Mini 1492: Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets GAME OVER


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Post Post #4 (isolation #0) » Thu Aug 22, 2013 11:16 am

Post by Toomai »

Vote: LnGrrrR


Because RrrnGrrLrrGrrrrRnnnnRlllllRrrrrrGnnnnnLrrrrG.
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Post Post #30 (isolation #1) » Fri Aug 23, 2013 10:20 am

Post by Toomai »

Vote: Squilly


Has voted three times, last vote was the only one with a reason (even a joking RVS reason), and said reason is...strange.
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Post Post #33 (isolation #2) » Fri Aug 23, 2013 10:32 am

Post by Toomai »

In post 31, Amrun wrote:Toomai, why is voting three times scummy?
I didn't (intend to) say that, I said that only one of the three votes has a reason.
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Post Post #48 (isolation #3) » Sat Aug 24, 2013 7:31 am

Post by Toomai »

I totally don't see what the Amrun wagon is for.
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Post Post #79 (isolation #4) » Sun Aug 25, 2013 7:05 am

Post by Toomai »

Vote: JasonWazza


His posts consist as follows:
  1. Random vote.
  2. VOTE: is scum.
  3. You're inconsistent.
  4. You're parroting.
  5. VOTE: is scum. You're inconsistent.
  6. Filler?
  7. VOTE: is scum (implied).
  8. VOTE: is scum.
Give us something real.
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Post Post #87 (isolation #5) » Sun Aug 25, 2013 12:04 pm

Post by Toomai »

Are you planning on telling us why you have scumread instead of just yammering on that you have one?
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Post Post #124 (isolation #6) » Mon Aug 26, 2013 4:30 pm

Post by Toomai »

In post 120, fferyllt wrote:I'm having a look for passive voice in LnnnGrrrR's town game here:
Really what is the point in this? Seems like nothing more than a distraction.
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Post Post #152 (isolation #7) » Wed Aug 28, 2013 12:08 am

Post by Toomai »

I really want to post but I have nothing to contribute. I have weak, aggregate reads on four players and doubt the correctness of all of them.
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Post Post #176 (isolation #8) » Thu Aug 29, 2013 10:01 am

Post by Toomai »

In post 170, LnGrrrR wrote:
In post 152, Toomai wrote:I really want to post but I have nothing to contribute. I have weak, aggregate reads on four players and doubt the correctness of all of them.
Which four players? Why do you have the reads you have on those players?
JasonWazza: Slightly scummy because of what he's done so far (i.e. nothing but claim that he has a scumread and that he'll elaborate later). To be honest I feel like I should consider him null until he actually elaborates, but I feel his attitude about it (especially early on) is anti-town at best.
LnGrrrR: Slightly town because...don't know to be honest, it's mostly an aggregate of extremely slightly town posts.
Fegelein: Slightly town for the same reason as LnGrrrR (i.e. basically gut).
Squilly: Currently of the opinion he's newbietown, since I think someone with claimed offline experience would put a bit more work into learning how to be town online.
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Post Post #181 (isolation #9) » Thu Aug 29, 2013 3:26 pm

Post by Toomai »

In post 179, Amrun wrote:
In post 176, Toomai wrote:
In post 170, LnGrrrR wrote:
In post 152, Toomai wrote:I really want to post but I have nothing to contribute. I have weak, aggregate reads on four players and doubt the correctness of all of them.
Which four players? Why do you have the reads you have on those players?
JasonWazza: Slightly scummy because of what he's done so far (i.e. nothing but claim that he has a scumread and that he'll elaborate later). To be honest I feel like I should consider him null until he actually elaborates, but I feel his attitude about it (especially early on) is anti-town at best.
LnGrrrR: Slightly town because...don't know to be honest, it's mostly an aggregate of extremely slightly town posts.
Fegelein: Slightly town for the same reason as LnGrrrR (i.e. basically gut).
Squilly: Currently of the opinion he's newbietown, since I think someone with claimed offline experience would put a bit more work into learning how to be town online.
Don't have any reads on anyone else?
Nope. Everyone else is pure null or like 1% away from pure null.
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Post Post #183 (isolation #10) » Thu Aug 29, 2013 4:37 pm

Post by Toomai »

Hoping something happens because I don't know how to make things happen.
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Post Post #186 (isolation #11) » Thu Aug 29, 2013 5:33 pm

Post by Toomai »

It's all on the wiki page.

