/confirm
Mini 1449 - Ordinary Town
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- Jake from Rainbowdash
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My turn to post!
Vote NC
This is a really bad post to start as it doesn't actually attack any of the logic that was presented as to why its scummy, but instead tries to deflect part of what he is being called for to another as well without really giving thoughts on hp or Toom.In post 38, NicCage wrote:Why me and not Toomai?
This is a pretty ugly sheep. Apart from zef being one of my stronger town read at this point, it seems like more of a runaway vote following a vocal player who was calling him scum. I would love to actually see NC try and give reason for the vote before GCBC gives one (even though they probably both are missing reasons - zef is really town which anypony should see at this point).
I probably wont always remember to sign posts (chances are I wont sign anything) but if somepony cant tell us apart... well im not sure what else to say.
GCBC should headclaim too. Its amazingly anti-town to keep that hidden.- Jake from Rainbowdash
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I want to see NC fail to come up with logic for a vote first - less info I give him on where im coming from more likely it is he oversteps a boundary.In post 64, GoodCopBadCop wrote:you are a fan of long paragraphs containing rubbish aren't you?
Cuz thats all I saw from Zef
I like your reasoning on NicCage though, keep it up sport
Zef is town though, the post you voted him on is townish but 58 is wow-town.
Your post didn't have a NC vote though. It should have.- Jake from Rainbowdash
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if I read your post right, you said that you have played with me and we were scum together. The number of completed scum games I have is, 2 I believe. process of elimination, you can't be sven so that leaves BBMolla or Primate. If you lied about being scum with me or I misinterpreted your statement, well yeah I am wrong.- Jake from Rainbowdash
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the "why me and not someone else" comment has absolutely no town motivation, instead it is a self preservation comment. That is more than enough reasonable doubt. Not to mention he hasn't really done much to show he is town imoIn post 95, ac1983fan wrote:I'm not sure why NicCage has rounded up so many votes so quickly. it seems like people have latched onto a small handful of things he's said and jumped to seemingly ridiculous conclusions. I don't see how we have enough information about him to justify the number of votes he has. I think NC is more likely town whose wagon is being pushed by scum because it could feasibly give an easy d1 lynch for them.
VOTE: Daemon385. His first post was very iffy and he hasn't posted since then; it could just be his newness clouding his actions but for the moment I think this is a good place for my vote.
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I can't speak for dashie and at first I wasn't sure where she was getting it from but if you look at what was being said.In post 88, NicCage wrote:so jake from rainbowdash, why is it obvious that zefiend is town?
Hap is pushing the hp suspicion too hard, especially because it's based on faulty logic (saying that HP leaves hates RVS yet her RVS'd). HP leaves didn't random vote, he voted for a reason. Hap later changes his reasoning into "HP leaves wanted to policy lynch"
all of that is pushing way too hard on something that is completely null. Hap's reaction to HP's vote on BadCop comes off very bad and zef is really the only one who called it out. That gives Zef town points imo
post 58 just reiterates that Hap is seems very serious about HP being scum, yet the reasoning for Hap's suspicion is absolutely horrible, especially when there is more scummier people. Personally HP's vote on Bad cop looked like a reaction test to which Hap reacted badly
Maybe dashie can explain her thoughts, but that is basically what i came up with on my own.
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1. Are which suspicions mine? All I was doing was attempting to provide my reasoning why I felt zef was town. Zef calling you out reads town.In post 121, hapahauli wrote:Are these your own suspicions, or simply your interpretations of your other head's suspicions?
Either way, I have many gripes with this. For one, it's some very convoluted logic. You basically assume that two people are town (HP and Zef) in order to call me suspicious, which is insane this early in the game.
Secondly, you're fixated on me taking my suspicions on HP too far when that's been over and done with for a while now. At this point you seem to be beleaguering the point here, which screams hypocrisy on your end.
2. Having town reads early on in the game isn't insane, but you don't even have to automatically assume a player is town, they can still be considered null. Zef found an issue with your action, calling out that action and voting you is 100% pro-town. Even if Zef is wrong about you and you are actually town, her action is still town motivated.
