Mewbie 1442 the second -- Game over
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In your experience, is "it was a joke" more common from Town or Scum?In post 50, jmo16mla wrote:I found his reply rather town actually. I was looking for "it was a joke" as a reason..
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This assumes several things:In post 70, CrisP wrote:
She could have said: why do you think I am mafia, or I'm not mafia and it's interesting you think so (cause in her mind that person is either mistaken or faking it), and these are just two replies that come to mind after 5 seconds of thought, I'm sure there are a lot of possibilities, being defensive is not wrong per se (as a human reaction it's a null tell or slightly scummy if you are playing against an expierienced mafia player), but it doesn't help the rest of town if that is her alignment.DiamondCrash wrote: I'm not sure what GM could have said to the statement "youre scum" [sic] that isn't "hah no".
1. That I think they're serious (I don't)
2. That they actually are serious (as I doubt)
3. That even if they are serious they have explicable reasons (which they don't)
4. That I haven't already said something useful. (Which I have, unless people were too stupid to realize that my vote on you was a real one or that GIF's post needs some attention.)
To make themselves look Town.Why would mafia be interested in stimulating discussion?
It's difficult to make many judgement calls when most of the playerlist hasn't been posting.- goodmorning
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New matrix game?In post 74, GuyInFreezer wrote:Nvm. Broken by hyrule game.
(I had my hopes up because you didn't use that word in new matrix game)
Yeah, I tend to just use it whenever the mood strikes me now.
Got kinda boring after the 90 billionth one in Hyrule.
P-EDIT
oooohhhhh, I think I have a townread now- goodmorning
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1. When did I say GIF was Scum?In post 82, CrisP wrote:
Are you implying that BW is town in your opinion since you believe GIF to be scum? If so why are you voting me and not him, do you think we are mafia buddies? If not who is your town read and how come you said so right after GIF's post about BW?goodmorning wrote: P-EDIT
oooohhhhh, I think I have a townread now
2. I'm voting you because I didn't like whatever it was I didn't like. I think it was a vote and an unvote, but I don't really remember.
3. I don't pairhunt sans flips.
4. I said so right after GIF's post because I liked his thought process. Similar thoughts usually mean similar alignments.
Therefore GIF is my townread, though "read" might be a bit too strong.
I am also leaning Town on DC, though not the biggest fan of his mild buddying attempts on me.
I also like your point on IaDR, you may be on to something with that.
I think maybe you should go meta him when you can, because this is just GIF.In post 87, Buckwild wrote:Seriously though, GIF is definite scum. This guy is just acting like his scum moves are whatever when its just a cover up. Please vote GIF.
Honestly his behaviour here isn't even in the top 50 scummiest things he's done in just the games I've been in with him (and quite a few of those from his Town games).- goodmorning
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Different things tell different ways for different players, is what I'm saying.In post 116, Buckwild wrote:
Don't have time for meta reading. So basically he has free reign to be scum because that's what he does? Am I over-reacting because no else seems to think GIF is scum?In post 103, goodmorning wrote:Honestly his behaviour here isn't even in the top 50 scummiest things he's done in just the games I've been in with him (and quite a few of those from his Town games).- goodmorning
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Kind of both and neither of us?In post 120, CrisP wrote:Is there an IC in this game? Because if there is and this town vegetation continues I would like to flag him/her for doing a terrible job, not that this excuses most of the other townies here in any way.
I don't know, but activity isn't really the IC's job anyway.
The rest of the post is somewhat handy but at the same time a lot of IIoA.
Now, there is something that's troubling me: lack of content from Nacho.- goodmorning
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No.In post 140, jmo16mla wrote:Its got something to do with me continually calling you scum? because that's just about all i can remember doing in this game.
It may, however, have something to do with the latter sentence.
In post 145, RachMarie wrote:GM would love more from you since you are the IC and I dont want to step on your toes hereNo I'm not.
Double-checked just to see what you were talking about...
APPARENTLY I AM
GO FIGURE
I don't care. Do what you want.
Also IRL stuff.
@Nacho: Sometimes it takes me a while to suss things.
Sometimes I try to get people to post more.
The attacking thing is actually something I picked up from you early on, I think, and I find it rather stronger in newbie games though I don't often advertise the fact.
I'd like to know if your townread on jmo comes from anything other than "earnestness".- goodmorning
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I hadn't thought of that. I suppose you could be, although this early in the game?In post 166, jmo16mla wrote:Why can't I be scum with you, bussing you?
Do you have a history of bussing/bussing early in your scumgames?
It probably doesn't actually. Town can get Town lynched too.In post 168, CrisP wrote:- If Jmo pushes hard on GM and GM gets lynched, the chance of him getting lynched next round goes up dramatically if GM was confirmed town.
Yeah, I was deliberately doing that to make it clear that's not why I'm scumreading him.
That's an odd way of phrasing it, it looks like you tried really hard to make it as neutral as possible to avoid slip-ups, you just need to change town and scum in the two sentences and they are interchangable but:Goodmorning wrote:Because he thinks he can get me lynched.
In other words:
Either because he's Town and thinks I'm Scum he can get lynched, or because he's Scum and thinks I'm Town he can get lynched.
When you're Scum, you usually want to get rid of the players that have proven they can play at least decently, at least sometimes.If he thinks you are scum does he care if he can get you lynched? I would just push for it regardless and hope to convince the rest of town, unless I happened to have another strong mafia read which the rest of town agrees on as well, which is pretty unlikely day one.
BUT you want your nightkills to use on PRs, because PRs are difficult to get lynched and a great danger to you.
So it's best to try and get the decent players out by lynch.
Right now? It's possible. I certainly haven't been playing up to snuff.Also do you think you are an easy lynch at this time?
CrisP is my strongest townread after that post.- goodmorning
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Ooh, u SO trippin'
Also, have you come across the [post] tags? Much quicker than urls for this sort of list.
Why is who condoning naked votes?42 Why are you condoning this?