Short version: Finished four games, was VT in all of them, felt like dead weight for about the first half of the game in all of them.
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Post Post #218 (isolation #12) » Sat Aug 31, 2013 12:41 am

Post by Toomai »

I like the case on Stubbs, I'll think about it more while
I'm on V/LA for today
.
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Post Post #237 (isolation #13) » Sat Aug 31, 2013 3:56 pm

Post by Toomai »

In post 219, Fegelein wrote:
In post 176, Toomai wrote:
In post 170, LnGrrrR wrote:
In post 152, Toomai wrote:I really want to post but I have nothing to contribute. I have weak, aggregate reads on four players and doubt the correctness of all of them.
Which four players? Why do you have the reads you have on those players?
JasonWazza: Slightly scummy because of what he's done so far (i.e. nothing but claim that he has a scumread and that he'll elaborate later). To be honest I feel like I should consider him null until he actually elaborates, but I feel his attitude about it (especially early on) is anti-town at best.
LnGrrrR: Slightly town because...don't know to be honest, it's mostly an aggregate of extremely slightly town posts.
Fegelein: Slightly town for the same reason as LnGrrrR (i.e. basically gut).
Squilly: Currently of the opinion he's newbietown, since I think someone with claimed offline experience would put a bit more work into learning how to be town online.
Easy reads apart fom maybe LnGrrrR. Also, how can something be extremely slightly? That doesn't make any sense.
I use numbers to quantify my reads on posts and players. "Extremely slighty" means my read on a post/player is basically null but with one or two points towards town or scum.
In post 219, Fegelein wrote:
In post 218, Toomai wrote:I like the case on Stubbs, I'll think about it more while
I'm on V/LA for today
.
Lazy.
Lazy? Yeah probably, but I didn't exactly have time to look anything over in depth while I was packing up for a four-hour drive.

Now that that's over, I can say for sure that yeah Stubbs is pretty scummy. The case in currently has me convinced; in particular stands out to me as awful. But I won't be voting him until he can reply to all this.
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Post Post #250 (isolation #14) » Mon Sep 02, 2013 2:38 am

Post by Toomai »

Not sure what to make of Stubbs' reaction. He's right about Marquis doing just about nothing but a meta read and an unexplained read, but I'm not sure how putting together a reads list helps one get into a game.
In post 241, StubbsKVM wrote:I'm a bit weirded out by Jason's behaviour. My first game ever on this site, Jason was the one who was forcing everybody else to participate. The fact that he refuses to do so now, could mean he's scum, but it could also mean he's onto something with Amrun, as he claims.
This however looks like just fencesitting.
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Post Post #271 (isolation #15) » Tue Sep 03, 2013 3:41 am

Post by Toomai »

Vote: Marquis


Frankly I feel JW has been more helpful.
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Post Post #276 (isolation #16) » Tue Sep 03, 2013 6:59 am

Post by Toomai »

In post 272, LnGrrrR wrote:How has Jason been more helpful?
At least he promised to explain his antics. He shouldn't be given a pass until he does, but Marquis has the bigger wagon right now, and the deadline's in two days.
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Post Post #304 (isolation #17) » Wed Sep 04, 2013 7:48 am

Post by Toomai »

Holy cow dat wagon speed.
In post 298, Syryana wrote:LEGENDARY, GLORIOUS, MAGNIFICENT CATCHUP POST!

UNVOTE:
VOTE: JasonWazza

impressed.gif
I know you gave your reasons before but this still feels a bit non-sequitur.

To be honest though, while I don't like how fast the wagon piled up, there is a deadline within a day, and it's not like he wasn't a lynch candidate before.
If JW doesn't deliver the goods in his next post, I'll hammer.
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Post Post #309 (isolation #18) » Wed Sep 04, 2013 1:12 pm

Post by Toomai »

In post 306, JasonWazza wrote:I am Argus Filch, JoAT just like stubbs claims to be.

Follower, Reporter, Voyeur.
Given that this is pretty weak overall, and fits in flavour, I'm inclined to believe it.

