Newbie 1365 - Vantasmagoria of Flower View (Game Over)
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I'm up to page 26, I've got a few strongish-reads but a few of my reads have changed about 20-30 times already reading through the thread. I'm going to take a little break and get back to finishing reading through the thread in about an hour (PS: That Shawn lynch was awful; He was bleedingly obvious town).- Regfan
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Ms Marangal, can you explain to me how you didn't notice that I'd replaced into Commanders slot and how you didn't notice that I'd requested that no hammer be placed on Irishtwiceyet you were still content to state intention to lynch him and question getting a claim out of him.
I was going to compile this into one massive list but right now there's a few of my reads that I'm iffy about and want to do a re-read through of some people (Irish / Nekoko / Mrs Margaral) again in about an hour - just want to get my head clear first and then I want to do some cross-ISOs to finish it of so you'll get this in pieces.
So three reads that I'm superconfident in at the moment are:
Town:
While I completely detest Thors push on Shawn and cannot fathom how he didn’t stop, reassess and realize that Shawn was oozing genuineness his push comes across as if he legitimately believes his case and reasons hold a lot of merit. What I find to be his strongest town-tell byThor:a lotthough is Post 452 and Post 461 – it’s posts I don’t see Thor!Scum making, especially in a Newbie game. It’s him being somewhat worried that he’d die at night and leaving behind reads and thoughts – his ‘Irish/Commando’ would be town based on a Scum!Shawn lynch is something I can understand and his “Look at MM” feels like genuine belief that she might be mafia. Thor!Scum from what I recall (I'm not 100% on this meta and I haven't played with him for a little while though so take it with a grain of salt) is less aggressive in pushing a lynch and doesn't like going 1 v 1 as much as Thor!Town does (An example of Thor going 1 v 1 against someone when he's town similar to how he did in this game with Shawn is in ADwD where did it against Zdenek). So very confident he's town here.
I actually had a scum-read on him based on his initial few posts (And what I was using as process of elimination (PoE) at the time) but his posts as the game progressed improved immensely. His attempt to get content and a 'feel' for where Shawns head at is very understandable and the sheer number of times he attempts to do so comes across as if his intentions aren't just to manipulate the answer into a reason to vote Shawn but really a way to get a solid read on him - examples are in Post 535, Post 543 and Post 617. I really like his "Lets play a game and assume he's mod confirmed town - what's reads then" in Post 586 as it's an attempt to get legitimate stances and opinions from people. One of the biggest things I like about Monty though is Post 607 comes across as very genuine and very town, specifically the statement that he wouldn't have FoS'ed him if he didn't suspect him - the phrasing of the entire line doesn't feel at all contrived. His Post 677 of "I thought I had this one as well" again feels genuine and is a fairly strong town-tell. I also think his post-hammer paranoia of Sahura combined with the fact that she died makes him far more likely town (Scum generally don't kill players they set up the ability to push towards) and paranoia after getting a lynch wrong post-hammer, one that you're confident in is super natural. Also while I disagree with parts of his Irish case I think the way he's put it together feels like he believes it's strong and correct.Monty:
MathDino (Syc):I actually had a relatively strong town-read on Syc but her tattering down of activity weakened that quite a bit. I think her ‘Shawn jumped on a weak Sakura’ and ‘You might be right but his vote was opportunistic, it’s early we’ll see’ together in Post 65 and Post 66 show genuine scumhunting and reads as a decent town-tell. I like her Post 121 – it’s very relaxed and doesn’t feel like she has any alternate agenda in it other than to calm the game down (And scum like paranoia, chaos and emotional reactions to occur from players) – for similar reasons I think Post 228 is a town-tell. Her pushing to get a response from Isish in Post 247 and Post 251 again comes across as genuine scumhunting. Maths replacing in strengthens my town-read quite a lot; I like his reasoning behind his reads in Post 753 and think his suggestion of hypo’ing in Post 754 ismassivelytown-mindset motivated, it’s not a post I think scum would post here at all. His reasoning behind reading town on Monty in Post 758 is super understandable (I find one of the biggest town-tells to be someone going through the exact same thought-process – so him town-reading Monty for that is very legitimate).- Regfan
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Scum:
Nekoko:This is by far my strongest scum-read (I’m unsure why she wasn't lynched yesterday and why she’s not really being pushed on by anyone bar Irish today). Her Post 156 which is her initial post has a scum-slip level contradiction in it. In that post she states that Irish’s posts are suspicious, specifically due to think thinking that Shawn seems so town that he’s mafia and she states that he’s mimmic’ed Sycorax but at the end of her post she states “Also I find Shawn suspicious although he looks like an aggressive reckless newb town” which is literally the thing that she’s saying Irish is mafia for stating. There's no way whatsoever she'd think he was mafia for it if she herself believed and agreed with the same thing, it's rather instead her just making up justification to back up a bullshit vote. Nekkoks scum-read on MM in Post 171 feels off…the fact that he questions there being a slip based on the use of ‘her’ doesn't feel legitimate at all – there’s little way that’d ever be a slip – but something to note; watch this scum-read of hers on MM disappear as the game progresses. Her Post 306 where she jumps on the Shawn wagon repeats the reasoning that Hana used in Post 269 but is stated in a way that makes it come across as if she's trying to claim it's her own 'unique reasoning' (That's something scum do a lot - they don't like being associated with bandwagoning with no reason so they copy someone elses reason and make it look like it's their own one). Her MM scum-read as I thought vanishes and instead she calls MM town based on "Not finding her vote suspicious" that's the entire reasoning behind it (When she flips scum the chances that MM is scum via interactions are incredibly high) - the only other town-read she's stated is on Thor while stating no real comment on Monty or Syc other than they're in her PoE pool to lynch which is scum leaving options open down the line.
