MICRO 350 JESTER NIGHTLESS GAME OVER


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Post Post #6 (isolation #0) » Sat Jun 14, 2014 5:05 pm

Post by Rubicon »

VOTE: ActionDan
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Post Post #8 (isolation #1) » Sat Jun 14, 2014 5:19 pm

Post by Rubicon »

Time to lurk!
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Post Post #14 (isolation #2) » Sat Jun 14, 2014 7:45 pm

Post by Rubicon »

I have a new avatar~

Also I already know who I want to lynch today and they haven't even posted. Magic.
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Post Post #16 (isolation #3) » Sat Jun 14, 2014 7:47 pm

Post by Rubicon »

I think you're lying. I'm almost sure of it.
VOTE: DoctorPepper
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Post Post #35 (isolation #4) » Sun Jun 15, 2014 7:35 am

Post by Rubicon »

My mind doesn't want to believe you could be that lucky.

Xayzeck you are waaaaay too concerned about people voting you. You're also preemptively leading ActionDan's response e.g. when you suggest he'll use "so someone can call me out on it" as an excuse.
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Post Post #36 (isolation #5) » Sun Jun 15, 2014 7:47 am

Post by Rubicon »

In post 20, ZZZX wrote:
vote xay


l2 there ont rise / lower it yet please
ZZZX!
Explain this statement.
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Post Post #38 (isolation #6) » Sun Jun 15, 2014 10:04 am

Post by Rubicon »

side note: is lynching town-reads to "get rid of the jester" something that actually happens?
Because that seems, uh.
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Post Post #76 (isolation #7) » Mon Jun 16, 2014 9:14 am

Post by Rubicon »

In post 54, ActionDan wrote:I'm assuming it's directed at me. Apparently this is a tough (rough) question for me. And the only thing this might refer to is either my opinion of Xay or Dr pepper... though I don't know which nor how. The vote I assume is connected since I just made a content post. What's wrong is that there are a few gaps intentionally not filled
Um, what? :igmeou:
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Post Post #78 (isolation #8) » Mon Jun 16, 2014 10:23 am

Post by Rubicon »

Did you understand that post? Because I wasn't able to parse a single word of it, and it's missing the obvious thing he should be talking about.

I'm
very
interested in figuring out ActionDan's thought process in this game... although I have a feeling he doesn't want me to.
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Post Post #85 (isolation #9) » Mon Jun 16, 2014 2:49 pm

Post by Rubicon »

melmond, what are your reads?
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Post Post #86 (isolation #10) » Mon Jun 16, 2014 3:02 pm

Post by Rubicon »

VOTE: ActionDan
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Post Post #89 (isolation #11) » Mon Jun 16, 2014 5:17 pm

Post by Rubicon »

The impression is of deliberate opaqueness, which is something I was weighing as a possible strategy before the game.

ActionDan, who are your top 3 scum reads at this point? And please walk me through that thing you said about Xayzeck not being the jester -- I don't understand that but I'd like to.

Also, ZZZX - you seemed to want pressure on Xayzeck in your first post. What have you gotten from the wagon so far? Do you think his reaction was town or scum?
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Post Post #118 (isolation #12) » Wed Jun 18, 2014 9:35 am

Post by Rubicon »

Your #101 is a pretty good post. I'd add that the difference between jester and mafia is that the mafia are a team, with team dynamics and no night kill which adds a unique set of pressures on them.

I don't think the jester is going to be obvious at all, though. Or we'll be lucky if they are. I'm focusing on team hunting and jester PoE, but considering the range of behaviors between good-bad jester, good-bad scum, good-trolling town, etc...
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Post Post #119 (isolation #13) » Wed Jun 18, 2014 9:37 am

Post by Rubicon »

In post 83, shos wrote:of course it's not a good wagon. but again: we'll lynch him on D3 as safety measures.
I want this explained, though. Why is DoctorPepper not a good wagon in your view?
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Post Post #120 (isolation #14) » Wed Jun 18, 2014 9:38 am