Still don't like how he's yet to explain anything but I'm keeping my vote on Marquis.
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Post Post #357 (isolation #19) » Thu Sep 05, 2013 11:13 am

Post by Toomai »

Yeah the more I turn it over the more I think the Creevy claim doesn't fit. Not lynching it today though.
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Post Post #386 (isolation #20) » Fri Sep 06, 2013 4:18 pm

Post by Toomai »

In post 383, Amrun wrote:Lngrr is still "pressure voting." Kill with fire.
Why is "pressure voting" a problem?
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Post Post #406 (isolation #21) » Sat Sep 07, 2013 1:26 pm

Post by Toomai »

In post 404, LnGrrrR wrote:If no one comes in to vote Marquis, then I will claim to move people off my wagon to prevent a no-lynch.
That's basically a softclaim right there, saying that your role is good enough to not lynch. If you were VT people would have no added incentive to get off your wagon.
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Post Post #484 (isolation #22) » Tue Sep 10, 2013 12:07 pm

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In post 471, LnGrrrR wrote:I will share who I protected after everyone checks in.
Why would you wait? Why does it matter?
In post 483, JasonWazza wrote:Wait a second, the mod told you that you were blocked?
Well he claimed a JOAT with a Cop part, so if he got no result he'd know he was blocked.

It should be said however that this is a pretty easy way to hold up a fakeclaim. (I doubt the Stubbs claim more than the other claims at this stage.)
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Post Post #515 (isolation #23) » Wed Sep 11, 2013 12:45 pm

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In post 514, LnGrrrR wrote:Here is what I don't get... If Stubbs was roleblocked, why weren't Jason or I killed? Scum trying to introduce WIFOM and have town mislynch? Just throws me off.
Yeah this is rather suspicious. Leaving both claimed JOATs alive for the mindgames isn't hard to believe, but the uncountered 1-shot Doctor is somewhat. Maybe they were fishing for an unclaimed PR? That would presume that both JOAT claims are town, which I currently don't think is likely.
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Post Post #525 (isolation #24) » Thu Sep 12, 2013 10:01 am

Post by Toomai »

In post 523, F-16_Fighting_Falcon wrote: is terrible where he asks ffery what the point is of having a look for passive voice in lngrrrR's town game. I think it is fairly obvious: if LngrrrR generally uses passive voice as town, then it becomes a null tell. LngrrrR was also the hot topic for discussion at the time, so checking up his meta is hardly a distraction.
The whole "passive voice" argument seemed like pointless, pedantic garbage to me and went on way too long.
In post 523, F-16_Fighting_Falcon wrote:The amount of null reads he has in is troubling coupled with no attempt at developing any reads. is just hoping someone else makes things happen. I really don't like - pre-emptively justifying why he is dead weight in this game by referring to his other games. If he was dead weight before, makes no sense to not try and improve.
You think I'm not trying to get reads or improve at playing? I sit here for probably half an hour per post trying to come up with questions and reads, and come up with pointless headaches instead. I am a bad player and will probably stay that way for several years whether I try to improve or not. That does not mean I am scum; that means I am a policy lynch.
In post 523, F-16_Fighting_Falcon wrote: where he says Jason has been more helpful doesn't sit right either. Jason had not done anything up until that point other than promise reads.
That was my point. I felt Marquis had done less than promise reads.
In post 524, LnGrrrR wrote:Please do something.
I'll do a votecount analysis or something. At least I'm capable of that.
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Post Post #528 (isolation #25) » Thu Sep 12, 2013 1:45 pm

Post by Toomai »

