Xenogears Mafia (Game Over)


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Post Post #13 (isolation #0) » Mon Aug 12, 2013 3:02 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

99% sure Nachopappa is scum.

Vote: Nachopappa
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Post Post #41 (isolation #1) » Mon Aug 12, 2013 4:36 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

@TD,

PGO claiming isn't bad. But like millers, they die before lylo.

What's stopping you from voting Venmar?
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Post Post #43 (isolation #2) » Mon Aug 12, 2013 4:49 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

Vote: TiphaineDeath
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Post Post #98 (isolation #3) » Mon Aug 12, 2013 6:43 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

tiphaine wrote:I want zmuffin to answer this, not ven, what's scummy about my post?
If by "scummy", you mean "something that scum does", then I think your post is scummy because it came from you.

This should be fairly straight-forward.

If you're asking how I know you're scum from this, then it comes down to two reasons. The first is that I see no town reason to vent your frustration here, especially since his play as a PGO is valid and makes sense, and I see every reason why you as scum would think that making a big deal out of it would possibly make you seem more town because you didn't consider that it was a good move for a town PGO to make. The second is my personal belief that the way in which you said what you said was awful and fake.

Also, since that post, I don't believe you have no better place to put your vote than where it currently is for RVS reasons... You could have even voted me, and at least pretended to apply some pressure to me, but you didn't. So yep, you're scum and you need to die. This part is no longer valid as of #93, but you're still scum.

More votes on TD please. TY.
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Post Post #505 (isolation #4) » Mon Aug 12, 2013 5:45 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

People I'm not lynching today: venmar, notscience, mac, sound of silence
People maybe town but not completely sure: beautyandthebeast, ghostlin, nickthename, trustfund

If mastin is town, this is the first game i've seen him read me incorrectly from my initial posting. but I don't really think he's town atm so that doesn't particularly matter to me.
BRO is probably scum, there was a wall somewhere on like p8 that made me think this. The next post about scum on the TD wagon and no effort to do anything about it pretty much solidified this.

The speed with which the TD wagon built up is
not
a sign that he's town, or even likely town. It's null at best, and I'm sure as fuck not going to discount his play just because his wagon built up quickly. Off the top of my head, Ghostlin should remember the shit position town got put in when the whole town thought this exact same thing on D1 of Cyclic x02 - it made for a very easy scum win. The point being; judge his play, and the play of the people voting him, not the fucking speed of the wagon.

I think someone asked me a question some pages back about why I voted TD before he answered my question. The answer is, "why the fuck not?" It was a better place to put my vote than where it currently was for RVS reasons, and I pretty much told you why I voted TD in my next post anyway, so this kind of seems like a dumb question.

I'm skimming a lot of these posts, so if I missed any questions, meh. I might go back and read this thread closely when I have time and see what else I can find in the first 20 pages, but these are my basic thoughts on the game so far.
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Post Post #507 (isolation #5) » Mon Aug 12, 2013 6:16 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

I agree. AtE isn't a reason to lynch someone over. But I think the way in which he handled the votes was bad, and I think if he were town, he'd at least try to show that he's town rather than whine and AtE.

I also still hold that his initial post about the PGO looked really, really fake, for reasons that have been listed by several posters.

Point me to posts that gave you scum reads on nickthename, rachmarie and nhammen.
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Post Post #508 (isolation #6) » Mon Aug 12, 2013 6:29 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

I would also like to note that BRO still isn't voting anyone, and after his claim about scum on the TD wagon, I at least think he would try get some momentum going on a scum read of his if he were actually town.

If the TD wagon dies, I'll move to BRO.
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Post Post #511 (isolation #7) » Mon Aug 12, 2013 6:39 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

@Aj,

I thought the WTF is this shit post looked more town than scum. "Strong reasoning" isn't necessarily a town trait. I thought his reaction was more natural, thus more likely town. The Venmar vote I didn't really care about. If anything though, I think the reasoning he gave for the Venmar vote looked more town than TD's initial reaction to it.

I skimmed over all the rest of his posts, so I can't really comment on the rest of it (thus, asking to be pointed to specific posts). If a nick wagon actually builds up, I'll review his ISO, but for now I don't care about him.

@thezmon,

I'll look over rachmarie in a bit, she's one of the posters I've skimmed over and not really paid attention to.
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Post Post #512 (isolation #8) » Mon Aug 12, 2013 6:47 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

OK, yeah, RachMarie is scum, too.

#66 was pretty much all IIoA and then ended with "time for content" which was kind of ironic.

Rest of her posts are not any better.

Literally zero content, no votes so far, no reads (as far as I can tell).

If a RachMarie wagon starts I'll sheep that.

I'll read FTL soon and tell you what I think of that wagon because I don't remember thinking anything about his alignment from what I've read.
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Post Post #520 (isolation #9) » Mon Aug 12, 2013 9:19 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

@AJ,

Spoiler:
aj wrote:I never quite understood the TD wagon.
While I can't speak for others, I'll explain my line of reasoning here.

The reaction to the PGO claim felt fake. Talked about this a lot already, and I can maybe see how it's possible he would make the same post as town, but I still feel it's more likely to come from scum than town.

The flippant posting around p4 and p5 was just plain horrible. I considered two possibilities here: he's town and just playing really, really badly, or he's scum who thinks playing like this will make it seem like he doesn't care about the votes (and that perhaps this will make people think he's town). Again, I can see the possibility that he is town, but I think it's far more likely to come from him as scum.

Since then, while I've seen some posts that gave me slightly townish vibes, I've seen nothing that really makes me think town.

I want to see his reads on the game so far, and explanations for them, and then I'll decide from there whether I think the TD wagon is still good or not. His attack on mac for a "slip" is terrible and he should feel bad regardless of his alignment. I can maybe understand him not reading mac as town, but I don't see the scum read making much sense. (Yes, I'm aware that I have a town read on nick and he's also voting mac but I don't have an issue with nick's mac case, it doesn't strike me as a fake scum case, I just think he's wrong.)
aj wrote:This isn't TD's scum game
I don't care much for meta, but what about his play so far resembles his town game?

If nothing, then we can assume his play so far neither resembles his town or scum game, and therefore conclude that this means nothing.
aj wrote:I do believe B&B were right with the idea to analyze that wagon
That's an absolutely horrible idea prior to a flip, and if I see anyone doing it I'll basically ignore their opinion on anything for the entire game.

Unless by "analysing the wagon", you simply mean analysing who was saying what about the wagon, both on and off it, and determining which is more likely to come from scum than town. In which case, go ahead, but don't do it on the assumption of TD's alignment. And if this is the case, I'd like to point you towards BRO and RachMarie.
aj wrote:Varsoons post to Nhm was awful
I'll go back and read FTL in a bit, but tell me why you think it was awful and why this makes him scum?




---
ghost wrote:Mastin's being passive, but he's being Town passive.
I don't agree with this. I don't think his approach to the game so far is at all an indication of his alignment (I can see him doing the same thing as scum or town), and I'm not all that impressed with the apathetic attitude he seems (or is pretending) to have adopted.

The only thing that's making me think mastin could be town is I don't think mastin-scum would seriously think attacking me is a good choice to start the game with. If he's scum, either he's forgotten how obvious I make it when I'm town, or he's doing some reverse-reverse-reverse psychology bullshit because he knows that i know that he knows that i know etc etc...
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Post Post #521 (isolation #10) » Mon Aug 12, 2013 10:20 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

While I have issues with some of FTL's posts (#53, #55, #99, #144), I don't see anything else that really points to scum right now, and my issues with these posts have been partially explained in later posts by him. If you think the inadequacy of his explanations makes him obvscum, that's fine, but I don't see it and I'd like to see the reasons people think this.

I don't see anything that stands out as town either, but I think the arguments for him being scum are meh.

I have trouble reading this type of player.
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Post Post #523 (isolation #11) » Mon Aug 12, 2013 11:09 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

Why do you think TD is town?
If you think TD is town, why are you still voting for him?
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Post Post #525 (isolation #12) » Mon Aug 12, 2013 11:18 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

So?
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Post Post #528 (isolation #13) » Mon Aug 12, 2013 11:26 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

ftl wrote:so what?
So why is that stopping you from unvoting him and voting any of your scum reads?

And why do you think TD is town?



Also didn't Nacho get replaced?
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Post Post #529 (isolation #14) » Mon Aug 12, 2013 11:26 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

Oh, other Nacho got replaced. I see.
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Post Post #535 (isolation #15) » Tue Aug 13, 2013 12:57 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

@nick,

Who do you think is scum apart from mac? I've read your points on mac, they're thoroughly unconvincing. Do you have any other scum reads?



@ftl

OK, I really don't give two shits if you write an essay or not. You had TD as a scum read, you now have him as a town read, this needs explanation. I want to understand the progression of your read on him.

Try not to answer with something like, "only Varsoon thought he was scum!" because that's a cop-out answer. You're a hydra, stop posting your reads if you can't even agree on the person you're voting. Hydra dissonance is fucking annoying.
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Post Post #540 (isolation #16) » Tue Aug 13, 2013 1:12 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

ftl wrote:why are you so concerned over where my slot parks its vote?
... ... ... ... ... Because where you have your vote is _usually_ an indication of who your top scum read is, or at least the scum read that you think has the most support to be lynched.

At the moment, it's on a town read of yours, and seeing as I'm still trying to figure out whether you're town or scum, it should be rather obvious why I'm questioning you about this.

Lucky for me, I've decided I don't think you're scum right now, so I can ignore all your posts from now on and save myself a headache.
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Post Post #543 (isolation #17) » Tue Aug 13, 2013 1:18 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

Godly One wrote:BRO is probably scum, there was a wall somewhere on like p8 that made me think this. The next post about scum on the TD wagon and no effort to do anything about it pretty much solidified this.
Godly One wrote:I would also like to note that BRO still isn't voting anyone, and after his claim about scum on the TD wagon, I at least think he would try get some momentum going on a scum read of his if he were actually town.

If the TD wagon dies, I'll move to BRO.
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Post Post #545 (isolation #18) » Tue Aug 13, 2013 1:39 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

I have already explained my thoughts on TD in #520 (click the spoiler)
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Post Post #552 (isolation #19) » Tue Aug 13, 2013 2:18 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

You can if you want.
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Post Post #573 (isolation #20) » Tue Aug 13, 2013 5:04 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

Vote: RachMarie


I have decided that this needs to die.
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Post Post #574 (isolation #21) » Tue Aug 13, 2013 5:07 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

Also Mac is town, and FTL is likely town, too.

When I feel like it, I may wall you into oblivion to show my thoughts on why both of them are likely town, but the time for that is not now.
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Post Post #579 (isolation #22) » Tue Aug 13, 2013 5:31 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

Mac isn't a controversial read. Only you and TD are reading her as scum, and you're both wrong about it. If I need to go over why, I will later. Currently in the process of doing something else at the moment that requires much more of my attention.

As for FTL, the back-and-forth with the MS head is what gave me the town read, and again if I need to go into more detail, later.
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Post Post #603 (isolation #23) » Tue Aug 13, 2013 6:50 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

I have decided that all my reads are shit and I need to start over.

I'll give the reasoning behind my current reads on Mac and TFL before I do, but they may change when I properly read the game.

I've gone really, really wrong somewhere. I have the entire early TD wagon as town (or likely town). Even if TD is scum, this doesn't make a lot of sense to me.

I need to reevaluate things.
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Post Post #879 (isolation #24) » Wed Aug 14, 2013 5:07 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

The spoilered contains a wall of responses, comments and questions to different people (TD, nick, BRO, desperado, malakittens). The rest of the game is free to ignore it if they want.

Spoiler: wall of bullshit
TD wrote:Muffins, you are either misrepping hard or incapable of actually reading. I'm going to give you the benefit of the doubt here.
I would prefer you didn't give me the benefit of the doubt here, and instead tell me why what I've said is "misrepping hard" or wrong.

Do you have a reason to think I'm town or something?


---
nick wrote:Since these are fairly controversial, could you, like, post at least a summery of why you think them?
re TFL, I was pretty much entirely null on his posts when I first looked over them (I think I already mentioned this in one of my earlier posts) but after the exchange with MS on p22 I decided FTL was likely town. This is mostly to do with the responses I was getting from MS and my assessment that he is more likely to be open about his reads without consulting with his other head if he's town. But yeah that was the catalyst for me thinking he's town. I still have minor issues with his early play, but not enough to think he's scum, and some of his other posts have felt kind of townish. At the very least, I haven't seen anything particularly convincing in the way of a case on him yet, so I'm happy with him being a town read for now.

re Mac, this is mostly to do with the way he is approaching the game. It looks like he's been trying to figure out what's going in this game and the way he's doing this looks really town - mostly due to the lack of confidence I'm seeing here. His latest posts have reinforced this. I don't find the reasons for his vote on TD particularly scummy at all. And again, I don't think any of the cases I've seen for Mac being scum are convincing. Only real issue I have with Mac at the moment is he just unvoted and is now doing nothing with his vote, but meh, I'm beginning to think there's something wrong with this game in that regard, because half the player list is not voting at the moment.


---
BRO wrote:I'm getting a less scummy feeling from muffinz
Elaborate on this read when you have time. What about my early posting did you feel was "scummy" and what about my posting after that changed this?
BRO wrote:I am also scumreading Mac.
Also elaborate on this read, too.