Just need to give Irish and Ms a few more reads through. (Irish - If you could link me to a town and a scum completed game of yours off-site that'd be helpful).- Regfan
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Irish, I'd rather not vote until I've got through everything (Odds are this'll be the only day-phase I see; so need to make the most of it).
Ms Marangal, sure Tierces little lines are hard to spot but shouldn't using PoE tell you that I was replacing into Commanders slot? And there's a lot below that I want you to explain to me (Specifically your turn-around-read on Commander and your read on Nekoko).
Conflicted:
Ms Marangal:I think my read changed on her more times than it did on anyone in the read-through and this isn’t a read that I’m super confident in alone at all but I’ll try and explain exactly where my heads at here (Sorry if it gets a bit longwinded). I like her statement of a vague town-read on Hana in Post 90 – her reasoning behind it in Post 113 is decent too. One of the bigger issues I had with her early game though is that Post 127 of “I wasn’t defending X, if anything I was defending Y” feels like “Scum caught for the wrong reasons” – it’s rather overdefensive, I also don’t like the fencesit on Irish in that post, Post 161 does both of those things again. Again, really find Post 178 to be really awkward: Might be worth going to do some meta reading on her*. I do like the worry shown in the day ending too early in Post 314 though and that does read townish (Stares at Tierce! I’m allowed to use it sometimes!) though I don’t like how she attempts to shift attention towards Monty and Irish instead and rather avoids Nekoko (If Nekoko flips scum this is another thing that makes MM very likely mafia). I find Post 365 to be very similar (I like the ‘This is TvT stop it) but don’t like the fact that her scum-read on Monty is purely PoE which would mean she’d have to have a town-read on Nekoko for that to be valid but she never stated one. Okay, now to my absolute biggest issue with Ms – her reasoning and strength of her town-read in Shawn in Post 392 in comparison to what it ends up with in Post 497 is incredibly different and while I can understand that a re-read changes things a lot of the reasoning she originally used would and should have still been valid; there was only town motivation behind his posting and reads (Something she noted) so the change in stance there really feels wrong. First time that Nekoko is noted as a read is in Post 555 stating “Likely town” without an explanation (That’s something I want by the way – when you read this I want an explanation on your read on Nekoko right now, but also what your reasoning was behind your read on her D1). Also explain to me the “My reads haven’t really changed” in Post 720 and Post 728 when your read on Commando was flipping in Post 710. Also explain to me how you state a town-read again and town-reasoning on Commando in Post 742, Post 744, Post 747 to the turn-around vote on him in Post 792.- Regfan
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Conflicted (Apologies for the length of this but there's a lot I need to get answered / down):
IrishPope:This sadly is another read that my mind changed several times reading through the thread – I need to get a grip on his meta; so hopefully when I find out if ISOing in his off-site game is possible then I’ll be able to do so because a lot of his play that I’m having issues with I think may just be playerstyle based and not alignment based (Specifically the constant repetition of “I’m town, and ‘we’re in a way that it seems like he’s trying to force himself to fit in, also his worrying over his image rather than not caring about it at all which is what town should be doing).
