A uPick of Ice & Fire - Day 12 - #REKT?
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Got my role PM. Will be reading tomorrow as it is late here. Lots of new names. Should be fun.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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What are the reasons behind the major wagons? I would like to keep those in mind as I start my read.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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I don't like random voting and I like to get a feel of the group by asking those questions. Kayne why are you on elle?ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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Prideandjoy, I think the Miller claim is genuine. However, I can see where some would disagree. Why is voting a claimed miller bad?
Tammy do you think elle hardbussed Spyrex to avoid scumhunting given Spyrex was in a policy lynch situation? (supposing that Spyrex hammered without a claim with only reading ISOs)
I am not seeing ellescum. I know that makes it more likely to be lynched but I am not oing to push a bad lynch to sav myself.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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We know the claim is true. Let me rephrase. Knowing what we knew then, why is voting a claimed miller bad? I could see claiming being a scum gambit?ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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It is not theory. I am trying to see the reasons behind PJ's vote. PJ is voting elle because Elle voted Thor. I see nothing wrong with that voting. Why so defensive?ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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Negging?
PJ is making no sense. Elle lynch makes no sense. Hmmm.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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Looking solely at day 1VCA, ooba and safetydance need scrutiny. Their wagons were above 10 according to the vcs the mod posted. There was no counterwagon on Amrun, which suggests it was heavily scum pushed. On day three my slot was wagoned with Spyrex and spyrex was scum. That suggests scum was pushing my wagon.
Now, let's see if anyone fits the profile I have drawn up. Pushing amrun, pushing me and pushing thor.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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No. Obviously not. I haven't finished reading. I was just looking at the VCA from a neutral perspective. If someone was always taking the wrong position, it suggests scum to me. That's all VCA is a suggestion.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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Elle, are you trying to hint or not hint at something?ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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Why the focus on SD? Shouldn't it be clear what he did? If not, why is no one voting him?ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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Naut, I have looked at the VCs, and the ISOs of the major wagons and all action since I subbed in.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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You phone has the deadline date in the past. The month is off.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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VOTE: SatefyDance
He voted Thor and Amrun and cannot clearly communicate his night actions. Why wasn't he lynched sooner?ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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why are you happy with all three choices?ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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Join me on SafetyDance then? It seems like he cannot keep his story straight. He should just be saying "I did X. My bad." It sounds like he's trying to figure out what the fuck he did himself.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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Please shut up until he gets his story straight? Why? He had his shot. Presenting incoherent gobbledygook is suspicious. I'll ask people to join me on that because I feel it is the right train to be on. Period.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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Tierce, what do you think of SD? Saying something's a terrible vote is suggestive but it doesn't answer how you feel on the issue.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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I figured you were leaning that way Tierce. I wanted to be sure on my notes. That's all.
If he tracked Quadz though, what should his result be?ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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Tierce, even then, you don't sound 100% certain (as indicated by "apparently". You should be if you're saying that's what the result is. The whole point of this (from my POV) is to get that certainty. No wishy washy behavior. I did this this n1. I did this n2. I did this n3. These were the results. Not this confusion inducing bullshit. I operate best when I know where all the pieces are in the board. SD's confusion inhibits my ability to understand this.
Benmage, how about actually saying something productive?ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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SD should be giving this clarification straight forward. Any player in the game SHOULD be able to answer that question with certainty. That's my point. It's ridiculous.
Tierce, what the hell is it you are wanting? I'm looking at the things that stick out to me first, resolving those and figuring out the puzzle. I view each piece as important to the entire puzzle. On one hand, you're dismissing the obvious, scum like to push mislynches so looking at VCAs can be useful, and unclear actions should be clarified. I don't view SD's actions as a petty technicality as his claim was what saved him and Thor's claim is what lynched him if I am understanding right. I push, I interrogate. It may take me awhile to know everything about the players and form reads on everyone. Right now, I want clarity from SD and I'm going to push that until I get clarity and why the hell he's not being clear.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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I'm not looking for a level playing field between him and Thor. I was stating a comparison. SD needs to be as clear and direct as you. Period. If not, I'll want to lynch him.
I am fucking contributing. I don't scumhunt the way you want. I have to fully understand what is going on in order to actually have a coherent theory. I'm not going to push some half assed theory that has no substance behind it because you say you want actual contribution. You'll know where I stand on something when I actually have the intelligent information to make a god damn stand. I don't force it. You should see a thought process behind my posts. If you don't feel free to ask questions to clarify but I'm not going to randomly start guessing.
