A Musical Mafia! (Game over)
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Amiham: Town
Axel: Decent content but could be scum by GI
Cerb: kinda town :(
Dram: prolly town
Dave: prolly town
FS: reads are so backwards sometimes that I can’t ever townread this, not obv scum though. Liked early readlist but fakeable. Just frustrating slot. BTW if you are an invest and didn't look at FS for shame.
Mirhawk: don’t like his push on Ranger.
Pistach: IC
Podo: don’t like 834 readlist.
Sakura: no idea how to read, will sort with flips.
Cakez: town 9/10, should not be the lynch at all
Snarky, the fact that this slot is still alive confirms no vig, needs to die.
TPP: too lazy to try to read, sorry
TWL: Town
Tic: Scum but is getting a little townier.
Ogre: town, not sure what that invest thing was
Skybird: wouldn’t stop a lynch, null.- itlepip
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↑ podoboq wrote:
You were a soft town read for me before yesterday's lynch. Then Ranger flipped, you were a high scum read, and I consider you the most likely scum of her top three. Me voting for you↑ tictac wrote:
I don't actually find NKA scummy. I asked about that because didn't follow your logic.
Sheeping is indeed what I find scummy about you.
- Sheeping Cakez & asking him to make a case looks like you are avoiding voicing opinions of your own.
- Deadtown sheep would make sense from town-you,but I don't actually see evidence if it affecting your reads.isevidence of her flip affecting my read.
I wanted Cakez to case you because 1) I'm a bit lazy, and 2) I don'tknowthat Cakez is town, and I wanted to see him make a solid case. If he couldn't do it (which he did), then it gives me more reason to suspect him. It was a chance to get a better read on Cakez, so I took it.
None of this post works for me at all even though I technically agree with the reads. Flips, except in very specific circumstances, shouldn't change reads that much. And scum make good cases all the time.- itlepip
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Before they can start distancing, if either Mirhawk or tic ever flip scum auto lynch the other one.
Mirhawk ftr I'm pretty sure that cake is town here. I know he is scummy but I dare you to find a game where cakez isn't scummy as either alignments. He has moments in this game that show some real town mentality that I don't think is fakable from his slot.
<3 ogre, can you go over what is genuine about tic and why TWL is scummy?
Also Ogre never claim right now, there is no point. We know that you don't have any useful information.- itlepip
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↑ dramonic wrote:That`s a really short time to contradict yourself.
A shitty vote up there or a shitty vote on me, what does it matter?
More than the other three by a large margin.
All of these posts are super towny. His reads are relatively solid, he had issues with beeboy and cakez's posts, two people who are super easy MLs, and doesn't even include either of them is his scum pile. He's not in my townbloc yet but he's isn't that far from getting in there. He never should be a vig shot and super never should be lynched today. I'll protect Dram with my life if I have to.- itlepip
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Read my readlist, I think Axel could easily be scum here but since he has some good post I don't want to kill him yet unless he is more scummy than I realized, hence why I wanted the case before I voted.- itlepip
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↑ podoboq wrote:These are the posts you're using to read dramonic as town. They all have something in common. Let's take a look.
Spoiler:Guess what, just because someone doesn't provide reasoning doesn't automatically make something NAI. Looking at what the read is and the timing of it can also give you a read. I understand if you can't read it, but when someone comes along in a generally townread slot and says, yo, this easily could be town, I'm not sure why town would doubtcast that.
Spoiler:Same thing but worse because its you.
Spoiler:And it lets me get an inkling of a read on him.
Spoiler:
Spoiler:
↑ itlepip wrote:
All of these posts are super towny. His reads are relatively solid, he had issues with beeboy and cakez's posts, two people who are super easy MLs, and doesn't even include either of them is his scum pile. He's not in my townbloc yet but he's isn't that far from getting in there. He never should be a vig shot and super never should be lynched today. I'll protect Dram with my life if I have to.
Scum does NOT want to kill mislynches now. They want to save them for the end of the game. That's why they are a town liability, because at MYLO, the scum team WANTS an easy mislynch to remain alive. So the argument that your slot and Cakez's are easy mislynches, and scum!dram wouldn't keep you around in that case is completely empty. I'd also like to remind you that scum!dram WOULD pull out issues with two easy mislynches, without actually pushing them, so at the end of the game, when you are still alive, he can argue that he saw the scummy play early, and more easily argue in favor of your mislynch.Okay, that's just not how the game works. Depending on the size of the game, scum need to achieve a certain amount of mislynches to win, with certain roles such as vig and medic affecting that number. What needs to happen for town is to get a few extra scum flips early so that if we do end up in lylo its at worst a 5p and not the awful 7p which 999/1000 times scum just win. Even if you think Dram is 100% unreadable here, unless you have nobody in the game who you think has greater than a rounabouts 4/20 something chance of being scum Dram shouldn't be killed right now. All you are doing right now is again 16/20 times just lowering the necessary mislynch counter by 1 while providing town with nothing to go off of. You are either super lazy town that doesn't want to try to solve the game or just scum.