This might be the new towniest thing thus far.98 Instead of being worried about the sheeping, you should be more worried about the motivations behind the actions. Giffy wanted to see reactions, is this town-motivated or scum-motivated? Jmo decided to vote GM instead of you for who knows what reason. Is this town-motivated or scum-motivated?
So three summary-type things for Brian:
1. I have heard good things and hope they are true.
2. I hope you are Town.
3. Not sure if buddying or just good-natured.- goodmorning
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I realize this is a question for Brian, but I can back this up too. See N1305 for my first real Scum game, in which I posted as much as I possibly could, and MN1420 for my first SK game, in which I only killed Town, claimed Vig, was somehow believed, and won anyway.In post 181, CrisP wrote:
Good for you, please post a link to the game in question. This is a highly dangerous strategy that never works against good players for more than a few rounds because you are either mafia killing town or a misguided town lynching the wrong people, nobody would then follow your reads after a certain point and if you further tried to lead town after failing everyone else would see you as highly suspicious. Furthermore once a town is lynched you can revisit all the motivations that led to that lynch and if you actually were the one going for it the chance you slipped is higher, especially if you are a new mafia player.Brian Skies wrote: Now, if only "lynch all newb-lurkers" actually worked as a viable scum-tell. The first time I ever played Mafia, I rolled scum and I promise you I did not lurk. I took control of the town and lynched every person I wanted to.
As far as theory goes on this one, these are pretty much the two sides to the argument.
Totally disagree with this, first you reduce the suspect pool because the quiet town was inherently suspicious as there is no way to get a read on him, second you avoid worring about a future mislynch at lylo, thirdly it's the players own fault if he gets lynched and he was town, there is no reason to "take the initiative" and make him produce content, he is responsible for showing the rest of us he is town and finally you know his alignment so you have more information than before the lynch which you can use to re-read previous posts of other people who actually produced content. This said, we tried prodding IamDr multiple times, since this game was going nowhere.Brian Skies wrote:70 Let's say you lynch a quiet player and they indeed flip town. Then what? You're back to the same boat but the player never gave you any information to work with. If you want a particular player to produce you content, take the initiative and engage them.
It's usually pretty well accepted to lynch slots which are detrimental to Town before LyLo in many games. That said, this game is Micro-sized, so these sorts of lynches will happen less often.
A question for you: would giving lots of townreads make it easier for me if I were Scum, or harder?
That was not a reaction, that's what I read about her post after analyizing it, I liked the part where she gave a town read, have to say by the way I'm liking it less and less since she has been giving town reads left right and centre, albeit well motivated, and I did not like the deflection so much, so I explained what could be behind it given both possible scenarios. I also find it important to always give my thought process when writing so everyone else who is town can get a read off of that and come back to it if they need to make a decision on my alignment in the future.Brian Skies wrote:How the hell did you get two completely different reactions meshed together like that?- goodmorning
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Well, the thing with the second game was that with 2 kills a night and no claimed vig they were going to start SK hunting and I was going to be the logical choice.In post 184, CrisP wrote:
Thanks for the links, I'll check them out. Your description of the second game just shows how hard it is though, after killing town you had to make a PR claim to carry it out and that's always an iffy proposition at best, if mafia has to make plays to win then town is already in a better position compared to the everybody lurks and we RL scenario that a set of IamDr players would create.Goodmorning wrote:I realize this is a question for Brian, but I can back this up too. See N1305 for my first real Scum game, in which I posted as much as I possibly could, and MN1420 for my first SK game, in which I only killed Town, claimed Vig, was somehow believed, and won anyway.
At any rate you're right that lurking is generally anti-Town.
But don't talk about it because site rules.While we are on the subject of meta and GM, if you are town and have a bit of time check out her other newbie game in progress, 1447.
The side that Brian put forth and the side that you put forth, I meant.
Where are the two sides, you just say it's pretty well accepted . Moreover, why would that be the case in a micro game, if anything having a small game requires you to get rid of potentially dangerous slots faster given how quickly you can get to lylo, whereas you can afford a random lynch in bigger games just to get more information.Goodmorning wrote:As far as theory goes on this one, these are pretty much the two sides to the argument.
It's usually pretty well accepted to lynch slots which are detrimental to Town before LyLo in many games. That said, this game is Micro-sized, so these sorts of lynches will happen less often.
You pretty much said it yourself: random lynches are more affordable in larger games (particularly ones with multiple killing roles, but that's a topic for another time).
1. True.
Ultimately, like any other information you give, it makes it harder for you as mafia, but:Goodmorning wrote:A question for you: would giving lots of townreads make it easier for me if I were Scum, or harder?
1. 3 town reads is not going overboard even as mafia.
2. Sometimes mafia say so and so is town based on their comments because they think everyone else will also pick up on how towny someone is being, forgetting that the rest of us don't know that person's alignment, so what for them is a clear tell for us is not at all.
3. It dilutes the importance of you giving that first read on GIF, if you are generally free with your town reads what could have been a tell is now a null for me.
2. Perhaps to an extent, but sometimes a tell is a tell is a tell.
3. Well, GIF is a special case. Normally I'd be pretty reticent in the early stages of a newbie game.
Are you saying he looks to you like the kind of person who would early bus?In post 185, Nachomamma8 wrote:In post 170, goodmorning wrote:I hadn't thought of that. I suppose you could be, although this early in the game?
Are you kidding me? That question and the thought processes that it's coming from (that you can even see being worked out in the latter half of the question) come from a very towny place.
Why?In post 179, goodmorning wrote:This might be the new towniest thing thus far.- goodmorning
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I've had bad experiences with that sort of phrasing in the past. I tend not to call myself Town anymore.In post 191, Nachomamma8 wrote:
The answer I expected was something along the lines of "of course I'm not going to assume that you're bussing me because I'm town, what the hell are you thinking?".In post 189, goodmorning wrote:Are you saying he looks to you like the kind of person who would early bus?