I don’t like the reasoning used in Post 85 (It’s illogical) but I’m not so sure it’s a scum-tell. I do like the “I’m not throwing my vote down until everyone talks ie. We have more information” – I can understand where Thors coming from stating that voting is needed due to it creating pressure but I personally prefer not to throw votes around like willy nilly and will only vote if I’m 1) Done reading everything 2) Am confident in a read and 3) Want to reaction-test or pressure someone and think it’ll lead to alignment-related reactions rather than just a nervous flail regardless of alignment.
I rather like Post 107 – I think the “I’ll get killed for asking too much” is a town-tell. The change in attitude in Post 123 is awkward though (And this is an example of what I mean re; Need to know his meta). I think him sticking to his guns and insisting on everyone from everyone rather than caving and appeasing people by throwing down a vote in Post 152 is slightly town. I don’t like his read on Shawn in Post 229 the overdefensive of “Same number of votes as me” is bad (But again, need meta on that) , the rest of the reads are decent though. Post 327 is something someone is going to have to remind me to come back to very soon, there's certainly something important there*. I really liked both Post 263 and Post 274, they come across as if he's 'sticking it to people' for telling him to vote earlier and stating that withholding his vote did 'the town good' and he seems to really believe it there, not so sure he'd do that as mafia. What I don't like though is Post 324 - if he confidently believed both were mafia then there'd be no reason to unvote and the "If Shawn flips town I didn't want him, I wanted the other guy" reads as an attempt to distance himself from an upcoming town flip though his reasoning behind the unvote in Post 344 is decent.
Okay, something I'm going to HAVE to have explained to me is Post 473 and Post 480 the "X thinks Y is town now" - scum must have daytalk! I'm assuming it's a joke but if it wasn't what made you think Sakura was mafia at that point other than the read-change and you repeat that you're not sure Shawn IS mafia but rather he LOOKS like one; If you believe that's the case then you'd believe that town can often look like mafia; do you think that's the case with you this game? I also want a few reads from Post 712 explained in more depth; specifically Monty, Thor and Nekoko, you state that Nekoko is town there (I know your thoughts are differentnowbut I need to know how you thoughtthen) for being aggressive but you're also stating that Thors aggressive push made him scum so what's the difference between their aggressive pushes on the person that ended up flipping town. Also your scum-read on Monty is based on him lurking and being less contributive, how is this different from Nekoko who lurked through majority of D1 and didn't have much content?
Irishs vote-flip onto Nekoko in the manner he did it in Post 739 is a decentish town-tell - he could have easily continued to push upon Ms and Monty without having to attack a new person and changing his read there when he wouldn't have needed to would attract more negative attention; something he'd have wanted to avoid. Post 789 and Post 791 is troubling though but will come back to that.- Regfan
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So all up gun-to-head I'd probably call a Nekoko + Ms Margaral scum-team at the moment (Their interactions and reads on each other fit so perfectly as a scum-team; ignoring each other for the most part, a little bit of distancing at the start, Ms being over-defensive when stated that she was defending Nekoko and calling her town now for what really is no reason at all) but I really need a lot of answers from Irish and Ms on the questions I've asked in the above paragraphs.
Thor, going to need you to step up your game too and help me here; if you think I'm missing something about Nekoko-Ms you need to let me know soon.- Regfan
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Even if it isn't your best performance here the games will give me an indication of what your play is like as both alignments so thanks for the links (I'll carve time out and read them tonight). Process of eliminationonlyworks if your reads elsewhere are strong, if you're unsure of the reads you're ruling out then PoE will never help so scum-reads based on PoE based on weak town-reads doesn't make much sense.
Try and explain the meta and town-mindset that makes you think Nekoko is town because the "It's weak, I can't explain it" really really looks like you've town-read your partner so you wouldn't have to push on them and are unable to justify the read whatsoever when pressured about it.
I don't believe that your Shawn/Commmando reads weren't 'strong' and that you were intentionally hyping up the strength of them - that makes no sense to do whatsoever; the fact that you could throw out a bunch of reasoning that was very valid on the both of them shows that you know it's not just a "Gut" read too so the fact that you've moved back to voting Commando (Someone you've repeatedly said is town with reasoning attached) over Nekoko who you've avoided and can't explain the read on (Plus you've avoided my scum-read and explanation on her and my reads on everyone else, and everything I've done; I see no way whatsoever that you think this slot is scum right now, none yet you're maintaining a vote on it).- Regfan
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Yeah, growing more and more confident I'm right on Nekoko-Ms.