Righto, D1 votes.
PlayerGame startStubbsKVM claim (257)JW claim (306)LnGrrrR claim (409)Final vote
SyryanaLnGrrrR (2), JW (3), StubbsKVM (3)JW (4)
unvote
MSG (1),
Marquis
(4)
Marquis
(4)
penguin_alienAmrun (1),
Marquis
(1),
unvote
, StubbsKVM (6)
JW (2)
unvote
StubbsKVM (3)StubbsKVM (2)
fferylltStubbsKVM (4)
unvote
JW (6)
unvote
[no vote]
JasonWazzaAmrun (3)Amrun (1)
StubbsKVM
Marquis
(4)
Marquis
(2)
Amrun
CDb
(1),
Marquis
(3), MSG (1), LnGrrrR (2), StubbsKVM (2)
LnGrrrR (1)LnGrrrR (1)
LnGrrrRRM (1),
Marquis
(2)
JW (5)
unvote
,
Marquis
(4)
StubbsKVM (1),
unvote
,
Marquis
(6)
Marquis
(6)
Toomai
LnGrrrR (1),
Marquis
(3), JW (2)
Marquis
(4)
Marquis
(3)
MSGAmrun (3),
unvote
Marquis
(5), StubbsKVM (1)
StubbsKVM (1)
F-16_Fighting_FalconJW (1), StubbsKVM (5)JW (2)StubbsKVM (2),
unvote
,
Marquis
(7)
Marquis
(7)
RachMarie
Marquis
(4)
Marquis
(1)
Marquis
Toomai
(1), Amrun (4), CDb (2), Amrun (4), RM (1)
LnGrrrR (3),
unvote
, JW (2)
JW (1)
ChannelDelibird
Amrun (2), LnGrrrR (3), StubbsKVM (1)
unvote
, LnGrrrR (2), JW (3)
LnGrrrR (2)
Marquis
(5)
Marquis
(5)
Columns named by event that started them; last column shows final votes, not vote changes. Random votes counted. unvotes noted. Wagon positions noted.
dead
,
conf-town
,
self-conf-town


What I see when I look at this:
  • Three people (JW, Stubbs, and RM) never changed their votes throughout the day. JW claims he scumread Amrun, but still needs to explain why. Stubbs confirmed his vote once throughout the day with ; RM kinda did with .
  • fferyllt is the only person to not vote for Squilly/Marquis at some point, aside from JW.
  • Something's bugging me about how Syryana's votes on the two claiming wagons and the lynching wagon are all in about the same place (midpoint/just before midpoint).
In post 527, F-16_Fighting_Falcon wrote:
Toomai wrote:
In post 523, F-16_Fighting_Falcon wrote: where he says Jason has been more helpful doesn't sit right either. Jason had not done anything up until that point other than promise reads.
That was my point. I felt Marquis had done less than promise reads.
How so? Marquis had at that point provided reads and explained her read on Rach in .
That was one very specific meta note. Aside from that he had posted two one-liner reads ("Rach is scum", "Feg is probably scum") with no promise of explanation.
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Post Post #546 (isolation #26) » Fri Sep 13, 2013 9:24 am

Post by Toomai »

In post 543, LnGrrrR wrote:I don't think we should out this info, but you should see if you can self-protect with the doc shot.
Yeah like that's ever allowed.
In post 544, F-16_Fighting_Falcon wrote:Toomai, can you give more reads along with the numbers? Do you have a list/chart of players and your reads?
Image

Syryana:
-3%
(when I think without checking, I can't think of anything significant that's been done)
penguin_alien:
1%
(basically null)
fferyllt:
-1%
(basically null)
JasonWazza:
18%
(claim is fine but hasn't been cooperative in giving that one read on Amrun)
StubbsKVM:
-6%
(disbelieve this claim the most flavour-wise, and hasn't really done much since)
Amrun:
-2%
(basically null)
LnGrrrR:
61%
(I believe this claim the most of all three given ones, and even without that he's doing the right things)
MSG:
0%
(purely null)
F-16_Fighting_Falcon:
9%
(has been doing the right things throughout the game)
RachMarie:
1%
(basically null)
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Post Post #564 (isolation #27) » Sat Sep 14, 2013 3:28 pm

Post by Toomai »

In post 562, LnGrrrR wrote:Hey Jason, why don't you explain your scum read on Amrun?
Yeah if I don't see this in his next post I'll vote too.

So many lurkers.
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Post Post #588 (isolation #28) » Sun Sep 15, 2013 12:51 pm

Post by Toomai »

In post 587, RachMarie wrote:I also find the level of claims and partial claims a bit unbelievable in a game that is not role madness.
Theme games are often a bit more power-heavy than normal games.

I know I said I was going to vote JW, but the Stubbs claim seems wronger and wronger the more I think about it. It just doesn't fit, not in flavour nor with LnGrrrR's claim (which is much more believable). Besides, even though JW is being unhelpful, his claim is still reasonably believable.