---
desperado wrote:Mac's TD push her is very reminiscent of Mac's push on monkeyman as scum in WWE mafia--it begins in #2056 and extends to #2108
I really dislike meta as an argument, but I had a look over that game anyway and see distinct differences in the way Mac approched the push on monkeyman in that game and the way Mac has been playing here. For example, in that game you get confident statements like "today we lynch monkey chaps", "monkey votes please. he is today's lynch", "it's blatantly obvious that you were feigning stupidity" - I could go on and on, but what I'm saying here are there are a lot of statements that reek of confidence in that push. In this game, however, Mac has been more inquisitive, less confident, etc etc. This is all stuff I mentioned earlier in this wall (in my response to nick), but I feel it's even more apparent now that you've linked his scum meta. So uh, yeah.

I acknowledge that there are also similarities between that game and this one, kinda... But they don't point to Mac being scum IMO.

Maybe you can tell me why I'm wrong here, or perhaps link me to other games that show a similar playstyle from Mac as scum.


---
malakittens wrote:I'm not liking Muffin
Why? Why did you basically explain every other read and not this one?
malakittens wrote:Holy fucking scum-tell Batman.

Someone REALLY cares about how they look right now.
Talk about your vote on FTL a bit, please. I don't see the "scum-tell" there or anything particularly scummy in that post.
malakittens wrote:Can you give me links on Mastin's accuracy to read you?
I cbf getting the links for the games, but there's Brightest Day (Large Theme), Large Normal 137, Large Normal 146 (where he was the only active member of Palisade, I'm just remembering this read off the top of my head because the records of it have been deleted but mastin may be able to verify this if he remembers the game), Large Normal 143 (although he was scum in a multiball game here, so this doesnt't count for much), Mortal Kombat (Large Theme) (he had me as a town read for most of it and never thought I was particularly scummy outside his mastin-esque VCA). There may be other games that I'm forgetting or were deleted back around the end of 2011.

Looking back, I realised I don't recall ever playing scum in a game with mastin, unless it was on an alt I don't know about.
malakittens wrote:That's actually just normal for Rach in any alignment. She tends to do that =\
If it was as simple as not having done anything so far, then perhaps I'd be inclined to believe it's not alignment indicative. It has more to do with the stuff she's actually done in place of scum hunting that bothers me. I elaborated on this a bit in the spoiler below (in my reply to mastin) if you're actually interested in my thoughts about this.


Special spoiler wall for mastin:

Spoiler: 8==D
mastin wrote:I'm a bit concerned about [Muffin's] stances, such as nicktown, Rachscum, maScum2, TD as scum
What specifically concerns you about these reads?

Also can you put all your current reads together in one post (just the reads, don't give a shit about the explanations for now).

As for the RM-town stuff, no. Just no.

Here are my basic thoughts on RM:
RM wrote:Besides his reaction to Venmar's claim is there even a case on TD? Something other than oh he was scum last time please.
RM wrote:Could you explain your case on him, besides the whole thing with Venmar?
RM wrote:I gather from that that Notty is basically an Innocent Child mod verified?
RM wrote:Could someone let me know who the heads of the hydrae are?
A bunch of quotes from RM with questions that should have been self-apparent to anyone even skimming the game. I added some that you left out to further illustrate the point. All of these are pointless questions that she should either already know the answer to, or should be able to find out with 30 seconds of reading. What this actually looks like to me is RM-scum thinking, "If I ask these questions, maybe I'll look like I'm town who is curious!" or something along those lines.
RM wrote:peeps with votes on Venmar need to like remove them for a bit, the claim will sort itself out soon enough.
This is nothing but fence-sitting. It doesn't suggest anything about her thoughts on Venmar, just that the PGO claim isn't necessarily scummy. She isn't accountable for anything here, so regardless of whatever you think it implies, it doesn't actually mean anything. You can't look back at this and go, "oh, but she thought he was town here!" if she later calls him scum. Also this is
exactly
what I imagine RM-scum would say about this - it is the most simple and basic example of fence-sitting and pretending to be busy.
RM wrote:Want to take a look at the interplay tween B n B and SoS
I do realize of course that the Mollie head and the fery head are long time friends from another site, but want to be sure it is not being used as a cover for buddying.
This is nothing more than a throwaway comment. I would agree that it could be perceived as town
if she actually followed it up with anything
but she never does. What this actually looks like to me is RM-scum just throwing this out there to look like she's being busy when she's actually not doing anything productive at all. You'd have a case for calling her town if she did anything with this, but the far more likely scenario here is RM-scum throwing this out and doing nothing with it (I am aware that you think she did something with this, but I'll get to that in a bit). Do you imagine RM-scum would have said it differently or just not commented on it or something?
RM wrote:Cause though I can see how that would look scummy, the fact we have a wagon build up this fast this early before everyone has even posted kinda sets up my scumdar a tad.
RM wrote:Whether TD is scum or town I am not sure on, but I am leaning town cause that wagon hell Nacho has not even posted yet..... And a few others as well. 8 of 11 votes? Cmon guys n gals we need to examine those on his wagon duh.
These are just throwaway comments. They mean nothing. You can't hold her to a read here or ask her to explain anything, because there
is no read
. There's no accountability in this statement. She's not saying she thinks TD is town and the wagon is bad, or she thinks TD is scum but the wagon has her doubting this, she's just saying the wagon was quick, and it should be examined. And again, this is another throwaway comment because she never actually
does anything
with this... It's another useless statement and far more likely to come from RM-scum than RM-town.
RM wrote:No need to get worried Mollie just I am not 100% sold that both your slot and hers are town. Given time will be better at sorting it out. And part of that would be finding out if its just hey we know each other or that you are playing buddy buddy knowing peeps would think it too blatant to be buddying. As Jiffy and Syr post that will help too.
This is not a followup of her earlier statement about looking into the interplay between SoS and BnB. This is nothing. Literally nothing. It doesn't show she's done anything more to look into it than she did way back when she first said she'd look into it, and there's absolutely nothing here that she can be held accountable for as a read.


And here's the thing mastin, I could deconstruct her entire ISO and show that not only the above stuff points to her being likely scum, but that she has quite literally done no scum hunting, given no reads that she can be held accountable for, has not voted anyone yet, and has basically coasted through the game mostly unnoticed or ignored for reasons I'm not quite able to comprehend at this point in time.

You say she's trying to figure things out? No. Mac is an example of someone trying to figure things out. He's been asking game-relevant questions, giving his positions on players, etc. Compare this to RM and you'd be lying if you actually said she's been trying to figure anything out in this game.

The fact you think all this makes her town and that there's nothing scummy about all this is intriguing.


Current reads:

Town: Venmar, FTL, nick, mac, SoS, BnB
Maybe town: Aj, nacho, desperado
Maybe scum: TD, andrius
Scum: RM, BRO
Good vig shot: notscience (please)

Haven't sorted my thoughts on the rest yet. May look through ISOs later if I can be bothered. If not, tomorrow.
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Post Post #881 (isolation #25) » Wed Aug 14, 2013 5:15 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

I will be glad to look at any cases on my town reads tomorrow and give my opinions on why they're all shit.

In the mean time, it should be rather obvious that I'd prefer they not be lynched.

RM or BRO lynches are infinitely better atm.
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Post Post #882 (isolation #26) » Wed Aug 14, 2013 5:16 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

I might make some cases when I can be bothered.
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Post Post #885 (isolation #27) » Wed Aug 14, 2013 5:21 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

Scum killing notscience would be playing against their wincon. Read his ISO.
ftl wrote:why are you reading Rach as scum?
Click the mastin wall.
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Post Post #889 (isolation #28) » Wed Aug 14, 2013 5:27 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

You assume lylo is 2:1.

Lylo with you still alive is likely 7:6 or 6:5.

Scum know this. They won't kill you.
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Post Post #892 (isolation #29) » Wed Aug 14, 2013 5:33 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

notscience wrote:Not really.

Say you're town. We're both in 6v5 Lylo. You now know 2 of the 6 town. Therefore it's 5v4 , or a 5/9 chance to vote scum.

Which is over 50%.
And 5/9*4/7*3/5*2/4*1/3 is not good odds to get to a 2:1 lylo at which point we'd be left with you to make a decision, meaning 0% overall chance of town win.

Scum know this, they want to keep you alive.
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Post Post #893 (isolation #30) » Wed Aug 14, 2013 5:34 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

er I scrwed up the maths at the end but point still stands
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Post Post #959 (isolation #31) » Wed Aug 14, 2013 8:04 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

Sad thing is I actually believe you're town, mastin. It's just your reads are horrible.
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Post Post #962 (isolation #32) » Wed Aug 14, 2013 8:15 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

Someone link me to posts explaining the scum reads on FTL and nick, please.

I feel I haven't bashed my head against a desk enough already and want something that will motivate me to do it a bit more.

Also mala, questions and shit for you in . Please read + reply ty.
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Post Post #1137 (isolation #33) » Wed Aug 14, 2013 8:33 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

@MALA,
Spoiler:
malakittens wrote:I also find it odd how many people didn't comment on my interaction with Ghostlin besides Mac
I am reading everything, but I've lost interest in commenting on most of the stuff happening - I feel like my opinion's being drowned in a sea of dumbshitness so I don't see a need. It's factoring into my reads, though. And if it's something I feel I need to bring attention to, then I'll do it. I'm also betting that anyone who I'm not responding to is currently skipping over my walls, which is why I'm choosing only to respond to about 5 people. I'm actually considering just lurking through the game until the herd thins, because there's so much dumb shit going on and so few people properly analysing it.
mala wrote:It's like [FTL's] trying to not look scummy and is avoiding in the future being called out for lurking.
I can understand why you might think that, maybe, sorta, but I was null on that. Considering there were already a couple people calling him scummy at the time, it doesn't really surprise me one way or another that he said something like that. It was bad, and he could be scum saying it, but I can also imagine him saying the same thing as town, so I don't really have an issue with it.
mala wrote:Also this is just lazy excuse to have a vote on someone. If I disagree with a read my partner has I'll fight it as much as possible on skype etc. At least I'll attempt to change my hydra's partner's mind. It's like I'm reading him as town, but I'm too lazy to really scum hunt and place a vote.
This is what I initially thought when I started questioning him about it, but during the exchange with him, I actually felt he came off as rather townish. For example, I imagine them as town here because it seems MS genuinely wanted to find out why his other head had a scum read on TD when he was reading TD as town, and I think the openness in him giving his own reads when he questioned me about my scum reads showed town intention. Also it became rather apparent (during the exchange and in FTL's later posts) that they have been trying to get in contact with each other to discuss their reads.

I actually do not see how anyone who really analyses the exchange between MS and I on that page can come off thinking he's more likely scum than town. :/

@MASTIN,
Spoiler:
mastin wrote:Ghostlin's been one of the strongest, most logical, and reasonable players this game. He's about as town as can be.
I disagree with this. I'm kind of null-slightly-townish-but-not-really on Ghostlin atm.

Yes, his posts have been some of the only posts that contained any semblance of logic in this game (and for that I'm grateful), but when I was rereading the thread I realised that there's nothing particularly town about his posts, and I could see him making the exact same posts as scum.

e.g. when I really dissected his and , while all the stances are logical, I didn't feel they were really town. I could see him taking the exact same stances as scum because they're easy stances to take from a logical perspective and I don't feel any particularly town thought process in them.

But maybe this is just me being overly paranoid.
mastin wrote:Aj the Epic is a strong townread, because his content has been good
Same as my read on Ghostlin., except some of the things he've said have looked kinda townish so he's in my maybe town list and at least not someone I'm particularly worried about today.
mastin wrote:I can see zMuffinMan being scum because his reads are even worse than mine are
Do you honestly believe I'd go against the grain this much D1 as scum?

Are you saying this because you simply don't recall me doing this as town in every single game I've played with you?
mastin wrote:TD is a player whose content looks incredibly town
No.
mastin wrote:Your continued posting, me re-evaluating and realizing you were less town than I originally thought and more scum
This doesn't explain your scum read on nick at all, and is really, really lazy.

@DESPERADO,
Spoiler:
desperado wrote:I also took his "TD you're running away" comments to be a form of taunting and akin to the examples you quoted here.
I don't see it that way. I think this was Mac legitimately thinking TD was avoiding answering his questions (and TD was doing this, by pretending that because they weren't actual questions, he didn't need to address them).

Also, this statement still lacks the same confidence I'm specifically talking about.
desperado wrote:Do you have additional experience with him?
No, this is my first game with most of the playerlist since I only recently started playing again after a 1.5-year hiatus (before most of the players here joined this site). But I don't put much value on meta. I imagine I could go through his other games and find things to support my theory about his play here, and you could maybe find some stuff to support yours, but I see that about as useful as TD's horrible ISO analysis where he just tries to find something scummy about everything regardless of whether it actually is or isn't scummy. People who claim "meta reasons" are generally biased or not properly analysing the "meta" of that player.

thezmon et al wrote:By the way. 5 scum slipping. Mastin, are you sure you didn't receive a scum role PM?
Stuff like this is bad. mastin isn't
this
dumb. It's extremely likely he legitimately thought the host said there were 5 scum in this game - whether that actually happened is another case altogether, and I seriously doubt it has anything to do with his alignment, regardless of whether he's actually town or scum here.

---
andrius wrote:Uh, care to explain? I didn't see my name in your post except here so I'm a bit confused.
Gut. I don't have any substantial reason here, so you're a maybe. I didn't like the overreactions in your first wall and I'm not following some of the conclusions you came to in your reads. If I had any strong reason for thinking you were scum right now, you'd be more than maybe-scum, but I don't.

Although I will say the wall this quote is from came off as a bit more townish. It'd help if you explained the SoS/BnB scum reads though, and why you're maybescum on FTL and nick.

---

Also pretty sure was a scum post. Those questions are really, really bad.

Haven't read p46 yet.
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Post Post #1144 (isolation #34) » Wed Aug 14, 2013 9:01 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

Ghostlin wrote:That's...not a town stance.
That's not even a sensible one.
Yeah, TF goes on the list.
Basically my thoughts on TF summarised in three sentences.