I'll do the meta-reading later tonight then I think I'll be ready to vote. (Again: Thor / Irish / Math / Monty - if you think I'm misreading something here between the two of them (Nekoko/Ms) you're going to need to speak up because staying quiet doesn't help at all and right now I'm pretty sure their interactions work INCREDIBLY well as scum. Haven't been this confident in a scum-team in a while too).- Regfan
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Commando was blatantly obvious town (How that's really in question is bewildering - he actually thought there had to be an IC as scum). Plus as I've said; you've ignoredeverything and all my readsthat I've stated. Haven't commented on the multitude of reasons why I've said Nekoko is scum, rather avoided it.
Wait. Let me get this right? You think she's being active and contributing to reads and suspicions in this game and think she's town because of that? Are we reading a different game or something because I'm reading her as very clearly coasting through the game, only having to post when she has to and making very easy stances (Shaun!Scum, Irish!Scum - Thor!Town and no read on anyone else in the game really).In post 810, Ms Marangal wrote:as for Neko, I had two games with her, one as a scum-buddy (linked game) and the other I was scum and she was town, She lurked the fuck outta the game I was with her in and she was fairly active and contributing reads and suspicions in the game she was town in. this is reminiscent of her town game- Regfan
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I mean this below was essentially a scum-claim (How he wasn't hung over Shaun is unbelievable):
In post 156, Nekoko wrote:In post 52, sycorax wrote:Caught up.
VOTE: Shawn
atm shawn looks like scum trying to look super townie. Calling scum because a new player says they are new etc.?In post 85, TheIrishPope wrote:I have my Hand of Suspicion aimed at Shawn. He seems so innocent. Real scumtell.Finding TheIrishPope's post suspicious. His reason for suspecting Shawn looks the same as sycorax's reason
for voting him but the difference is that TIP didn't vote Shawn and his reason is weaker.In post 156, Nekoko wrote:Also I find Shawn suspicious although he looks like an aggressive reckless newb town- Regfan
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And the below again; If changing a read and voting someone you previously thought was town was a town-tell since mafia wouldn't want to appear suspicious via doing it to her then she'd have thought Shaun was town (Shaun did that on multiple occasions) and she'd have thought that Irish doing it now would be a town-tell. But she's not. She's selectively attributing tells to match her bullshited reads.
In post 736, Nekoko wrote:I actually like her vote on Shawn. It doesn't look suspicious to me. I don't agree with TIP's claim that MM joined the wagon to blend in or something. Voting for the player she previously thought was town would actually make her suspicious to other players so she's town.- Regfan
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Hmm. Will need to mull on the claim a lot tonight (Does explain the bullshit town-read on Ms though) and the wording difference makes sense.
If there's a cop CC or a jailkeeper they need to claim ASAP. It'd give us a confirmed mafia.
I thought TIP's "Protect" was to do with Sycs saying that 'every town has a pope' in the post beforehand.- Regfan
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It's technically possible for there not to be another PR inside the setup - ie. Doctor + Additional VT setup (That said I don't think that's the case). But yes, if there's another PR claim from anyone they should claim right now because it'd instantly let us know there's one mafia inside of Nekoko + Whoever claims PR. That said I begrudgingly have to admit that the game looks very natural (The breadcrumb and reasoning behind claiming makes sense; I don't think she'd have gone "I messed up my cop game" as scum but rather been more defensive and perhaps held of claiming longer. There's one thing I do want to check though and that's the amount of planning she puts into her play as scum (Ie. What her play is like inside her scum QT's because if there's no history of her planning fake-claims days before and setting up breadcrumbs then she's without a doubt legitimate - I'll look into that tonight).In post 818, MontyWhittaker wrote:Regfan, your reads are interesting in light of your replacement. I had previously been fairly confident with a Commandodude town, and your replacement only serves to affirm that belief. Since you are calling for a claim of the power roles, I can only assume that you are not one. Assuming a Ms. Marangal/Nekoko scumteam, that means that IrishPope, Thor, or Mathdino would comprise the other roles. So you are advocating a claim right now, correct?
Since Irish has posted though and hasn't claimed PR I can go into what I had before that I was hesitant in stating - His Post 237 of "Too scared to lynch a PR" pretty much assured he wasn't a PR in that if he was there wouldn't be much reason for him to be scared of lynching a PR (1/3 chance of there not being another PR and only a 1/8 chance of the person being run up being the other PR if there was two). That however contradicted with his reaction to Ms in Post 789 and Post 791 where he soft-claims a PR the "Doctor is gone from a theoretical standpoint is that good or point" isn't something that's natural to consider as a VT at all; Why would scum ever consider shooting a VT claim that's considered scummy; so him asking that there makes no sense whatsoever where it does make sense with him thinking he's being lynched as scum and soft-claiming a PR (I think Ms saw this too which is why she moved from "I might hammer" to voting elsewhere).- Regfan
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I can't tell if you're trolling or actually serious with this? If there's a JK then Nekoko would be confirmed mafia to them (Can't be 3 PR's in the setup) meaning they'd have to claim here; if they don't we'd essentially be clearing not just one but two scum (Since I'm pretty sure if Nekoko is scum it's with Ms).In post 824, Thor665 wrote:I think your request for a JKer CC is pretty terrible at this juncture.