Post by Rubicon »

actually I think my objection to that shos line is here:
In post 109, shos wrote:which I can't see why you'd think so quickly into the game with the amount of posts he has.
...this is not scumhunting DP, and shouldn't == "DP is not a good wagon".
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Post Post #121 (isolation #15) » Wed Jun 18, 2014 9:39 am

Post by Rubicon »

In post 113, ZZZX wrote:Well o now have a list of 4 people with a 90% chance of not being a jester including myself that I'll share soon
Could you also answer the questions I directed to you? I'm sure you must just have missed them.
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Post Post #135 (isolation #16) » Wed Jun 18, 2014 2:11 pm

Post by Rubicon »

Jester is probably within the group of active players who seem to care about controlling the game. A player who needs to be lynched by day 3 would probably feel pressure to achieve that goal.

shos
Xayzeck
ActionDan
Psyche? (melmond didn't fit this definition, though, and I kind of buy Psyche's line about wanting to improve his game)
Maaybe Shinobi.

Dan, thoughts on Xay?
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Post Post #143 (isolation #17) » Wed Jun 18, 2014 4:29 pm

Post by Rubicon »

In post 137, ActionDan wrote:He's also not the jester
Okay, so what bridges the gap for you between "a little town but subpar reading skills if so" and thinking he's not the jester? What's your reasoning?
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Post Post #145 (isolation #18) » Wed Jun 18, 2014 5:38 pm

Post by Rubicon »

I thought he was confused with Xegarus or something at first, but he hasn't talked about them either.

How come you have nothing to add? Is that normal for you?
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Post Post #147 (isolation #19) » Wed Jun 18, 2014 5:54 pm

Post by Rubicon »

that's what I mean though, I was thinking it's not like what I remember of you from Greetings Without Spain. Your case on AD is probably the closest you've got, but..
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Post Post #167 (isolation #20) » Thu Jun 19, 2014 10:23 am

Post by Rubicon »

Three to lynch Psyche. Let's see where this goes.

(That said, ugh @ 164)
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Post Post #173 (isolation #21) » Thu Jun 19, 2014 2:24 pm

Post by Rubicon »

Actually though,

VOTE: Shinobi

Reads, motherfucker.
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Post Post #174 (isolation #22) » Thu Jun 19, 2014 2:42 pm

Post by Rubicon »

In post 152, Psyche wrote:Rubicon and AD are the sorts who play apparently protown but are always pretty hard to read. AD's first extended post reads as pretty mechanical in its reasoning, but that might be his deal. I hate having to deal with them.
I wanted to mention that I hate this kind of statement. It
always
freaks me out and pings as a lazy cop-out from even trying to read me/others, which I think you should be able to do.

For one thing, you call our posts 'apparently protown' but don't commit to a town-read on either of us, which either leaves you open to vote both of us if the opportunity presents itself or allows you to slot a buddy in a noncommittal position next to a townie.

For another thing, and on a personal level, it bothers me even more when I can't figure out how the person making a meta argument has the meta they're trying to invoke. As far as I know you have never seen scum-me. Unless it was an alt or something, in which case I feel like you should be able to read me since you've seen both sides.
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Post Post #175 (isolation #23) » Thu Jun 19, 2014 2:42 pm

Post by Rubicon »

The way you backed down on your DoctorPepper argument was also really sketchy and doesn't seem to fit the mindset of you arguing for a strategy you think is best - if you really believed you were making a pro-town argument, that's a weird way to show it.
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Post Post #176 (isolation #24) » Thu Jun 19, 2014 2:42 pm

Post by Rubicon »

On the bright side, your last couple posts don't look like a jester reaction to being pressured. :)
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Post Post #177 (isolation #25) » Thu Jun 19, 2014 2:44 pm

Post by Rubicon »

In post 164, Shinobi wrote:I don't get how people think I'm jester. The jester is probably someone who cares more about this game. If you guys want to not lynch me ever though, that's cool.
You're close to the top of the group of 5 possible jester candidates.

If you don't explode by day 4, I think lynching you sounds like a pretty fantastic idea.

How does that sound to you?
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Post Post #184 (isolation #26) » Thu Jun 19, 2014 4:00 pm

Post by Rubicon »

sorry to see you go dp.
In post 179, Shinobi wrote:I don't even understand what you're trying to accomplish.