3. this is basically untrue, dare I even say a mis-rep. I was responding to a direct question about our town read on Zef, it has absolutely nothing to do about you. Basically I think Zef's actions indicate pro-town behavior. I am sure Dashie may have more to add but that is how I am interpreting it.
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p.edit - @ hap - you don't have to do the double hashtag before each vote/unvote- Jake from Rainbowdash
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I guess I am doing both, i'm trying to rationalize my partner's reads by giving my own analysis.
Associative tells without flips isn't really suspect imo but it's kind of hard to do because you don't know for sure if someone is town or not. If I read a player as town then you absolutely can look at people attacking them to help find scum (This is yet another reason why I wanted to hydra with dashie, it annoyed the ever living shit out of me how she could come in and say "this person is town" & "that person is town" and as such I always suspected her as scum. I am sure she will explain her read on zef when she gets here (she can't really post during the day cause it's blocked at work) but I am hoping my speculations are close to what she is picking up, and if not she will post hers.
I will let dashie explain her "wow town" reasoning, personally zef is town because I see town motivation in calling you out, not scum motivation.- Jake from Rainbowdash
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Cause their actions to me show genuine scum hunting.In post 133, GoodCopBadCop wrote:
whyIn post 125, Jake from Rainbowdash wrote:her action is still town motivated.
-BadCop- Jake from Rainbowdash
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So the "zef is town" breakdown.
This is good and logical. Its town picking up on something that he sees as scum trying to throw out a vote on non-existent reasoning. While its not worded perfectly (more to follow there) he is pushing into it not even blindly but actually trying to discern where the attack is coming from while giving his overall conclusion at the point in time.In post 50, ɀefiend wrote:
A random vote is one that is made randomly, without reasoning or justification.hapahauli wrote:Of course.However I don't understand why he would vote someoneon the basis that he hates RVS,while effectively making an RVS vote of his own.
hp [leaves] placed his vote and gave a reason. Therefore, it isn't a random vote. Whether or not you like his reasoning doesn't matter. Whether or not he's already changed his vote doesn't matter. You're misrepresenting his actions (see the italicized quoted part) in order to justify your confusion, or misunderstanding, or whatever (see the underlined quoted part). The point is that you're trying to call his actions into question, but you're pushing too hard on it. This seems forced to me.
More "trying to get to bottom of reasoning" as opposed to "lol you are scum" response.In post 58, ɀefiend wrote: If you construe hp [leaves] vote as random there is nothing I can do to change your opinion, as we have different interpretations of the term "random vote." To me, his vote was not meant as a joke.
To rephrase it a bit differently, I find the fact that you "find <<what hp [leaves] did>> scummy, or at the very least something worth pursuing" is pushing to force an issue that's simply not worth it.
This was that "misinterpretation" I was talking about. The comment he got railed on was him basically saying "that is a really bad point" or at very least saying "that appears to be a very bad point" instead of "you are attacking him too hard over a valid point".I never said you were trying too hard. To clarify, I am voting for you because I don't like the way you are going after hp [leaves]. I feel as though there is nothing there to warrant going after, and your pushing on it and questioning is unsettling.
We get full circle here. He sees where the push is coming from, and although he does appear to still disagree with it, he feels that its town motivated instead of scum motivated. I can follow him, do you?I am all for prying information from someone, but only necessarily if they do something genuinely suspicious or questionable. It seems as though you are admitting to "forcing things", albeit for the sake of generating information... so, along with the fact that you are generally being proactive in regards to activity, I willUnvote: hapahaulifor now.
@NC - How is that vote "safe". If any vote is "safe" its yours on him because its sheeping the vocal player without actually giving any reason of your own as to why you are voting him. I can point to quite a few "safe" votes so far, usually one where the palyer starts trying to kick up their own logic isn't one.
Since when is "wordy" a scumtell anyways?
Basically NC is scum.