Vote: StubbsKVM
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Post Post #610 (isolation #29) » Mon Sep 16, 2013 3:18 pm

Post by Toomai »

My opinion on FFF's Lockhart claim: reasonable despite fruit not being in-flavour. Having a Fruit Vendor also backs up the observation nature of JW's JOAT abilities, so as I see it they both get bonus beliveability points.
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Post Post #612 (isolation #30) » Mon Sep 16, 2013 4:30 pm

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In post 611, penguin_alien wrote:Fruit vendor plus one-shot doc that may only stump rather than save plus weak JOAT =/= strong JOAT. And the fruit vendor fits as a negative utility town role.

UNVOTE: MSG

Intent to vote for Stubbs pending his checking in here.
I don't get this post. What do you mean by saying that three weaker claimed roles "is not equal to" one stronger claimed role? How is Fruit Vendor negative utility? Why would you need to declare intent to vote to L-2?
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Post Post #697 (isolation #31) » Fri Sep 20, 2013 4:54 pm

Post by Toomai »

Well my reads update is that JW and FFF are town due to claims and everyone else is in a big pile of cluelessness.

I guess I'll wait for Nachomamma8 to get caught up.
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Post Post #739 (isolation #32) » Sat Sep 21, 2013 4:00 pm

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In post 732, F-16_Fighting_Falcon wrote:Toomai, can you provide an updated graph and explain how you developed the reads you did for each player in detail.
Image
I'm not entirely sure what you want by "explain how you developed the reads you did for each player in detail". The basic gist is that as I read I assign each post a series of numbers based on how much my reads for each player have changed due to that post.

If you have questions about specific raises and drops, you can point them out.
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Post Post #757 (isolation #33) » Sun Sep 22, 2013 3:26 am

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In post 748, F-16_Fighting_Falcon wrote:1) How is Amrun in negative numbers? You have her as slightly below zero. Stubbs scumflip doesn't seem to have changed anything.

2) What is your reasoning for Penguin progressively becoming scummier and scummier after 570 or so until the end of your graph? I am interested in hearing your reasoning for that.
In post 749, F-16_Fighting_Falcon wrote:My third question seemed redundant. What I wanted was your reads on other players in english.
  1. I agreed with (-2). I agreed with and (+2). I didn't like or (-2). I agreed with (+1).
    No other posts have changed my opinion of that slot.
    The Stubbs flip didn't change anything (about this slot) because I don't know why it would change anything.
  2. I liked (+1). I agreed with and (-2). I didn't like or (-3).
  3. Town
    : FFF, JW
    Weak Town
    : MSG
    Null
    : Nm8, ffll, Amr, RM
    Weak Scum
    : p_a
In post 754, Nachomamma8 wrote:In that game, he was willing to call out logic he didn't agree with, push a top suspect very strongly, and when he was lost, had the knowledge to follow players he trusted.
Claiming I successfully did any of this in any game is riotous, but okay I'll go with it - I see no logic issues or have any true top suspects in this game, hence why none of that is getting done.
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Post Post #761 (isolation #34) » Sun Sep 22, 2013 6:08 am

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In post 758, F-16_Fighting_Falcon wrote:Toomai, I am worried that regardless of your affiliation, you are not actually reading the game as a whole but as individual posts.
Maybe after twenty or thirty more games I can learn how to do that.
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Post Post #772 (isolation #35) » Mon Sep 23, 2013 7:16 am

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Alright I'm done with this badgering. Full reread coming up.
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Post Post #778 (isolation #36) » Mon Sep 23, 2013 10:31 am

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In post 774, Amrun wrote:Toomai: when Stubbs flipped scum, what did you think?
Probably something like "Okay, so JW has to be legit, and maybe Stubbs claimed town-JOAT to match his scum-JOAT because he suspected a detector".