You're voting your jester read in hopes that he gives you something good? Wtf?
I think your reaction to my vote is informative regardless of your win condition, just in different ways. Whether I decide to lynch you today will depend.

Let's go at this from a different angle. What do you think of the following players?

ActionDan
Hiraki
Psyche
shos (you unvoted him just now - why?)
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Post Post #229 (isolation #27) » Sat Jun 21, 2014 9:53 am

Post by Rubicon »

Really deeply unimpressed by Aronis' contributions so far. Would lynch dat.
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Post Post #230 (isolation #28) » Sat Jun 21, 2014 9:54 am

Post by Rubicon »

In post 187, Shinobi wrote:I don't care about ActionDan because he's boring. He's saying stupid stuff that I don't care about.
Hiraki is talking about stuff that isn't even related to the thread.
Psyche might be town, but idk.
I unvoted shos so I could vote you.

You're acting like I should have strong reads at this stage, and I don't.
So I think a more accurate way to put this would be, I think you should be able to give some substantial thoughts about the game by page 10. If you can't, that makes me wonder why not, in a bad way.

Looking forward to your reads list expanding on this stuff. I'm curious about the waffly-ness on the Psyche read.

(I second the thing about AD though, heh.)
In post 187, Shinobi wrote:And, with 9 other players here, I highly doubt you determine the lynch here today. What an egotistical thing to think. Rofl.
I guess again a better way to put it is I'll decide whether to tunnel the shit out of you until you die today, or do that later instead. Which is probably still egotistical but in a more grounded-in-reality sort of way.
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Post Post #231 (isolation #29) » Sat Jun 21, 2014 9:56 am

Post by Rubicon »

In post 226, pieguyn wrote:Not Voting (1) - Psyche
Also hey Psyche, what's the deal with this. You unvoting doesn't match what you were saying in the post you unvoted and you seem to have people you want to lynch. so, uh?
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Post Post #266 (isolation #30) » Sat Jun 21, 2014 7:25 pm

Post by Rubicon »

heh
jester detected
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Post Post #312 (isolation #31) » Mon Jun 23, 2014 8:25 pm

Post by Rubicon »

So this has been on my backburner for a couple days.

Shinobi is town, we're never lynching that ever.

VOTE: hiraki

dance with me you scum fucker
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Post Post #336 (isolation #32) » Tue Jun 24, 2014 6:06 pm

Post by Rubicon »

In post 332, Aronis wrote:You don't understand how depressing it is to be scheduled to die, it's like: Yeah, whatever, I really don't care.
^ scum

Because I've been 'scheduled to die' before in games when my lynch was mechanically beneficial to town. My reaction was to do everything in my power to drive conversation and hunt down the scum while I was still able to post, to set town up for a win following my death. This is you saying your death is a big enough blow to your win condition that you've given up. Thanks for doing that, I guess.
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Post Post #337 (isolation #33) » Tue Jun 24, 2014 6:07 pm

Post by Rubicon »

Hiraki, let's talk about your read wall. Have any of those reads changed since you posted it? Which ones and why? That seems like a good jumping off point.
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Post Post #349 (isolation #34) » Tue Jun 24, 2014 7:42 pm

Post by Rubicon »

In post 343, Aronis wrote:4. Rubicon: That Jester avatar makes him suspicious, but atm maybe barely leaning town.
Question: Is shinobi still town? If so, why?
Yes, and not going to say why at the moment.
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Post Post #350 (isolation #35) » Tue Jun 24, 2014 7:46 pm

Post by Rubicon »

Xayzeck: What are your current thoughts about if/when Aronis should be lynched?
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Post Post #371 (isolation #36) » Wed Jun 25, 2014 7:23 am

Post by Rubicon »

In post 352, Xayzeck wrote:
In post 350, Rubicon wrote:Xayzeck: What are your current thoughts about if/when Aronis should be lynched?
Low info lynch imo?

He is the safest lynch, but I'm not sure he helps town much with the flip?

Maybe if he flips scum Hiraki could be scum with him, because he got off pretty quick
I was wondering because you, as jester, would need to make sure we didn't lynch him tomorrow once you realized you were unlikely to be lynched today.

