VARSOON VARIETY HOUR : GAME SCRAPPED
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- Bronya Zaychik
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Why you say that?
- Bronya Zaychik
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Hmph. When did this goal start?In post 54, OnTheMark wrote:Mastina when I ain’t out with my bros we need to legit talk.
Beeboy said your shit was antitown and claimings like antitoen and shit then asks you to claim like uhm? Huh?
I have a goal of d1 never calling anyone scum like at all. I have noticed when I push no one day one and just ask a shit ton of questions I find a shit ton of scum so talk with me gorgeous <3- Bronya Zaychik
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Kiana checking in.
I've been keeping up with the thread, everything's well and good. Titus is great and expressed my reads on players dutifully. We'll make a great team.
@OnTheMark, Why do you want me to find something disagree with you with? I'm townreading you. Do you want me to specifically look through your posts and find something to disagree about?
~Kiana- Bronya Zaychik
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So, to summarize, my reads are this:
Strong townread: RR, Creature.
Townread: OnTheMark, Shining Dreamers.
Lighter townread on Venmar and Chara.
I've decided to be less transparent about my scumreads for now. However, I have good confidence about my reads this game, which suggests that they are most likely right.- Bronya Zaychik
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The reason for being less transparent with my scumreads is I am worried about getting nightkilled this game. Getting eliminated by scum is minus equity. A dead Bronya is a useless Bronya.
I'll personally make sure that my slot is obvious town enough to avoid day lynches (since, well, Titus is weaker in that area), so that already puts my slot on scum's threatlist. We have a game plan to survive till late game. So, please bear with us.- Bronya Zaychik
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Okay, then how about I go for this one: I'll disagree with this very post itself then.In post 404, OnTheMark wrote:
I want to make sure I am not being buddied.In post 393, Bronya Zaychik wrote:Kiana checking in.
I've been keeping up with the thread, everything's well and good. Titus is great and expressed my reads on players dutifully. We'll make a great team.
@OnTheMark, Why do you want me to find something disagree with you with? I'm townreading you. Do you want me to specifically look through your posts and find something to disagree about?
~Kiana
Generally I am used to more resistance to my ideas.
I am legit concerned that I am going to be buddied. The easiest way I can sort that is to find some disagreement and then examine it and see if the points seem valid or not. However with too much agreement that’s really hard. I am a rather vocal player and if I am wrong I can easily see people propping me up. I mean I have had that concern and just been right but it’s more I kinda wanna get a feel. Right now I can’t get that from your slot.
I'm glad that you are aware of your own weaknesses, that you have a blind spot for scum who may be trying to buddy you; this is good self-awareness of your strengths and weaknesses and makes you a better player! But, I don't believe that it's likely that many scum, if any, will be planning to specifically target you to be buddied; you're an anonymous account with an obfuscated name and reputation. Scum would likely target the "big fish" for buddying, rather than you who is putting on a mask to hide your true identity.
And, to add on, even if scum were trying to buddy you, then that means that player has a certain heightened degree of skill; your current method of wanting to specifically obtain a "disagreement" is inefficient and perfunctory at best. That player would be more than likely to perform the full job and go all the way to complete the "buddying" process. It is not difficult at all to "find a disagreement" and answer your questions.
Honestly, if you feel that your scumhunting ability is weak, that's fine! What I suggest you to do is to find a townread or two that you trust, then work with them to solve the game. It's okay to let stronger players tackle the scumhunting if you know you're weaker at that area, all you need is to give them your support, and cooperate with everyone, and it will advance town wincon. You don't have to try too hard and force yourself to do something that you know you're weak at. Again, knowing your strengths and weaknesses is a good thing, it's even better if you know how to work on them and capitalize on your strengths!- Bronya Zaychik
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Hello!In post 408, Venmar wrote:
this post has me curious. why did you feel the need to explain being less transparent?In post 395, Bronya Zaychik wrote:The reason for being less transparent with my scumreads is I am worried about getting nightkilled this game. Getting eliminated by scum is minus equity. A dead Bronya is a useless Bronya.
on the topic of transparency of reads i wouldnt be opposed to hearing why you're townreading your list
i just simply disagree? i think cafe was pretty blunt and forward, to the point, not obtuse. i think you're discrediting them more than scumreading them.In post 399, Shining Dreamers wrote:While I find the meta point on OnTheMark to be a valid concern, literally everything else about Maid Cafe in that entire conversation is trash, and absolutely wasn't a productive exercise in scumhunting; the questions were obtuse in a way I wouldn't consider town. The entire time, I was siding with primarily Chara/OnTheMark
I just simply would like to state that fact, so I don't come across as having "no scumreads". That would be far too foolish beyond the norm for me. I have scumreads, it's just that I do not wish to disclose them at the moment.
