New Year's Eve Masquerade Ball - [Game Over]
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pieguyn Survivor
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two very important points which I need to make immediately:
1. I agree wholeheartedly with lady Nahdia's 181.
2. gentleman Human Sequencer, do you truly play IIDX and if so is Mei truly your favorite song from the IIDX series?
be back later-
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pieguyn Survivor
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I totally haven't done anything that would give you any reason to blush, amirite?In post 403, Nahdia wrote:
Lady pieguyn i think im getting a feverIn post 389, pieguyn wrote:1. I agree wholeheartedly with lady Nahdia's 181.
:3-
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pieguyn Survivor
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clearly~In post 414, Nahdia wrote:who said anything about blushing? we're clearly talking about fevers here.
/pulls out her list of ways to make girls blush and confirms that this isn't anywhere on it-
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pieguyn Survivor
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/smiles softlyIn post 412, Human Sequencer wrote:
Well I know I've already picked up a partner, but I think I might have recently fallen for pieguynIn post 408, inspectorscout wrote: Dude if you're in love just admit your love while the game has still a slight amount of romance.
it's too bad we couldn't be anything this game, gentleman HS.-
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pieguyn
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pieguyn Survivor
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if there's anything you want to ask me about, go for it. I'm not exactly sure where to begin with this game.In post 612, Nahdia wrote:agreed, usually i'd have a read on you by now >: \
I definitely don't agree with the push on S_S for "scum slipping"; I read S_S' 212 as a pretty clear "assuming you're town, this doesn't make sense" type of question. I think his tone is annoying at points, but I don't think that's a good reason to scum read him either. if you or anyone else wants to correct me on either of these points or pitch me a case for other reasons, I'd assess it, though.In post 616, mhsmith0 wrote:
Yes because a good chunk of posts have beenIn post 597, pieguyn wrote:I have town on HS, Cv666, inspectorscout, and SAD. I think Kagami is probably also town but I'm not as sure.
this game is very difficult to parse.
1) about mechanics
2) bitching about people talking mechanics
3) various other useless stuff
And suspects so far?
I'm not satisfied with Parama's pushes outside of the S_S slip, either. the Kagami push also stood out to me, mostly because it felt like they were forcefully attempting to frame it as a "this is something no one else has thought about yet" push and the reasoning felt kind of meh. I also just feel like nothing they've posted has been particularly compelling or town in general, though it is very early in the game.
I would support a Gamma push; I think he's been very passive so far, and he hasn't attempted to make any pushes outside of backing the consensus push on S_S. I'd also like him to explain how he arrived at his Maria town read as quickly as he did.
I do find myself agreeing with the thread consensus on The_Jester; his reaction to HS around the 266 range felt deflective and like an overreaction for the sake of an overreaction, even though the initial point about his activity wasn't all that great.-
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pieguyn Survivor
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In post 642, mhsmith0 wrote:Invites pieguyn to dance
Be prepared for a PT full of interrogation and shit posting. Be very prepared.I'll accept this.-
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pieguyn
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pieguyn Survivor
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I specifically ask about 502; I would expect that you would have made sure you had a full understanding of the context behind Maria's 464 before declaring it as a town post. am I missing something?In post 666, Gamma Emerald wrote:@Pieguyn
I believe town is more likely to make those sorts of I'm town with you posts-
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pieguyn Survivor
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hmm, OK. carry on, then~In post 685, Gamma Emerald wrote:I was trying to pocket her so she'd let her guard down-
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pieguyn
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pieguyn
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pieguyn Survivor
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at the moment I agree your pair is town/town, and I think SAD/inspectorscout is town/town.In post 773, Nahdia wrote:now taking applications for a town/town pair that isn't mine.-
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pieguyn Survivor
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I pre-in'd for this like one hour after FG posted it to the large theme queue, and the next thing I knew it had went into signups and it had already filled.In post 798, Kagami wrote:Btw, you should have signed up as a gentleman, pie -_-
oh well, I guess? ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
I don't have any form of town read on MDS. I largely agree with the scum reads people have expressed on The_Jester, mostly for the reasoning I wrote in 652.In post 801, Kagami wrote:What do you think about the jester pair?
at the moment I think the best strategy for this is just to identify two town/town pairs and kill off everyone else, regardless of order, so either way I definitely don't want it getting to endgame. I'm open to something else if you think I'm wrong, though.-
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pieguyn Survivor
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I agree the defense was bad, but I have felt that compulsion to defend players solely based on the fact that I want to play with them/don't want people to lynch them before I get a chance to read them before, so I don't think it her scum. if there's something specific about it that you took issue with let me know and I can look at it again.In post 807, Ser Arthur Dayne wrote:
What do you think of her weird defense of Jester?In post 806, pieguyn wrote:I don't have any form of town read on MDS.