Finished reread.
  • Nachomamma8: unchanged, still null
  • penguin_alien: weak nullscum → weak nulltown
  • fferyllt: weak nulltown → weak town
  • JasonWazza: unchanged, still town
  • Amrun: weak nulltown → townish
  • MSG: weak nulltown → weak nullscum
  • FFF: unchanged, still town
  • RM: unchanged, still weak nulltown
So yeah not really the best use of my time. That said, MSG is the most interesting bit here; I was starting to suspect that slot as a Stubbs partner, but recent posts by various people have been chipping away at that.
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Post Post #784 (isolation #37) » Mon Sep 23, 2013 4:53 pm

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In post 780, fferyllt wrote:why some of these reads changed?
I don't think I can really explain it other than reading different posts as different things given the hindsight of the known claims and flips.
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Post Post #788 (isolation #38) » Tue Sep 24, 2013 5:00 pm

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In post 785, F-16_Fighting_Falcon wrote:Toomai, can you explain your reads? Why is someone null or town or scum. What are the reasons that you found their posts townish or scummy?
Well alright I'll slap together a big-o list.

FFF and JW are town by default because I believe the claims.

Amrun I have as townish upon reread because of the Stubbs stuff as well as other things. Specifically:
  • (+1%) Raises valid point
  • (+1%) Poking someone who showed up without much comment
  • (-1%) Pointless filler
  • (-1%) The whole "passive voice" argument I never cared for
  • (+1%) Good question, sensible answers
  • (+1%) Telling JW to get on with it
  • (+1%) Getting rid of the bad argument and spelling out the better one
  • (+1%) Just agreement with the post in general
  • (+1%) Calls me out for being bad
  • (+1%) The additional point
  • (+1%) Pointing out the suspicious timeline
  • (+1%) "idiocy != scum" is always a townish thing to remind people of
  • (+1%) Same as previous basically
  • (+1%) WAFFLES; also point makes sense
  • (+2%) Entire post is just town
  • (+1%) Sensible reasoning
  • (+1%) Same as previous
  • (+1%) Decent point raised
  • Result:
    +15%
fferyllt I have as weaker town because:
  • (+1%) Liked question.
  • (-1%) "passive voice" report
  • (+1%) Decent enough questions
  • (+1%) Also a good question
  • (+1%) The callout of reads without reasons
  • (+1%) Same as above
  • (+1%) Also same as above
  • (+1%) Okay with this reasoning
  • (+1%) Totally understandable sentiment
  • (+1%) Reaction upon reading was "Indeed.", caught onto something that make little sense
  • (+1%) Case generally agreed with.
  • (-1%) Really sticks out to me as something that doesn't need to be said by town
  • (+1%) Reasonable results from meta investigation
  • Result:
    +9%
I'll continue when I have more time tomorrow.
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Post Post #814 (isolation #39) » Thu Sep 26, 2013 8:51 am

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Well I got blammed and had no free time, so I'll try again to finish the rest of the players shortly. Wanted to respond to this though:
In post 794, penguin_alien wrote:Toomai's latest list of individual posts and his reactions to them--some of it revolves around people pointing things out. Some of it's approving of the content of posts, but there's no personal investment there. Such as saying something is sensible, or reasonable--scum are rarely gibbering idiots; scum can be reasonable and sensible and make good points. His reads aren't based on alignment-indicative things from what I can tell. In the above list, his negatives are for filler (if it's coming from town) and an argument he doesn't like. Not one that he's refuting or pointing out problems with--he just doesn't like it. And nearly everything is weighted the same, except the one Amrun post that's 'just town' with no further qualifiers.
My general rationale is that, while scum can (and do) make rational and sensible posts, in the long run town should make more of them overall. Townies want to find new points of view, holes in arguments, links, and the like; scum only really want to find as many as necessary to look town and avoid bringing the more dissonant ones to the forefront. There's not much negative with what I've done so far because they were both comparatively strong town reads.
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Post Post #835 (isolation #40) » Fri Sep 27, 2013 12:23 pm

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Okay going to try and get this finished now.