Frankly, I'm against the cop one too - but at least that one makes 'any sense at all'.- Regfan
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Awestfie replacing in is going to make this game interesting (I know her from EM + Have hydra'ed with her so I can read her very very well).
Ugh. I was going to say "Yeah that sounds like a good idea since Nekokos claim is likely legitimate" but guess what I found: In this scum QT she states "In post 829, Thor665 wrote:@Reg - so...about that Irish Pope lynch.I think the two of us should start breadcrumbing or something, don't you think? For example, I'll breadcrumb as if I'm a cop and you will breadcrumb as if you're the seer."There's no Mafia QT posted for Newbie 1315 where she was also mafia (I'd like to have it if it could be posted though) but the fact that she does consider breadcrumbing as scum means that her claim isn't anywhere near as genuine. If there's a counter-claim (A Cop or JK I really really want them to claim today; If we mslynch today we end up in LYLO and deciphering who is the legitimate PR inside LYLO isn't fun whereas if we have a mslynch when doing it at worst case we guarantee one scum lynch. I have a question for you though; If Nekkok is legitimate and Ms is town via it then who are the two scum? I'd assume Irish is one but which town-read do I have wrong for the second?- Regfan
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Irish, counter-claiming is stating that someone has claimed your role - In this situation it also works for JK though since someone claiming cop is claiming a JKs role.
Ms, I don't see the posts where Thor considered he'd die as faked (And personally I don't think he's the sort of player to make those as scum in a newbie game - I could be wrong but it's not fitting what I know of him as a playstyle). Also "Not auto-town-reading him" isn't really a scum-tell for Thor (There's a lot of things he does that are non-alignment related in every game; I've only noticed little things that are town-tells or scum-tells for him). I'd agree the post-hammer paranoia from Monty is something I should re-read because it's something I might have misread the first time around though.- Regfan
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I don't normally live deep enough into the game (Probably 3-4 games out of 40) where it's a 3 way or something where you're able to hunt using a lot of interactions of a flipped player. I have to make do trying to work out and nail the scum-team before I die and right now I'm not sure at all. If Nekoko is mafia a lot makes sense but if she's town then it would make Nekoko/Ms!Town and I have a strong town-read on Math, you and to a slightly lesser extent Monty meaning I'd have to be misreading someone - That's what I need to work out.In post 835, Thor665 wrote:@Reg - I usually prefer to just find 'a' scum, and then worry about partners. The easy logical answer is 'maybe one of you other scumspects' the sadly common truth is 'someone we currently think is town'. I will personally admit, for me - it would be you as the most likely current partner, albeit just from the play today, I'd need to go back to see if it makes sense yesterday.
I'll probably give a few people one more read-over but eagerly awaiting on Awestfies thoughts on everything (Especially the claim).- Regfan
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In post 841, awestfie wrote:I'll read this game later today, is there anything in particular I should know? By that I mean, has anyone claimed? I think it'd be more useful for me to have that information prior to re-reading instead of finding it out during my re-read.Why would you just say you can't post right now? Seems like filler to me.Nekoko claimed cop today with an innocent on Ms. If you're JK/Cop you need to CC.- Regfan
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If you were a JK or Cop I can understand having to ask if it's smart for you to claim since doc is dead; As a VT I can't. That's my issue with it; As a VT you'd know that there's no chance that mafia would shoot you therefore making the fact that the doctor is dead irrelevant. It looks very much like setting up a fake-claim.
And Nekoko explained why she claimed: The was 4-5 days until deadline and she thought there was a chance either Ms or herself would be run up (Which there was since I thought and kind of still think that there is scum inside them) - So she claimed to avoid deadline panic.- Regfan
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You're not really answering my question; If you're a VT why would you care that the doctor is dead when asked to claim? (And don't say "I wasn't sure - I wanted to ask someone else because that doesn't help at all - I want to know why YOU thought there was a chance the doctor death could be relevant to your claim).