The bolded are my thoughts on the entire game summarised in one sentence.
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Post Post #1145 (isolation #35) » Wed Aug 14, 2013 9:03 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

BRO wrote:Wagon speed is alignment indicative because scum are more likely to push a wagon on town than on scum relative to the likeliness of town pushing one on scum. Unless you have bus-heavy scum, but then you can look for the busser.
I have about ten reasons this is really, really horrible, but I think it's a waste of time to discuss theory here.

What I do want to say is that wagon analysis is
at most
circumstantial (as you seem to acknowledge in the last sentence here), and should never be talked about prior to flips, and certainly not as a reason for thinking someone is likely town.

But you seem to think differently, so when are we going to get your analysis and reads based on the speed of the TD wagon? You've mentioned in passing a couple people you think were likely scum on the wagon, but haven't elaborated on any of this yet (unless I missed it).
BRO wrote:Thing that triggered you as scummy was that you jumped on the TD wagon that was bad.
And what made you think I was scum because of this? Am I town now or just less scummy than you initially thought?
BRO wrote:The Mac scumread came mostly from the tone that he had towards the end of his TD questioning: it sounded less like he was trying to discern TD’s alignment and more like he was trying to bully TD into a position to get lynched. Mac’s recent posts have been more townie, though.
So is mac scum, town or null now?

When you finish catching up can you give a list of all your reads (preferably sorted into town, scum and null)? Don't care if there are explanations here, just want something to reference so I know your thoughts on the game.
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Post Post #1151 (isolation #36) » Wed Aug 14, 2013 9:11 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

I've been saying that about BRO for the entire game. Why are people just realising this now?

Look at the first wall post from him in the game. It's the same stuff.
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Post Post #1178 (isolation #37) » Thu Aug 15, 2013 2:53 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

are there any serious mastin votes?
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Post Post #1182 (isolation #38) » Thu Aug 15, 2013 2:57 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

There are none, I'm checking ISOs now. Thus #1178.
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Post Post #1184 (isolation #39) » Thu Aug 15, 2013 3:04 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

In post 1137, zMuffinMan wrote:
thezmon et al wrote:By the way. 5 scum slipping. Mastin, are you sure you didn't receive a scum role PM?
Stuff like this is bad. mastin isn't
this
dumb. It's extremely likely he legitimately thought the host said there were 5 scum in this game - whether that actually happened is another case altogether, and I seriously doubt it has anything to do with his alignment, regardless of whether he's actually town or scum here.
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Post Post #1190 (isolation #40) » Thu Aug 15, 2013 3:11 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

The issue is some people going, "derp, him saying the mod said there were 5 scum = him admitting he's scum." Though how the former implies the latter hasn't actually been explained by anyone because it's nonsense and a way for people to pretend they're doing something when they're not really doing anything at all.
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Post Post #1193 (isolation #41) » Thu Aug 15, 2013 3:37 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

ftl wrote:obviously there are scum pushing this bullshit

who is the scum?
On the mastin wagon?

{Trust Fund, BROseidon, TiphaineDeath, Skullduggery}

I don't feel particularly good about any of these names, but I imagine only two of them are scum.
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Post Post #1206 (isolation #42) » Thu Aug 15, 2013 5:08 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

aj wrote:The team I have is Nick, skull, Mala, with an end of TF/Rach/Andrius.
So you think the entire scum team (outside of Rach?) has said they think mastin is scum?
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Post Post #1222 (isolation #43) » Thu Aug 15, 2013 5:20 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

tf wrote:He's spent more time saying he's town than doing anything else.
Not really, but I agree he's been harping on about it a bit too much. Doesn't make him scum.
tf wrote:His analysis is entirely internal

And this makes him scum because...?
tf wrote:He scumslipped by calling 5 scum
No.



Also,
tf wrote:this dude sat round and jumped hard on Ghostlin's reasons to not like us and the mastin wagon, what're the words.... "opportunistic as fuck"
I didn't have particularly strong feelings about you either way before the mastin push. You were firmly in my null pile because, while you hadn't done anything that looked particularly scummy, you'd also done nothing that looked town either.

But yes, I agree with Ghostlin's points about you liking everyone who votes mastin.

If you want to call that "jumping hard" on you, or "opportunistic as fuck", frankly I don't give a shit. If you're town, your read on me is horrible, and if you're scum, I really hope you try to get me lynched. There's nothing I love more than having some dumb fuck come after me when I'm town.
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Post Post #1223 (isolation #44) » Thu Aug 15, 2013 5:20 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

Fucked up quote tags there but whatever
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Post Post #1233 (isolation #45) » Thu Aug 15, 2013 5:34 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

.............................................

Yeah, I think I'm best off just ignoring you until it's time to lynch you.
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Post Post #1238 (isolation #46) » Thu Aug 15, 2013 5:38 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

@AJ,

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Post Post #1262 (isolation #47) » Thu Aug 15, 2013 6:30 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

sos wrote:I disagree with him on some stuff
Which stuff?
bnb wrote:I almost want to engage him but he doesn't seem interested in anything I have to say
*shrug* You were one of my first town reads, I don't engage with my town reads as much as my other reads, unless I really feel a need to get them on the same page as me, or understand why they're not on the same page as me. You're free to ask me questions if you want, and I am reading all your posts, but I don't feel a need to engage with you.
bnb wrote:he is defending mastin but going after lynchbait rach
If she's lynchbait then why is it so fucking hard to get her lynched?
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Post Post #1275 (isolation #48) » Thu Aug 15, 2013 6:42 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

@TD,

Even if I don't like TrustFund, that's not actually what happened and for someone who got all antsy about me apparently misrepresenting you, you're doing a fine job with your hypocrisy here.



@SoS,

If the RM wagon goes nowhere, I'll join you on the BRO wagon, but yeah, I don't see her as town right now. Is RM just null for you because zero content?

As for TD, I'm actually not sure what to think of him atm. I have him as maybe-scum because I'm having a lot of trouble reading any of his posts as town and I see some stuff that makes me think scum. People keep saying his posts look town but I don't see it at all.
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Post Post #1299 (isolation #49) » Thu Aug 15, 2013 7:30 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

desperado wrote:What did we actually learn about Rach's view of the game from this post? Nothing. "There are almost definitely scum on this bad wagon, we should look there!" is not content. "I'm not sold on both of you as town and you might be using your "hey we know each other" to blatantly buddy as scum" is not content, it's obfuscation.
QFT. This (and the rest of 1294) is a more concise version of the thoughts I posted back in in my mastin response, which expands on a lot of the reasons I think the quotes mastin called town are actually scum quotes.

Don't see where the town reads are coming from.

Also, @Desperado, has some responses to you.
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Post Post #1331 (isolation #50) » Thu Aug 15, 2013 8:35 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

adding mastin to my ignore list
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Post Post #1332 (isolation #51) » Thu Aug 15, 2013 8:42 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

venmar, mac, bnb, sos, ftl, nick

desperado, ghostlin, nacho, mastin

low

malakittens
aj
thezmon
trustfund
td
andrius
skullduggery
bro
RM
high


this is me compared to you btw mastin. so it's not that difference, but I literally think I'm going to break something that I don't want to break if I read any more of the bullshit in your walls, so I'm just going to ignore them from now. first line is town reads i'm very confident about, second line is reads i'm pretty sure but not as confident about.

it's not _that_ different to your list
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Post Post #1334 (isolation #52) » Thu Aug 15, 2013 8:52 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

I've said it a fair few times already, but it began with the exchange I had with MS earlier in the game (like.. p26? or whenever) and then when I was rereading the game I just started reading most of their posts as town.

I've already discussed it in (see response to nick in wall of bullshit) and (see response to Mala, where I talk more about my exchange with MS).

Since then, I've basically been townreading him every post so yeah.

Why do you think differently?
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Post Post #1338 (isolation #53) » Thu Aug 15, 2013 9:03 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

@desperado,

I don't have any experience with either head, but the MS head is currently the biggest reason I think FTL is town, and I haven't seen anything particularly scummy from the varsoon head either after the early dumb shit with posts like #53. I can't (read: don't want to) compare his play in other games so that's not an issue for me.

@ns,

It's the list of players outside my town reads in order of how likely I think it is that they're scum. My vote is currently on RM for reference.
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Post Post #1341 (isolation #54) » Thu Aug 15, 2013 9:09 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

@ns,

RM I've been over a million times. has my really long, expanded thoughts on RM (in the response to mastin - the 8==D spoiler). My other thoughts on RM are riddled throughout my ISO.

As for skullduggery, it's mostly gut based on . I mentioned it in an earlier post (cbf finding it) but the questions he asked here were absolutely useless and basically fake scum hunting. I don't have anything substantial here except gut and feel less good about him than others I'm not reading as town atm.
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Post Post #1347 (isolation #55) » Thu Aug 15, 2013 9:38 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

RM is RachMarie, but yes, I know which of your reads are different to yours and which are similar.

We seem to have like 15 reads we agree on.

Thing is, I like who's on the nick wagon, I just don't think he's scum. I don't know why that particular wagon hasn't picked up speed if I'm right about him and the other people on it, but I think it has something to do with a majority of the *crowd* thinking he's town.
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Post Post #1348 (isolation #56) » Thu Aug 15, 2013 9:38 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

which of my reads* are different to yours

and obviously the above was @mastin
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Post Post #1356 (isolation #57) » Thu Aug 15, 2013 11:05 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

@mastin,

I read over nick in ISO again and I'm not seeing the scum that you're apparently seeing.

Early posts I was null on. Attack on Mac felt genuine. Some posts after that gave me mild town vibes. Responses to various people and comments on various things looked to be coming from a town mindset. And I just don't see the scumminess.

Talk about your read here in as un-mastin-like a way as possible, and convince me I'm wrong about this.
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Post Post #1358 (isolation #58) » Thu Aug 15, 2013 11:07 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

Why would he bother reading the N1 vig target? Seems like a waste of time.
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Post Post #1364 (isolation #59) » Thu Aug 15, 2013 12:24 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

ns wrote:@Muffin- I feel like if we both make it to lylo I want to vote you out of spite
We can crossvote, then.
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Post Post #1459 (isolation #60) » Thu Aug 15, 2013 8:08 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

Skimmed the last few pages, more later but

@Rach,

Could you compile your current reads into 3 categories (town, null, scum)? You can add null-town or null-scum as categories if you want.

I ask this because it's very hard to actually tell what your reads are and Andrius was the only one I saw you actually call scum (and that was just a "leaning" read because something apparently felt "off"). Did I miss something?

As for my games, it's been a long time since I've played a game, so I'm not exactly sure how useful meta research on me is going to be. Do you honestly have no opinion of my play? Would you even know what to look for to judge me based on "meta"?

http://forum.mafiascum.net/search.php?a ... &sr=topics

It's probably difficult to find games I didn't replace into (since I preferred doing that over joining games from the beginning) and I have never drawn scum in a Large game (normal or theme) before. Go ahead and tell me what you find.

Also how much of this game have you actually read?
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Post Post #1460 (isolation #61) » Thu Aug 15, 2013 8:26 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

OK, no looks like I missed the scum read on Desperado, too.

This is what I gather from compiling my own list

Aj weak town
Andrius leaning scum
BnB town
BRO weak town
Desperado weak scum
FTL nullish - scummy MS (?) and town Var
Ghostlin feeling town?
Mac leaning town
mastin2 ???
nacho leaning town
thezmon probably town
malakittens null?
nick leaning town
skullduggery nullish
SoS most likely town
TD ???
TrustFund weak town
Venmar leaning town
Muffin ???

So...

Town: BnB, SoS?, thezmon
Leaning town: Ghostlin?, Mac, nacho, nick, Venmar
Weak town: Aj, BRO, TrustFund
Null: FTL, skullduggery, malakittens?
Weak scum: Desperado
Leaning scum: Andrius
???: mastin, TD, muffin
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Post Post #1466 (isolation #62) » Thu Aug 15, 2013 11:11 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

Question for anyone calling RM town: Why?

If it's based on shitty "meta" reasons, then describe at least one (preferably more than one) difference between her scum and town play, and why you think this is her town play rather than her scum play.

If it's based on the content of her posts, then... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 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I have no words.
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Post Post #1468 (isolation #63) » Thu Aug 15, 2013 11:44 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

I could get behind that vote, too, but I imagine it will be even harder to push through than the RM lynch.
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Post Post #1469 (isolation #64) » Fri Aug 16, 2013 12:41 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

I would personally like to see RM expand more on
all
her reads, but that's probably a big ask, so I at least want to see her expand more on the people below...

Andrius: "but his play just does not feel right here leaning scum" <- EXPAND on this
Desperado: "Confirmation Bias much there Des? Seriously dude have you even read any of my town games, weak scum read here." <- Why is Desperado scum for this? I've probably been pushing for you harder than Desperado, and for longer too, and for much the same reasons. Besides, confirmation bias is something
townies
have - I assume you mean his tunneling is scummy? If so, why? What about his points (or mine) aren't legitimate?
FTL: "nullish due to I see scummy MS and towny Var" <- Please explain the scummy MS part at least.
thezmon: "However his tunneling looks more town tunneling than scum tunneling." <- what is the difference here that makes Desperado scum and thezmon town?
zMuffinMan: How do you have no read on me based on my content and how do you expect to discern my town and scum game if you don't already have an opinion of my play?

The biggest issue I have with (outside of the fact that the reasons for almost all of these reads are weak at best, and the scum reads are especially odd in this regard) is that it looks like her reads were manufactured so as not to go against the grain at all. This is why I want to know how much of the thread RM has actually read and what she's currently basing her reads on.

I'm not exactly sure what I expected from RM-town in terms of reads, but the reads and explanations she ended up giving are in line with what I did expet from RM-scum.