I can't make out if that's townie super arrogantly confident she can read a friend or scum who's scum pretending she's arrogant while scared she was going to go down Day 1 because Jester was getting scumread super hard.-
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pieguyn
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pieguyn Survivor
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HS is town, I actually have a slight scum read on Parama and would like if people could reiterate why they think they're town.In post 1097, Nahdia wrote:i want every1's reads on Parame and HS.-
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pieguyn Survivor
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OK I think I must be missing something because I still am not sure what exactly he missed in 212. I think 212 was intentionally worded in a way that assumed Cv666 was town, and the point was to say something along the lines of "if you're town this doesn't make sense". what am I missing here?In post 1152, Kagami wrote:The town-shadow explanation there is that he finds Cerb's behavior odd and was poking at oddities without really thinking through the implications of them, which weighs against the probability that scum-shadow was poking at him in an effort to appear townish and did so in a very clumsy way. I don't think it's quite the smoking gun Parama is making it out to be, but meh.
I also was gonna ask you about the Vedith scum read but it seems you've came around on it.
vote: The_Jester/MDS-
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pieguyn
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pieguyn
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pieguyn Survivor
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I have basically just accepted the fact that I will never get anywhere if I try to read the entire game before posting every time.
by and large, I definitely agree with Nahdia that we need to be town hunting here and that optimal play is identifying a town/town pair that should survive to endgame; I largely think that if we're debating what order to lynch the rest of the pairs in, it should be done for information purposes and not by serially identifying the scummiest pairs. for that reason, I don't particularly care *that* much about who the lynch is so long as I'm not reading the pair as town.
as of page like 50-something, I still think The_Jester is scum, and I largely agree with consensus that GE/Vedith needs to die before endgame (this meaning I agree GE needs to die before endgame). I'm sad to admit that I could also see mhsmith0 as scum pretty easily, just based on how passive he is, though I'm open to correction if anyone wants to point me to something town he's done in the past however-many pages.
I am still very wary of Parama, although I think they look slightly better than I thought before based on what I have seen from them.
Kagami-san, you called for me?-
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pieguyn Survivor
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I have not thought about that at all. if you want me to comment on this, you'll need to walk me through what your argument here is.
ftr, I have HS as town.-
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pieguyn Survivor
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should I switch over to GE?In post 1710, Kagami wrote:meh, sounds like we're on the same page.
also, does this include Parama? I don't seem to remember you having a scum read on them.-
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pieguyn Survivor
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I honestly would have to go back and look at the posts myself before making a judgement call on this, but I would definitely consider it.In post 1711, Gamma Emerald wrote:First is the fact I SR Shadow because his method of play doesn't feel like he is town, especially his aversion to giving solid reads. I see some, but it's scattered and hard to analyze.
Then there's the fact Maria states Shadow has been really nice and apologetic in the PT. Scum don't need to do this with scumbuddies so I think Maria is town
Then there's HS's "if Maria flips town GE/Vedith should go". She only mentions Maria's alignment there, and it makes me think she's setting my pair up to take the fall after a Shadow + Maria flip
So if both Shadow and HS flip scum, there should be no doubt my pair is town based on how they set us up.-
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pieguyn Survivor
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that's actually a part of why I'm wary of them. pushing one person really hard and insisting that they're lynched before anyone else is really counter-productive in this setup (lololol), and I do not think that their interpretation of S_S's 212 was all that great. unless Parama is a player who has certain tendencies as town (lololol), my gut call on this is that it looks more like scum hoping to hard push someone in order to get town read for "genuinely believing in their read" without realizing that there isn't much of a reason to push anyone that hard in this setup.In post 1713, Gamma Emerald wrote:I think Parama is town based on how she is pushing Shadow
I'm also very not OK with the fact that HS is saying they're doing a lot and looking really town in the PT, without putting anything similar into the game thread. it's a fairly textbook scum strategy to tailor your play really hard to people who you have neighborhoods with in the hope that they will defend you for it.
for whatever reason, I didn't mind the fact that they explicitly went out of their way to point out to me what I missed in S_S's 212, as well as some other things they did in their last round of posts, so I don't feel that strongly about any of this. I likely would not worry that hard about it outside of e.g. MYLO.-
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pieguyn
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pieguyn Survivor
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identifying one town/town pair is significantly easier than attempting to identify three separate scum. I learned this the hard way last game.In post 1754, mhsmith0 wrote:806 is a bad plan and an easy way to blow the game if you guess wrong on the town-town pair, but I don't really get meaningful pings from her ISO so far one way or the other.