He sheeps over the loud player onto Zef who is "wordy" and "making a safe vote". When half of his case is exactly how he is playing the game- Jake from Rainbowdash
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Over reading means you are trying to make him scummy IMO like forcing it, his posts really haven't been that scummy and there is no way scum makes that list like that.
Scott needs to stop lurking, I find it funny that he felt the need to call out someone for not giving reads, and immediately got called out on it himself.
I'm still good with a NC lynch, he's laying low hoping his wagon vanishes IMO.
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Anyone disagree with me about Nic, his last post on site was yesterday, he has logged on today, and hasn't posted in over 50 hours.
mod, 73 hour activity requirement? Really? Smfh
Prod sent
Bottom line, he's logged on and hasn't posted. Don't let his wagon fall apart because he lurks it away.
-JLast edited by qwints on Wed May 08, 2013 2:37 pm, edited 1 time in total.- Jake from Rainbowdash
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please explain how it looked like an over-reaction, more importantly what was he over-reacting to? Looking at Toomai's vote on GCBC I don't get that at all so I'd certainly like you to clarify that.[/quote]In post 212, NicCage wrote:is original case against GCBC seems like an overreaction, and he certainly was eager to push it.
Again, maybe I am missing it but I don't see this happening either.He even defends the wagon on GCBC as being founded on his reasoning, though only he was voting for that reason. Thought that was weird.
I will concede that his vote looks like sheeping, but sheeping is usually a null tell.His vote on me looks like a cheap sheep. He drops his case on GCBC to vote me, thinking he's sheeping everyone else, even though he actually wasn't. In fact, he's definitelynotreading carefully, but just sheeping where it looked convenient.
This was made on Thursday, it's now Monday. how much longer you going to lurk through this game?I also have other opinions and things to answer, but I don't have time for you today. I'll try to give you more tomorrow.
I have only 1 issue with Toomai and it's a legitimate one which I find kind of scummy, but it's not enough to lynch someone but i really want him to explain it better
@ Toomai, this comment about the BCGC wagon
1. why did you not like the speed of it?Not sure I like how fast it built up, but as long as it doesn't go much further, I don't see the problem.
2. why did you not want it to go any further?
3. why did you not question any of the people who hopped on after you voted?- Jake from Rainbowdash
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if I am voting scum, why do I need to keep voting? please explain how that works exactly?In post 303, Varsoon wrote:dude hasn't voted in forever, content of his posts comes off as scum trying to sit back, etc etc.
I just don't like him. Someone mentioned him recently and I was like, "Oh, that guy exists?"
Yeah, that's what he wanted me to think.
'cus he's scum.
we most certainly are not just sitting back, we are asking questions and sharing our reads and we are one of the top posters of the game, out posting 9 other people in the game. If you don't remember our posts, that is a reading issue obviously.- Jake from Rainbowdash
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reaction testing an active poster by calling him inactive?In post 312, Varsoon wrote:Can't tell if GCBC is telling me to unvote or ACfan to unvote.
Either way,
unvote
Glad to see I got some kind of reaction out of JakePony.
JakePony, please explain why I should support your vote that's 250 posts old.
you can vote whoever you want, but my original reasons for voting him are still valid and he hasn't done anything but lurk. He has had 1 content filled post but he didn't even complete it, he said he had more to come and then vanished again. When I asked when he was going to finish he said that the rest of what he was going to say wasn't valid (or whatever) anymore. There was the one time when someone (can't remember who at the moment) voted and only gave a reason of "BC" and he immediately showed up ask about that and provide nothing else.
He isn't scum hunting and nothing coming from him shows pro-town behavior.- Jake from Rainbowdash
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My part again (im probably going to be the one more jumping on defending town reads - that's more my loyalty style).
We basically have seen Varsoon on this page again show why he is town. Is he frustrating town that makes me audably groan reading most of his posts? Yes. Is that still town? Yes.
