Newbie 1419 - GAME OVER
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@ notscience - what about Nacho makes you think he was scum, from that small sample?
Have you noticed Mail do anything with said discussion?Brian wrote:If you are talking about the supposed gambit, then I disagree. I feel like the "gambit" benefits the town more because it acts as a catalyst fordiscussion. This discussionis crucial in getting any reads off of other members. Also, it may help the town from lynching possible town power roles. Furthermore, unnecessary attention and scum-like moves can make the mafia more distrustful.
@ Nacho What do you think of a Verbs-Mail scumteam? Verbs-Titus? Everyone else can answer this too tbh but I want Nacho's opinion foremost.- Shiidaji
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Brian, it's practical and almost expected due to site-meta to always have a vote down on one of your scumreads - Perhaps if you vote Mail with me he will be encouraged to actually post content.
(Irrelevant: What is your avatar from?)
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In 97 your wording implied that there wasIn post 111, Verbs wrote:
here's my thought process, which is what you are really interested in i'm guessing.In post 98, Nachomamma8 wrote:And what is it that they gain? Attention?
the gambit's positives: generates discussion, makes people takes sides.
negatives: pressure has been almost entirely on mail, allows scum to avoid pressure by taking a safe/easy opinion on the gambit, if scum avoids the first lynch it makes things easier on them in the later game.
3 > 2, so that is why i've been saying that the gambit is more scummy than town.notown benefit to the gambit - why did this change?
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Then do something useful with your vote, as he clearly isn't responding to your pressure.In post 110, notscience wrote:Oh, I don't think Nacho's scum yet.
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Titus, answer the questions directed at you in my spoiler.- Shiidaji
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I'm not worried, you're just being useless when you could be being useful. Nacho posted after the vote.In post 120, notscience wrote:He clearly isn't responding to the pressure I'm totally placing on him by nakedvoting him because he's totally posted since said vote
Why are you worried about votes on Nacho's slot?
From what?Nacho wrote:mail-verbs doesn't make much sense as a scumteam. Titus-Verbs would make a little more sense, butI have a townread on Titus at the momentso I don't favor it much.
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@Brian and Nacho, consider this:
Verbs is pushing for a lynch of Titus. Meanwhile, he's been actively pushing suspicion on Mail as well, in essentially all of his posts through 111. In 85 he even mentions Mail is a bigger scumread, yet he retains his initial rvs vote on Titus all the way throughout. I feel this shows a split motivation, as town!Verbs should logically have his stronger scumreads as a higher priority for votes, over his less-explained weaker ones. The disconnect here could mean that scum!Mail is interacting with a buddy while throwing attention elsewhere at the same time, or bussing.
Thinking about it again though, I mentioned buddy associations earlier, but we're still in a relatively early stage of the game, so that can be sussed out later. I can see the above being a sensible relational tell from either of Verbs+Titus/Mail, but I need to hear more from Mail to solidify my opinion of him.- Shiidaji
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Reading through this again, I dislike how quantified the logic is here. Did you think through these and say to yourself 'Okay, this and this makes it town, but this, this and this makes it scummy, they are all equally valued in terms of scummyness/townyness.'?In post 111, Verbs wrote:
here's my thought process, which is what you are really interested in i'm guessing.In post 98, Nachomamma8 wrote:And what is it that they gain? Attention?
the gambit's positives: generates discussion, makes people takes sides.
negatives: pressure has been almost entirely on mail, allows scum to avoid pressure by taking a safe/easy opinion on the gambit, if scum avoids the first lynch it makes things easier on them in the later game.
3 > 2, so that is why i've been saying that the gambit is more scummy than town.
Scumtells and towntells aren't things you can measure up on a scale that gets tipped over when there's a majority on one side, is what I'm saying.- Shiidaji
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Oh, I know your kind of player ns, but even your type has a clear thought process with their actions that can be explained later - Winging things doesn't work if you can't. You say you picked up on something from my response to the Nacho vote - Elaborate. Just becauseIn post 135, notscience wrote:Shii, you don't know how I work.