---
RM wrote:I rely a lot on Meta especially if I have not played a bunch of games with someone, which is why I was asking for links so I can skim through and see if I can get a better handle on some of the other players.
Other than the fact that I think meta arguments are ridiculously stupid because 99% of players who look at "meta" generally have no clue what to look for, I'm not sure how exactly you think you'll be able to discern scum play from town play just from skimming through a bunch of games.
mala wrote:Everyone is calling her scum and pushing her for being useless, but her reads really don't develop until later.
No. This isn't why anyone thinks she's scum (at least not as far as I can tell). It literally has nothing to do with how "useful" she's been. You're grossly understating the reasons people think she's scum.
ghost wrote:the fact you used scumslip is part of your reasoning is superfuckingbadhorrible and you should feel superfuckingbad horrible.
To be fair, it isn't part of the reason Desperado is pushing for the RM lynch, and I also read it as a weird thing for RM-town to say when I first read it. But I'm willing to give her the benefit of the doubt here and assume she meant "if I get lynched" rather than that being a slip.

But I mostly agree with your opinion on slips, and it's why I think the mastin "5 scum" stuff was borderline retarded. There are some times when I think you can legitimately argue that a person was not thinking with a town mindset, but they are few and far between.
ghost wrote:...sadly I would support either of these lynches for the above reasons right the hell now.
So, like I said in #1468, I can get behind the skullduggery vote, but I don't really see what you're hoping to accomplish with this vote. You apparently think RM is scum, and you said you'd be willing to vote either Andy (another leading wagon) or nacho (who many others apparently think is scum). Why skullduggery?
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Post Post #1475 (isolation #65) » Fri Aug 16, 2013 2:31 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

sos wrote:Wait ppl are still discussing if NS should be vigged?
I know, right?

It's getting a bit ridiculous. I think everyone is in agreement that he needs to be vigged N1 so I don't see why people are still talking about it.
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Post Post #1494 (isolation #66) » Fri Aug 16, 2013 6:30 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

You realise the game that you're quoting that from, she has her scum partner in the leaning scum pile, essentially ruining your theory, right?
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Post Post #1497 (isolation #67) » Fri Aug 16, 2013 6:42 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

@BnB

Your reason for thinking Andrius is scum is entirely meta reasons, right?

nacho just pointed out that you're misinterpreting Andrius's meta. Or do you think your interpretation of Andrius's meta is better than nacho's because ~reason~?

I have a gut scum read on Andrius, but it's not enough that I'd want to lynch him over someone more likely to be scum based on play.
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Post Post #1500 (isolation #68) » Fri Aug 16, 2013 6:48 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

I don't hold stock in meta arguments in the first place, as I've mentioned over... and over... and over...

Because almost every single person who uses meta arguments has no idea how to properly interpret meta.

I haven't personally looked at the meta arguments for nacho being scum, but I imagine they're all shit, and nacho pretty clearly described some reasons they could very well all be shit.

Whether or not nacho is scum, you're going to have to show that what nacho said about Andrius's meta is wrong if you want to push a lynch through based on meta reasons.


tl;dr Fuck meta
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Post Post #1502 (isolation #69) » Fri Aug 16, 2013 6:49 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

for andrius being scum*
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Post Post #1507 (isolation #70) » Fri Aug 16, 2013 7:08 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

nick wrote:Rach hasn't provided much content at all today, her reads sit on the fence so hard it's ver difficult to tell what she thinks of anyone.
You realise that interaction tells can be derived not only from what she says (or doesn't say) about people, but what other people say (or don't say) about her, right?
nick wrote:However, she has promised better reads and commentary day 2.
I imagine everyone can promise that. Do we just not lynch anyone today?
nick wrote:During day 2, if she still fails to provide any useful content, we lynch her.
I have a better idea. Let's push the deadline for her providing "useful" content to D1. Then do the same.
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Post Post #1517 (isolation #71) » Fri Aug 16, 2013 7:21 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

bnb wrote:I think his reactions to being called out are over the top and scummy.
OK. Then your read on Andrius is largely in line with the one I stated I had with Andrius earlier in the game, and I don't think that's enough to lynch him over right now. At least not in comparison to reasons I can think of for lynching others.
bnb wrote:But for what it's worth, I feel Mollie + Ffery agreeing on meta is pretty damning, regardless of what Nacho says.
OK. I don't think you'll be able to convince me of this, ever. Although I do want to hear a detailed analysis of Andrius's scum meta and Andrius's town meta and why he is apparently playing to his scum meta. Just linking games and saying, "oh there are similarities here!" is not a reason to think he's scum unless he never does it as town.

If you (or your other head or whoever else) can show me why what Andrius is doing here is never done by him as town, then I'd consider dropping the RM wagon for Andrius, but I highly doubt that's possible because I highly doubt they're properly interpreting the meta. I don't mean any offense here, but I'm 99% sure I'm right about this. Feel free to prove me wrong.

Or I guess people can ignore me and continue claiming this is his scum meta. Seems to have worked so far. *shrug*
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Post Post #1528 (isolation #72) » Fri Aug 16, 2013 7:30 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

@bnb,

OK. It doesn't particularly bother me if it never happens, but hopefully you can understand why I'm going to ignore every argument about meta.
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Post Post #1537 (isolation #73) » Fri Aug 16, 2013 7:43 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

bnb wrote:best meta-based scumhunters
This means nothing to me.
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Post Post #1542 (isolation #74) » Fri Aug 16, 2013 7:49 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

nacho wrote:If you discount a style of scumhunting, you miss out on a lot of good stuff and suffer as a player as a result.
OK.

Which is why I said I'd consider it if they show in detail why Andrius is scum for meta reasons.

bnb just outright said it shouldn't matter and I should trust them because
bnb wrote:best meta-based scumhunters
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Post Post #1562 (isolation #75) » Fri Aug 16, 2013 9:21 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

someone unvote skullduggery so he doesn't get lynched before mastin is able to post
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Post Post #1576 (isolation #76) » Fri Aug 16, 2013 9:32 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

everything i say is 100% serious



i want to read mastin's wall
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Post Post #1588 (isolation #77) » Fri Aug 16, 2013 10:13 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

so essentially your scum candidates are all scum because they make sense as scum together?
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Post Post #1609 (isolation #78) » Fri Aug 16, 2013 10:46 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

mastin wrote:Venmar, STOP! YOU'RE GOING TO AWAKEN THE BEAST!
btw this is the funniest thing I have read in this thread so far.
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Post Post #1629 (isolation #79) » Fri Aug 16, 2013 11:05 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

just going to put it out there

i, for one, am glad that we didn't quicklynch skullduggery before mastin got his thoughts out.
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Post Post #1632 (isolation #80) » Fri Aug 16, 2013 11:11 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

ghostlin wrote:Although, the Skull wagon has increased by 50%. So she's still in very real danger.
this might be another case of a fast wagon meaning the person being voted is town.
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Post Post #1636 (isolation #81) » Fri Aug 16, 2013 11:25 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

@bnb,

Do you want to engage me? Because you're not asking me questions, and seeing as the Andrius wagon is going nowhere until you either do something about it or he posts something that you can call scummy (hint: not happening in the next 24 hours, according to his latest post), I think the burden is on you to engage other players if you want your lynch to happen.

In the mean time, I still have to wait for RM to post some stuff so I can call all of it scummy and whine about how everyone is ignoring the obvscum in her posts. So forgive me if I make light banter while I wait. You're free to ignore it and pretend I'm not here, I imagine that's what's happened with most of my posts in this game anyway.
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Post Post #1652 (isolation #82) » Fri Aug 16, 2013 12:00 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

bnb wrote:there are plenty of objective tells to work from there so why aren't you
I honestly didn't know people still used "scum tells".

Do you want me to break down why each of them is bad?

I would rather have you explain why you think Andrius is a good lynch by citing examples of his posts rather than claiming that tells make him scum.

My thoughts on Andrius are the same as they were back :
Godly One wrote:Gut. I don't have any substantial reason here, so you're a maybe. I didn't like the overreactions in your first wall and I'm not following some of the conclusions you came to in your reads. If I had any strong reason for thinking you were scum right now, you'd be more than maybe-scum, but I don't.

Although I will say the wall this quote is from came off as a bit more townish. It'd help if you explained the SoS/BnB scum reads though, and why you're maybescum on FTL and nick.
This is still outstanding seeing as he hasn't posted since I asked him this, and I'm not comfortable enough with my read on him that I'm happy to lynch him right now.

Tell me why I should vote for him with something more specific than "he committed tells" or "meta".

Not even going to bother pointing out the differences between Andrius/RM, or why you're wrong about me ignoring Andrius because you're clearly not reading my posts about either of them.
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Post Post #1656 (isolation #83) » Fri Aug 16, 2013 12:10 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

I have a condition under which I'd be willing to vote Andrius right now, and that is if there is enough support for a lynch on him before Varsoon is able to post his reads list. Then if he gets killed N1, I'll have no regrets regardless of the Andrius flip. It'll be magical.
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Post Post #1663 (isolation #84) » Fri Aug 16, 2013 12:33 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

@bnb,

It's debatable whether RM "stepped it up" - and it has nothing to do with painting everything she does as scummy. Are you ignoring the issues with her reads post or are you just dismissing it because ~reasons~?

My opposition to the Andrius lynch has nothing to do with whether or not there is support, but how strong my read on him is. I also have issues with the tail-end of the Andrius wagon (minus mac).

My read on RM is not gut-based.

Them being on the same team is a possibility I considered the very moment Andrius put his vote on RM (and actually played a factor in my gut read on him, because it's exactly what I thought he'd do if he was scum with RM). I'm not as sure of it now, or I'd be perfectly fine with voting Andrius (duh).

I'm not sure if it is two competing scum wagons. See last sentence of above paragraph.
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Post Post #1665 (isolation #85) » Fri Aug 16, 2013 12:38 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

OK.

Thanks for the tip.
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Post Post #1692 (isolation #86) » Sat Aug 17, 2013 1:28 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

rm wrote:here you go another game
I'm 10 ISO posts into that game and I already notice significant differences in your play.
rm wrote:I think the case on me is crap
Cool. Can't wait to hear why.
rm wrote:peeps were pushing skull and bam turns out he is replacing out?
damn psychics! why won't they leave normal people alone?
rm wrote:How about we catch real scum instead?
How about you try to look town? For starters, you can address the things in my



In other news, I read through Andrius's ISO and I'm less confident about him being scum now. I liked most of his posts after . The big wall immediately following this looks town. Why am I wrong about this?
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Post Post #1694 (isolation #87) » Sat Aug 17, 2013 1:46 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

OK. From about ISO#36 onwards?

- You didn't constantly complain about being town and you actually were scum hunting.
- You acknowledged the points against you and argued why they were wrong
- "And when I flip town what will you do then TIP? Move on to your next derp lynch?" <--- Not really going to make a big deal out of this, but it's kind of funny that you used "when" instead of "if" in that game.

*shrug*

What am I meant to be seeing here that's so similar to your play in this game?

Are you going to address my #1469 at some point in the future? I don't care if you take your time, but I would prefer you stop complaining about people thinking you're scum and start trying to look town if you're actually town.
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Post Post #1701 (isolation #88) » Sat Aug 17, 2013 2:52 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

tl;dr

@ghostlin

who are you currently reading as town/scum?
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Post Post #1704 (isolation #89) » Sat Aug 17, 2013 3:10 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

ftl wrote:scum are andy/trust fund/ nickthename /thezmon


Without reading, I'm going to guess the stuff you noticed about thezmon is the same stuff that's keeping me from putting him into my town reads. I also think if Andrius
is
scum, that thezmon makes sense as a partner, and it would probably mean RM is town or there's some really hard bussing going on right now.

But I'm not confident that Andrius is scum atm.

Also, why vote nick over Andrius? The Andrius wagon clearly has more support.
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Post Post #1710 (isolation #90) » Sat Aug 17, 2013 3:37 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

Yeah, OK, I have more than a few issues with the nick pbpa. This is why ISO PBPA is bad. You're not looking at the posts in context.

For example, you say he throws fuel on the rach fire in a post in which he comments on her, but that is because directly before that Desperado asked him a question that directly relates to this.

I also think the vote-hopping looks like paranoid town, not scum.

I may break down the things I agree/disagree on later in more detail, but the nick pbpa alone makes me think I'm not going to like the rest of it.
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Post Post #1713 (isolation #91) » Sat Aug 17, 2013 3:43 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

I'm reading over the posts again, and while I can see where you're coming from here, a big part of the reason I think nick is town is because the way in which he's attacking multiple players looks more to me like paranoid town than scum trying to accuse everyone.

The mac case, followed by the posts immediately after that (which apparently MS disliked) were a major reason I think he's town. The mastin vote was bad, but it didn't strike me as scum-motivated.

Maybe I'm really, really reading him wrong here, but I just don't see the scumminess.
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Post Post #1716 (isolation #92) » Sat Aug 17, 2013 4:11 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

I agree with most of your points about Andrius's earlier posts, I just disagree with the points about his later posts.

"He has reads that aren't articulated" <- I want him to explain the reads, but I don't think the lack of explanations in this post is inherently scummy like so many people seem to be suggesting.
"and when he disagrees with people he just posits a 'stahp' rather than actually bringing in a counter-argument" <- This isn't even true.
"He uses humorous images and hyperbole to make weak points" <- I didn't read anything into this. It just seemed like typical Andrius humour and I don't think this necessarily makes him scum.
"and ultimately doesn't contribute anything substantive to town" <- This, I disagree with. I thought some of the questions he was asking were good, and I agreed with some of his comments on different things.
"Calls people weak, discredits players left and right, proposes himself as a part of a townbloc" <- Even apart from the fact that I don't think these things are alignment-indicative, this is overstating what he was actually saying in this post.