And from here I need to do some re-reads, I want to hear Awetfies thoughts on everything and see if she CC's. Leaning towards lynching you though (Still have Thor/Math(Awestfie) as strong-town, think Monty is town (But he's one of the people I need to do a re-read of) and we're not lynching the innocent so Ms is of the table completely and while I think the fact that Nekoko suggested breadcrumbing cop as scum in a prior game of hers I'm not sure if lynching her today is optimal; It might be best to give her a night, if she's legitimate it'll force scum into making a decision whether to shoot her or let her live and get another report giving us a great deal of information to work with tomorrow leaving only you - And I really think your 789 and 791 was setting up a PR claim).- Regfan
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Simply put your paranoia or suspicion or whatever you want to call it will fade as soon as you do a re-read of the slot so it's not worth spending a lot of time discussing (Commando was obvobvobvTown and you know my Town vs Scum meta enough to know that I'm town here without a doubt; I might have one of the weakest scum games on the entire site - difference in posting is something like 100 posts as town vs 20 as scum).In post 852, Thor665 wrote:Hit me up - because now it's the weekend and I do have time.
I also, literally, just laid out a rather serious thought about you being the scumbuddy and you totally ignored it, so...?
What I do want to know your thoughts on is this: I highly doubt a Nekoko + Irish scum-team, in fact I might even call it impossible (Nekoko can't win as a cop claim if she thought her partner had a serious chance of being lynched after her claim since she'd have to dodge 3 lynches and make up reports the whole way through which will lead her to being confirmed scum via process of elimination). That means that someone that isn't Nekoko or Irish is scum; Who? (I've gone into this earlier but assuming Nekoko!Town, that means Ms!Town and lets say it's Irish!Scum, that means there's a scum inside of you, awestfie and Monty and I have town-reads on all three of you (Not saying it's impossible that I have a wrong read, it's possibly the case) but I want to knowwhichread you think I have wrong ie. Who am I misreading as town? Because if you think all of the reads are spot on and the reasoning legit here then we're looking at a fake-PR claim.
So help me work out what I've got wrong.- Regfan
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Yes, you do? It was one of the larger talking points in Black Flag Nightless and came up on multiple occasions in ADwD.In post 854, Thor665 wrote:I know your town v. scum meta? News to me.
One of the strongest town-tells byfaris genuine scumhunting; Scum know everyones alignments and therefore don't have to decipher anything, their scumhunting is often contrived and with specific motivations behind it (Make X look scummier, buddy Y, seem contributive ect.) whereas town (Especially newer town players) are more open with their thoughts and attempts to gain reads. Both Syc and Dinos scumhunting reads very genuine and I don't think that's a 'whoop-de-doo' thing at all (If you need a specific example look at Post 758 from Dino). And I highly highly highly doubt one of the first thing scum do when replacing in is decide "Let me attempt to rolefish" - so Dinos Post 754 is him legitimately believing there's an advantage towards it. Add to that he thought we were playing Matrix6 the new Newbie Setup; that means he didn't know there was a mafia rolecop in the setup (If he was mafia that's something he'd absolutely have known). (And while I know it wasn't your intention; thanks you've actually just made me 10000% certain this town-read is right).
I will admit that the Monty town-read on the other hand is something I need spend time looking at again; Watching a cricket game at the moment and will sleep after but when I get time tomorrow I'll look through his meta.- Regfan
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I believe you did state awareness of the meta in Black Flag Nightless? It's something that Empire/Tammy repeated over-and-over-again. And having a conversation of why Irish/I aren't a scum-teamisa waste of time - Youshouldbe aware enough of my meta to know that I'm town here confidently (Or if you really really have forgotten how easy a read I am you can wait until Awestie reads-through and she'll be able to confirm to you that I'm town here) and again as I said Commando was incredibly obvious town (Don't see how you haven't' spent the 10 seconds to ISO him realize that and stop wasting time on that angle).- Regfan
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I don't think scum inno'ing their partner or setting up to inno their partner is that far-fetched at all (Especially considering that Ms wasn't getting much flak from anyone and neither was Nekoko before I replaced in so I think it's very possible they'd have decided to set it up to 'clear' the both of them even more in a later game stage situation or at worst case scenario bait out a PR claim).In post 858, Thor665 wrote:And your counter example is that I'm supposed to believe scum has fakeclaimed cop, called their partner a confirmed innocent, and that's their plan?
That said Irish's Post 789 and Post 791 read as setting up a PR claim, his posts after Nekokos claim are him claiming VT and then when it looks like he's going to be lynched again in Post 847 he sets up a PR claim again so I think he's the best lynch but I want Awestfies thoughts on everything.- Regfan
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I will be so though so there's no risk of a no-lynch at all. Awestfie needs to hurry up and get to reading the game in the meantime.In post 864, Thor665 wrote:I'm not available to hammer at deadline, if that's the game we're playing.- Regfan
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Sigh Awestfie, you really did replace in to troll didn't you. I can give you another 2 hours and I'll hammer when I go to bed if you're not here by then.