I'm not a clear, concise, detailed and methodical person
I wing things
I like metayouplay in the vein of Fate doesn't mean we do, and if you start explaining things we can work together much better. What have you picked up on Nacho from him ignoring you?
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My titus scumread is dissipating a little bit, moving to nullscum as I like his responses to notscience at the end of page 6, 140 in particular has me re-thinking, I feel townvibes coming from that smiley use.
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I don't see that logic, I only see my version of the argument. Don't really like your argument, but we agree on Verbs, I suppose. Not sure I like this slot as much anymore.In post 144, JKMatthews wrote:Post 111 (the infamous "3 > 2" post) is posted entirely from the assumption that m-m is town, yet tries to paint m-m as scum for it. Also the post analyses whether or not the gambit is good for town, not whether or not it comes from a scummy mindset.
Verbs is scum, let's lynch.
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Gaiden townread has dropped to null at the bottom of page 6, I get a general feeling of activity from him but I don't 'FEEL' him being that townish anymore.
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In post 156, Verbs wrote:i don't agree that post111 is assuming that mail is town, i wrote it to list the positives and the negatives that the gambit has on the game. im using positives here to distinguish things that help the town, whereas negatives are things that help the mafia team. why do you think that i am scum? is it because of the first sentence of the above quoted section? because if so i don't understand where you found an assumption within that post that you mention and without that assumption i don't see how you reach the conclusion that i am scum.Nacho, Here's the thing about Verbs, and what I was stressing:He listed positives and negatives of the gambit, then instead of showing a logical thought process of reasoning out which side is heavier, he simply put 3 > 2. That's a perfect way to do something you want as scum, considering how easy it is to just add/remove reasoning to suit you. Say he just pulled two more reasons of his ass to make it 3 < 4, he just as easily could have painted Mail as town, with little to no effort. I don't feel town would come up with this method of deciding on who is scummy and who isn't, do you get what I'm saying?
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More content to read you off of in general, since upon rereading I wavered on my read of you.JKM wrote:Shiidaji - what "further comments" would you like? Just because I haven't made a post that consolidates all my thoughts, I'd be surprised if you couldn't figure out where I stood with most people.
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This is a good example of why Brian is town, I feel. He has malleable reads, that's especially important as a newbie since newscum would be afraid of suddenly changing their opinion, thinking it would attract attention.In post 165, Brian Skies wrote:In post 163, Titus wrote:In post 155, Brian Skies wrote:@Titus
Although, my new analysis of the gambit gives you a slight town read instead of the initial scum-read I had earlier.
I'm inexperienced, my original reads don't mean jack.SE voice:Do not qualify something by lack of experience. Seasoned players will do that anyway and you've given players a reason to ignore you. Sometimes new players get it right, sometimes new players get it wrong.
I apologize. I didn't mean for you guys to ignore my initial reads. I just wanted for you to realize that my current reads may have changed considerably since then.
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Despite my above posting about Titus, this still feels pretty slimy, especially considering Titus is an SE. Early asking for claims on page 7, even in a newbie, isn't something I can say has ever crossed my mind whenever I'm town.In post 170, Titus wrote:Verbs, do you have a claim for us? Or do you believe it is too early for you to claim? You are at L-1 after all.
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notscience, I take you as an aggressive player. If this is true why are you so sensitive about early lynches? I'm not a fan of them either, but you're extremely vocal about it and it feels strange coming from you, it's not like we'reactuallygoing to quicklynch shit.
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: )JKM wrote:If you read closely you'll see I actually want him lynched, but you know, procedure and all...
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@The bolded, aren't you a guy who 'wings' it? Tell me about your playstyle again, I thought that you're the type to trust your gut instincts, where'd the bravado go?notscience wrote:I already gave him heat, because both of you wanting a claim and a hammer this early is mad as hell.