The #1044 wall is what has me doubting Andrius is scum, so I find it strange that people are calling it scummy.
ftl wrote: I like looking at individual posts and not using context to make them appeal more.
Yes, I like doing this, too, but I think some stuff needs context (so I often click on the posts that I think are alignment-indicative and read them in context) and I also just don't like PBPA where you look for stuff that seems to support a pre-conceived notion about a player. That's why I didn't pay much heed to TD's horrible PBPA much earlier in the game, and I don't think thezmon's PBPA of RM is good, either.
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Post Post #1802 (isolation #93) » Sun Aug 18, 2013 6:31 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

sos wrote:What part of Nacho reading GiF/me as town in this game is less compelling than him reading you as town?
I'm pretty sure he means that nacho having 100% accuracy in reading him means he's town.

*shameless prod dodge while I wait very, very patiently for RM to post so I can call her scum again*
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Post Post #1806 (isolation #94) » Sun Aug 18, 2013 9:01 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

That was a typo. I meant assess her post in an unbiased manner.
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Post Post #1818 (isolation #95) » Sun Aug 18, 2013 10:57 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

venmar wrote:he just needs to realize him ( and Thezmon ) trying to make all of Rach's post scummy no matter what is really dumb.
That would be really dumb. But that's not actually what I'm doing.
venmar wrote:I got Skull as null cause he was a lurker. I don't understand the case on him if it exists
Mostly that was an abominable post full of meaningless questions in an attempt to look like he was scum hunting. Read the questions he asks.



Also I'm pretty sure unvotes don't count unless you do them from the account in this game, bnb. At least that's what bork said in
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Post Post #1837 (isolation #96) » Sun Aug 18, 2013 12:04 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

ns wrote:Something in my gut is bugging me about Muffin.
bnb wrote:yeah well me too
Would it help if I assured you that I'm town?
bnb wrote:you don't like who's last post? muffin's? yeah, he seems to be really concerned about where the votes are.
Is this supposed to be a bad thing?
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Post Post #1842 (isolation #97) » Sun Aug 18, 2013 1:45 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

I assume I'm meant to ignore the fact that RM still isn't addressing any of the concerns with her reads post, and pretend that what she's currently doing is town.

Yep, that makes sense.

While we're at it, skullduggery was the epitome of towniness. How can anyone possibly read him as scum?
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Post Post #1906 (isolation #98) » Mon Aug 19, 2013 12:02 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

mutley wrote:Don't bother Saki. It's just all fluff, trust me I read it
mutley wrote:I will go and place my vote now.
Is this all you have to say after reading the thread?

Please, sir, I want some more.

---

@RachMarie,

Are you ever going to address or any of the other questions asked of you by other players?

If not, are you ever going to pretend you're actually scum hunting or at least comment on anything relevant to the game (like, for example, the unvotes happening on Andrius and why you're still voting him regardless, orrrrrrrrrrrrrrr anything else that's going on?)
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Post Post #1908 (isolation #99) » Mon Aug 19, 2013 12:12 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

"Some people" amounts to BnB and notscience as far as I can tell, and neither of them have elaborated on this outside of "gut" (even though I was apparently in BnB's town list as of the last time they gave their reads, I think). I think it's more of a back-of-the-mind suspicion than an outright scum read.

And then there's TrustFund I guess, but he's been silent about that for a while now, and said it was because I agreed with Ghostlin's point about him (apparently this was opportunistic).

And mastin and BRO much earlier in the thread, but they both dropped it.
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Post Post #1920 (isolation #100) » Mon Aug 19, 2013 6:54 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

sos wrote:Muttley's not winning our hearts so far though. :/
If or when the RM wagon dies, either this or BRO will be my next port of call.
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Post Post #2016 (isolation #101) » Tue Aug 20, 2013 9:26 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

Not that this is related to the discussion of TD's trajectory on mac, but -1610 are another example of TD's "solid" trajectory. fwiw, these posts made me lean town on TD, only because they're so insanely stupid that I have difficulty seeing scum-TD making these posts. It's like mastin goes all savant with his theory that he's found the entire scum team, and TD tried to one-up him in an effort to show who really is the King of Pantsonheadland.

In other news, and are mostly in line with my thinking. I'm becoming increasingly frustrated that RM is basically ignoring any request to elaborate on her reads, or how they may or may not have changed since her reads posts, and how she's basically done nothing since a couple people called her town for the reads post. I don't think she's town, and I don't like people saying "she does this as town" because I find it hard to believe she actually does do this as town. See for my still unanswered questions about RM's "meta". Literally no one has even attempted to give me a decent answer about this.
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Post Post #2068 (isolation #102) » Wed Aug 21, 2013 1:40 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

The bottom of this list.

BeautyAndTheBeast
Faster Than Light
Sound of Silence
Ghostlin
Venmar
Mac
mastin
Desperado
nacho
AJ
nickthename
TiphaineDeath
Andrius
Malakittens
thezmon
Trust Fund
Skullduggery
BROseidon
RachMarie

Which I haven't updated in the past few pages but the replacements haven't exactly done much to change this, anyway.
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Post Post #2088 (isolation #103) » Thu Aug 22, 2013 8:09 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

ghostlin wrote:Closing options and ending the day doesn't produce more content. If we're going to durr day 2 like the end of this day, then I'd rather keep my vote where it is and see where consensus is.
The problem is that all the major lynch candidates are providing literally zero content. So the game is currently stalling and waiting for Andrius, RM, BRO, Muttley et al to fucking do something.

*shrug*
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Post Post #2090 (isolation #104) » Thu Aug 22, 2013 9:17 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

Actually a wagon on nick never developed because some of the more vocal players have either called nick town (like myself) or simply don't have anything other than a null read on him. Also, no one has actually presented half-decent reasons to think nick is scum. Mastin's non-existent case on nick is that his posts are scummy and that's that. And I don't recall anyone else really giving any reasons.

(2) is flawed for a number of reasons. I could just as easily say RM is scum because if she was such an easy mislynch like everyone is saying she is, then it shouldn't be so damn hard to get her lynched. Based on this, I presume RM is scum and all these little mini-wagons that have been sprouting up are to keep us from consolidating on RM.
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Post Post #2093 (isolation #105) » Thu Aug 22, 2013 9:44 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

bnb wrote:Avoiding answering questions, having poor votes, not showing any town motivation in his posting...

I mean, really, why are you reading him as town?
Your definition of "town motivation" must be different to mine. I think the justification for the "poor" votes looked townish. I also think some of the questioning he's done has looked town (like the way in which he questioned me about my town reads on his scum reads, for example, didn't feel scum-motivated, and felt more like town trying to figure out why someone is reading the game differently to him). I'm not aware of which questions you're saying he avoided answering.

If you want my full thoughts on nick, I've gone over them several times in responses to mastin, FTL, etc.

Ironically, though, those reasons you mentioned for thinking nick is scum are only
some
of the reasons I think RM is scum.
bnb wrote:Do you see the problem with your position?
It wasn't meant to be an analogy. I was attempting to point out the absurdity in theorising why such and such did or didn't happen, by making a similarly absurd case about the RM wagon.
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Post Post #2094 (isolation #106) » Thu Aug 22, 2013 9:47 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

Actually, I'm just going to repeat this:
bnb wrote:
Avoiding answering questions, having poor votes, not showing any town motivation in his posting...
How do you not see the irony in thinking nick is scum and not thinking RM is scum?
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Post Post #2102 (isolation #107) » Thu Aug 22, 2013 10:08 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

majiffy wrote:... Except there's nothing absurd whatsoever with my theory, counterwagons and splitting up wagons is a common scum tactic in games.
No, I'm not saying it's an absurd theory in that it couldn't happen, but that it's an absurd theory if you're saying that
is what's happening
- if you're basing your vote on nick on a theory like that, then I'm calling it absurd. And I could just as easily make up an absurd theory for why the RM wagon is stalling (it's on scum, scum don't want to bus, if she was town, she'd have been lynched already, etc).
majiffy wrote:
(1)
Because RM can be scatter-brained in games with high activity like this. And that explains the first two.
(2)
I'm assuming your argument on the third probably relies on the first two being some kind of alignment-indicative sticking point.
(1) OK. At least you're acknowledging that these reasons apply to RM just as much as nick, so that's a start. The only problem I have here is that you're differentiating between nick and RM because you apparently know RM can do this as town, but you're not sure whether nick does this as town. If you know someone can do this as town, why are these reasons to find nick suspicious and not RM?

(2) The third has to do with, for example, the questions both of them have been asking (whereas nick has been asking questions that actually pertain to scum hunting, like questioning people when their reads differ from his, or asking for explanations of cases, etc, RM has been primarily asking useless questions that didn't have anything to do with her reads or getting a better idea of the thought processes of the people she's questioning) and the way each of them has gone about pursuing their reads (whereas nick has been making cases and giving reasons for his thought processes throughout the game, RM has given two weak scum reads and then gave really, really poor justification for voting Andrius). How easily I can follow the thought processes of a player, and how genuine it looks, is how I discern town motivation from scum motivation. Is it different for you, or do you simply disagree with my assessment?
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Post Post #2104 (isolation #108) » Thu Aug 22, 2013 10:17 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

Also, just a general question, that relates to my (which still no one has attempted to give me an answer to):

What exactly would RM need to fucking do for you to think she's scum?

Like really, how the fuck do you tell when she's scum if this is her town play?
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Post Post #2108 (isolation #109) » Thu Aug 22, 2013 10:48 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

He spent the early game saying there was scum on the TD wagon, and then did nothing to really dissect it (except name a few names, which later changed anyway). I also think the way in which he wrote TD off as town purely for the speed of the wagon was fake. He later adds that TD's "trajectory" on mac was part of the reason, but none of this was mentioned in BRO's early posts calling TD town. He literally said the speed of the wagon alone makes TD town.

Also his posts are essentially void of content. Take for example. If you really break down the things he's saying there, it's all empty bullshit. I don't sense any real scum hunting ther. It looks like he was just commenting on stuff for the sake of commenting on stuff and making up fake reads based on whatever, which relates to what SoS was talking about when he described them as mushy and sometimes inaccurate.
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Post Post #2122 (isolation #110) » Thu Aug 22, 2013 11:49 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

bnb wrote:Someone can reliably do things as town that are generally scummy. Rach is one of these people.
The thing with tells is if they don't apply universally, then they aren't reliable tells, and thus shouldn't be used in a case against someone (except maybe as extra evidence to go along with a real case).

You can't just say, "well A does X, and B does X, but A does X is town... B is still scummy for doing X"

Logic doesn't work that way.
bnb wrote:Or look at her town play in general.

I have. I gave my thoughts on the town game she herself linked in this game, in a back-and-forth with her that ended when with me telling her that, in this game, she's not doing what she did as town in the game she linked.
bnb wrote:One theory proposed is that the active players have voiced town reads on Nick.
No, I said "vocal" players. I probably should have elaborated that I meant people who were actually putting out analysis in decent volume as opposed to people who were merely calling people scum/town without really elaborating on their reads.

It's hard to really push a lynch through when you don't have a case vs people who are analysing posts and questioning the cases (or lack thereof).
bnb wrote:why has this wagon stalled at 3 votes, while other wagons have had no problems growing and dying out naturally?

This is actually something I commented on much earlier in the game when I was talking with mastin in one of my posts. I cbf going back and finding which one specifically, but I said I really didn't know why the wagon was stalling if I'm right about nick and who was on the wagon at the time, but I thought it might have something to do with the lack of cases or the people opposing it at the time. It would also make sense if there were different town wagons occurring at the time. And it would also make sense if a majority of scum weren't all that active in the game (which actually coincides with who I think is scum, so I like this theory).
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Post Post #2123 (isolation #111) » Thu Aug 22, 2013 12:01 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

PS:
bnb wrote:only half of these 6 total town-reading-nick players have mounted any kind of legitimate defense / argument for nick-town.
I imagine if I look through the ISOs of the people who have said nick is either scum or maybescum, the amount of people making a case is basically.... FTL? Off the top of my head, he's the only one who has legitimately analysed nick's posts and said why he think's nick is scum, and that was only relatively recently, when the Andrius/RM wagons were the main ones.
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Post Post #2124 (isolation #112) » Thu Aug 22, 2013 12:21 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

Yeah I'm going through the ISOs of the people you have listed as calling nick scum.

- mastin has no case on nick. at all.
- Your case on nick is (was originally) that his reads are bad and he's playing "hyper-aggressive" which apparently makes him scum because he's done this in skype mafia games.
- AJ had nick as scum for "bad" votes and I talked with AJ a little about what I thought of this (specifically, that I didn't think he was analysing the motivation behind the posts properly)
- FTL's case which came long after the wagon on nick had evaporated (and I've already given my thoughts on that, too)
- Nothing from the rest, really.

If you really,
reeeeeaaaaally
push it, you can maybe call it three cases on nick being scum given in this thread so far, which are all essentially about how "bad" his scum suspects are with little analysis of his actual play.
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Post Post #2125 (isolation #113) » Thu Aug 22, 2013 12:42 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

So I just went over nick's ISO from as neutral a perspective as I possibly could.

I don't feel as strongly that he's town, but I still get mild town vibes from a lot of his posts (particularly from the lines of questioning and the progression of his reads). And I don't really see the scum intent in his posts. I can see how his early posts might possibly be perceived as scum-motivated but I didn't feel it at all. I don't think his reads look fake, even if they are "bad". The recent lack of activity is meh.