Go to the last VC and what is happening. Varsoon is getting ran up against NC. What is the reaction from Varsoon? Attack a player who is voting NC. That accomplishes absolutely nothing from a scum perspective and instead is more of throwing rocks at a hornet nest. Not only is he making a vote that keeps him closer to a lynch as the leading wagon while easily being able to vote NC, but it also stands the chance of angering a player off the wagon who is defending him.
Scum are rarely borderline suicidal like that and I think anypony who really is thinking even shortterm should be able to see the high potential ramifications of making the type of vote he is, continuing the style of play he has gotten slammed for in that type of direction is just bad town play instead of bad scum play.
So Varsoon wagon. Go away.
NC is good, SB is good, GCBC is actually quite decent as well.
Need to talk with my other half but CGBC in 309 is all kinds of scum. NC still is really scummy (still kinda waiting for that Varsoon lynch reasoning) though, and im happy leaving the vote there.
Also four days to deadline, and im having mild connection issues (which look like they will persist for a couple weeks). Nothing that warrents replacing but just less accessable than normal self.- Jake from Rainbowdash
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I just did a quick search of ac1983 for the phrase "anti-town" and I come across 2 open games where he was town in both and he voted players for being anti-town, one of those players (belisarus) was actually scum.
ac using anti-town is par for him and isn't a policy lynch, so can we please end this stupid conversation about policy lynching?
k thx
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If it was easier to switch between this and my main, I'd probably post more fwiw. Logging off and on sucks.
I'm going to re-read tonight though and I'll create an AIM account to chat with RD.
The mod allowing 72 hours without a post before a prod is going to kill this game. 73 hours plus + 24 to 48 to respond to a prod with a 2 week deadline just gives scum invective to lurk.
72 hour deadlines should be for 3+ week deadline games IMO.
:gets off soapbox:- Jake from Rainbowdash
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I will get to it, it may be nothing but I wanna bounce it off my other half.In post 352, hapahauli wrote:The floor is yours.- Jake from Rainbowdash
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While I wait for Toomai, I decide to look over the low posters.
Dyslexion - hasn't posted since Saturday but has managed 11 posts between yesterday and today (if you are town, diaf)
AC1983 - doesn't have posts anywhere else but here so while I want him to increase his activity, he doesn't seem to be avoiding the game
Nic - Has only 1 post since his last post here, and his posts here haven't been that great. Still think he is scum.
Daemon - same as AC1983 basically
Zelfind - same as AC1983 basically
Scott - Same as AC1983
my biggest issue with AC/Daemon/zelfind/Scott is essentially lack of activity is slowing the game down. I realize not everyone can be online all day/every day but these guys really need to try and post more.
Dyslexion gets a big FOS from me, because avoiding a game has no town motivation at all. If he is town, like I said above he can go diaf.
/rant
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we are not lynching a claimed PR, even in the off chance he is lying. I have seen this mistake way too many times. I will admit that in the QT I posted that I agree with the case, but the speed of this wagon is way too fast. especially with a PR claim.
fake or not, we will hope somebody out there can verify it tonight and if he is legit, than he is mafia's issue to deal with.
if anyone wants proof of my stance about lynching claimed PRs, I will be happy to link a game.
today we are lynching Nic or maybe Scott. I'd even be ok with a Toomai lynch.
that is all. Anyone hammers AC and he happens to flip town, you may as well just sign your death certificate. We are not lynching AC today.
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http://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=24199 - cop lynched day 1
and this was my response, I didn't believe the claim but I said we should not lynch him. He got lynched anyway and flipped cop.
In post 439, Jake from State Farm wrote:
Did you really just say this?But if there is no counterclaim - surely my claim holds water then.
That's an admission of guilt if I ever saw one. The odds that a cop is in this setup anyway is slim, not many normal games have them and when they do they usually have a modifier attached.
No self respecting cop would ever counter on day 1.
That being said, I have a no lynching of a claimed PRs on day 1. Surely we can give him a stay of execution for 1 day.
bottom line, day 1 we don't lynch claimed PRs EVER.