besides that it obviously is not a completely rigid plan, it's just that we should be focusing on solidifying town reads this game rather than solidifying scum reads-
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pieguyn Survivor
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if passion is what you're looking for, expect me to be obvious town sometime later in the game when 1. I can actually parse the thread and get reads I feel half-strongly about, 2. we're not in a situation where I largely just want to clear out a lot of the pairs who I don't think are town.In post 1835, Ser Arthur Dayne wrote:-Pie moved down because I really see nothing in her ISO that she can't be faking. She's being helpful, yes. She has reads, yes. But like... nothing that can't be faked. It's one of my qualms with people like that (which is why I brought up the Equinox point), it's very hard for me to get a grasp on the people that don't post with ~passion~.-
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pieguyn Survivor
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if we're discussing why we picked who we did, I largely didn't care who I ended up with. I didn't see any gamestate where mhsmith0 was being left out, he seemed slightly more compatible with me than the remaining gentlemen in terms of our play styles, and I didn't care what his alignment was (either he's town, in which case it only really matters to me if the consensus is that we're a town/town pair, or he's scum, in which case whatever). I have no intention of defending my partner or being the last pair left unless I feel *really* sure he's town and consensus wants it, mostly because I just straight up wouldn't be able to live with myself if I was left at the end and my partner was scum for the second game in a row.
if you're worried this is ATE (mhsmith seems to be in our PT), just ask Nahdia.-
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pieguyn Survivor
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mhsmith asked me in our PT why I was OK with accepting him so easily, I basically gave him that same answer, and he said he was probably fine with it but thought about the possibility of it being ATE. this happened maybe a few minutes ago, but I don't really see any reason to withhold it from here since I'm pretty sure he asked the same question in this thread forever ago.-
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pieguyn Survivor
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mhsmith0 feels really fucking off and I'm honestly considering a self vote because that's the only thing I feel even half-strongly about this game. I hated most of his posts in the past 10 or so pages, especially after GE flipping town.
I still think The_Jester is likely scum, too, but I'm not certain about it.
I still think SAD/inspectorscout is the most town pair. I think Dunn/Kagami is probably also town/town, but I'm not 100%.
I largely just want this day to end at this point. I'm ok with any of {jester/MDS, mhsmith0/me, no lynch}.
vote: The_Jester/MDS-
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pieguyn Survivor
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*if* I'm to leave, I'd like if some people could talk to me about SAD/inspectorscout in particular, since I've noticed a lot of scum reads on both of them that I don't understand at all and if it was up to me I'd want that pair alive at endgame. I recall SAD's posts generally being solid (even if kinda abrasive) and I'm not even sure why people seem to find inspectorscout's posts scummy (going off memory here; if I'm wrong correct me).-
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pieguyn Survivor
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which scout posts are giving you all reservations?In post 2284, Dunnstral wrote:The consesnsus between Kagami and I seems to be that SAD is towny and scout is "meh"-
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pieguyn
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pieguyn Survivor
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for the record, the only reason I'm on The_Jester and not mhsmith0 is that I'd like a chance to be able to discuss reads with Kagami with a scum flip on the table (and Nahdia if they're still alive).
if we lynch The_Jester (likely regardless of what he flips), or if we get a scum flip somewhere else, or if Kagami decides to ditch me and go ahead and vote us, then I likely will self vote (and SAD is correct that this approach kills me if I'm scum, since once one of these things happens I really have no option but to invent some reason to push someone else and I look like obvscum).-
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pieguyn
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your pair excludedIn post 2281, pieguyn wrote:mhsmith0 feels really fucking off and I'm honestly considering a self vote because that's the only thing I feel even half-strongly about this game. I hated most of his posts in the past 10 or so pages, especially after GE flipping town.
I still think The_Jester is likely scum, too, but I'm not certain about it.
I still think SAD/inspectorscout is the most town pair. I think Dunn/Kagami is probably also town/town, but I'm not 100%.
I largely just want this day to end at this point. I'm ok with any of {jester/MDS, mhsmith0/me, no lynch}.
vote: The_Jester/MDS-
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pieguyn Survivor
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I am not going to lie, I have mostly just skimmed every single thing related to them because it hasn't helped me at all in terms of getting strong reads (there are posts that I might read either way but as I said I'm not interested in forming detail reads on everyone, I'm interested in consolidating town reads on a pair where I'm strongly town reading both players). it's just endless back and forths.
I recall not finding the case on S_S compelling, but I don't have any particular strong town read on him and I have no read on Maria.-
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pieguyn
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posts like this and subsequent posts are why I think inspectorscout's body of work also looks pretty town. this is a kind of crazy kind of tinfoil thought process, but it actually has *some* basis in reality and has enough depth that it shows he isn't just making up bullshit, he's actually stopping to think about it and consider possibilities for what is going on.In post 2325, inspectorscout wrote:I had another scumgame, being http://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?f=56&t=67961
About the arthur mds thing, shit's complicated
I want to believe arthur is town and i do, but mhsmith said something about mds saying something about my pair, i dont even remember what, but it did do something for me, like, tie them a bit tgether.