Why it's coming from a townie place? Maybe because he's Town?
I want real reasoning :/In post 189, goodmorning wrote:Are you kidding me? That question and the thought processes that it's coming from (that you can even see being worked out in the latter half of the question) come from a very towny place.
Don't just tell me it's coming from a townie place, I could infer that already. Tell me why it's coming from a townie place.
In all seriousness, it's his open processing: why did GIF vote? why did jmo vote? and he explores from the Town POV.
And after exploring, he doesn't just go "well jmo's vote seems weird to me", he uses that weirdness to try to explain his thoughts and maybe even push a smidgen of case.
I don't sheep for the sake of sheeping.In post 199, Buckwild wrote:GM: Starts off attacking me for my post then jumps to crisp, both null moves. He gets an early townread on both GIF and DC. Both of them were voting me at the time, yet GM does not vote me?
In fact, I don't sheep at all.
Townreads can be wrong.
The reads of my townreads can also be wrong.
At present, what's on my mind:
Nacho. I can't get a read on him.
On the one hand I didn't really like his earlier posts. On the other hand, 191.- goodmorning
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Or there's WKing, but that's not a particularly likely one either.In post 242, CrisP wrote:Lynching JM also has the added benefit for me of finding out Nacho's alignment, there is always the chance he is mafia and is defending a townie but I'd give that play a 10% at most, JM would be dead now if Nacho was mafia and he is town, only the scenario where Nacho has already invested so much in defending JM and can't backtrack anymore and keep his credibility exists, and that's my 10%.
Hm. One the one hand, Jmo looks scummy as all get-out.
On the other hand,
Vote: Rach- goodmorning
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For an example of how this sort of thing can get you in trouble, see my misfortunes with it in N1377.In post 257, CrisP wrote:
I find it funny you are repeatedly trying to tell me how to play when you are considered one of the scummiest players so far, so you are failing as either mafia or town, whereas I am seen as town by most people here including you. Trying to make connections between players is just a natural way to scumhunt, whether they flipped or not is irrelevant, that's why you can build scenarios, like: if x is mafia then y may be as well, or I don't think it makes sense for x to be mafia if y is.Again, Chrisp, stop drawing ties between player without a flip. That will also get you in trouble.- goodmorning
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@jmo: Unless I wanted to get into your argument with CrisP,which I categorically don't, there's not much for me to say right now, exceptlook who's talking.
My opinions on everyone remain unchanged since the last time I shared each of them.
There is less than a day left, so people should probably start consolidating votes.- goodmorning
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Nacho was probably the strongest player in this game.In post 297, CrisP wrote:- Nacho died and he was town, the main things he did this game were defending jmo16mla and accusing first GM and BR then RM and BR and finally RM and AA's slot. So AA, BR and GM would have a reason to kill him, GM actually stated Nacho was a good kill, jmo16mla also benefitted from this because now he seems more town.
This is WIFOM, WIFOM is bad and the first part looks extra specially bad.- I'm alive and I thought I would be dead for sure considering how much I had to expose myself to get this game going, it's too bad I'm not mafia cause I could just go afk and wait for the RM's of this game to hand me the victory, this however means, in my mind because you should always question everyone's alignment, that mafia valued killing nacho over killing an almost confirmed town. So why's that? I have to assume I probably have the wrong the reads on someone that is in the mafia group and that points to BW, Yui113, AA because I read them as town, and GM for the same reasons. This also makes jmo16mla look more town because as mafia he would have to assume I would come out of the gate trying to get him killed.
Because the mod could need to reach me overnight for any number of reasons and I like to let folks know when I'll be unavailable?
This post gives me the creeps, why would you even think of putting yourself V/LA during night time? This looks highly artificial. Why would you post you will be looking at Nacho before you know if RM is town or mafia? Other than a lurking suspicion, which I believe you guys can read in my hammer post, I also had to admit RM was looking really scummy, and if she was mafia then Nacho would have been one of the most town in the game, considering he started the whole vote on her and redirected the attention on her from JM. You posting this makes me think you were already planning what to do next because you already knew RM's alignment.Goodmorning wrote:might be looking at nacho real hard tomorrow
actually pretty likely
might have the flu
will be v/la thurs, fri, maybe sat
Because I wasn't a huge fan of his posting for the most part regardless of Rach's flip. I don't do pre-flip associations. I'm pretty sure we've been over that.
Are you saying bussing is impossible?
The same one I've had the entire time. If you haven't been reading my posts that's a crying shame. It's Buck.
I don't like this because that's what I thought mafia would do today if I were alive. Who's your other suspect?Goodmorning wrote:Well, now that Nacho's confirmed Town I literally only have two suspects.
Vote: jmo- goodmorning
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Except that I was specifically asked, and as it's in part a theory question, answered.In post 301, CrisP wrote:Goodmorning wrote: This is WIFOM, WIFOM is bad and the first part looks extra specially bad.
This is as much wine in front of me as the reasons I give, any discussion about night kills can be WIFOM, that does not mean you can't consider them. What especially didnt't you like about the first part?Goodmorning wrote:Nacho was probably the strongest player in this game.
I especially didn't like the first part because 1. arrogance and 2. waving your not being killed in everyone's faces
good =/= infallibleAlso the best player in the game, according to you, was dead wrong day 1 and did his best to save a mafia?
Anybody who's come across my V/LAs knows that I'm pretty active during them anyway, besides which only one of my V/LA days was even overnight to begin with. Or is today not Friday?
Sure and you did not consider how people would react upon reading you were V/LA during the night time.Goodmorning wrote: Because the mod could need to reach me overnight for any number of reasons and I like to let folks know when I'll be unavailable?
I don't like the way you're trying to make this scummy when it's completely null.
If you think your partner's going to be dead weight sometimes it is a good option.