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we lynch one of Nic/SB/Toomai, my preference being NicIn post 407, hapahauli wrote:So when do we lynch him? What is your plan for killing him in the event that he's lying?
if he is lying, he gets lynched tomorrow. Hopefully we have a cop or something who can investigate him. If he is town, scum will have to think about killing him or hoping town lynches him tomorrow. It makes it much harder for scum if he is telling the truth and we can somehow clear him.
we can talk about all of this tomorrow though.- Jake from Rainbowdash
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ultimately your case on Ac is a meta case, albeit it a very good one, it's still a meta case. meta case alone isn't a reason to vote him. his cop claim gives him the benefit of the doubt that OMG you could just be wrong.
you don't think it's the least bit off that it takes over a week to get Nic to L-1 but AC gets to L-1 in less than 24 hours?
that is at the very least reasonable doubt that AC is legit. I'd actually be ok lynching any of the last 2/3 people who voted Ac, Toomai would be a good lynch but so would Nic
one of those 2 imo.- Jake from Rainbowdash
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Okay because my other half is not quite on the same point I was making in the QT...
A claim like that where you cant actually prove it in any way is not something that you automatically avoid lynching. Its simply a mild reason not to lynch him (im hesitant to actually call it a towntell) in the situation. However, part of the claim I like quite a bit from having a (whole lot) more experience here than you do. Ive been a part (player/mod) of at this point probably over 100 games here, almost EVERY time I see a player claim a limited shot role, ESPECIALLY a non-information limited shot role, they are either town or scum with that exact role.
Him claiming one shot is enough for me to put that wagon on pause. You have decent enough reasoning, but as Jake has said the way the wagon formed, especially when you compare it to the NC wagon, doesn't feel right. The only time a wagon just blitzes to L-1 its on scum? Ehhh... probably not. Its more of extra things instead of a good/bad case that make ac a bad lynch. Yes even though you are going to complain about it - he is a bad lynch. A cop probably shouldn't claim tomorrow or investigate him, but he still is a bad lynch because scum are either going to have to make a more suboptimal kill or take some other course of action.
NC though is scum. Two more points on the matter are
1) His attack on Toom basically comes AFTER the wagon had started, but then he goes back and basically bases his page 10 vote on page 1/2 posts. If he actually saw those as scummy he would have said something about it when that was occurring instead of later
2) He is really keeping options open. Notice that Varsoon gets wagoned as a counter, and he immediately thinks that Varsoon is a decent lynch. This is NC getting ready to jump there when needed. Varsoon on the other hoof has the town reaction.
So yeah. acfan, maybe scum, maybe town, not the lynch. There are situations where you lynch a PR day one and this isn't it, we just follow it later and see what happens. Leaving him alive if he is town becomes massive thorn in scums side.- Jake from Rainbowdash
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Having just read everything posted today I'm inclined to agree with this 100%In post 467, GoodCopBadCop wrote:I hate this town.
Also idk if ac is scum or town but regardless hap's attitude has to be the shittiest I've ever seen. Last I checked you aren't confirmed town and nobody elected you the leader. Take your barking out of this game.
Playing SMART we should not be lynching AC today.
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In post 38, NicCage wrote:Why me and not Toomai?In post 401, NicCage wrote:Hey dys, what do you think of Toomai?
Why the hard on for Toomai all game?In post 453, NicCage wrote:Since no one is interested in Toomai I'll
VOTE: acfan
I don't see how keeping him around for tomorrow is beneficial.- Jake from Rainbowdash
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she also said that we should not be lynching him.In post 471, hapahauli wrote:Furthermore, did you not see what your own partner posted to the effect? The one you so idolize?
so yeah for the most part we are on the same page, so kindly move your vote to nic
thanks- Jake from Rainbowdash
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bbmolla isn't a good bad cop. not sure why he's trying to act like he is oneIn post 473, hapahauli wrote:
Pffft. You're rather sensitive for a "Bad Cop."In post 467, GoodCopBadCop wrote:I hate this town. Don't expect me to post after this.- Jake from Rainbowdash
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CorrectIn post 480, hapahauli wrote:It sounds like you'd be perfectly alright with lynching AC if he claimed VT, correct?- Jake from Rainbowdash
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- Joined: April 17, 2013
In my many years of mafia I have seen town PRs get lynched day 1, even been lynched day 1 as a PR. It takes the wind out of town's sails. It's not optimal play to take a gamble on day 1.In post 483, hapahauli wrote:Basically, a policy isn't grounds for an opinion unless you can justify it in the specific situation.