I frankly don't share your confidence on SD. I won't until HE speaks clearly and explains everything step by step.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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This I agree with. Someone who is scumhunting would logically know where I want to stand. Yet, he picks you. I find that odd.In post 3215, Tierce wrote:Pandering is not really the word here--you're really really really trying to make sure I notice you reaching out to me, though, which comes across as forced.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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tierce, that should answer what I have read so far. I thought you would have noticed that.In post 3160, Titus wrote:Naut, I have looked at the VCs, and the ISOs of the major wagons and all action since I subbed in.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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I will. During that time, I'm pushing for information that will help me clarify my understanding of the game while actively posting in my other games.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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SD, what the hell is the point of that post?
Can you PLEASE just put your actions and results in the blanks?
N1: _________
N2: __________
N3: __________ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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Are you reading what is currently happening? The point is for SD to answer what he did. In addition to trying to answer for him, you've thrown a question in there drippping with placating tone.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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That's L minus 2.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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? Really. What do you think is the single most important event so far aside from lynching Spyrex? Or replacements?In post 3225, Benmage wrote:
You mean voting the active lurker?In post 3209, Titus wrote:Benmage, how about actually saying something productive?
I think I'm the only one doing something productive.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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Kanye, you're agreeing with me that SD is being confusing and then voting me. What the hell?
SD, use plain language. I gave you a form. It will be crystal clear if you do that.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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This is why I hate meta.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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Mad buddying from quadz.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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I put the emphasis on where the pieces are in the puzzle. So I ask that question to get a feel for how people are positioned in the game. What people view as important tends to either a) dictate their alignment or b) give me a good starting viewpoint to read from when I come in. I cannot even tell who the town leader is right now, so the pieces aren't all that clear. I'd guess that would be Tammy or Tierce but I don't know. There isn't really a "right" or "wrong" answer, just helpful or unhelpful.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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In post 3286, Nautilius wrote:
Because he's town, mostly.In post 3174, Titus wrote:VOTE: SatefyDance
He voted Thor and Amrun and cannot clearly communicate his night actions. Why wasn't he lynched sooner?
Put Nat back on the line, please.In post 3199, Garruk Relentless wrote:SSK checking in here. In addition to SD's lack of clarity regarding his claim, this hydra also thinks he's scum because of the difference of his play as compared to Lucid Dreamers Mafia. In Lucid Dreamers, he was way more active and making cases more on everyone. And you know, so explicit with how roles worked that he actually made a table of all the actions that had been performed. So in conclusion
Vote SafetyDance
-SSK
In post 3216, kanyeknowsbest wrote:he knows what a ninja is. and he cant decide if he tracked nautilus or not.I have a lot of trouble seeing scum having trouble making a decision like that, especially with coaching from scumbuddies.
I think you are scum.
I am voting someone who I also think is scum.
The person I am voting has a bigger wagon.
Why am I supposed to vote you again?
Bolded strongly implies that the scums have a daychat. What evidence is there of this? The group would not have been confused until today when SD could not fill out the simple chart. How could scum have coached SD?ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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Naut, you act as if it is so simple. Why doesn't SD just say that with his results in a nice concise format with no garbage?
Shadoweh, does Faraday always include Daychat or is than an assumption?ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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Hey, I first encountered daychat on this site. Daychat never happened on any other site I have been on. I usually assume no daychat. Assumptions about setup don't reflect th skill of the player.
I didn't say Naut was scum for that. It might have been a slip but it also might have been town oin what you were doing. I always assume no daychat unless told otherwisr.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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^^^ I want to know that as well.
I have never seen a permanent rber. It makes much more sense to include a vanillaizer than a permanent rber unless we are looking at a spree killer. Also why use it until you are convinced someone is not town aligned? Please don't take this as being hostile, I do believe the claim (can't see elle willing to be suicidal over it). Elle just makes sense as town. Were you compulsive n1 elle?
Someone else asked but I cannot find the quote. IDing everyone's social role helps me look for patterns. For instance, Benmage is the village oddball or evil spammer. He is thinking but not thinking in a manner many see or get. That is something I frequently fall into as well.