Yes, day 1, 2 v 7 with 2 town power roles you don't know about, getting your buddy killed for no reason is just not a good option, unless now you think Nacho is a bad player? If RM was under heavy scrutiny before Nacho started accusing her and he threw in his vote, that was one thing, but to start the whole suspicion on her, vote her, and let her die is just very unlikely.Goodmorning wrote:Are you saying bussing is impossible?
Regardless:
No. I was saying that specifically about jmo. Nacho is a very different species of player imo.You apparently agree:
Goodmorning wrote: I hadn't thought of that. I suppose you could be, although this early in the game?
Do you have a history of bussing/bussing early in your scumgames
No. What I am saying is: RM is lynched. I think Nacho has been acting suspiciously regardless of her flip. I want to take a closer look at him.So what you are saying is: you are about to discover if RM is town or mafia, and your first thought is, let's check Nacho because he might have bussed her?
voting early =/= RVS
So you RSV'ed Buck and since then you are convinced he is mafia, I hope you have more to say about this accusation because up to now you certainly haven't made it clear, and yes, I have read your posts.Goodmorning wrote: The same one I've had the entire time. If you haven't been reading my posts that's a crying shame. It's Buck.
seriously- goodmorning
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Not always, but it definitely shouldn't be at the forefront of anyone's reasoning.In post 303, CrisP wrote:
So what you are saying is we should just ignore NK's?Goodmorning wrote: Except that I was specifically asked, and as it's in part a theory question, answered.
It's not reasoning if it could be any one of a number of things.
1. There is no arrogance in stating facts, it's a fact I was town read by most people in the game day 1. It is also a fact that mafia has every interest in killing slots that are thought of by most as town because that increases their chances of hiding among suspicious people.Goodmorning wrote:I especially didn't like the first part because 1. arrogance and 2. waving your not being killed in everyone's faces
2. If you read the follow up you will see why I wrote it, it was not done in order to "wave it in your face" but using it as a premise for the reasoning that comes after it. The fact you are debating the premise and ignoring the reasoning by screaming WIFOM, instead of pointing out what is wrong and what might be right from your POV looks scummy.
It does in some fashion point to at least one of the Scum having played Nacho before because this game has been not his best, but on the other hand it could just be that someone thought they saw him drop a PR tell or that someone thought he'd be a good kill choice to frame someone or that someone thought he'd be a good kill choice to confuse people or on and on and on.
This is why it is WIFOM. This is why it is dismissable.
And that particular brand of arrogance being used to position oneself as "ooh look I am so Town why didn't they kill me I am so confused because I am totes not Scum", that is what I don't like.
Here I am answering the question you were likely to ask next. Or was that not what you were getting at? I certainly wasn't thinking about it at the time. It was a blanket V/LA that I stated everywhere.
Here you are answering a question you were not asked, clearly worried that someone might check if you were active during your supposed V/LA (which makes it even more artificial), instead of the reply I was expecting, which would have gone along the lines of: no I did not think about what others would think about my post because I was just telling something to the mod. Guilty conscience someone?Goodmorning wrote:Anybody who's come across my V/LAs knows that I'm pretty active during them anyway, besides which only one of my V/LA days was even overnight to begin with. Or is today not Friday?
If you think it's too early I challenge you to read Shadows and Lights, my (Sensual Koala) uptake on the BnB hydra's scumminess with their very first post.
Are you trying to argue that your vote on Buck, after he voted and unvoted Immuno, was not an RVS but an early scum tell? Here again I see you debating semantics, instead of giving valid content so that we may judge for ourselves if what you are saying has merit or if you are just bullshitting.Goodmorning wrote: voting early =/= RVS
I absolutely did not vote Buck randomly.
I absolutely voted Buck for a reason.
Here I see you trying to play around with my words. Why?
@Yiu: Lurking is not a scumtell. Depending on the player, defensiveness may not be either.
See me vs. fferyllt in the early part of N1351.- goodmorning
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And I find VCA to be problematic for a whole mess of other reasons, but that's more a discussion for postgame.In post 306, CrisP wrote:
The forefront of my reasoning is that there is a very high chance that inside the 4, or 5 if you extend it to BW, of you that voted for RM there is at least 1 mafia.Goodmorning wrote:Not always, but it definitely shouldn't be at the forefront of anyone's reasoning.
And how is that working out for you so far?The rest is speculation so that: I can narrow it down, am able to get people's reactions and see what happens once I start applying pressure, à la bull in the china shop.
Well then I suppose we shall have to agree to disagree on that.
At least you are making your point here, but I still disagree, if you are mafia and you know someone is going to go after you, you have a strong motivation to get rid of him/her. How do you rate jmo16mla as a mafia player?Goodmorning wrote: It does in some fashion point to at least one of the Scum having played Nacho before because this game has been not his best, but on the other hand it could just be that someone thought they saw him drop a PR tell or that someone thought he'd be a good kill choice to frame someone or that someone thought he'd be a good kill choice to confuse people or on and on and on.
This is why it is WIFOM. This is why it is dismissable.
I haven't seen jmo's play thus far, so I don't really know. Less than Nacho, but then I do mildly pedestalize Nacho.
I don't usually, sometimes it just happens. That's the point I was trying to make here.
If you often give early scumreads, sometimes you will get it right, maybe it makes sense for you but I can't really see someone picking up something by reading their first post.Goodmorning wrote:If you think it's too early I challenge you to read Shadows and Lights, my (Sensual Koala) uptake on the BnB hydra's scumminess with their very first post.
I was watching. Some people are the type who crack under pressure, but others are the type who relax too far when there's no pressure at all.
What is this reason? Why did you never mention him during the day after switching your vote to me, then to JM and finally to RM? Why did you interact with him so little if you thought he was scum? You never asked him a question day 1, just answered when he prodded you.Goodmorning wrote:I absolutely voted Buck for a reason.
The initial reason was his immuno vote.
Actually, I voted Rach for her bad vote on jmo. If she had flipped red then jmo would be nigh on confTown to me. But she flipped green, so I'm looking again at the reasons the jmo wagon failed.