Tell me why I'm wrong about nick without making large generalisations that equally apply to other people.
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Post Post #2129 (isolation #114) » Thu Aug 22, 2013 2:11 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

bnb wrote:Then there is no such thing as a reliable tell and we aught to just quit
using "tells" as reasons
right now.
ftfy. also, qft.
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Post Post #2132 (isolation #115) » Thu Aug 22, 2013 2:55 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

*shrug* You think generic tells are useful (except not really, because you only apply them to some players).
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Post Post #2136 (isolation #116) » Thu Aug 22, 2013 3:31 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

Look, dipshit, you cannot use something as a "scum tell" for one person and then suggest it's not a "scum tell" for another, because ~reasons~.

Logic doesn't work like that. If you know someone commits said tell as town, then it's not a fucking scum tell, and you shouldn't be using generic bullshit in your case on someone.

If avoiding your questions is a scum tell, then RM is scum 100 times over. Either that, or your tell doesn't apply.

If shitty votes is a scum tell, then RM is scum 100 times over (not only because her vote on Andy is shitty, but because it's the only vote she's put down all game, AND she's done nothing with it even though she's posted since people started unvoting Andy). Either that, or your tell doesn't apply.

The only legitimate reason you have for thinking nick is scum is "lack of town motivation" in his posts and that's debatable. Since you've done
absolutely nothing
to show what you mean by this, even when I told you outright some things that looked town-motivated in his posts, you can't really use this as a fucking point against him. So your only legitimate reason isn't even legitimate.

In other words, you have no case on nick, and your shitty generic tells shouldn't be used. Ever.

Want more examples of shitty generic tells you've used?
In post 1637, BeautyAndTheBeast wrote:universal scumtells that andy has dropped:

- thread avoidance
- posturing
- buddying
- over-defensiveness when pushed
- appeal to crowd
- lack of cogent progression of reads
- reads list soup which you guys are and heavy to leap all over rach for but seem to ignore that andy did the same thing. the difference is you have people telling you that rach does this as town but other people are telling you that andy does not <--- tangential to a meta read so you will probably ignore it.
derp

Stop using these fucking "tells" to suggest someone is scum. It's horrible and just discredits any attempt from you at painting someone as scum. These are not fucking scum tells.


tl;dr u moron lol
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Post Post #2138 (isolation #117) » Thu Aug 22, 2013 3:44 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

*shrug* He started the ad hom. If he can't deal with it, it's not my fault.
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Post Post #2140 (isolation #118) » Thu Aug 22, 2013 3:57 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

I can't argue the cases on my suspicions any more than I already have without being more repetitive than I'm already being, and nobody wants to give any refutations of them, despite multiple requests to do so ( is STILL outstanding, no one has addressed this yet).

I cannot agree with the cases made by other people on someone I think is town if they are completely unwilling to address where I've gone wrong in my read, even though I've been pretty open about how I arrived at each of my reads.

So asking
me
to work towards a different wagon that can be agreed upon seems nonsensical. How about
you
convince me to move my vote, or tell me why you don't agree with my suspicions. Because I've already told you my thoughts on yours.
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Post Post #2143 (isolation #119) » Thu Aug 22, 2013 4:15 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

@FTL,

My criticisms of the nick wagon are to do with BnB's reasons for thinking nick is scum. They do not reflect my own reasons for thinking RM is scum. They have nothing to do with my reasons for thinking RM is scum. If those were my reasons for thinking RM is scum, I'd be ashamed of myself.

To reiterate the reasons I think RM is scum, it's because she spent a majority of the early game doing virtually no scum hunting, asking useless questions to appear like she was involved in the game (useless questions that she ought to have known the answer to without asking), didn't take any stances on anything up until her reads post, and then there's her reads post itself where I've been repeatedly asking her to explain them in a bit more depth (or at the very least, explain her scum reads) and instead of doing this she's spent the last few days active lurking. These are my reasons for thinking RM is scum in a very condensed version, and I've gone over the reasons in much more detail in previous posts. I also agree with nacho's points on RM in and think you should read that if you haven't already.

I'm also you're underrating how much information there is to be gained from RM's flip, given how much different people have said about her.
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Post Post #2145 (isolation #120) » Thu Aug 22, 2013 4:50 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

. . . sure . . .
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Post Post #2215 (isolation #121) » Sat Aug 24, 2013 8:25 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

prod dodge. also,
RM wrote:Well can you at least see why some of us might find him scummy based on his posts, since we all do not have a direct line to his heart?
Please give your own thoughts on his posts and which parts you think are scummy. While you're at it, do the same for your other scum reads.
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Post Post #2217 (isolation #122) » Sat Aug 24, 2013 9:04 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

How much of that thought is from orangutan?

And are you eventually going to post "shittycatchu["?
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Post Post #2222 (isolation #123) » Sat Aug 24, 2013 9:12 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

@sos,

I am more than willing to lynch BRO, but I don't feel the same way about RM as you do. If you put footwork into making the BRO wagon viable, I am willing to switch over... But I don't want to abandon the RM wagon for a pipedream.
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Post Post #2223 (isolation #124) » Sat Aug 24, 2013 9:13 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

Mutley as well*
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Post Post #2226 (isolation #125) » Sat Aug 24, 2013 9:33 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

No, I know the reasons for your suspicion on both, and I completely agree with them (and have my own independent reasons for thinking both are likely scum, which I've already gone over).

It's just that neither of those lynches seems to have any traction at the moment.

If there was enough support for either of them, I'd jump on those wagons.
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Post Post #2236 (isolation #126) » Sat Aug 24, 2013 9:41 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

@sos,

*shrug* Doesn't change anything. If there's not enough support, then there's not enough support. For the sake of argument, you can say my vote is on both mutley and BRO in spirit. You, as well. Then there's Ghostlin (who I believe has both as scum reads of some strength). Then maybe a couple others, and that's it.

@saki,

Please stop.
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Post Post #2242 (isolation #127) » Sat Aug 24, 2013 9:48 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

bnb wrote:can everyone just grow a pair for 5 minutes and call andy on his bluff
While I'm not sure on the exact reasoning for his *plan*, I have two theories about why he wants people to take a firm stance on either him or RM, and I don't think it's a bluff.
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Post Post #2251 (isolation #128) » Sat Aug 24, 2013 9:57 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

bnb wrote:if you don't think it is a bluff then help him
You do realise he was asking for a split between him and RM, right? So... I am technically helping him.
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Post Post #2262 (isolation #129) » Sat Aug 24, 2013 10:18 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

andy wrote:and muffin
no.
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Post Post #2285 (isolation #130) » Sat Aug 24, 2013 5:56 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

andy wrote:THERE NEEDS TO BE A BIT OF DISCUSSION, UNDERSTANDING, AND ORGANIZATION
overrated
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Post Post #2287 (isolation #131) » Sat Aug 24, 2013 5:59 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

why do you have BRO as a town read?
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Post Post #2289 (isolation #132) » Sat Aug 24, 2013 6:02 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

if you swap mastin and BRO, and move around a couple other reads, your list is mostly the same as mine

why is mastin scum? 'coz useless or actual reasons?
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Post Post #2294 (isolation #133) » Sat Aug 24, 2013 6:15 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

i don't think that makes saki scum, just useless.

and i think mastin being useless is mastin being useless. i don't think it's him being useless because he's scum.
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Post Post #2303 (isolation #134) » Sat Aug 24, 2013 6:31 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

i take it you no longer think saki is town because of thezmon then, andy?
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Post Post #2366 (isolation #135) » Sun Aug 25, 2013 4:25 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

RM is effectively L-1 (for all intents and purposes).

RM claim.
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Post Post #2384 (isolation #136) » Sun Aug 25, 2013 4:36 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

Yeah dividing the wagons even more closer to the deadline is a good idea and not counter-productive at all.

(Y)
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Post Post #2389 (isolation #137) » Sun Aug 25, 2013 4:38 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

If a flashwagon develops on BRO or mutley because RM happens to do something so amazingly and undeniably town in the next couple hours, I'm fine with that.
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Post Post #2442 (isolation #138) » Sun Aug 25, 2013 7:24 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

i'm taking you seriously, ftl

it's quite clear that andrius is vig and scum and knows there is no way he will die tonight
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Post Post #2453 (isolation #139) » Sun Aug 25, 2013 9:02 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

anti-climactic hammer
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Post Post #2458 (isolation #140) » Sun Aug 25, 2013 10:37 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

BRO wrote:So it's scummy to let town stall out to a no-lynch>?

Got it.
More the fact that you're clearly still following the thread but not posting content.
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Post Post #2469 (isolation #141) » Wed Aug 28, 2013 3:21 am

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Vote: BRO
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Post Post #2474 (isolation #142) » Wed Aug 28, 2013 3:37 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

seeing as you obviously wrote that all overnight, the least you could have done is linked the posts you're commenting on. woulda taken you an extra minute or two to add [post] tags.
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Post Post #2475 (isolation #143) » Wed Aug 28, 2013 3:53 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

i read that entire thing and even went through the posts to see which ones you're referencing and i cannot tell who you actually think is scum

as far as i can tell, you mentioned nacho is maybe scum maybe town maybe scum maybe town maybe scum but is apparently a good lynch today
venmar is scum? maybe?
one of nick and BnB is scum (but no elaboration on which one)
and no mention of mala but now a vote on mala (unless i missed you mentioning mala somewhere...)
BRO wrote:Muffin or FTL might be a bus.
hahaha, no. if you're actually entertaining the idea that i spent 75 pages trying to get people to lynch my buddy, only to have them grudgingly (fucking
grudgingly
) agree to it for deadline reasons, then you're kidding yourself.
BRO wrote:2108- The post of mine you linked had plenty of content. Lrn2notdeathtunnel.
no, it didn't. it had zero content.
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Post Post #2476 (isolation #144) » Wed Aug 28, 2013 4:07 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

the post i linked in was . let's break down that post, shall we?

the first quote-response is iioa
the second quote-response is a non-committal read on varsoon
the third quote-response you say youre going to "note" something that you've never seen from mac before (because apparently you not seeing this as either town or scum from mac before is noteworthy and makes mac scum or something)
the fourth quote-response is nothing... it's another non-committal comment that means absolutely nothing
the fifth quote-response is nothing
the sixth quote-response is overreacting to the ic stuff
the seventh quote-response is nothing
the eighth quote-response is the first real read you've given - a scum read on mac... for... ~reasons~
the ninth quote-response is nothing
and the final quote-responses reminds me that i need to go back and look at who RM (and you) attacked for being on the early TD wagon (thanks for making me go back and check this post again, btw, because i probably would not have seen this otherwise) - it's also a bullshit reason to give TD a town read but i don't really care enough about this to argue it again
the final parts of this post you dish out some apparently strong town reads and two weak scum reads, and then you don't even vote either of your scum reads

so i guess it's not fair to say zero content, but very little content. all of your posts feel like this. i don't sense any real scum hunting intent in your posts. the few questions you ask feel empty in the same way skullduggery's third post felt. the comments are mostly non-committal and there's no followup on anything. some of this may be activity-related, but that doesn't really explain everything.

267 and the following posts where you criticise the TD wagon and then do absolutely nothing with it were the main reason for my early scum read on you
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Post Post #2477 (isolation #145) » Wed Aug 28, 2013 4:28 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

give me your current reads in a single post, bro.
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Post Post #2703 (isolation #146) » Wed Aug 28, 2013 10:07 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

if someone who i think is town gives me good reason to sheep them, i will
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Post Post #2704 (isolation #147) » Wed Aug 28, 2013 10:08 pm

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i skimmed the last 10 pages. someone talk to me about who is scum because apparently we're not allowed to lynch any of my scum reads anymore, which is a kick in the balls
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Post Post #2708 (isolation #148) » Wed Aug 28, 2013 10:24 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

yeah i remember not like mala's response to the rach cases. but i didn't like anyone's fucking repsonses because everyone was fucking dismissing it because "LYNCH BAIT LOL"

i also remember not liking nick's responses to rach, but his were almost too blatant to be scum-scum interaction

i might read some isos

@andrius,

what are your current scum reads?
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Post Post #2710 (isolation #149) » Wed Aug 28, 2013 10:32 pm

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if you swap aj for mastin, that list is mostly in line with where i'm at right now
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Post Post #2712 (isolation #150) » Wed Aug 28, 2013 10:34 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

so i'm not lynching the following today: andrius, bnb, desperado, ftl, ghostlin, mac, mastin, nacho, TD

and i apparently can't lynch the following because they claimed vig or some bullshit actions last night which don't really confirm them but people are giving them a free pass anyway: bro, mutley, trust fund

and so i'm left with: aj, mala, nick, venmar

and anyone else i may have left out
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Post Post #2715 (isolation #151) » Wed Aug 28, 2013 10:42 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

mutley should shoot venmar tonight. that gets rid of two of my problems.
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Post Post #2718 (isolation #152) » Wed Aug 28, 2013 10:49 pm

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he's not a town read

i don't really have issues with him but i'm not reading him as town
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Post Post #2720 (isolation #153) » Wed Aug 28, 2013 10:54 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

yeah. but maybe scum by poe.
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Post Post #2723 (isolation #154) » Wed Aug 28, 2013 11:07 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

votecount
Spoiler:
[8] TiphaineDeath (Venmar, zMuffinMan, nickthename, BeautyAndTheBeast, Mac, Ghostlin, Faster Than Light, Trust Fund)

[5] Faster Than Light (thezmon221, Malakittens, Skullduggery, TiphaineDeath, nickthename)

[6] mastin2 (Venmar, Trust Fund, BROseidon, nickthename, TiphaineDeath, Skullduggery)

[7] Andrius (BeautyAndTheBeast, Sound of Silence, notscience, Trust Fund, Malakittens, RachMarie, Mac)
[7] RachMarie (zMuffinMan, Andrius, Desperado, Faster Than Light, thezmon221, TiphaineDeath, Aj The Epic)
[4] mastin2 (Venmar, BROseidon, nickthename, Skullduggery)

[5] RachMarie (zMuffinMan, Andrius, Desperado, Aj The Epic, Nachomamma8)
[4] Andrius (Trust Fund, Malakittens, RachMarie, Faster Than Light)
[3] mastin2 (BROseidon, nickthename, TiphaineDeath)
[3] nickthename (mastin2, notscience, BeautyAndTheBeast)

[7] RachMarie (zMuffinMan, Andrius, Desperado, Aj The Epic, Nachomamma8, TiphaineDeath, Ghostlin)
[5] nickthename (mastin2, notscience, BeautyAndTheBeast, Faster Than Light, Mutleyddmc)
[3] Andrius (Trust Fund, Malakittens, RachMarie)

[9] RachMarie (zMuffinMan, Desperado, Nachomamma8, Ghostlin, BeautyAndTheBeast, Aj The Epic, Sound of Silence, Andrius, Trust Fund)
[4] Andrius (Malakittens, RachMarie, Faster Than Light, TiphaineDeath)
[3] nickthename (mastin2, Mutleyddmc, notscience)


just putting this here so i can ctrl+f my iso and find the important d1 wagons to look at later
bnb wrote:he was on to mala all day what are you talking about
he was talking about a mala/rach scum team for a lot of D1 and swapped to rach relatively late.

if there was bussing on the rach wagon when it was stalling, he would be my first guess.
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Post Post #2733 (isolation #155) » Wed Aug 28, 2013 11:35 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

bnb wrote:how does that fit in your worldview
I don't know. I haven't thought about it much, yet. I don't think all three of {RM, mala, AJ} make sense together as scum, unless AJ was doing some serious distancing D1 (it's not something I'm currently ruling out).