His reads aren't solid. I know I'm town, I don't scumread Axel right now, and I'm no longer convinced about tictac. I can see either of them flipping scum at some point, but their alignment is not obvious, and picking the three players he did as early as he did and not wavering is incredibly scummy. It's without logic, and it's proven without logic, BECAUSE HE REFUSES TO PROVIDE LOGIC DESPITE BEING ASKED TO ON MULTIPLE OCCASIONS, INCLUDINGFROM YOU.His reads are solid in that I can verify that they are coming from a town standpoint and this feels like townplay to me. I think that you are fairly likely to be scum here, but even if you are town here the thought process from Dram is still towny. Town never have 100% reads, you can't try to read people based on the accuracy of their reads, but in whether or not the reads came from town or scum.
The only thing you quoted from him that isn't just throwing shit at his three supposed scumreads is this:Not only is this eight word post from dramonic useless, off base, and not used to support any meaningful dialog, but it's against YOUR SLOT, which theoretically you should KNOW is town. How could you possibly use this as evidence to read dramonic as town, enough to almost consider him obvtown? Literally everything you quoted is something that I see as indicative of scum, and you're reading it as town. Am I the only person that has a problem with this? Am I just a bad player, or is itlepip just wrong here?Spoiler:
I explained that one. Basically that is a spot where scum would probably have an agenda is prodding Beeboy and I super don't see any signs of an agenda.- itlepip
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Oh yeah, for other people mainly.
The main reason that Podo's push is super scummy, regardless of whatever Dram is, is that he is super invested really early in the day in pushing a policy lynch on a lurker. The way town generally lynch lurkers is if there isn't a great deadline wagon people agree on someone with zero content and just kill them, you don't do that in the middle of the day as your top wagon. There isn't the amount of gamesolving that I would want from Podo.- itlepip
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↑ podoboq wrote:I think multiple people in this game have a greater than 20% chance of scum. I think dramonic's the highest chance, and even if he's not, he's close to the top. We should lynch scum here to win, and dramonic gives us a great chance of flipping scum, but on the low odds that he isn't, we can at least take solace in the fact that we removed an easy mislynch early. If dramonic has a 90% chance to flip scum, and Cakez (for example) has a 95% chance to flip scum, I lynch dramonic because his mislynch isn't as catastrophic. Note, those are made up numbers. I'm just trying to make a point.
Explain how Dram has such a high chance of being scum given that he is unreadable?- itlepip
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↑ itlepip wrote:Amiham: Town
Axel: Decent content but could be scum by GI
Cerb: kinda town :(
Dram: prolly town
Dave: prolly town
FS: reads are so backwards sometimes that I can’t ever townread this, not obv scum though. Liked early readlist but fakeable. Just frustrating slot. BTW if you are an invest and didn't look at FS for shame.
Mirhawk: don’t like his push on Ranger.
Pistach: IC
Podo: don’t like 834 readlist.
Sakura: no idea how to read, will sort with flips.
Cakez: town 9/10, should not be the lynch at all
Snarky, the fact that this slot is still alive confirms no vig, needs to die.
TPP: too lazy to try to read, sorry
TWL: Town
Tic: Scum but is getting a little townier.
Ogre: town, not sure what that invest thing was
Skybird: wouldn’t stop a lynch, null.
Read please.- itlepip
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NOT HOW THAT WORKS M8.
you have to realize that town make shit posts all the fricken time. Beeboy made a shit post and got called for it. I think that Dram had every excuse to pressure beeboy and make a scene and get that glorious towncred. However he didn't which is towny. A low content scum doesn't waste posts just to get reads.- itlepip
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I have a gut townlean on Dram that I am explaining. Look I'm trying to solve/win the game, and the way I like doing that is by creating a large town circle.
Cakez you need to understand the difference between a push and a tunnel. You tunnel people who you are certain are scum, and you push people to get a better read on them.- itlepip
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24- Kinda awkward.
128- good start but questions at end are bad.
Lot of filler questions.