It should be, also you voted RM mainly for that over JM, which now apparently is a confirmed mafia to you.Goodmorning wrote: Lurking is not a scumtell.- goodmorning
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I do actually find PRs troublesome, but that's just personal preference. Like I say, though, more a discussion for postgame.In post 310, CrisP wrote:
, do you also find power roles problematic? Because in that case we can just just use a random generator for lynches and see if we win the game. Jokes aside, every strategy in mafia uses incomplete information, so it's always going to be fallible, this does not mean you can't use it and most of the time if it's a reasonable strategy it will help you.Goodmorning wrote:And I find VCA to be problematic for a whole mess of other reasons, but that's more a discussion for postgame.
You certainly have a point.
It's too early to say, at the very least it provides a lot of information. For instance, after having read your answers and some of your mafia defences I can say you are either upping your game here and fooling me our my accusations are wrong, still thinking about it. Look at it from my POV:Goodmorning wrote: And how is that working out for you so far?
- Day 1 you only gave away reads when prodded, in answer to someone prodding you, or discussed theory points with us, which I guess is your way of being a dutiful IC so a nul.
- You have also been very wishy washy in your posts, you keep on saying stuff like, on the one hand x, but on the other hand y, which is very annyoing for townies because we don't know what you mean so you create confusion and very handy as a mafia player cause you can always reference one of the parts if you get under some heat.
- You said you weren't playing your best game, something often done to cover slip ups.
- You joined both bandwagons
- The only votes you started where on things other people thought poor, BW's immuno joke and my mistake about DC's role in the first setup.
Doesn't this look scummy to you?
-I suppose I have been a bit distracted recently. I could say this was strategic of me, but it wasn't.
-I do that a lot. Sometimes I have reads I'm not sure of, and to put down exactly what I think and why can help me sort it or jog something in someone else who can.
-In all honesty, I haven't played a game I'd call "good" since AMURIKA (until my recent Donner Party, but that was largely in part to a good team).
-So I did.
-argumentum ad populum
Not a lot.
It's a possible strategy, so did you get something from his day 1 after letting him relax? If the only thing you are going with is the immuno vote you'll have to agree it's a pretty weak read, at least from a logical point of view.Goodmorning wrote: I was watching. Some people are the type who crack under pressure, but others are the type who relax too far when there's no pressure at all.
Logic isn't the only way to scumhunt.
I'm not denying I'm one of the reasons.
See that's in part my problem. You were the one who stopped it dead in it's tracks, if you had kept your vote on him then I would have argued with BW that even if he liked JM's defence JM made much more sense from a strategic point of view, his reaction then would have been telling. Let's also not forget we could all be townies going at each other, a possibility which you seem to be ignoring.Goodmorning wrote:But she flipped green, so I'm looking again at the reasons the jmo wagon failed.
I don't know who "all" is, but I know what my reads are and I don't tend to think of all situations in hypotheticals.
In time.In post 312, Buckwild wrote:GM: I want to hear more from GM on why he has such high suspicions of me.
In post 321, jmo16mla wrote:I find it rather stupid to not vote your top scum read... You should really think about what you just said.
Anybody see a problem with these two posts?In post 324, jmo16mla wrote:Now, if I had to guess, scum team would be GM and maybe arc/brian.
VOTE: brian
I'm offended.In post 329, jmo16mla wrote:I guess I have to take over as IC since nacho is dead and any other SE isnt helping.
That said, it's definitely a bad idea to lynch anyone til AA9 posts stuff.
This is stupid. Some players are like that. See Guyett's famous drunkhammers (as Town).In post 334, jmo16mla wrote:I'm not the mod, I'm telling you, and anyone else in this game that if I'm lynched without declaring intent hammer, and giving me a chance, then they need to be auto lynched tomorrow. No if ands or butts.
In fact, most policy lynches are stupid, and tend to get more so the further into the game it gets.
That said, I would definitely give the side-eye to someone who hammered here without intent.- goodmorning
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It has little to do with this game and everything to do with the other focus of his attention, if I guessed right. I don't plan to vote for Brian at any point during this game and it wouldn't be bussing if I did.
Besides which, what need would I have to warn anyone I was going to bus them? When I'm Scum it's the first thing I post in the QT.
And I don't like your utter lack of curiosity about my reaction test.- goodmorning
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@jmo: But I don't wantyouto bite.
@Crisp: Nice avoidance of my dislike there. Also nice sudden noticing of the part of my post I left for you pertaining to Buck.
When I say "I don't plan to vote for Brian" it means "I have a strong townread on Brian and I don't find it likely that anything would change that; if it did, that would be an unplanned eventuality".
Also, I tend to "plan" votes as Town more than as Scum. As Scum, one's voting is frequently reactionary, completely unplanned. As Town, one chooses votes more carefully and for a wider number of reasons.
No, Mafia in Newbie games absolutely does not have daytalk.
Unvote- goodmorning
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Um, no.
No.
Nacho is a better player than any of us in this game. If you don't believe me you're welcome to go meta him.
And I said we would discuss why WIFOM is eminently dismissable postgame, unless you want to distract from actual gameplay to hold a theory discussion right now.
I did not say that we would not discuss your actual jmo reasoning.
Explain: if you at the time were saying jmo was Scum, and I at the time (as Scum) was trying to (mis)lynch jmo, then what would I gain from "dismissing" your reasoning, as you put it?- goodmorning
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You weren't dismissing the Nacho kill with your reasoning. Even if you had been, who gives a shit? That heisdead is more relevant thanwhy.
jmo has played plenty of games and is likely as familiar, if not more so, with Nacho as I am.