How you all are "confident" he's scum is beyond me, especially given his activity.
Hell, we don't even have a formal reads list from him.
Yes, he is scummy.
No, he shouldn't be lynched this fast.
@Nacho sunset, please look up and tell me what you think.
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Nacho, Brian,what do you think about Gaiden? notscience?
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Find myself agreeing with Nacho w/r/t JKM, about 196 in particular: 'Also why not give this level of heat to Titus for asking for a claim?" has me feeling uncomfortable.
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unvote
Flammus what is your read on me?- Shiidaji
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Rereading the last few pages I'm feeling better about Titus, some of my problems with him earlier could have been attributed to playstyle in retrospect and I'm picking up on some townvibes now, plus Verbs/JKM atp both being on him gives me willies.
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Flammus replacing Mail doesn't place him high from the beginning but I'm reserving judgement until I see more of his thoughts.
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Brian's 231 is basically where I'm at with a lot of people, more nulltown on nacho but other than that his stances mirror mine closely, he describes my Titus feeling perfectly, and describes how I feel about Gaiden's activity.
That's the clincher though, after Mail self-voted, he didn't deliver on content before replacing out, which goes against this notion of him being town-who-knew-what-he-was-doing.In post 232, Flammus wrote:I'll give my opinion on the gambit. M M didn't seem like the most expierenced of players. I doubt that he could've pulled a scum self-vote out. It attracts attention and the spotlight to himself, which goes against the general mindset of newbies which is "please don't notice. Please don't ask me any questions".I think his train of thought was "if I self-vote and show the town how I like to move out of RVS, then I'll get town reads."
Now I can just hear someone saying "get town reads? WTF! Why would a town need town reads? Obviously it's scum needing to avoid suspicion." But it's not just scum who need to be recognized by town. The whole town all bandwagoning a town player does no good for the overall town game.
This whole post problaby made no sense, but I'm tired. I don't know why exactly he used that gambit, and all we can do is speculate. My point is, usually a self-vote should be a red flag. But in a newbie game, where he said (I'm pretty sure he said this) that he played on other websites, then it might be an acceptable strategy there. He problaby didn't know the negativity it would bring him, but it DID get the game rolling.
Flammus's 'I'll give my opinion' on his previous slot does give me some feelings of 'Hi, I'm town and let me tell you guys what I feel my predecessor was thinking' vibes, which comforts me.
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Verbs's Gaiden vote is ok? It makes sense, but the tiny case could've been produced by either alignment without much effort, in general feels very lazy.
While I don't agree that it's defending, the foreign justification feels like something a buddy could do, revisiting if either flips red.In post 252, Titus wrote:I don't like Flammus coming in on defending Verbs. Let players speak for themselves.
phok's reads and rationale matching mine are reassuring, just like Flammus I'm reserving judgement here because he might've just replaced someone who didn't know what they were doing.
Vote: Verbs- Shiidaji
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In post 230, notscience wrote:And Shii, that's the thing.
Mygut isn't pinging hard about himand people are decreeing he's scum and want him to claim.
Explain this.In post 176, notscience wrote:Verbs, do not claim until someone expresses intent.
I think he's scum, but this wagon is shit.- Shiidaji
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[se]Okay here's the thing: You're not going to get anywhere with your style of scumhunting, not unless you develop some credibility. If you want people to listen to you, actually show your thought process, or do it soon after you do your one-off reaction tests to explain yourself and what you got out of it. The way you're playing right now could be improvedso muchif you follow this, plus it would even make it easier for us to read you.
MattP's a great example of the type of player you're trying to emulate: He posts one-off votes, gambits some, annoys people, yells, yet it works for him because peoplelistento him. Why do they listen to him? Because he built up a solid foundation of cred behind his scumhunting abilities, people who find him town and know him sheep him because they trust in his abilities. You're not there yet.[/se]
What do you mean?Verbs feels very much like low-hanging fruit.- Shiidaji
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307 expresses my notscience read nicely, but while I don't agree with Nacho's reversal on NS in 340 I'm not seeing NS as scum with anyone rn
Bert's phresh perspective on the game tastes town and makes me feel better about the slot as a whole, while phok's reactiveness from 366 on where he only responds to things thrown at him gives me some confidence in this lynch.