697- Dram read is weird. Beeboy read could be town actually though.
711- Super bad and scummy, association based on a 1 post defense is kinda insane
829- solid
1196- awkward again, if either flip scum the other is going to be under scrutiny
Podo, Ranger and Ogre posts are pretty towny.
Cakez revote is weird.
Semantics defense is shit but I actually kind of like Sky on reread.
Sorry guys.
VOTE: Mirhawk
Pretty sure this one is actually scum though.- itlepip
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The reason I think that Axel could easily be scum here is that all of his posts don't feel like genuine analysis but feel like he is trying to achieve a specific goal with each post. He makes sure that he has evidence for all of his claims based on some sort of theory, but its not particularly focused on game solving.↑ Axelrod wrote:
The hell? Since when? The only thing I've heard people arguing is that Dram is "unreadable" or that he always plays like this whether he's Town or scum so what would be scummy behavior from someone else is not alignment indicativefrom him. And even if I was going to accept that - because everyone is saying it therefore it must be so - where are you getting that this is "Town" Dram? What could he have possibly done for you to get a "Town" read?For example take this. The way that multiquoting works is that Axel knows that I explain this later. Yet because his purpose of this post is 'push pip' he leaves it in cause it looks better even though there is no way this is an actual content since I explain this later.
This has got to be the most god-awful thing suggested in this game to this point thus far. And I'm not even a huge fan of TicTac. Seriously, what the Hell?Yes, because shooting between people that I think are scum is so much worse than shooting someone I think is town...
↑ itlepip wrote:
↑ dramonic wrote:That`s a really short time to contradict yourself.
A shitty vote up there or a shitty vote on me, what does it matter?
More than the other three by a large margin.
All of these posts are super towny. His reads are relatively solid, he had issues with beeboy and cakez's posts, two people who are super easy MLs, and doesn't even include either of them is his scum pile. He's not in my townbloc yet but he's isn't that far from getting in there. He never should be a vig shot and super never should be lynched today. I'll protect Dram with my life if I have to.
Zero of those posts are towny. The fact that you call his reads "solid" is laughable. They've beenconsistent, but what's solid about that? He's listed the same three people as being scum forever, never argued any of them, and said literally nothing else.
This is what kills me. This kind of play would be the easiest thing ever for scum to pull. Especially if he's known for doing nothing. If all Dram has to do to be considered "town" is pick someone to vote and then proceed to do nothing but call them scum for the rest of the game, while pointedly and repeatedly ignoring all requests for more explanation, then why the hell would he ever do anything differently?
It is but you have to realize that Dram knows that this isn't a style that can get him to endgame 99% of the time. When you are below a certain post marker your posts don't really matter and the fact that he was still trying to gamesolve instead of jumping on easy targets. Also the fact that I agree with most of his reads and everyone that I'm scumreading is attacking me for townreading him makes me feel pretty good about that slot.
I think podo already argued a lot of this. But, Jesus, it's driving me nuts.
You are not wrong.
↑ itlepip wrote:Guess what, just because someone doesn't provide reasoning doesn't automatically make something NAI. Looking at what the read is and the timing of it can also give you a read. I understand if you can't read it, but when someone comes along in a generally townread slot and says, yo, this easily could be town, I'm not sure why town would doubtcast that
What is "NAI?"
Also, I don't understand the rest of this point. Who is the person coming along in a "generally townread" slot and what are they saying? How is this improving your opinion of Dramonic?I was talking about my read on Podo not the Dram read.
↑ itlepip wrote:Okay, that's just not how the game works. Depending on the size of the game, scum need to achieve a certain amount of mislynches to win, with certain roles such as vig and medic affecting that number. What needs to happen for town is to get a few extra scum flips early so that if we do end up in lylo its at worst a 5p and not the awful 7p which 999/1000 times scum just win. Even if you think Dram is 100% unreadable here, unless you have nobody in the game who you think has greater than a rounabouts 4/20 something chance of being scum Dram shouldn't be killed right now. All you are doing right now is again 16/20 times just lowering the necessary mislynch counter by 1 while providing town with nothing to go off of. You are either super lazy town that doesn't want to try to solve the game or just scum
You appear to be switching up your arguments again. This is back to "Dram is unreadable, and lynching him is basically a coin-flip, therefore, any lynch where you at least have some feeling that the person is actively scum is better." That's very different from "I think Dram is Town." Also, I completely reject the idea that Dram is just a coin flip. Iactivelythink his odds of being scum are higher than most other players in this game.Nope! 2 reasons. A). This is what you pulled in your first post which is 'even if I take what you guys are saying and his is 100% unreadable your play is still wrong' B. Yeah yell at me for calling him town but don't explain this, I get it.