I want to try and sit down and see it from your point of view right now. Because I really just don't understand why you are holding the stance that you are.- Jake from Rainbowdash
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Jake from Rainbowdash
- Jake from Rainbowdash
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Jake from Rainbowdash Goon
- Jake from Rainbowdash
- Goon
- Goon
- Posts: 344
- Joined: April 17, 2013
You said there's a high chance he's scum. That's incorrect. There is exactly 50% chance he's some sort of scum, and 50% he's town. Unless there is 3rd part that changes things.
Actually if we are being more specific there is a actually greater chance that 1 player out of 13 is town.
So the odds are we leave him alive at least 1 day
I'm kind of frustrated about another game so I'm done in here tonight. I'll let dashie post. If she wants.
-J- Jake from Rainbowdash
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Jake from Rainbowdash Goon
- Jake from Rainbowdash
- Goon
- Goon
- Posts: 344
- Joined: April 17, 2013
I don't always make sense.
all I am saying is there is no harm leaving him alive another day. The speed of his wagon alone makes me think he is town.
Dyslexia, Demon, Toomai, GCBC, Varsoon in a span of 8 hours.
Dyslexia reads town to me
Demon - looks scummy
Toomai - REALLY scummy
GCBC - Town
Varsoon - Town
hp leaves shows up and asks for a claim but immediately realizes the speed and votes toomai - hp is probably town
my problem is I can't imagine Nic/Toomai are scum together, that would just be some super bussing if you ask me.
Varsoon is also probably town because when the wagon was 5 for him and 5 for Nic, he votes Scott. Scum would vote the counter wagon to himself (unless they are scum together, doubtful)
looking at the VCs
Nic and Var at both at 5 - Var and GCBC vote Scott, this puts Var back to 4 votes as GC was voting Var
Toomai then votes to put Nic at L-1 for essentially no reason at all.
I unvote but revote nic - thought I saw a Scott/toomai connection but could not verify anything
post 363 - toomai does answer my question explaining his read on Nic, with links to post. That takes effort that I am less inclined to expect from scum
this is when all hell breaks lose with the AC counter wagon.
Nic is the correct lynch. If Nic flips scum I actually like Hap as his potential partner, since Nic was almost lynched and he is still fighting the Nic lynch.
anyway
that's my .02
OH and Scott gets scum points for trying to start a new wagon so close to deadline, because as of 468 nobody was voting toomai and we are 1 day out.
lynch Nic not AC please. Toomai is actually probably town
-J- Jake from Rainbowdash
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Jake from Rainbowdash
- Jake from Rainbowdash
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Jake from Rainbowdash Goon
- Jake from Rainbowdash
- Goon
- Goon
- Posts: 344
- Joined: April 17, 2013
that post was being written as I went through each post. I started at the vote count in post 308 and went through each post writing what I saw as I read. Post 363 makes so much sense, especially the part about what Nic says in post 302.In post 510, Cheery Pie wrote:What changed in the space between you calling him very scummy and ending the same post with this?
In post 302 Nic says
it is odd because in post 94 nic saysIn post 302, NicCage wrote:Also, I think zefiend is town now also, for what it's worth.
and between those zef has 2 posts (3 if you count his EBWOP) and the transition makes no sense, especially since nic doesn't explain why he does a 180.I guarantee that zefiend chose that vote because he thought it was safe, which would either point to scum or newb trying not to stick his neck out. I went with scum.- Jake from Rainbowdash
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Jake from Rainbowdash Goon
- Jake from Rainbowdash
- Goon
- Goon
- Posts: 344
- Joined: April 17, 2013
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