That's not even close to it. There's a whole of of reasons why you're likely to get lynched today and none of them are policy. Your claim + your "Is claiming with doc dead" in 789 and 791 don't mesh at all is one (You've yet to explain a reason why you thought doc being dead would influence the benefits/loss of a VT claiming) and the other larger reason is process of elimination - If Nekokos claim is legitimate I see no way whatsoever that you can be town (I'm very strong on Awestfie/Thor!Town which would only leave 1 scum in the setup if that was all the case) so from where I'm standing either 1) You're scum or 2) Nekokos claim is fake and if it's 2) I'm hoping the night-kill tonight will point heavily towards it (And this is fairly important; if I die tonight and Irish flips town today it's Nekoko+Ms).In post 866, TheIrishPope wrote:So you're seriously talking about policy lynching because I'm a VT?- Regfan
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It gives us near automatic win in the occasion that Nekoko is scum (She'd be forced to clear someone else).In post 896, Ms Marangal wrote:Why would we NL here?- Regfan
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Lack of night-kill is likely due to scum forgetting the game (I can't think of anything else making sense here; it's really weird). "WIFOM" is an excuse for no night-kill, in fact it's an absolutely stupid thing to suggest because it'd be guaranteeing a cop investigation (ie. If it was a guilty it'd be putting scum in autoloss and if it was an innocent it'd be one of the scummier players being cleared).
And do I have to explain this to you in kindergarten logic? We don't attain an extra lynch if we lynch today, there is no extra mslynch from it. There is no gain in lynching today whatsoever. There however is gaining in NLing - it means that if Nekoko is town that scum will be forced to shoot her and thus we don't have to worry about fake-claiming mafia at all and if she's mafia it forces her to clear another person giving us a pretty much assured win.- Regfan
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This shouldn't be true (At least not in forum mafia) you know the massive differences between my town / scum play (We've hydra'ed as scum together and you've seen a few of my town games; plus I think we've even had a conversation about the sheer difference) + you should read Commando (He's the very definition of obvtown). Right now though given the no-kill with a cop claim alive you should know that I'm town without a shadow of a doubt.In post 900, awestfie wrote:although that read isn't all that solid; you know that I've trouble reading you.
I need to carve out some time and do a Irish interaction-read with Monty/Thor but you should let me know what you think of Thors Post 452 because I read that as town. Also do you think Thors likely to forget to submit a kill over Monty? (I'm in two minds over it at the moment with neither making a full amount of sense). I was kind of hoping that the no-death was caused by you being a JK and having JK'ed Nekoko which is why I wanted everyone to post.- Regfan
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Damn. If I don't get to win with you guys does that mean I can joint with scum?
Nekoko, force a NL and I'll selfovte tomorrow!
I don't get how you didn't realize that 1) There can only be 2 PRs in the setup and dead doc + you is 2 so she was auto scum yesterday... and 2) That she claimed a report when you claimed to jailkeep (Which is a roleblock) on her.- Regfan
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I think you'd be more deserving of the paragon of mafia hunters one given how much of this games win is due to your incredibly pro skills of cc'ing (late).In post 918, awestfie wrote:I think you should definitely give me that "Best Town Performance" scummie. You obviously do not deserve it and I obviously carried you (again) this game. I can't believe you, out of all people, would get a scummie about best town performance when you can't even properly town-read someone.
Should I log in to my Thor665 account, hammer this win. Log into my Tierce account (Which the password to is 'imobvtown') and confirm this game as a win?- Regfan
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Now you just sound like one of those grumpy old men who yell "You meddling kids, always ruining things for me".In post 921, awestfie wrote:that was my bloody plan; but YOU ruined it all.- Regfan
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Vote: No lynch
You're a really bad person. And also this means mafia didn't submit a kill (Which makes no fucking sense).In post 925, awestfie wrote:Man, I actually think you're town now, dang! I'm not actually JK.