Bert if you're still on I want to talk before Amrun gets on.- Shiidaji
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Vote: Titus
On my phone right now, but I took notes through a look-through of the thread last night for relations, Verbs isn't plausible as scum anymore Nacho. Titus is the most likely, followed by notscience, I need to you look over the latter for me because if it's not Titus, I'm pretty damn sure it's him.- Shiidaji
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Is ns the type to kill Bert-who-was-townreading him? That's the main thing that gives me pause now after results.
115 and 147-149 both point to TownVerbs, but 245 makes Verbs pretty solidly town in my mind, Gaiden wasn't in the spotlight at all at that point, there was no need to bus at that point since I feel the momentum of the town wasn't going anywhere bad for a Gaiden-Verbs team. ns downplaying it in 248 is bleh though, ungood- Shiidaji
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lappy
Post 279 to 282 still sticks out like a sore thumb in my mind, gives me aggressive scum caught with his hand in the cookie jar vibes.
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Relationally, 178 gives me pause because I can imagine a boisterous type like notscience proclaiming that one of his buddies was on a wagon as scum, it just oozes.
"I'm willing to wager his buddy already is bussing him, but I can't tell who it is thus far because of how fast everyone jumps down his throat."
(4) Verbs - Nachomamma8,SXTLHGaiden,JKM, Titus
Also, pay attention to 251 where ns defends Gaiden from Verbs's proclamation, wherein Gaiden shouldn't have really been a blip on ns's radar at that point, the interaction was pretty pointless if it was townNS.
there was something else but I need to go dig it up, one sec- Shiidaji
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the post that Bert pointed out, it can be boiled down toIn post 263, phokdapolees wrote:Pertaining to the actual game, I just finished catching up on everything, and here's what I think so far (forgive me if I mix up facts or something like that, it's hard absorbing 271 posts in a short amount of time). Nacho and Shii are my strongest town reads so far, both are actively scumhunting and analyzing information accurately. I'm also getting the feeling that Brian is town, he has a lot of reasoning behind his actions, and his analyses have been better than I would expect for a newbie. I get the vibe that Flammus is town too based off of his posts alone, but that gambit in the beginning by Mail still makes me a little suspicious. I'm not sure exactly what to think of Titus, some actions seem pro-town, some seem anti-town, null on this one. Verbs, null-scum in my opinion, seems suspicious because of the supposed reasoning behind Mail's gambit, but that's not enough to make me too suspicious of him. I'm suspicious of JKMatthews and notscience the most, JKM because of the situation with Mail's replacement and asking for a lynch, and notscience becauseof low levels of activityand not much reasoning behind the vote for Shii.
Nacho
Shii
Brian
Flammus
Titus
Verbs
JKM
notscience
Typically, around yellow (null) is a good place to look for where newscum place their partners. In this case though I wouldn't discount the red either, since phok didn't actually even place a vote on either of his scumreads.
The bolded is really really weird and was never addressed.- Shiidaji
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Gaiden, notscience, and Titus, all three of them contested or questioned Verbs's vote to varying degrees in the preceding posts, Flammus!Scum could've simply gone along with the flow, or perhaps not even said anything. That he would rationalize an argument against his buddy, instead of vehemently agreeing or disagreeing with it, doesn't sit with me as him being scum. I don't have a strong argument for Flammus town tbh, but I feel we have better odds attacking elsewhere.
What do you think about Titus in relation with Gaiden now that you have time?