Nachomamma8/Syryana:
  • (-1%) Vote with no reason. JW did have 2 votes at the time, but neither were recent.
  • (+1%) Explained previous vote with same reasons I had.
  • (+1%) Looks like town questioning.
  • (-3%) I said it in - "catchup post" that followed the leading wagon with nothing else.
  • (+1%) It strikes me as unlikely that scum would admit to not knowing who they want to vote for.
  • (+1%) After having reread, these reads mostly match what my own (re-evaluated) reads are as of this post.
  • No post since then has stood out to me as net towny or net scummy. If anything, most of Nacho's posts are swingy-null (as opposed to static-null).
  • Result:
    0%
penguin_alien:
  • (+1%) It could still be RVS at this point; scum would probably want to continue that instead of asking this question.
  • (+1%) Similar question as 24, in a way.
  • (+1%) I agreed with the MSG sentiment.
  • (-1%) I liked this case on p_a.
  • (-1%) This one too, despite focusing on a post I previously agreed with.
  • (+1%) I like the line of thinking in here.
  • (+1%) I'm not sure I agree with it, but this thinking is also reasonable.
  • Result:
    +3%
MSG/oriole:
  • (-1%) Okay it's RVS, but this didn't look RVS-y and lacked reasoning.
  • (+1%) Reasoning was then given here.
  • (-1%) ...and then it was pointed out here that he only answered half the question.
  • (+1%) Don't think scum would try to ruin a buddy's fakeclaim this early.
  • (-1%) Don't really like the "have my doubts" part. Gut I guess.
  • (-1%) Calls out . I didn't have a problem with it originally, but seeing it spelled out here changed my mind.
  • (-1%) Brought up the "how do you know you were blocked" question again, after it had died down somewhat. I don't see how that helps.
  • (-1%) This just bugs me, I don't know why. Unnecessary post at best.
  • (-1%) Stubbs didn't really ignore the questions in my opinion.
  • (+1%) I might have asked this question too.
  • (+3%) Towncasepost. I can't find anything significant wrong with it.
  • Result:
    -1%
RachMarie:
  • (+1%) I agreed with this.
  • (-1%) This post is a fat lot of nothing. Okay, "been sick", but I think the post might have actually been better if "been sick, more later" was its only content, instead of filling it up with filler.
  • (+1%) Asked question about at-the-time baseless read.
  • (+1%) Poking of Marquis to actually do something.
  • (+1%) Flavour counter-evidence. Not sure why scum would bring it up at this point.
  • (-1%) I feel this is an "Obvious much?" post. I.e. filler.
  • (+1%) Setup speculation, but positively. Raising Stubbs as potential scum-JOAT made his claim look kind of worse in my opinion.
  • (-1%) This speculation however rubs me the wrong way. Not entirely sure why.
  • Result:
    +2%
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Post Post #840 (isolation #41) » Sat Sep 28, 2013 2:59 am

Post by Toomai »

In post 837, F-16_Fighting_Falcon wrote:Why is a vote with no reasoning more likely to come from scum? Is this coming from your experience with scum voting for no reason?
How is town questioning? What about the questions made them more likely to come from town?
How so? You seem to read Penguin as slight town, me as town, and if you are town, it should be obvious that he is wrong.
At best voting without a reason is anti-town. Note that whenever a reason was shortly provided I undid the negative change.
"Why isn't Jason interesting?" "Why should I vote Stubbs over Jason?" Stuff like that. Scum generally does not care as much when town is squablling with each other.
I don't understand what #3 here is referring to.
In post 837, F-16_Fighting_Falcon wrote:In your graph in post , you have Penguin Alien as the scummiest player in the game. In , you have Penguin as weak-scum (your only scumread). In , she changes to weak null-town. The only post she had made in between that change of reads is . So, this must have been the post that changed your read. Why not comment on it? Also, what about that post changed your read from a weak scumread to a weak townread?
Between 772 and 778 I did a total reread of the game, dropping (but archiving) all my previous reads. 771 did not change anything aside from convincing me I should reread.
In post 837, F-16_Fighting_Falcon wrote:Syryana called out MSG because he was voting on flavor i.e. he was voting based on which claims he bought and which claims he didn't buy. Why is this scummy? So far, you have two strong townreads and they are both based on claims to the point that you did no behavioral analysis. It follows that you consider claims to be of at least significance importance. Why do you agree with an argument claiming that voting based on flavor is bad?
It was still Day 1 at the time, and it's my feeing that only the totally ridiculous PR claims should be lynched D1. Stubbs's claim was only farfetched, not ridiculous, and there were arguments about power vs. flavour that made it less appealing to poke.
In post 838, Nachomamma8 wrote:
In post 835, Toomai wrote:If anything, most of Nacho's posts are swingy-null (as opposed to static-null).
Break them down, then. What are the your scumleans/townleans in my individual posts?
I'll see if I can try this later.
In post 839, RachMarie wrote:I am confused by all the math stuffs, what does it mean in terms of scum, null, town reads?
The general gist is: Positive numbers are town, negative numbers are scum, numbers near 0 (say within 1 or maybe 2) are null. But can also be interpreted relatively; if I read everyone as positive (town), whoever's the least positive would be scum. Using "%" as a unit is kind of arbitrary.
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Post Post #849 (isolation #42) » Mon Sep 30, 2013 8:02 am