Nacho's content this game was not "qualitatively superior," as you put it.- goodmorning
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1. No, it was not a lie. I would have no need to tell my partner I was going to bus them, as the first thing I post in Mafia QTs is "don't be surprised if I bus you."In post 377, CrisP wrote:So here I am finally back at my pc, first of all I'd like you all to notice how she is concentrating on some points of my accusation while completely ignoring others wheh she can't explain them away, like:
GM wrote: Besides which, what need would I have to warn anyone I was going to bus them? When I'm Scum it's the first thing I post in the QT.Crisp wrote:Correct me if I'm wrong but as far as I know Mafia isn't allowed to talk separately during the day in newbie games, at least that's what I read in one of JMO's recent games, in this case you have every reason to try and communicate with your partner if the strategy you planned fell apart, if by any chanche I'm wrong then it was simply a slip.
so the first post was a lie, as mafia she had a perfectly valid reason to do it, but let's not talk about it she says, and goes for:GM wrote:No, Mafia in Newbie games absolutely does not have daytalk.
2. Not having daytalk doesn't really matter, especially in a game this size. There are plenty of subtle ways to telegraph one's intentions anyway.
Implying that I said somewhere that GM would not discuss my JMO reasoning post game, which of course I never stated (lie number 2), what I did say instead is that GM knew my reasoning was bad because she already knew why Nacho was killed, she also told me she knew by stating we would discuss it post game (bad slip there).GM wrote:And I said we would discuss why WIFOM is eminently dismissable postgame, unless you want to distract from actual gameplay to hold a theory discussion right now.
I did not say that we would not discuss your actual jmo reasoning.
So "your reasoning about jmo is WIFOM and bad, we will discuss it postgame" is what, exactly?In post 373, CrisP wrote:- The truth (GM), crisP your reasoning about JMO is WIFOM and bad,we will discuss it post game, the Nacho kill had little to do with JM, the fact JM was then easier to lynch is just an added bonus!
And what I am stating we will discuss postgame, again, is theory questions (why is WIFOM bad, why do I find VCA/NKA bad, etc.).
If you think I have a problem lying as Mafia then maybe you need to go meta me a bit better.
Truth as she believes it, but completely unrelated to my line of questioning, part of GM's general MO of trying to mix as much truth as possible in her lies to appear convincing.GM wrote: Nacho is a better player than any of us in this game. If you don't believe me you're welcome to go meta him.
The why could be any one of ten reasonable reasons and countless more unreasonable ones. Unless you are Scum, you cannot know which. To propose that important opinions should be based on conjecture is frankly ridiculous.
To you maybe, since your win condition is to kill off townies, for me the why is important because it can lead to the who did it, also another attempt to deflect away from the point I made about why she behaved like that.GM wrote:That he is dead is more relevant than why.
Um, no.Have a good look at this again and at her explaination
GM wrote: @Brian: conflict... of interest... senses... tingling
first she asks me why she did not play like a pre programmed robot and then she explains that cryptic message as saying she was referring to some out of game nonsence, clearly the truth as it often does lies in the middle.GM wrote: It has little to do with this game and everything to do with the other focus of his attention, if I guessed right
It's not something I can talk about, because ongoing games and not-mine-to-tells, but basically I was glad he was distracted by the other thing, but also sad he was away from this one.
That's the conflict of interest. It's my interest in this game vs the other thing.
Do you think these actions tell on his alignment? On mine? Show your work.I'd also like to repeat that all Brian did in this game, ISO him please, is defend GM, attack those who attacked GM and piggyback GM's reads, plus some fluffy questions about people's play he never bother to follow up on.
Why would I claim jmo was never a suspect?Note as well how she hurried to unvote JM, by far her biggest suspect, or are you now claiming JM was never a suspect? And how now she keeps appealing to him in her posts (please don't vote me JM! CrisP is a jerk and you know it ), this is mafia trying to save her skin at it's best.
What makes you think he's presently mybiggestsuspect?
Where was I appealing to him in my posts?
Giving a Town read =/= questioning somebody's alignment.In post 378, CrisP wrote:1. Nobody questioned my alignment while I was attacking JM, other than Brian, he gave a strong town read with one problem, he says he is worried about associative tells, that's the mafia cop out strategy if something goes wrong. So just from that by the way JM is actually the best town read we have, even assuming GM BR is not the mafia pair, it means mafia wants JM lynched, andGM voting JM from the start of day 2 takes on a new level of scummy.
Also, this point appears to have little to do with me, excepting the underlined.
As to that:
Which would be scummy at the beginning of D2: me voting my strongest scumread, me voting a weaker scumread, me voting a townread, or me not voting at all?
And which would be the towniest?
Please demonstrate where I began to question your alignment. Also please include quotes, if you can find them.2. What happened after GM posts her second defence, first she appeals to logic, which she thinks, and you are right!, is the best argument to make to convince me, in order for JM to look bad (post 350), then once she realizes she is flogging a dead horse she sends her cryptic message to Brian, and finally starts to question my alignment.
Also, which of these is scummy: questioning someone's alignment, or acting as though one knows?
And which would be the towniest?
Please actually respond to what I'm saying instead of what you seem to think I'm saying. I find your misrepping disingenuous.
P-EDIT:
1. For conflict of interest discussion see aboveIn post 379, CrisP wrote:Actually I just noticed I still made one mistake, this:
is not GM telling Brian she is going to buss him, this is GM telling Brian to start executing the cop out strategy, we have a conflict of interest with CrisP (because he doesn't want to kill JM anymore), my senses are tingling (and well they should since she posted this just after I told Brian I was disappointed he hadn't resorted to posting kittens again, implying I thought he was scum).GM wrote:@Brian: conflict... of interest... senses... tingling
And that, I think, is the nail to the coffin.
2. LOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOL
sorry
sorry
it's just
I told Brian I was disappointed he hadn't resorted to posting kittens again, implying I thought he was scumhe hadn't resorted to posting kittens again, implying I thought he was scum
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAimplying I thought he was scum
i mean, usually i try not to be a dick but the massive weight of your bullshit just broke my civility filter- goodmorning
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It's almost entirely for his catching-up post: when someone seems to come to the same conclusions as you do and says the things that you were thinking, that person is usually on your team.In post 381, Buckwild wrote:Read up to post 374 so far:
Really Gm, not going to vote brian this game? What has he done to give you such a great town read. There is no way he should be in anyone's definite town pile unless they know something we don't. So why is Brian so town to you?