The plan you tried to casually slip in about lynching you today...
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Post Post #372 (isolation #37) » Wed Jun 25, 2014 7:24 am

Post by Rubicon »

In post 355, Hiraki wrote:
In post 337, Rubicon wrote:Hiraki, let's talk about your read wall. Have any of those reads changed since you posted it? Which ones and why? That seems like a good jumping off point.
Why are we talking about me and not you?
Because you asked people to talk to you, and you haven't asked me anything.

I might actually be able to read you better if you ask me questions instead, so go for it.
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Post Post #379 (isolation #38) » Wed Jun 25, 2014 1:50 pm

Post by Rubicon »

VOTE: ZZZX

I'm having jester fears tho.
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Post Post #381 (isolation #39) » Wed Jun 25, 2014 1:52 pm

Post by Rubicon »

ZZZX is one of like 4 players I think could be the jester. Along with probably AD, Hiraki, Xay. I agree with what ActionDan said IIRC that some of his comments about jesters reek of "actually I'm the jester though".
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Post Post #382 (isolation #40) » Wed Jun 25, 2014 1:54 pm

Post by Rubicon »

In post 349, Rubicon wrote:
In post 343, Aronis wrote:4. Rubicon: That Jester avatar makes him suspicious, but atm maybe barely leaning town.
Question: Is shinobi still town? If so, why?
Yes, and not going to say why at the moment.
Shinobi was town or jester imo, and I wanted to see how he'd react to me & AD saying we'd never lynch him. He seemed to like it, so maybe not jester.
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Post Post #389 (isolation #41) » Wed Jun 25, 2014 5:49 pm

Post by Rubicon »

UNVOTE:

Fuck, I'm chickening out. I'll decide whether I want to risk this in the morning.
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Post Post #433 (isolation #42) » Fri Jun 27, 2014 6:11 pm

Post by Rubicon »

In post 427, pieguyn wrote:
Deadline is 7/2 00:00 GMT-7 or in (expired on 2014-07-02 00:00:00).
I think ZZZX is the jester. Because of Aronis, the jester deadline is essentially today, coming pretty soon according to the deadline clock above. So if we find ourselves strongly wanting to lynch a certain player, and that player is making no real effort to avoid it?

If ZZZX isn't the jester, than we have to ask who the actual jester is, since they should be trying to get themselves lynched today. The only person resisting the ZZZX lynch is ActionDan, and only barely.
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Post Post #435 (isolation #43) » Fri Jun 27, 2014 6:15 pm

Post by Rubicon »

No, he hasn't been to L-1.
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Post Post #438 (isolation #44) » Fri Jun 27, 2014 6:52 pm

Post by Rubicon »

He only had 3 votes on him, it's 5 to lynch.
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Post Post #467 (isolation #45) » Sat Jun 28, 2014 7:34 am

Post by Rubicon »

ActionDan :/
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Post Post #471 (isolation #46) » Sat Jun 28, 2014 8:24 am

Post by Rubicon »

I'm holding out hope that you're all trolling me right now.
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Post Post #472 (isolation #47) » Sat Jun 28, 2014 8:34 am

Post by Rubicon »

shos, Aronis, Shinobi, ActionDan

You have brought shame upon your families.
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Post Post #475 (isolation #48) » Sat Jun 28, 2014 9:35 am

Post by Rubicon »

flip pls

My fingers are crossed so hard it's starting to hurt.
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Post Post #490 (isolation #49) » Sat Jun 28, 2014 11:58 am

Post by Rubicon »

Bah.
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Post Post #496 (isolation #50) » Sat Jun 28, 2014 12:39 pm

Post by Rubicon »

I'm trying to decide which of those two lynches was more embarrassing for town.
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Post Post #506 (isolation #51) » Sat Jun 28, 2014 3:38 pm

Post by Rubicon »

I couldn't believe it when I logged on and saw you'd been quicklynched.
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Post Post #507 (isolation #52) » Sat Jun 28, 2014 3:41 pm

Post by Rubicon »

Also, I'm fine with posting the scum qt.
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