So. I don't know. It's something that I'll revisit if we lynch one of them and they flip scum. I'm not all that concerned with it at the moment.
mac wrote:there have been developments since you voted him.
ftr, I'm still voting BRO. I'll move my vote when I see a good reason to move it to someone else.

Anyway. Going to read mala/nick/AJ ISOs in a bit.
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Post Post #2736 (isolation #156) » Thu Aug 29, 2013 12:06 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

aj wrote:No one wanted Mala lynched, and I didn't change to Rach until Mastin and Thezmon made a case.
Mastin didn't make a case, unless you count him saying "nacho scum = rach scum!"

thezmon's case was practically a rehash of what desperado and I had been saying about her for the 20 pages prior to that.
aj wrote:When Mala tied herself to Rach by calling Thezmon's case bad, I then voted Rach saying that I could prove Mala was scum if Rach flipped scum.
Yes. That is generally the point I was making in 2724.
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Post Post #2738 (isolation #157) » Thu Aug 29, 2013 12:24 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

aj wrote:This is more than enough to convince me she's protecting her scumbuddy.
As opposed to the 15 other people who are town for doing the same thing, right?

Because it's not like the fucking arguments that desperado and I were making were dismissed by almost everybody for similar reasons.

Question: Why do you think mala would be so blatant in protecting deadweight that was bound to be lynched at some point anyway, if not on D1?

This is what I'm trying to figure out right now.
aj wrote:2. And you have a problem with this line of logic? I've yet to see anyone dispute it.
I'm saying the timing of it is convenient for a bus on a wagon I think is otherwise likely to be all town.

It's possible you're also town. But I'm not picking up on town cues in your posts that everyone else seems to be picking up on, and I could reasonably see your interactions with RM D1 as distancing until the point you realised RM was a viable wagon and you wanted to be a part of it if it went through.

*shrug* If I had a brilliant case against you, it would be more than simply a paranoid suspicion. I'm considering possibilities right now.
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Post Post #2740 (isolation #158) » Thu Aug 29, 2013 1:06 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

aj wrote:Because I think Mala felt that I'd eventually get her lynch
Even if mala is scum, I do not think she felt much in the way of pressure from your suspicion of her.
aj wrote:Therefore, if she could protect a buddy and just stall out to have an andrius lynch go through, she might be able to protect Rach from being pressured on day 2 calling both wagons town.
...
aj wrote:There was a strong chance to save Rach from being lynched and in fact, she almost got it until BnB switched their vote back.
Interestingly, this didn't make me feel any better about you. I will go back and find the post I'm talking about here.
aj wrote:Let me ask you: Had Andrius flipped (which is a flip that is almost certain to be town now), would you go back to Rach and immediately try to lynch her?
No, I think I would have given up on a lynch I spent 75 pages pushing. That seems like the only reasonable course of action.
aj wrote:But show me such a blatant dismissal of a case where someone looks at it and goes "So you're policy lynching Rach?"
EVERY
FUCKING
PERSON
NOT
ON
THE
RM
WAGON
DID
THIS
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Post Post #2741 (isolation #159) » Thu Aug 29, 2013 1:15 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

and 2333 were two posts from you that I didn't like at the end of D1

granted it was getting close to the deadline and i could reasonably see you doing this as town because it's better than a no lynch, but I didn't like the stuff you were saying about the wagons, and this was at a time where people opposing the RM wagon were reconsidering their RM read
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Post Post #2942 (isolation #160) » Thu Aug 29, 2013 2:32 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

bnb wrote:Why aren't you voting Nick?
Because I have this weird feeling that I'm completely on the wrong track in this game, and that at least two of my town reads are scum, but I don't know which ones.

I'm currently going through each of my reads and trying to figure out which ones I'm wrong about.

ftr, I'm not currently reading nick or venmar as scum and I'm wavering on mala.

:/
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Post Post #2961 (isolation #161) » Thu Aug 29, 2013 3:13 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

not voting nick
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Post Post #2964 (isolation #162) » Thu Aug 29, 2013 3:15 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

In post 2962, notscience wrote:There's one scumbuddy
ur reads r good
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Post Post #2966 (isolation #163) » Thu Aug 29, 2013 3:20 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

is the one post i'm trying to figure out now and is the only interaction with rach that looked like possible scum-scum interaction.

the rest of it looked town. especially the stuff towards the end of d1. e.g. and do not make a lot of sense if nick is scum with rach.

also i'm reading the posts today from him as town who genuinely thinks people are shit at reading him (or scum calling him scum). there are also other parts of his iso that look town (i went over this d1)

i don't think his play has been good, but i don't currently think he's scum.
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Post Post #2970 (isolation #164) » Thu Aug 29, 2013 3:23 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

because rm was lynched before he came back. he said something about being back in 7.5 hours in
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Post Post #2974 (isolation #165) » Thu Aug 29, 2013 3:37 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

bnb wrote:BROseidon, Trust Fund, mastin2, Ghostlin, zMuffinMan, Aj, Andy, Nacho, BaTB, NS
How many of these people are in your scum reads?
2, with a maybe on a 3rd, and i'm also reconsidering my reads on the rest.

i still think bro is scum, but i realise i probably can't get him lynched today

i'm not as fond of trust fund as others seem to be

and the only reason i'm not avidly defending nick right now is because i'm not completely sure he's town.

what i'm still trying to figure out is why the nick wagon stalled d1 when it was competing with the rm wagon (i have a couple theories regarding this, but they require me being wrong about a couple of my town reads) and whether the interactions with rm makes sense as scum-scum interactions (i'm currently thinking no)
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Post Post #2977 (isolation #166) » Thu Aug 29, 2013 3:47 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

bnb wrote:Who's the maybe 3rd?
bro and aj are the 2, trust fund is the maybe 3rd
bnb wrote:Also please explain what happened between these posts;
reading isos.
bnb wrote:I went down to the store and got you something
i know. i hate not having clear reads but something feels off about this game and i'm trying to figure out where i've gone wrong.
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Post Post #2978 (isolation #167) » Thu Aug 29, 2013 3:50 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

if nick is town, what do you make of the wagon stalling when it was in competition with the rm wagon?
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Post Post #2980 (isolation #168) » Thu Aug 29, 2013 3:59 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

bnb wrote:Weak.
*shrug*

If you consider the possibility that you're wrong and help me figure out what nick being town means for the rest of the game, then I will consider the possibility I'm currently over-thinking things.
bnb wrote:I need the wagon to go through before any meaningful analysis can be made.
[7] RachMarie (zMuffinMan, Andrius, Desperado, Aj The Epic, Nachomamma8, TiphaineDeath, Ghostlin)
[5] nickthename (mastin2, notscience, BeautyAndTheBeast, Faster Than Light, Mutleyddmc)
[3] Andrius (Trust Fund, Malakittens, RachMarie)
[2] mastin2 (BROseidon, nickthename)
[1] BROseidon (Sound of Silence)
[1] Mutleyddmc (Saki)
[1] TiphaineDeath (Venmar)

[1] Not Voting (Mac)
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Post Post #2982 (isolation #169) » Thu Aug 29, 2013 4:08 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

no. that's why i'm trying to figure out what was going on.

either the rm wagon was an elaborate bus
or scum wasn't very active at the time these wagons were occurring
or scum didn't want to take a contradictory stance to one they'd already taken on nick
or i'm wrong about my town reads
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Post Post #2986 (isolation #170) » Thu Aug 29, 2013 5:15 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

ftl wrote:makes me wonder if he's trying to coast and hope the wagon'll go away
................

YEAH, because that works ALL THE TIME

nick must be a next-level scum player
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Post Post #2994 (isolation #171) » Fri Aug 30, 2013 2:02 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

bnb wrote:How about we go with the more likely and logical answer that nick is scum
i don't think it is necessarily the most likely/logical answer
aj wrote:He's certainly been scummy at a glance and even at an iso
expand on this

also, i don't see what the point of your #2993 is. seems like a lot of talking about nothing, and no conclusion, except that he may have been buddying except that doesn't make sense and so maybe he wasn't and so maybe he is scum but he doesn't make as much sense as scum with your other scum suspect and flipped scum and waffle waffle waffle
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Post Post #3020 (isolation #172) » Fri Aug 30, 2013 11:43 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

@bro

why do you think one of bnb/nick is scum, other than "because..."? i don't think i've seen you explain this, except that you may have said you don't think it's tvt at some point.

also none of those venmar quotes look like scum buddy quotes. maybe i'm weird in thinking this.

the only reason i began doubting my venmar-town read is because near the end of d1 he was fucking useless, pushing lynches that would
never
happen, even to the point where the deadline was looming and it was obvious they wouldn't happen.

the rm interactions i'm leaning town on.
bro wrote:So which of your scumreads are you rethinking
all of them
bro wrote:Have you looked at Rach's interactions towards nick, or just nick's towards Rach?

bro wrote:Can you stop scumreading me so we can work together on this now?
i'll stop scumreading you when i stop scumreading you
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Post Post #3025 (isolation #173) » Fri Aug 30, 2013 11:49 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

bro wrote:Could you indicate why, because his interactions with the Rach wagon suck and saying on a high level "it's bad and scummy" does jack shit towards actually convincing me.
why i think the venmar interactions with the rm wagon were town? because they looked genuine. like he actually thought he was right and that the people pushing rm were idiots tunneling. also, it didn't seem overplayed - he gave his thoughts on it, and didn't come back to it again and again, like he could have done if he really wanted to derail the rm wagon.

also, i don't like comparing the actions of a player who has given up (or at least is pretending to have given up) to yourself and suggesting this is makes nick more likely scum, or somehow makes you more likely town
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Post Post #3026 (isolation #174) » Fri Aug 30, 2013 11:52 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

also, the fact that venmar was reading neither andrius or rm as scum and didn't take an opportunity to jump on andrius for deadline reasons is in his favour as well. (assuming andrius is town)

if venmar's aim was to derail or discredit the rm wagon, i find it more likely that he'd push a fucking viable counterwagon over what he was doing d1
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Post Post #3029 (isolation #175) » Fri Aug 30, 2013 12:02 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

bro wrote:So you've only dug through nick's stuff?
no, i've looked over rach's iso several times. she has minor interactions with a lot of people that i'm not reading too deeply into, and i don't pretend i can discern which of her reads were more likely to be about her scum partners than townies because they were all tripe. i'm sure you could find equally "scummy" interactions between just about any player you can call scum in her iso (trust me, i've gone through it enough times without any bias to know that i could make a case for just about anyone being her partner given how wishy-washy she was on every single player). so i'm discounting most of the things rm said about people in favour of looking at things that people said about rm.i mentioned the interactions that i thought were most significant
bro wrote:It's either BnB have a really solid case, or BnB are scum who've created a really solid case
i don't think bnb had a solid case on nick (i talked about this in depth d1) and i don't think they're scum.
bro wrote:So then why not try to build a case?
ha. cases are fucking useless in this game. i learnt that all too well d1. priority no.1 is stopping a lynch on someone i think could be town.
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Post Post #3031 (isolation #176) » Fri Aug 30, 2013 12:08 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

ok, that's great. but so far no one on the nick wagon has really
presented
a case. and i've been talking about the things i think make him likely town.

so what's your fucking point?

this is the exact same fucking shit that happened d1. i talk about reasons i think x. people say no but don't give good reasons why. then it's apparently my fault for not convincing people when i can't even talk about their reasons.
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Post Post #3033 (isolation #177) » Fri Aug 30, 2013 12:12 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

null. he jumped on for bad reasons, but i can see him doing it as town and scum. vote because he thinks it's a 1v1->unvote when he realises that they weren't considering the possibility of roleblock.