I'll be happy to explain my townreads. Creature is posting frequently, even in postgame, and as many people know (including yourself ) Creature has a very alignment indicative posting style / meta; he is incapable of playing scum and will therefore lurk when he gets that alignment. He is in fact doing the opposite of lurking in this game, and that cements him as town. Reasonably Rational I'm going off mainly on tone, they seem town on a deep level; I don't feel that many players beyond the most gifted at scum are able to fake what he has posted so far in the game, and it has only been 16 pages!- Bronya Zaychik
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What is your read on OtM?In post 420, Maid Cafe wrote:
Dunn is NullIn post 417, Bronya Zaychik wrote:Maki who do you think is the towniest player in this game and why?
And tell me your read on Dunnstral.
Venmar and Creature are the most town players because creature can't fake a scum game and vermars answers feels genuine even if I don't agree with some of the answers he has- Bronya Zaychik
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Why on earth would scum nightkill you? You're on an anonymous alternate account! They'd be more likely to eliminate the big names like RR first. You might not even be on their threatlist. Making yourself seem like a bigger threat than you actually are, though, may lead them to add you to that list though!In post 427, OnTheMark wrote:
Well it's more, I kinda need to to see where people stand and where my thoughts are. It's kinda a thing I need to do. Would spoiler tags help? I think it's gonna be productive for a few different reasons. Mainly should I be night killed (which is kinda the road the game seems to be heading towards) I need to be more verbose. In the games where I wreck scum in later days the verbosity helped the town left after my NK/turbo mislynch to just power lynch the remaining scum.In post 422, Bronya Zaychik wrote:Please stop ISO-ing players on Page 16, OtM! I don't think it's going to be very productive with so little information on the table, and if they're too long soon people will stop reading them!- Bronya Zaychik
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What meta do you have on OtM?In post 430, Maid Cafe wrote:Otm has went from scummy to towny so I'm putting them at null
Meta suggests scum but I feel like some of the sorting they've done feels real so I'll put them at null- Bronya Zaychik
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Okay, I see, so those ISOs are for your own personal use? If that's the case, then yes, I suppose spoilering them will help.In post 428, OnTheMark wrote:I mean if it really bugs people I'll just spoiler tag it.
Do take into account however that not everyone will pay attention to your reads until you gain some degree of accuracy credibility. Heck, I don't even think town pays attention to my own reads sometimes!- Bronya Zaychik
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Well, okay, that's no fair, but that's fair too.In post 434, Maid Cafe wrote:Being anti town doesn't make it scummy nor does it make it towny it's the reasons behind it
but saying anti town and scummy are the same thing are incorrect
@Ico
Pedit: I will not out there alt.
Is OtM supposed to be a player I am supposed to know, or are they someone I haven't played with before?- Bronya Zaychik
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That's fine. I myself have significantly better accuracy when reading "null entities", as you put it, as compared to friends, because sometimes I don't want to scumread friends even though they are actually scumIn post 439, OnTheMark wrote:
Kinda both. Mainly it's weird. I'm a player no one listens to when alive, but if things kinda seem to be going correctly and I die, I get listened to a lot at death.In post 435, Bronya Zaychik wrote:
Okay, I see, so those ISOs are for your own personal use? If that's the case, then yes, I suppose spoilering them will help.In post 428, OnTheMark wrote:I mean if it really bugs people I'll just spoiler tag it.
Do take into account however that not everyone will pay attention to your reads until you gain some degree of accuracy credibility. Heck, I don't even think town pays attention to my own reads sometimes!
I also kinda don't recognize you. I recognize Titus but not you. I feel like I should but I don't so I'm treating you like a null entity for now and it's kinda why I townread the slot. Titus I just quite frankly give up on reading and since she's in a hydra and has to share you're alignment I'm just going to read you.
It's one of the reasons I'm kinda pissed at the Tibor response. It's a courtesy if in a hydra to keep players informed of if one head V/LAs or what not. Both slots do contribute. While they do share the same alignment if only one person is playing the game (unless outed as a coaching hydra) it's scummy as fuck to keep one head silent.
But I'll be happy to work with you and I'd be interested to see if your reads are as good as you are claiming them to be, or is it another case of RC-syndrome.
If you're an anonymous account though, I don't think players will listen to your reads regardless because you don't have the reputation that your main account goes off.- Bronya Zaychik
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Sorry, I couldn't parse these sentences. I think you accidentally started rambling!In post 442, OnTheMark wrote:I actually have much more respect when my name isn't attached. I've got a few sites where I'm almost an instant NK even over PRs now. I'm just working on getting this one to the same point, hence the alt account and deliberating trying to change my meta. I think if on MS, that you are required to be popular to be listened to and have your reads examined after death, that seems to be a flaw of MS. That's typically not the case on sites like MU, DLP, and a couple of proboards sites. That results in an easily exploitable meta for scum and it's something I am unashamed to admit I have used on MS.