Right now it's 5-1 (That means we have two lynches to hit scum and win). By NLing it turns into 4-1 (That means we still have the same two lynches to hit scum and win in) however in that situation there's one less person to have to worry about; in situations with clears (Awestfie/Ms) that's not a gain however since we have a cop claim by NLing even if one of Awestfie/Ms die we attain a new clear (ie. Nekokos new report) or Nekoko dies in which case the suspect pool drops by one.In post 928, MontyWhittaker wrote:Sorry, but can someone explain again the benefits of not lynching?- Regfan
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Unvote
There's something I want explained first, noticed this when I was doing some reading; Monty in Post 590 which is at the end of D1 you state that Irish has 'won back into your good graces' and that you want to look more closely at Thor and Nekoko yet in Post 716 which is first post of D2 you come out with a case against Irish in so what initially brought about the change of read towards him moving back into your good graces and what brought about the change back to a FoS on him? And did you ever go to look more closely at Thor/Nekoko (Try and run me through your actions and thought process at the start of D2 please).- Regfan
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That's something I'm trying to work out (I have town-reads on the both of Thor/Monty and am still finding it hard believing that scum forgot to send in a kill when both of them were posting elsewhere online at the time) but I don't want to waste too much time since if Nekoko is mafia then we'll know it by tomorrow.In post 935, awestfie wrote:Hey Regfan, if Nekoko is indeed cop, who's mafia and why?- Regfan
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Bleh, was kind of really hoping Nekoko was actually mafia. Anyway I'll be out for all of today but I'll carve out some time tomorrow to get around to this game.
Awestfie, I'm pretty sure the no-kill on N2 was due to mafia forgetting to send in an action (Even though it makes little sense it makes more sense than mafia choosing to no-kill on purpose since there's no gain in that whatsoever, especially with a 100% clear at the time (Ms) and a cop claim (Nekoko) which weirdly means that one of Thor and Monty forgot to get around to submit a kill whilst still posting elsewhere in their other games). At this point if you realize that I'm blindingly obvious town then there's no way we can lose this since it means we'd be able to lynch Monty/Thor back to back for a guaranteed win but I'd rather this not go to lylo so I'm going to lay out everything that's going through my mind (Which sadly is a lot) and do a big ISO through their interactions with Irish tomorrow.- Regfan
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Sorry, fell asleep last night while doing the reading through, saved a lot of what I got through as a draft though and will finish it tonight.
This makes no sense whatsoever given that you claim to have a strong town-read on Commando and a stronger town-read on me in Post 818 combined with the fact that Commandodude mentioned nearly no one in the game given he was nearly never here and the fact that Irish actually attempted to mslynch Commando when he did arrive - You're ignoring a whole other street of interactions there.In post 965, MontyWhittaker wrote:Regfan, I really don't like any of your interaction with Irish whatsoever. Yours or the slot you replaced into, for that matter. Between you and Thor, my vote has to be
If you read through my meta you'll notice the obvious difference I'm talking about. A few of my town games are Black Flag Nightless (Where I replaced in on the hydra JT), Newbie 1259, Timeshift Mafia (Where I replaced in) and AdWD and here's a bunch of my scum games Fantasy Camp (Where I replaced in), Post Apocolypic Mafia (Which I'd consider my best scum play ever despite actually losing the game still) and DEFCON 3.In post 962, Ms Marangal wrote:I'm shifty about Reg. all this talk about his Meta and how so Obv town he has been this game is giving me chicken skin.- Regfan
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Monty + Irish
Not sure what to make or Irishs drawing attention to Montys lurking by stating "he posted and left" in Post 160, states a scum-read on him in Post 229 and states it would be worthless to vote Monty since no one would join him in Post 232 which does come across as distancing (FoSing partner but making up reasons why not to vote them). Monty jumps on the Irish wagon in Post 241 while not commenting on any other player; works if he thinks that Irish is down and dead and needs to attempt to fit in. Irish bold FoS's in Post 252 but doesn't thrown down a vote. Here's the really interesting part; In Post 513 Shawn attacks Monty and lays out a case stating that Monty isn't advancing any reads, stating anything on other players and hasn't offered any new insights, Monty then unvotes Irish in Post 526 where at the time he was the only person voting Irish, the unvote there works very very very well as a partner to Irish that realizes there's no need to buss anymore and Monty proceeds to stating a scum-read on Shawn. Irish then flips his read on Monty to reasonable and null in Post 554 and Monty flips his to Irish being in his good graces and Thor and Ms being who he wants to look into in Post 590. Day 2 stars and watch how all the reads flip; Post 712 has Irish voting Monty and stating a scum-read on him and Post 716 has Monty laying down a case on Irish without mentioning Thor / Ms. The change of reads there look very much like they had a discussion at night stating "I'm going down tomorrow you're going to need to buss me" "Okay we'll push on each other".
I'll go into Thor+Irish interactions later on. - Regfan
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