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ns you're cute : ) Reread that post to yourself btw because you're not helping yourself.- Shiidaji
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you're like a hyperactive little puppy barking up a storm I just want to pinch your cheek :>>>In post 501, notscience wrote:"i'm not helping"
Yet I was one of the people behind the phok lynch
10/10
You also only have 4 mentions of the scum slot in your entire ISO, including the vote. I'm not putting stock into you not having the balls to bus with so little precedence.- Shiidaji
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I don't have time for that, if you want me to see you as town show me yourself or quit your grandstanding.
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Thinking Amished? The post gives me mild townvibes personally.In post 573, Nachomamma8 wrote:
interesting.In post 212, Flammus wrote:Howdy. I'm Flammus.
Sad to see I already got two votes on me. Anyhow, I'll be reading over these pages and get back to you.
Sleeping on this, good night.- Shiidaji
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My thought process is pretty clearly explained, I felt that Flammus wouldn't be as likely scum as Titus before the latter was confirmed, and was explaining my ns suspicion. My Flammus read as a whole was unrelated and unshared at that point.In post 628, Brian Skies wrote:In post 627, Shiidaji wrote:unvote
Elaborate.Brian Skies wrote:He was acting suspiciously at the beginning of Day 2.
Verbs, check me or Brian. If Flammus isn't scum ns-scum or nacho-scum would become pretty evident after a while.
I just don't see how you can think notscience was likely to be mafia, and totally miss Flammus.
And I don't mind if I get checked. I'd rather just claim, but whatever.
@ the latter post, ffr just say you think I'd be scum should Flammus flip green, it avoids confusion and makes your stance look less wishy-washy.- Shiidaji
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(I thought Nacho was the PR ftr, especially towards the end of Day 2.)
Brian, read through D3 notscience again with regards to the future, he's arguing for Nachotown. Does that make any sense as the last scum who needs two more mislynches to pull this off?
Nacho, why did you ask this.In post 693, Nachomamma8 wrote:Brian, why do you think ns is scum?- Shiidaji
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short on time.
Day 3 started - what was your read on me? Has it changed at all and why?In post 700, Nachomamma8 wrote:
Because I haven't decided myself.In post 695, Shiidaji wrote:Nacho, why did you ask this.
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His confidence in directing Verbs made me feel he was a doc that thought he had the game in the bag, along with this postIn post 701, Brian Skies wrote:
Why did you think this? Also, does this make me confirmed PR?In post 695, Shiidaji wrote:I thought Nacho was the PR ftr, especially towards the end of Day 2.
I felt it was either BPNacho trying to draw a nk or docnacho basically sealing the game;In post 590, Nachomamma8 wrote:
actually, I have a good feeling there is a doctor and as long as the doctor protects you, everything should be good. i'm pretty fucking confident the game will end with a flammus lynch, though.In post 588, Verbs wrote:lets make this a long day because i am probably the next to go at night
Yes.
see post 478, I'll elaborate if necessaryIn post 702, Brian Skies wrote:Okay, so I'm just not in the mood right now because it's late and I'm tired. But tomorrow I will have the time to finally post my giant walls. Look forward to them.
Also, I would like it if Shii would provide the reasoning for his suspicion on notscience from Day 2, even if it isn't applicable anymore.
Brian, I'll respond to your wall later.
?In post 722, notscience wrote:Brian, remember what Shii said about scum needing to push 2 MLs to win and me having a townread on Nacho is weird (especially with how strong it is) and then Shii went all paranoid?
ns, re-read my post (695) and either acknowledge the logic behind it or refute it. It doesn't make any sense for ns-scum to townread Nacho and attack Shii. Why? Because after Shii is ML'd in that situation, ns-scum would be stuck vs. Nacho, the player he'd been arguing as town for D3, in MYLO/LYLO D4.