*shrug*

it was bad. but it was utterly fucking stupid if he's scum.
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Post Post #3034 (isolation #178) » Fri Aug 30, 2013 12:23 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

btw, the fact that there
is no case on nick
is another reason i hate this wagon.

no one has really given opinions on his play, so if he is town, i can't really look at any one player and assess their reasons for being on the nick wagon.

ftl gave his thoughts on nick 50 pages ago, and didn't really care about nick's response to him. bnb had their d1 case on nick. andrius has pointed to some posts he didn't like from nick here and there. and that's it, as far as i can tell.

the rest of it comes down to people thinking nick could be scum for ~reasons~

i really hope i'm wrong about nick being town. it would make this game a lot easier.
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Post Post #3040 (isolation #179) » Fri Aug 30, 2013 3:53 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

oh, i read it and forgot. i didn't consider it a case. i think a lot of it was misrepresenting what nick was actually saying. parts of it you didn't consider the tone of the posts, and parts of it were just not actually what he was saying. if you want me to break down all your thoughts and tell you what i mean specifically i can.
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Post Post #3041 (isolation #180) » Fri Aug 30, 2013 3:55 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

also you don't even think nick makes sense as scum with your other suspicions, and when you asked the rhetorical question of whether you personally think nick is scum, your answer was that you wouldn't be surprised if he was because of bad posting.
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Post Post #3042 (isolation #181) » Fri Aug 30, 2013 4:28 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

@aj

Spoiler:
So these are basically my thoughts on your thoughts, thinking about it from the perspective that nick is town. And this is basically why I didn't consider your "case" to be a real case.
aj wrote:He's basically said he won't work well with others no matter what, and won't consider their opinions until they're dead.
This is not actually what nick was saying.

The conversation was about whether mac is scum or not. bnb responded to TD saying that she could read mac because they were in a hydra and when she thought mac was scum she'd say so. nick responded back saying that he trusted his own reads (a mac scum read) over the reads of someone who he doesn't know is town.

But hey, even if this
was
nick saying that he doesn't work well with others and won't consider their opinions until they're dead, so what? How does that benefit scum-nick in any way? Especially if bnb is town, that just puts a fucking target on his back for bnb to keep an eye on him.
aj wrote:Another post of nick trying to be generally unhelpful, although this one is slightly more telling if he has a noticeable difference in town/scum meta. When Mollie mentions she has meta on Nick, Nick completely blows her off again.
This is an example of where I think you're completely misreading or ignoring the tone of the posts. The snarky attitude probably has a lot more to do with playstyle and nothing to do with alignment.

I can
maybe
see you thinking that perhaps nick was being snarky because he's scum and they legitimately can't meta him to know this... But you didn't say this, so I'm not actually sure what your point was here.

Again, another thing that doesn't benefit nick-scum in any way.
aj wrote:1st quote section: That's not even close to what Mastin was doing. Nick's basically misrepped Mastin here.
*shrug* That was his interpretation of it, and I can see how he possibly thought mastin was doing nothing more than buddying. mastin spent a majority of d1 claiming he's obvtown, assuring people he's town, etc. It wasn't exactly a misrepresentation, just a different interpretation.
aj wrote:He constantly bugs Mastin about how mastin is faking confidence and therefore is lying. Ergo, nick suggests, LaL. Confidence is something that can be faked and not be indicative at all to anything. I mean, mastin's already told us that he's having a bit of issues getting into the game here, and personally, his confidence is a lot better than someone just reading 'null this, null that, null all the things'.
Well, he wasn't suggesting LaL. He did have a problem with how mastin was feigning confidence in his reads while admitting he wasn't confident in his read.

I think it's a bad reason to think mastin is scum, but I can see where nick was coming from. Compound this with mastin not having any arguments or case for nick being scum, and it's not hard to see why he could have been suspicious of mastin.

I questioned mastin myself several times d1 on the reasons he thought nick was scum and never got a response from him about it. He shrugged it off every time.

So yeah, I can understand why nick would be irked by mastin feigning confidence in his nick scum read...
aj wrote:First, we see he DISLIKES Rach's read list (which, fyi, is worse than anything Mastin put up this game), but denies that Rach is a good d1 lynch
I understood his reasoning for this. As he explained in , RM may have been acting scummy but it was a lynch based on little information and even if she flipped scum, there would be very few interaction tells. While I disagree with him, I can see where he's coming from, and I don't think this opinion is alignment indicative.

It's the same reason it's hard to push through a lynch on any lurker D1. Regardless of how scummy you think a particular lurker is, you may be wrong. And even if you're right, there's little information you can discern from their ISO. <- general theory I don't necessarily agree with myself, but I know others might think this.

But you acknowledge that this is the reason in the last part of your 'case' anyway.
aj wrote:saying they should be lynching mastin (off of wagon support formed from that '5 scum' comment mastin had). But,
... For someone that talks about nick misrepresenting mastin, I find it ironic that you took a post from the end of the day where it was obvious mastin wasn't going to be lynched, and pretended this is some sort of proof that nick contradicted himself or something.
aj wrote:First, he suggests leaving a 'scummy player' around to get a better read on her
This is the one thing (like I mentioned in ) that I'm trying to figure out and makes sense from the perspective nick and RM are scum together. It is entirely possible he was suggesting this to protect his buddy. Perhaps because she was a mad scientist and could possibly useful to keep around for at least an extra day.

I'm currently thinking this isn't the case, though (obviously). Mostly because I thought this was an opinion of his (based on his own mafia theory ideas) and wasn't something he was trying to push in order to save RM.

I'm also currently thinking this isn't the case because, like venmar, there were more viable counterwagons than mastin and he never really took the opportunity to jump on any of them.

And I'm also currently thinking that it was just too blatant to make sense as scum partners.
aj wrote:: Artificial reads. This really isn't true. Mastin had been giving and re-explaining reads all day.
No. You're ignoring the main read mastin
NEVER
explained. The nick scum read. Despite being asked multiple times, he never explained it. He shrugged it off and said "the whole iso is scummy" the one time he responded to a request to explain the nick suspicion.

Also, mastin's reads
did
look artificial, and anyone who thinks this isn't the case has something wrong with them. His reads were
all based on interaction, not on the content people were posting
.
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Post Post #3052 (isolation #182) » Fri Aug 30, 2013 4:57 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

bnb wrote:this is a wagon by townies for townies
Who are your scum reads outside of nick?
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Post Post #3060 (isolation #183) » Fri Aug 30, 2013 5:41 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

bnb wrote:I found these questions weird freaking questions to ask.

*shrug* It pertained to why you thought it was a town-driven wagon.
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Post Post #3070 (isolation #184) » Fri Aug 30, 2013 7:24 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

bro wrote:This inconsistency from day 1 feels like scum-MS trying to capitalize on SoS and BnB hating my hammer.
while the inconsistency is weird, that doesn't make a lot of sense. sos had been calling you scum all d1. why do you think he'd choose your hammer to capitalise on their read on you?
bro wrote:Really don't like the way FTL responds to the Mala wagon.
you really think that looks like something scum-ftl says about their buddy?
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Post Post #3083 (isolation #185) » Sat Aug 31, 2013 7:12 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

@bnb,

who do you think is scum if nick is town?
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Post Post #3086 (isolation #186) » Sat Aug 31, 2013 7:27 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

bro wrote:SoS was the only one who gave any serious push against me day 1
he was the only one that seriously pushed you because the rest of the game had other priorities in {rm, andrius, nick} and he was the only one who thought all three were town and you were scum.

he was far from the only one scum reading you.
bro wrote:a bunch of people came in with OMG HAMMER SO TERRIBLE
i don't think anyone cared about the hammer itself, more about the fact you were clearly still following the thread but not posting content... which i mentioned... and you never really addressed.

why
were
you still following the thread but not posting anything in the way of content?
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Post Post #3089 (isolation #187) » Sat Aug 31, 2013 7:56 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

@aj,
Spoiler:
aj wrote:But when he did so again, and it seemed to be targeted specifically at Mollie, I was wondering if it wasn't a subtle attempt at discrediting a hydra early on.
i highly doubt it. if he wanted to discredit someone in some way, an off-the-cuff comment here and there is hardly going to be effective...

i think my thoughts on this are more likely, unless you think he's either really, really bad or really, really lazy. because those are the only two scenarios i see it making sense as an attempt at "discrediting",
aj wrote:I felt he might've been trying to protect his own meta.
ok... but he legitimately has no finished scum games on this site, so what meta is there to even "protect"?

like i said, the best you could say about this is that perhaps his snarky attitude is because he's scum and he knows they can't use meta on him... but this is a weak argument.
aj wrote:He basically saw mastin say "I'm going to lie about my confidence" and attacked Mastin for lying.
you're not reading it in context. it had nothing to do with mastin "lying" and everything to do with how shit the reads mastin was pushing were. and, guess what.. nick was mastin's primary scum read and mastin had literally
nothing
in the way of a case.
aj wrote:I can't check, but I'm fairly certain my post about Rach and her connections was before this post. I thought Rach had plenty of connections, fairly obvious ones at that.
*shrug* there were others saying that there was little information to be gained from a rm lynch. iirc the MS head of ftl was one of them (don't quote me on this, but i do recall at least two others saying something along these lines), while others were complaining that there wasn't enough content from rm to get a read on rm herself.
aj wrote:So... why is he sticking off a wagon that he claimed he thought the slot was scummy?
this is the only reason i wasn't reading nick as town today, and the one point that i've acknowledged is somewhat valid.

i can think of possible scenarios that make sense if nick is town. but yes, this is something i could see as likely coming from nick-scum.
aj wrote:Isn't 90% of this game interaction?
well, not really, i hunt my scum reads first and then look at possible interactions to support my scum reads as supporting evidence. but i cbf discussing this

the point about mastin's reads is that they were
ALL
interaction-based. not based on the content of the players he thought was scum. he literally took a base scum read on nacho and then went through isos saying "yep this guy makes sense as scum look at what nacho said about him".

that's not a fucking case. that's not even fucking interaction tells. that's a pile of steaming shit. go back and actually read mastin's reads post where he claimed to know the entire scu mteam in savant fashion.
aj wrote:But, what's your current read on Mastin then? You've obviously expressed difficulties with communicating to him, but I'm not sure I remember any specific read you have for him.
pretty sure i was one of the first people, if not the first, to read mastin as town and i consistently called him town d1. not much has changed.
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Post Post #3115 (isolation #188) » Sun Sep 01, 2013 1:52 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

@desperado,

who do you think is scum?
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Post Post #3129 (isolation #189) » Sun Sep 01, 2013 2:51 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

@ghosty

why do you think mala is scum?
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Post Post #3145 (isolation #190) » Mon Sep 02, 2013 2:18 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

ghost wrote:hyper aggressive defense
what is this referring to exactly?
mala wrote:pushing much of no one
i don't agree with this, but i would agree that mala's pushes weren't very strong.
ghost wrote:Day 2 is her doing fuck all passively while we try to hang her
i don't really like this (from mala or nick, it's actually starting to piss me off to the point i'm starting not to care if nick is lynched today), but i'm not convinced this has anything to do with mala's (or nick's) alignment.
ghost wrote:Granted, I rage at everything, but there's no meltdown. It's more 'meh, whatever.
well, there was the ftl thing where mala said she was considering replacing out, but that seemed rather over the top. i have no experience with her, so i don't know if this is overacting or status quo for a player like her

i dunno. i read over mala's iso and saw some things that made me think scum and other things that made me think town. at this point in time with my vote on bro going nowhere, i'm considering voting mala, but i don't really feel all that strongly about her, and would really only be doing it because i don't like the other major wagon today.
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Post Post #3146 (isolation #191) » Mon Sep 02, 2013 2:20 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

nick wrote:I went to a waterpark today. I highly recommend it. Rereading now.
are you rereading the entire thread or something? it's taking a while
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Post Post #3155 (isolation #192) » Mon Sep 02, 2013 5:02 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

venmar

who do you think is scum outside of mac (and nacho)? i'm not as confident as i was d1, but i still think mac is very likely town.
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Post Post #3244 (isolation #193) » Mon Sep 02, 2013 3:28 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

this game makes me sad
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Post Post #3246 (isolation #194) » Mon Sep 02, 2013 3:42 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

you're not even reading my posts are you?
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Post Post #3249 (isolation #195) » Mon Sep 02, 2013 3:58 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

ftl wrote:I want your current reads.
In one post.
these are my tiered reads town at the top, scum at the bottom. the ones in the middle i'm still trying to sort properly right now. the ones at the very top are the reads i'm most confident are town.

Modified: ‎2013‎年‎9‎月‎2‎日, ‏‎0:25:03

bnb, ftl, venmar, td, ghostlin

nick, nacho, mac
desperado, mastin, andrius
mala, muttley, trust fund
aj
bro
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Post Post #3252 (isolation #196) » Mon Sep 02, 2013 4:07 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

ftl wrote:Zmuffin, would you support a Mala lynch, then?
i'll tell you at a later juncture if a mala wagon becomes relevant.
bnb wrote:muffin what can I do
who do you think is scum if nick is town?
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Post Post #3256 (isolation #197) » Mon Sep 02, 2013 4:27 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

ftl wrote:It's relevant now.
not really. i have two reasons i don't want to talk about my thoughts on mala at the moment. don't bother asking what they are because i'm not going to tell you.
ftl wrote:I guess the true worst scenario is that I get NK'd and Mala flips town. Hm.
you don't say.
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Post Post #3260 (isolation #198) » Mon Sep 02, 2013 4:35 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

because i'm not reading him as town (and outside of the people claiming he is playing to his "town meta", i don't think the reasons people are calling him town are all that good). i have a few issues with the reasoning behind his votes/suspicions and a gut suspicion based on his position on different wagons.

most of my thoughts on this i've already gone over in a lot more depth today, which is why i know you haven't been reading any of my posts.
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Post Post #3261 (isolation #199) » Mon Sep 02, 2013 4:40 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

@trust fund,

i don't think muttley is "confirmed" because he's an "un-cc'd" vig.
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