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Not gonna lie I've currently lost most interest in this game, pending that replacement. If it wasn't MSG I would be voting him just for being my bottomest read with 5-ish days in the deadline.
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Post Post #871 (isolation #43) » Tue Oct 01, 2013 10:49 am

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If you think I'm a good flip, then go ahead, I'm kind of a distractional detriment to town right now.
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Post Post #874 (isolation #44) » Tue Oct 01, 2013 1:02 pm

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I'm not giving up. I'm saying that if the purpose of my lynch is for information, then I'm fine with that and won't bother wasting time defending against it.
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Post Post #888 (isolation #45) » Wed Oct 02, 2013 3:57 pm

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In post 882, F-16_Fighting_Falcon wrote:Nacho, ffery thoughts on Toomai's deathwish?
Yeah because I totally implied that I
want
to be lynched. [/arcasmsay]
In post 885, Amrun wrote:His content contains almost exclusively excuses, and his behavior is really strange around the Stubbs lynch and subsequent flip.
I'm more tired of the excuses than you are. In my five previously completed games I have had at least a gut feeling of who is scum throughout the game. This game has had no such luck; I currently have no true scumreads, and since the vast majority of discussion lately has been about me (and understandably so), I have no way to get any.
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Post Post #893 (isolation #46) » Thu Oct 03, 2013 3:05 am

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In post 889, F-16_Fighting_Falcon wrote:Is there a reason why you are playing differently here in that respect?
I don't know how to "play differently". I don't even know how I'm playing right now. As far as I'm aware I've been playing the same in all my games.

I can't respond to Amrun's case because it's all correct. The end conclusion of "Toomai is scum" is wrong, but the contents are all 100% correct and there's nothing I can argue about without looking worse.
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Post Post #927 (isolation #47) » Fri Oct 04, 2013 10:34 am

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Claim: Justin Finch-Flinch-Fidget-Finagle-Flap-Flack-Flutter-Flip-Fletchley, VT


Nobody likes Hufflepuffs.

It occured to me that the Basilisk may be undetectable, given how it moves through the walls and no one's any the wiser. So penguin_alien might not actually be cleared as it.
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Post Post #931 (isolation #48) » Fri Oct 04, 2013 11:40 am

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In post 929, penguin_alien wrote:Toomai, who do you think scum is? And not who has the lowest percentage reading at the moment; evaluating everything, what are your scum reads?
Won't lynch:
  • FFF
  • JW
Unconvinced either way:
  • Amrun
  • fferyllt
  • RM
Okay with lynching:
  • p_a
  • Nacho
  • JS
In post 930, F-16_Fighting_Falcon wrote:Is the name posted in your role PM the way you said it or are you just posting it for fun?
No I'm messing around.
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Post Post #942 (isolation #49) » Sat Oct 05, 2013 7:04 am

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In post 939, F-16_Fighting_Falcon wrote:A scum game of Toomai just finished. Will post more when I finish reading.
In post 941, F-16_Fighting_Falcon wrote:[analysis of the above]
FYI this was the first time I replaced into a game, so I don't know what you expect to find that isn't ambiguous as to whether it's "scumgame" or "replacegame".

JacobSavage has done squat-all since he came in, and I might at well put some sort of vote down before I get lynched.

Vote: JacobSavage
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Post Post #943 (isolation #50) » Sat Oct 05, 2013 7:05 am

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In post 941, F-16_Fighting_Falcon wrote:Penguin who is the only counterwagon
Wait penguin_alien has two votes? Should go there instead.

Vote: penguin_alien
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