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Supposing elle's claim is true, then Tierce logically must move up the suspicion list. We have had nights without kills and someone who has been rbed the entire time possibly. Tierce, from the general tone of the group currently, is unlikely to be suspected much. Tiere isn't a bad choice to send for a kill.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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Tierce, if he thinks, I am scum, let him talk. I don't mind the heat. Plus, I am not a fan of meta.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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No. Town oddballs/evil spammers stick out like sore thumbs.In post 3340, Nautilius wrote:Have you IDed everyone?
You are a social analytic type player who if I am right never gets fully trusted due to never having solid tells one way or the other.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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Will review this later. I have to go to a work site for a bit. Should be back wihin 5 hours. Now, I know to read the start of day 2 as a priority when this game dies diwn.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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Naut, am I right on you?ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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Naut, SD gains plenty as scum by being obtuse. He gains VI status. Look at his posts though. He is not playing like a VI. Yet people are pushing him as one.
Tierce, haven't read that part yet but how would you know permannce on Day 2 unless the mod pmmed you which would neuter the permanent roleblocker.
SD, no links, just type out what you did. What is SFA?
Looking forward to your analysis Messiah.
Also, I don't like all the subtle discrediting. I will bbl. Just had 5 minutes.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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I still think something is off regarding this Tierce/elle thing. Yet I think they are both town trying to hide something they think hiding will improve things for us. This puts me in the odd position of trusting them generally but trusting nothing they say. This is a short leash at least until I have time to sit down and read this game.
Benmage, if you think Agar is so scummy, why vote The Alchemist?
For the record, I think SD is a better lynch than Quadz. SD will not give a straight answer to anything, which I only see benefitting a scum PR. Tierce and Elle are being candid with their stuff just withholding but being honest about it. Quadz is just buddying anything that walks but SD and Agar.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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Context, I don't think Elle can Ben.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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Also, I really want to know the answer to my last question.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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VOTE: quadz
No defense, no questions. Clearly caught scum here.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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Tierce, I am. I find scumhunting is the best defense.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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I also have a card in my back pocket I am hoping not to use until lylo/mylo.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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Context? Elle's statements appear to be suicidal as scum no? I always suppose smart players. If you see a deliberately dumb player, probably scum. Dumb scum doesn't seem like them.In post 3403, Tammy wrote:The claim doesn't make elle obvtown.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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Tammy, this seems like something both Elle and Tierce have knowledge of together. Do you think hey'd be scum together? If not, neither is scum.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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So you'd take Tierce as scum as well then? If not, how could elle be scum and Tierce not?ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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What doesn't make sense? To me it is at least strongly suggestive elle and Tierce are of the same alignment. Therefore anyone who is suggesting one as scum is also suggesting the other unless that link I am seeing is somehow deficienr.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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There's a hell of a lot more coordination and missing premises that actually exist IMO. The premises, if those were all that exist are valid. They are not sound.
Valid = if the premises are true, then the conclusion must be.
Sound = premises are true plus a valid arg.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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Wow... No one really gets basic philopshy. Can I at least get a question here?ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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Because Elle and Tierce would still be death tunnelling each other.
BP n1 no deaths
N3 no deaths
Instead of FoSing each other, they present their claims in near unison. I cannot buy them as separate factions.
The simpler conclusion is the scums sent Tierce n1 and N3 and was roleblocked thus no kill.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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Elle skips that entirely though... Why?ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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Hence my confusion... That should have occurred to Elle and why I do not understand their gambit. Why are they so linked when the obvious conclusion seems to bus? Worried about an investigative PR? Dunno but this doesn't add up.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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Confused...
Elle is claiming she has roleblocked you three nights. Two nights no death. As either alignment she should be gunning for you... Unless you are on the same side. Given Elle's actions are suicidal as scum, I have you both as town. That could be elle's wifom but I doubt it.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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Now, if that isn't clear, grab a vodka while I nap. I have had a bad flu bug.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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If elle and you are both town, then elle should be voting you because you were blocked. Yet, her claim is suicidal if scum. I am leaning town, so I am not voting either of you.
Someone else was blocked besides you?
I frankly don't get any of the behaviors here and none of the usual routines are establishing themselves and its driving me nuts. I am trying to figure this out but I feel like far too much is being withheld (note do not say whatever name is a bad guy nm Tierce do withhold that(.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
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