The bad part is thqt it was said by mhsmith who i kind of scumread and i had tied mds to gamma way earlier in game, but since gamma flipped town and gamma being scum was also part of my read on mds my head is one clusterfuck rn
I hope this makes any sense
it's difficult to fake things like this without having it just come across as really forced, unless you're a very experienced scum player.-
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pieguyn
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i actually was considering the sameIn post 2383, Kagami wrote:I'm somewhat entertaining the jester-mds scumpair possibility, with shadow-pair also being T-T. At a PC now which makes reviewing the thread a million times easier.
partly because i have no idea where i'd be able to find three scum in this game if i'm going wrong on e.g. smith, partly because i scum read Jester and am really conflicted on MDS and "pair with a partner and hard defend each other" is a strategy i'd strongly consider playing in this setup, especially if i could pair with someone who i have a lot of mutual credibility with. i don't really know if it's what is going on since i don't think most people would attempt this, but... hm
my approach is basically that it doesn't *really* matter - they should be the next lynch (regardless of whether this is in first dance or second dance), and *if* it's a scum/scum pair, we'll find out for ourselves once they're dead, and if they're not, we just go from there. i don't think i get why you prefer no lynch over a Jester lynch, though.-
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pieguyn Survivor
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remind me what your read on inspectorscout was again?In post 2499, Human Sequencer wrote:arthur is still locktown-
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pieguyn Survivor
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why have I entered your scum list, and why do you scum read Kagami? if I've missed it, link please.
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pieguyn Survivor
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I have a town read on Kagami, for the very basic reason that I am almost positive that scum-Kagami in this player list plays a much more straight-shot scum game instead of what she's been doing here (which has mostly just been pushing her own agenda). I recall her being a very pragmatic scum player, and I am fairly sure that no one besides me in this player list is familiar with her play style and that she is like me in that she can play a fairly town-looking textbook scum game to people who aren't familiar with her meta, so not really much of a reason to not do it - the alternative is that she did this and then once I'm dead she's kinda stuck in the ass with no one left defending her play and a lot of people left scum reading her without much recourse.
I've also been paying attention to her reads somewhat and I haven't seen any off notes from her in terms of the pushes she's been making. even the more esoteric reads like MDS/Jester potentially being a scum pair came off as reasonable to me.
if their pair gets lynched and it's town/town, I'd be pretty likely to want to start lynching through the wagon.-
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pieguyn
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pieguyn Survivor
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o.
it isn't that I'm "trusting" her reads (or even that I'm taking her read as something that makes me more inclined to lynch your pair, really - I'm pretty sure I've made it clear that I'm lynching your pair mostly for Jester and that it's rather pointless to speculate about you two being a scum pair), it's that it's a conclusion I arrived at in my head before she posted it to the game thread, and so I'm not inclined to read her as scum for it (I have read your posts, I just don't think you are looking at it in the right way)-
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pieguyn Survivor
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I'm aware that people play differently from game to game, but I'm not sure that that has anything to do with it.In post 2542, MiniDeathStar wrote:I'd be really really cautious of trusting someone solely based on personal meta. People change and adapt from game to game, especially large theme games with unusual mechanics are supposed to be confusing and make people improvise. I'm astonished how everybody is so easy to trust their friends when I myself thought for a while that mine was scum.
my point is very straightforward: had I been scum here and not wanted to try any "pair with a partner and roll the town" shenanigans, I likely would have played a very textbook scum game, in that I would have been active, tried to make good-sounding points, tried to keep on top of the game and look like I was scum hunting, not done anything ridiculous that would have attracted attention onto myself, since I'm more than capable of it and in this player list I don't need to do anything out of the ordinary to fool people who are familiar with my play (since only Kagami and Nahdia have that extent of experience with me). I feel mostly sure that Kagami is capable of doing, and would have done, the same.-
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pieguyn Survivor
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nothing in particular, just at the moment I pretty strongly feel SAD/inspectorscout is the pair I'd like at endgame, and given you seem to be in agreement SAD is town I wanted to see if you agreed or if/why you disagreed with the scout read too.In post 2548, Human Sequencer wrote:nothing has really pinged my interest yet except for his questioning of nahdia, and the more of him i see the more i realize that falls in line w/ his personality
why do you ask?-
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pieguyn
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I feel pretty ok about it, but it is not immutable.In post 2553, Dunnstral wrote:So how strong would you say your read is-
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pieguyn Survivor
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the problem with it is I could just be completely wrong in my assessment of how she'd play this. if I assess her play limiting it to only this game, I don't have any reason to strongly town read her, which is why I don't feel 100% safe about it.
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