You accused me of selectively responding to your points.In post 382, CrisP wrote:I do find your attempt to drown the whole thing into walls of text rather tedious though.
So I decided I'd respond to all of them, like you asked.
Signals can be anything, including "if I'm going to start bussing I'll start my next post with the word 'really'" or "if I investigate him as JK I'll start my first post with a k".In post 383, Buckwild wrote:"1. No, it was not a lie. I would have no need to tell my partner I was going to bus them, as the first thing I post in Mafia QTs is "don't be surprised if I bus you."
2. Not having daytalk doesn't really matter, especially in a game this size. There are plenty of subtle ways to telegraph one's intentions anyway."
Just b/c u tell your partner you will bus them does not mean you could not make use of a signal for a change in game plan.
Why, then, would anyone use such an obvious signal to their partner when a non-obvious one would do?
The problem with this is that the discussion it promotes is ultimately pretty useless as far as the actual game. Like I said, there are quite a lot of reasons an NK could happen, and unless you're the Scum and you"The why could be any one of ten reasonable reasons and countless more unreasonable ones. Unless you are Scum, you cannot know which. To propose that important opinions should be based on conjecture is frankly ridiculous."
The why is just of not more important than the fact as it promotes discussion. Only mafia would rather have ppl ignore the kill. Also, it one can get reads off of reactions to a kill.know, then it's just chasing shadows.
That's not really what I'm saying, it isn't anything about info, and you didn't break a rule but you're pushing it."Um, no.
It's not something I can talk about, because ongoing games and not-mine-to-tells, but basically I was glad he was distracted by the other thing, but also sad he was away from this one.
That's the conflict of interest. It's my interest in this game vs the other thing."
I think he's saying he is in another game with Brian and it is giving him info? Did I just break a rule?
Curious about your butting in.
I think you need to reply to this one again in context, because that is not what I was asking.In post 384, CrisP wrote:
It means you find it bad because you know beforehand that it's wrong, so naturally that reinforces your belief that WIFOM dicussion in general is problematic and you are going to say so after the game. If you were not mafia, you would not be so sure about it is the assumption.In post 380, goodmorning wrote:So "your reasoning about jmo is WIFOM and bad, we will discuss it postgame" is what, exactly?
Out of curiosity, have you ever heard of whiteknighting?
They show there is a connection between the two of you so you probably share the same alignment, it's not something that happens very often by chance, and is more likely to happen to the 2 mafia than 2 random townies because the two mafia know they have a common goal, so yes, yes, and here you go.Do you think these actions tell on his alignment? On mine? Show your work.
When did I say it was a reaction test?
Based on what you are currently stating or not stating about your Buck read, early, not random, reaction test, who knows.Why would I claim jmo was never a suspect?
Presently, it is no longer the start of Day 2.
You said you had 2 suspects at the start of day 2, since what you are doing with the Buck read is very murky, that leaves JMO. Again a question about sematics that has no bearing with the accusations per se, the accusation being you are voting someone that mafia probably wants to kill, the reason behind this is nobody really questioned my alignment up to now, the assumption being mafia would try to question my alignment or discredit me like you did with your p-edit if I was heading a lynch against a mafia.What makes you think he's presently my biggest suspect?
Is it a bad thing to question one's reads?
I don't unvote people because I respect them, and allowing that he may have more experience with Nacho than I do is hardly an appeal.
Appealing in the sense of look, I respect you JM and I'm unvoting you:Where was I appealing to him in my posts?jmo has played plenty of games and is likely as familiar, if not more so, with Nacho as I am.
I unvote people for one reason and one reason only.
This is an attempt to dodge any admission of incorrectness.
This is another attempt to bog down the issue with a pop quiz, the point is JM is likely to be town, you should have likely noticed, but you were still voting himWhich would be scummy at the beginning of D2: me voting my strongest scumread, me voting a weaker scumread, me voting a townread, or me not voting at all?
And which would be the towniest?
Actually your answers to the direct questions (including the ones you didn't include) were the most important things about that post. But you didn't give any.
If you think I wall, wait til you play with mastin.Actually your massive use of walls of text is another tell, why would town want to create so much content it's very much impossible to sift through it, find the good stuff and the nonsense, only mafia profits from the total confusion you appear to be trying to create.
Hmmmmm I really need a reread.- goodmorning
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Also: pot, meet kettle.In post 385, goodmorning wrote:
If you think I wall, wait til you play with mastin.Actually your massive use of walls of text is another tell, why would town want to create so much content it's very much impossible to sift through it, find the good stuff and the nonsense, only mafia profits from the total confusion you appear to be trying to create.- goodmorning
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My questions to you are vitally important to my read of you, generic as they may seem.In post 388, CrisP wrote:Your walls are walls of questions to others, which would require even longer walls to answer, to which you then reply with other questions, often generic in nature, that would create a longer wall if answered. Most of my long posts were opinions I had at the time, reasons why I was accusing someone or more in general stuff you could just read about, get a read on me based on what I was saying and agree or disagree on.
Also, many of the things in your long posts were not exactly kosher.
Equally possible that it's just buddying or any one of a number of other things.Everyone is a white knight this game it appears, yes I have heard of it and since when does white-knighting include piggybacking on someone's reads? Also I would understand him white-knighting you now but he did so when there was no reason to as well.
Indeed.Basically Brian has been an extension of you this whole game, I find that very strange, I find also very strange that your reaction to his behavior is: he is clearly town, if that happened to me I'd be suspicious as fuck about the guy doing it.