Well, I disagree with what *I think* you are trying to say. Being "popular" to be listened to is not symptomatic of MS, it's apparently how the world works: Your track record creates a reputation, and that reputation creates trust, which is tied to your name or brand. This happens on every site: recognized names get listened to more than random players; and even in the office, the "popular" guy or the one with a better reputation gets listened to more often. I don't think that's necessarily an issue, as long as said reputation is justly earned and verified over the course of a couple of games, instead of something that is bogus or assigned. Given that MS.net is more of a community website, I believe this isn't a large issue.
Are you saying that you are trying to get this specific alternate account to the same level of revere and reputation as your main account? Well, that would be an interesting challenge, for sure. You must demonstrate a good track record of catching scum with this account though! And you'll also have to deal with the fact that certain players with certain overrate and undeserved egos will think that they are better than you, and try to strongarm lynches and override your reads, when, oh boy, they really just don't know.- Bronya Zaychik
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Since your current account seems to be created on this site at around the same time as mine has been, it appears that we are on fair and level ground. You technically have more of an advantage, since you're already from this site; you have the meta on players on this site that I do not have. Yet, I am absolutely fine with allowing this handicap, since I read "null entities" more accurately, I'm fine with you having a "meta advantage".
Game on!- Bronya Zaychik
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But a counterargument with that would be the gambler's fallacy: Just because a random player has 2 correct scumreads does not mean that he has the 3rd one correct; what if it's just luck? If a player who always uses an RNG to perform scumhunting somehow had 100% correct reads in a game, would you still trust his reads even after they're dead? With his track record, it'd be pretty easy to tell, but what if we're following your ideal of not using prior track records to judge a player? What then?In post 449, OnTheMark wrote:A person with a track record of being 100% right during that game, gets NK'd, flips town, should be given a lot more weight, regardless of their prior track history.- Bronya Zaychik
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Take a look again. Because of the very fact that mafia is a game of skill, all the more should track records apply. It's the same reasoning why you'd ask the class's Math genius for help on your math homework instead of the perennial failures: the Math genius has a track record of actually being good in a skill-based subject of expertise, and is therefore more trusted to be correct in a situation where the answers are unknown.In post 454, OnTheMark wrote:
It doesn't necessarily mean that the player is correct. However, gambler's fallacy in this case doesn't apply.In post 452, Bronya Zaychik wrote:
But a counterargument with that would be the gambler's fallacy: Just because a random player has 2 correct scumreads does not mean that he has the 3rd one correct; what if it's just luck? If a player who always uses an RNG to perform scumhunting somehow had 100% correct reads in a game, would you still trust his reads even after they're dead? With his track record, it'd be pretty easy to tell, but what if we're following your ideal of not using prior track records to judge a player? What then?In post 449, OnTheMark wrote:A person with a track record of being 100% right during that game, gets NK'd, flips town, should be given a lot more weight, regardless of their prior track history.
Mafia is not a game of luck, it's a game of skill. If mafia was a game of luck it would apply.
However since mafia is a game of skill and logic, the scientific theory applies. Meaning that you have a hypothesis:
Player X (who was NK'd) had good reads in this game.In fact, Player X hasn't been wrong yet. Until there is evidence that is presented to counter them being wrong, they should be listened to. The evidence has been presented that they are right. Evidence therefore needs to be presented that they are wrong before they quit being listened to.
The track records, are a separate matter. In general Player X could be good or atrocious. That's not relevant to this game. However if they are atrocious and are doing the same atrocious things then it WOULD be relevant. However, a track record ALONE is not enough. It has to be combined with a pattern of some evidence in this game. What the problem is that someone goes "Player X has a 75% win rate as town" therefore their reads are right and should be listened to. And that is the real gambler's fallacy as it's not based on any evidence in game.
If Player X was an entirely anonymous and random player with no track record, then, sure, the only thing that we can go off to judge his level of skill is purely by his performance in this one game. However, if he is a known jester with a track record of reads that are totally off the mark (pun not intended), then it would be foolish to listen to his reads regardless of his performance in any game, because there is concrete data that Player X is no more accurate than coinflips. There are consequences to making mistakes in this game; it isn't a science experiment (well, usually... I guess?) where we can make mistakes and move on -- there is an active penalty for getting "Evidence to prove them wrong". And, this brings to light another problem: What if Player X is Correct, Correct, Wrong, Correct on his reads? His final correct scumread would quit being listened to, just because he was Wrong once. Worse, Player X goes Wrong, Correct, Correct, Correct.