↑ itlepip wrote:His reads are solid in that I can verify that they are coming from a town standpoint and this feels like townplay to me. I think that you are fairly likely to be scum here, but even if you are town here the thought process from Dram is still towny.you can't try to read people based on the accuracy of their reads, but in whether or not the reads came from town or scum.Town never have 100% reads,
I'm bolding your own point. What the Hell? All Dram has done is adamantly vote for the same person (me) the entire game, while declaring the same group of three people scum for the entirely of the game, with 0 wavering. You say, "Town never have 100% reads" and yet, you are declaring Dram Town?
Again this is 'Axel needs to make sure that Dram is used for one of the MLs at some point and attack Pip" and he tries to base it on some kind of theory but this makes no sense. You don't read my post and come out with that analysis, this is analysis that came from a preconceived notion of what this post was going to be. Guess what, town tunnel, not only do they tunnel, but they tunnel all the time and it can be on town if somehow you are that. Saying that because a read is wrong they have to be mafia is super lazy and proba ly just mafia. Dram isn't in my towncircle, but I think we really really need a scumflip soon to be able to win this game and Dram isn't someone I think is particularly likely to do that.
I don't even....
You should try it at some point, it's fun.
You are like the umpteenth person to express vague feelings of dislike about my play without pointing to anything specific that I can explain/rebut. It's actually getting a bit frustrating. And, again, I feel like it's coming from lack of familiarly and me basically being the person on the outside of the cool kids club.
I would love for you to explain this "tell" so I can show you where you're wrong. I don't know what else I can do.
The tell is that you are coming into your posts with the intention of writing what you just wrote. Instead of adapting it to what you read.
I was really reading Beeboy as Town, but now I'm really not so sure anymore.
↑ THE WRONG WAGON wrote:I'll be here later, but I'm liking a lot of everyone on the last page so
...
↑ dramonic wrote:↑ THE WRONG WAGON wrote:I'll be here later, but I'm liking a lot of everyone on the last page so
That's... a really useless statement.
Zero opinions, just hearts for everyone, really?
I almost agree with Dramonic, unbelievable. Except that, of course, he's being a complete and total hypocrit here.- itlepip
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↑ Mirhawk wrote:There's a lot to respond to here so I'm likely going to make several posts.
First off I promised to point out why I think dav's scum.
First off read his iso. Everything until he places his first vote is sidelong comments on other wagons. Half of that is throwing shade with no votes cast.
His first vote (which is not till page nine) is for what precisely? Immediately after placing it he goes back to asking pointless questions. He makes literally zero effort to convince a single person that I'm scum.
I tried to question him on the vote but then he disappeared until after that miller business at which point he was no longer interested in discussing his earlier case.
He's been sitting on me since post 213, but since then has only mentioned me once.
He didn't even call me scum in that post, rather saying I could be town or scum. :neutral:
What's he doing now? Still making sidelong comments without seemingly looking for scum at all.
He's being townread for what precisely?
↑ Mirhawk wrote:↑ pistachi0n wrote:I'm going to jump on the Mirhawk wagon.
I was reluctant because I thought some of his earliest posts had good content and I had mixed feelings about his reaction to Ami's gambit. I don't like his recent posts, though:
This is a reach, it also describes the playstyle of Mirhawk himself--he's been making a lot of comments on other wagons.
852 reads like he's trying to get credit for being skeptical/contrarian without backing it up at all.
re 858 why is it horseshit? The post he's responding to is spot-on. And instead of defending himself, he dismisses it.
A lot of his reactions to statements he disagrees with are just "no." Drive by sniping is right.
?????
You literally ISO'ed me and picked at a bunch of random shit nobody had mentioned yet. Despite the effort into making the post it feels super lazy as well. I don't think you looked very closely at the posts I was responding to, which if you had a problem with my responses you should have.
Me and Dav's playstyles are pretty different seeing as how I've been calling half the town scum, whereas Dav still hasn't gotten around to calling me scum despite voting me all game. Lots of people have commented on multiple wagons, does that mean we all have the same playstyle? I feel like you only brought this up to pad your case.
How could I get town credit for 852? In order to get credit for being skeptical of someones opinion I would need the subject of that opinion to die and flip. If you'd actually bothered reading the post I was complaining about you would have known that piper was talking about me. Was my plan to get town credit after I was dead or something?
