- Psyche
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↑ Om of the Nom wrote:
Vijay, we should get right back onto BK for this post.
UNVOTE:
VOTE: BK
I never would have thought that there was nervous scum this obvious.
You're being very irksome, Om.as gregor samsa awoke one morning from uneasy dreams he found himself transformed in his bed- Psyche
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Kondi, your willingness to base confident reads on sparse data contrasts with your willingness to settle for second-rate lynches. You're too opportunistic, and too easy with your reads. Probscum.
Bah. Okay, let's discuss opportunity costs. If we don't lynch Kass, we need to scan Kass. Supposing that we'll only have 0 to 2 scans this game, one has to wonder what we'll lose by scanning Kass instead of someone else.
Everyone — if you were the cop tonight, who would you scan and why? I want to see passionate argumentation. Feel free to give a list of up to 3 players, but there needs to be a top.
Shotgun can use this to choose who he'll be scanning, and it can be used later to draw reads.as gregor samsa awoke one morning from uneasy dreams he found himself transformed in his bed- Psyche
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I like Kass. I just wish Kass's posts were more wordy.
Say Kass, you'll give me some input on that, right? But could you answer these questions, too:
Why do you play mafia? If it's because it's fun or evokes some other feeling, why does it evoke that feeling?
What is your strategy in mafia? Your playing philosophy that guides your posting and reading?
How do you feel about other players' animosity toward you?as gregor samsa awoke one morning from uneasy dreams he found himself transformed in his bed- Psyche
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↑ MattP wrote:
↑ MattP wrote:
This is bullshit kondi, how the fuck was it a good call? He didn't reveal anything we didn't already know, you just piggybacked his point. Well guess what, you and Kass are scumbuddies and that's why you were so hesitant to get on the wagon and were so quick to get off for BS reasoning. After we get him lynched you're next
↑ MattP wrote:
until there is a counterclaim, which there won't be because Psyche and vijay are town and even if vijay was scum he wouldn't claim because the last faith healer would have no reason not to counterclaim, there should be pressure on Kass. I stick to the fact that your unvote on Kass and your reasoning for it are incredibly scummy.
It's a scumslip because his reasoning for unvoting was a LIE.
I'm not contradicting this since I want kondi lynched, but I'd like to note that this isn't the sole reason why kondi needs to die.as gregor samsa awoke one morning from uneasy dreams he found himself transformed in his bed- Psyche
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↑ vijay2vasandani wrote:That's not a slip. Lying isnt something only scum do.
Furthermore I thought he understood the point I made about shotgun copping Kass.
Okay. Do you think Kondi is town?as gregor samsa awoke one morning from uneasy dreams he found himself transformed in his bed- Psyche
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↑ BK201 wrote:↑ MattP wrote:You can't refute every point made against you with WIFOM, that's not how this works.
Your vote on Kass has nothing to do with Faith Healer roleclaims, you could have had your vote on him and also waited for counterclaims, that's a blatant fucking lie.
Can't wait to see you and Kass as Deadscum
↑ Om of the Nom wrote:@Psyche: Answer this question honestly, would you attack Fate for playing like this?
↑ Om of the Nom wrote:Hey, my gut reads are great, and you should all listen to me. Fate told me to be super special confident in my reads and I'm totally following that advice with all my heart.
PEDIT: If he flips town then oh well, my gut was wrong for once. But he won't flip town because my gut read is on him.
↑ Om of the Nom wrote:I'm playing basically the same way Fate does in almost all of his games. Knowing that would you attack him?
↑ Om of the Nom wrote:This is the way Fate plays, he finds a target and stops at nothing to get them lynched. If I'm going to be attacked for playing like this when he does it all the time and gets off scot free then I will be pissed.
You're scum(or at the very least anti-town) for adapting somebody's playstyle and using it as an excuse to be an idiot rather than you be pro-town.↑ Om of the Nom wrote:Sorry, can't explain the gut reads any further. Just learn to trust my gut, it's really awesome.
He's antitown. You'll have to get over that and focus on players who are scummy like your win condition supposedly tells you to.as gregor samsa awoke one morning from uneasy dreams he found himself transformed in his bed- Psyche
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Compromise: Vote Kondi; Scan BK
I think it's time to form that voting block now that the PRs have claimed.as gregor samsa awoke one morning from uneasy dreams he found himself transformed in his bed- Psyche
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I want in my voting block:
Shotgun
Om
Me
Matt
Vijay
Trollie
Voting Bloc Rules:
The point of a voting bloc is to usefully organize votes such that things get done. Players will have to compromise and vote for their null reads when doing this. Discussion, however, should be free, as free discourse allows ideas to compete and the best ones to win.
When a plurality of players in a voting bloc decide to seriously vote for someone, that plurality can entreat other players in the bloc to vote the player by producing a point-by-point case against him.
Unless other players in the bloc have strong town reads on that player and can justify them, these players should join the plurality and give it strength.
This is useful to all players in the bloc, because it strengthens their voice by rendering other players amenable to compromise. However, for the efficacy of the bloc to be successful, all players must be willing to compromise on their null reads.
Which if you are game?as gregor samsa awoke one morning from uneasy dreams he found himself transformed in his bed- Psyche
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Psyche Jack of All Trades
- Psyche
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8316
- Joined: April 28, 2011
- Psyche
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Psyche Jack of All Trades
- Psyche
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8316
- Joined: April 28, 2011
- Psyche
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Psyche Jack of All Trades
- Psyche
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8316
- Joined: April 28, 2011
- Psyche
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Psyche Jack of All Trades
- Psyche
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8316
- Joined: April 28, 2011
Okay, anyone else? Kass, BK or someone else (like morton? I also like Morton)
Also, shotgun's opinion on this should count as two votes since he's the one who won the cop role.
And Trollie's position on the block is tentative. Other players deserve it as much as he does. :/as gregor samsa awoke one morning from uneasy dreams he found himself transformed in his bed- Psyche
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Psyche Jack of All Trades
- Psyche
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8316
- Joined: April 28, 2011
Players:
drmyshotgun
Om of the Nom
vijay2vasandani
Kassadin
Venmar
Darkling_Perhaps
BK201
kondi2424
Psyche
mortontfrh
Chrimi
TheTrollie
MattP
I do have 3 town reads in here. Leaving 4 people.
Scanning BK would work. Scanning morton would be really nice, too, but I don't want any more debate over BK.as gregor samsa awoke one morning from uneasy dreams he found himself transformed in his bed- Psyche
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Psyche Jack of All Trades
- Psyche
- Psyche
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Psyche Jack of All Trades
- Psyche
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8316
- Joined: April 28, 2011
- Psyche
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Psyche Jack of All Trades
- Psyche
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8316
- Joined: April 28, 2011
Ugh. My first bad vibe.
You really should scan this guy, shotty. A tested leaning-scum read can do wonders for our mislynch frequency.
Null reads aren't a problem — weak scum reads, however, will likely stay that way the whole game and torture our capacity for indecision.as gregor samsa awoke one morning from uneasy dreams he found himself transformed in his bed- Psyche
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Psyche Jack of All Trades
- Psyche
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8316
- Joined: April 28, 2011
- Psyche
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Psyche Jack of All Trades
- Psyche
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8316
- Joined: April 28, 2011
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