On the other hand, Nachohas yet to mention his read on me. He's pushing you (notscience) as scum today without taking a stance on me. That totally makes sense from a scum perspective - Scum!Nacho would know that ns would be a mislynch and that he'd be facing off against me in MYLO/LYLO tomorrow. Do you understand? I'm reading you as town, therefore Nacho is more likely scum, since you two are the only people that can be scum from my perspective.- Shiidaji
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It does, however the 'sort of suggests' bit where you didn't mention me until prompted leaves room for doubt from my point of view, it would make it an easier transition into D4 where a ScumNacho would have to face me.In post 740, Nachomamma8 wrote:
I haven't actually posted much today, but pushing notscience as scum sort of suggests I find you town, no?In post 729, Shiidaji wrote:He's pushing you (notscience) as scum today without taking a stance on me. That totally makes sense from a scum perspective - Scum!Nacho would know that ns would be a mislynch and that he'd be facing off against me in MYLO/LYLO tomorrow.
admittedly Nacho's posting since then's dulled my scumread, in particular with 782 in his really specific thought process through the PR crumb, it's really ringing townvibes in my head even though ScumNacho could totally pull that off.
Brian, are you still here? Anyone else? I need sleep but I'll stick around for an hour or two for this, if I'm understanding the deadline we're on a tightrope.- Shiidaji
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: >In post 815, Brian Skies wrote:Yayyyyyyyyyy!!!! <3 <3 <3
Do you still want this? I'm looking at the three again rnBrian, I'll respond to your wall later.- Shiidaji
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: >In post 815, Brian Skies wrote:Yayyyyyyyyyy!!!! <3 <3 <3
Do you still want this? I'm looking at the three again rnBrian, I'll respond to your wall later.- Shiidaji
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Brian - Do you think phok would say the latter about a buddy? As in, would he be the type to downplay someone reading his buddy as town whereas he'd normally just ask the first bit?
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Yeah, have other site shit to catch up on, calling it a night at 2 though.
What AtE? @ the former it's sort of similar to my vibes from 816 w/r/t the crumbs, town have a much easier job of it, though Nacho is, well, Nacho.In post 830, Brian Skies wrote:How do you feel about Nacho not wanting to be protected at the end of Day 1 and the AtE at the beginning of Day 2?
Well coming into this game I knew Nacho was an exemplary IC and a really good player as either alignment just from word of mouth, judging from that he's totally -capable- of doing it. Wether or not he's the type to do it I don't know.In post 831, Brian Skies wrote:Also, do you think Nacho is the type of person to hard bus? I'm not familiar with meta at all.
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I need you to take a serious look at my logic at the bottom of 729 and see wether or not you agree with it - It's my main -thing- for nstown/nachoscum over the other option.- Shiidaji
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You're the only person person left that isn't town from my perspective. I was wrong about you, shit happens.In post 863, notscience wrote: Look familiar, folks?
This is what Nacho responded to Shii when shii said I was probably town because writing someone off as town like that would make it hard to do as scum. And if I was scum and Shii had been lynched yesterday, that is what would have happened.
But look!
The person Shii was scumreading flipped town, and now Shii did exactly what Nacho said scum would do.
No. It doesn't work that way.
Incorrect. You weren't my top scumread D1, Verbs was, I was very clear about this. Now try to point out the fault in the bolded - You can't.SPOILER ALERT
For someone who was so adamant as scum, they spent a lot of time not voting me. Hell, I was Shii's top scumread in D1+D2.AT ONE POINT, SHII EVEN SAYS IF IT ISNT TITUS THEN IT IS MEYet, D3 Shii doesn't try to lynch me, nor does Shii try late-D2. Instead, Shii sees the perfect opportunity to push Nacho out because Shii knows he won't win a lylo 1v1 against Nacho.
Look at this from Shii's POV. Would you rather be in lylo as scum against me or Nacho?We didn't know Titus was confirmed town until Verbs came in late D2. My activity at that point in time was spare, and 634 was me implying I wasn't ready for D2 to end. You were my preferred lynch target over Flammus at that point considering the info I'd gathered by that point but - "I don't see ns as super-town like my other townreads do and it bugs me." This. I was the only one scumreading you at that point - my vote on you wouldn't have mattered, and I was interested in seeing if you would be able to reverse that read. - Shiidaji
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