Actually I ultimately find his chimed-in answers somewhat satisfying.I agree with you that Buck chiming in is strange, I think it was probably a good natured attempt to help but it's the kind of thing you can easily misinterpret, so I'll have a re-read as well.- goodmorning
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Basically anything from my last couple posts with a question mark after it that's in response to you, if you don't mind.In post 392, CrisP wrote:
Ok, tell me again what you want me to answer and keep it reasonable and I'll do my best to answer the question directly and not the context you pick them fromMy questions to you are vitally important to my read of you, generic as they may seem.
Definitely, most of which should raise a big red flag for you from my POV, so I don't understand your blanket statement on not planning a Brian vote at all. Or are you saying that Brian as town usually buddies up with you, do you have an example if this is the case?[/quote]Equally possible that it's just buddying or any one of a number of other things.
My Brian townread is independent of his actions and is based solely on his words.- goodmorning
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What are you talking about?In post 400, CrisP wrote:
Nobody brought up this point when RM got lynched, if this is standard practice then GM saying RM looked very scummy for doing it is pretty bad as well.General etiquette on this site is to not hammer without at least having a claim.
Not being allowed to discuss it =/= not being allowed to mention it, so long as it's not obvious what you're talking about.
One of the reasons I thought out of game stuff was improbable was because you had just all told me it was explicity disallowed, she should not have posted it in the first place then.This, so fuck-off from this particular line of logic before somebody gets mod-killed.
@Brian: I want you do take an in-depth look at my interactions with CrisP and give your thoughts/analysis.
@CrisP: Yui is Town and obviously so.
My most recent opinion of Buck is leaning that way too, as you so conveniently ignored.- goodmorning
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But what does that have to do with me?In post 403, CrisP wrote:
A big part of me accusing her was that she decided to claim VT, something that in my games you never (!) do, why would you claim VT, if the lynch doesn't go through then mafia knows you are not a power role and can ignore you as a NK for the rest of the game. But if this is standard practice before a lynch here (why?) then the only thing I really had against her was her very poor motivation for voting JM plus her lurking being a reinforcing factor.GM wrote:What are you talking about?
Yes, solely to her vote. Was a p. terrible vote.
Are you referring solely to her voting for JM here? Because the way I read it at the time included her claim as well.GM wrote:As far as Rach goes, it's not something she couldn't do as Town, but quite frankly it's incredibly scummy of her.
Nonsence on the obviously, unless you are coming out as mafia and telling me he is town? I played at least 3 live games where one guy faked being new at the game and then turned out to be mafia but nobody thought he was scum and we did not lynch him. However while I'm not sure at all, I'm leaning town on him.GM wrote: @CrisP: Yui is Town and obviously so.
As you told me, what is better, to question one's reads or to take them as given?[/quote]
GIF was pretty blatantly Town and Yui hasn't done anything to make me question that.
I unvoted jmo because he is no longer my strongest scumread.Also if you unvoted JM for one reason and one reason only, and I presume here that you mean that you don't think he is scum anymore, then please give me your current mafia reads.
I didn't revote because I'm in the process of rereading.
I think I know who I'd like to vote, but it depends on that reread and besides I can get better reactions currently if I don't.- goodmorning
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This actually does happen. Happened to me once even, though I did end up getting lynched anyway because we were so close to deadline and my wagon was the only viable one.In post 419, Brian Skies wrote:And I find it hard to believe a player would get driven to L-1, be forced to claim VT, and not get hammered.
Though it's not usual and especially not in situations where it could be a game-ruining mistake.- goodmorning
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Let me try to IC this to bed:In post 432, CrisP wrote:Again, while I present to you a logical argument to why you are full of crap on the VT claim, look at your reaction.
What you are saying is, since everybody claims VT, that must be the right thing to do, regardless of how flawed it is.
She claimed VT because that is telling us "I am not a PR, it is OK to lynch me."
Yes, occasionally people will believe this and not lynch said person. Yes, that does limit the NK pool for Scum.
However, this almost never happens, and especially not with any smaller a playerlist than D1 one of a Mini, and especially especially not in Micros because it would be much more limiting (down to 5 or 6 on D1 of a Micro vs. 8 or 9 on D1 of a Mini vs. really a whole lot on D1 of a Large).
Newbie games are Micro sized.
Can we stop arguing about this now and pay attention to the game?
Not a huge fan of the way CrisP accuses Brian of going for low-hanging fruit as to AA9 when CrisP is urging that lynch on.
For that matter, not a huge fan of the way CrisP has been insinuating that wagon without having been on it for a while now.
AA9 looks Town here, IMO. Will probably re-meta within the next couple days.
This sentence basically says this: look at all the Town things I'm doing! There's no way anyone who acts Town can be Scum!In post 436, CrisP wrote:Aggressive playing is not mafia, looking for information is not mafia (which is not equal to seeking lynch targets), there are so many reasons I can't be mafia in this game your statement is just funny.
For someone who's supposedly spent the whole game acting Town, you've done an awful lot of telling us that.
It was a D1 read. Now that he's started posting more, it's both.In post 448, CrisP wrote:GM is your townread of Brian more of a day1 or of a day2 read?
I do have a shiny new D2 scumread that I've been working up to voting, though. Anyone want to tell me who they think it is?- goodmorning
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We also have plenty of time til deadline, as you may notice.In post 450, CrisP wrote:As I said even in this case that play is bad, I'll stop arguing with you about it when everyone understands the point. I've noticed by the way that neither JM nor AA deiceded to claim VT at L-1 either.
And that's all I'll say about that.- goodmorning
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V/LA til Saturday evening EST
1. AA is Town.In post 462, CrisP wrote:Also now that I can speak about since it just ended check out mafia GM in game 1447, in particular look at how she and her partner where the only ones not voting on a town day 2. That's another reason why I am not keen on the AA lynch.
2. That didn't happen on purpose. The day was cut short by the reconciliation of a Mod votecount error.
3.Vote: CrisP
4. I am so tired of this game.- goodmorning
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