I also would have assumed you would notice that TWL's post that 858 is talking about my early game. I mean are actually agreeing that my early interactions with Dav were a drive by? Or that despite the fact that it was a drive by they still managed to be really good questions? Or that despite the fact that they were really good questions, they weren't connected to the game? You tried to twist this into being about my later posts, and all the power to you on that. But my problem was the early game bit.
I also note that despite saying you're jumping on my wagon, you.... didn't?
↑ Mirhawk wrote:↑ davesaz wrote:
Repeating question since I didn't see much response to it. I think Dramonic is scum flying under the radar, but I don't know if this is normal for him.
Scum reads with no apparent reasons, avoiding big wagons, not addressing the topics of the day -> classic active lurking scum mode, IMO.
VOTE: Dramonic
Please discuss.
Drams fine.
All the things you're accusing him of are things town do too.
↑ Mirhawk wrote:
OMFG this is so stupid.
I don't care if you think I'm scum because my vote switch sounded fake or contrived.
But every person who thinks there was some kind of information scum would have that town wouldn't in this situation is talking out of their ass.
Unvote
This is obviously not happening.
I'm not inclined to believe that replacing out is alignment indicative, though ironically enough in the last three games I've played there have been six scum replace outs.
↑ Mirhawk wrote:↑ Cerberus v666 wrote:The accusation that she's voting a certain way specifically to ensure the skybird wagon doesn't have more votes than the FS wagon is dumb. Neither wagon has enough votes for them to be at a tipping point, and voting in that fashion isn't alignment indicative. I'd be more inclined to think that if she has indicated a greater desire to lynch you than FS(which I dont' think she has) but she is voting FS, it's to see how people deal with the situation with the various wagons.
She's stated that she will switch to my wagon if it's bigger, and it is. In fact if she switched from seniors wagon to mine it would be three votes higher than seniors, which is a significant amount.
However if she does switch that would make Skybird's wagon bigger than seniors, which is a problem for her since she's suggesting that the only two viable wagons are Seniors and Mine.
Don't get me wrong I have an ulterior motive here too. I don't want to be lynched, and I don't think Seniors is scum, so I'm against discluding Skybirds wagon from contention.
↑ Cerberus v666 wrote:
For example, before you made that accusation, i was considering voting skybird SOLELY to see who moved where in response to skybirds wagon taking the lead...but that particular ploy has lost it's value given that you just made scum more wary of individuals watching wagon movements in this situation for that exact reason.
Sorry?
↑ Mirhawk wrote:@Podo
Cakes is scum because he isn't looking for scum, rather he's coasting and has been doing so for most of the game.
In the last game I played with him (http://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?f=23&t=65594) he actively scumhunted constantly, in this one he vote parked on me over a thousand posts ago and hasn't done much of anything since.
How much time does he spend pushing the scumread he's had all game? Almost none. He doesn't analyze any of my posts and the extent of him pushing my wagon consists of him occasionally reminding people that he thinks I'm scum.
Also his reaction to Rangers readslist was outrageously fake.
That's why I'm voting for him at least. Not really sure as to the reasons for the other ones.
↑ Mirhawk wrote:
What? Hell no.
He parked on the easiest wagon that required the least justification and never left.
Seriously, go read his ISO. Try to find justification for his vote. When I pressed him on it he offered up some gibberish reasons, then stopped responding to me.
There's lots going on in town. There's no way that he hasn't found anything stronger than that in all this time. It's not like he isn't here, he's had a hundred posts since then.
I thought you were townreading him because scum wig vendors are very rare.- itlepip
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@Cerb the jist of it is that his later day pushes by deadline doesn't feel like town especially given that he just abandons his Dav push. His early day is all just 'dav is scum dav is scum dav is scum' he votes pistach, and then goes back to dav after the whole Amiham slip thing. Then deadline hits and in short succession he calls ranger, Cakez, Skybird, all scum based on which one is the most popular at the time and never even mentions Dav again in any sort of negative light for the rest of the game. I don't understand why a town player would ever think that he has a clear caught scum, and then give it up not only due to deadline panic, but then the next day he completely forgets that this player was ever considered scummy by him. It is something I have done as scum by accident, but I can't ever imagine as town just giving up on a scum push that I was death tunneling because meh. Like he never actually says that Cakez is worse than dav or anything like that, he just seems to forget that Dav is even in the game after his last case against him.
Full disclosure I was hoping for worse answer from him regarding dav but the answers he gave don't invalidate my case at all imo. Its a bit complicated and I'm on a phone so the full thing will appear later tonight. - itlepip
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