Your ideals presented effectively prioritize the order of correct reads instead of general accuracy, which would be a flaw that would be corrected if players take into account track records, which, appears to be the current system, so I'm happy with that. The only issue that I may see being presented is a misinterpretation of the track records, for example Player Y is overrated, and is actually worse at the game than advertised, but that's the fault of the enactment in that current situation rather than the system itself. So, I cannot agree with you here.- Bronya Zaychik
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I think a more reasonable situation to your conundrum is the fact that Player X was NK'd due to the exact reason that his reads were correct. It is the cause, not symptomatic. If Player X was Nightkilled because his reads are all Correct, then yes, it would be ideal for the rest of the players to follow the rest of Player X's reads, because that was the reason why he was killed in the first place.In post 454, OnTheMark wrote:Player X (who was NK'd) had good reads in this game.
But, if Player X is a known troll, he should never be listened to, and he will probably never be nightkilled regardless of his performance in any game, simply because his presence in the game is a liability and will likely help scum advance their wincon. Regardless of his performance in the game, it is evident from past data that his current accuracy in the current game is attributed to luck and nothing more; reducing the argument of the accuracy of his future reads to be nothing more than the gambler's fallacy itself.
I hope I solved that dissonance for you.- Bronya Zaychik
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EBWOP:
I think a more reasonablesolution*to your conundrum is the fact that Player X was NK'd due to the exact reason that his reads were correct. It is the cause, not symptomatic. If Player X was Nightkilled because his reads are all Correct, then yes, it would be ideal for the rest of the players to follow the rest of Player X's reads, because that was the reason why he was killed in the first place.
But, if Player X is a known troll, he should never be listened to, and he will probably never be nightkilled regardless of his performance in any game, simply because his presence in the game is a liability and will likely help scum advance their wincon. Regardless of his performance in the game, it is evident from past data that his current accuracy in the current game is attributed to luck and nothing more; reducing the argument of the accuracy of his future reads to be nothing more than the gambler's fallacy itself.
I hope I solved that dissonance for you.- Bronya Zaychik
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Who are you, and are you trying to beleaguer the glorious Chara avatar?
~kiana- Bronya Zaychik
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Be warned heretic, that if you make any attempt at blaspheming the holy Chara or her avatar, you will be in for a lot of pain.In post 463, Shining Dreamers wrote:In post 461, Bronya Zaychik wrote:Who are you, and are you trying to beleaguer the glorious Chara avatar?
~kiana
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You can have a cookie. Gluten free even.In post 502, OnTheMark wrote:
Om we agree. Can I have my puppy?In post 500, Bronya Zaychik wrote:This is far too early for VCA.
Let's let things develop. We need wagons with actual lynch threat.
~Titus- Bronya Zaychik
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Chara, you saying this is very worrying, especially when it does not seem that you are joking! I hope you are reaction testing! Because this makes me very worried, it is the most absurd thing I have ever heard! Town should always make their best efforts to lynch scum, especially on Day 1! Correlation is not equal to causation; the only reason why the town loses after lynching scum correctly Day 1 is because the town was bad, and they got lucky Day 1, that's all! The only time we should ever lynch town Day 1 is if RC is in the game, then we lynch RC because he will be scum MVP.In post 477, Chara wrote:historically, a scum lynch on day 1 is actually worse for town. sometimes, it can work out wonderfully despite that. but for the most part, i'd call it bad. Maki knows what i mean.
therefore, seeing as my role powers up on town deaths, and a day 1 scum lynch is bad for town, i propose we collectively agree to lynch town. i know it sounds silly, but it makes sense. i hate seeing town do well on the first day only to tank every other.
VOTE: Mark- Bronya Zaychik
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Oops. Sorry! I am not used to this! :<In post 472, Chara wrote:Kiana: it/its or they/them, please, especially if what you're doing is defending my honour. :>
Please forgive me!
<3- Bronya Zaychik
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Hi!In post 682, OnTheMark wrote:FYI it’s public info my main got outed since the micro finished.
I am MathBlade aka Roundabout on MU. I am alting to improve my play on MS and take some MU things that work here and because I wanna have an account separate the more I go on a life journey. Since it’s public knowledge on MU I don’t think it’s fair not to announce it here but I was hoping that micro would last a bit longer damn.
It turns out that I do recognize your name! But I don't know you personally! And neither you do, for me. So, it won't affect my ability to sort you as a "null entity"
Incidentally, before your main was revealed, I had to ask Titus to try to ID you because I wanted to know how strong you were, and if you were as powerful as you claimed; Titus plays on MU and DLP as well, so I figured she would be helpful with this. But, then, with some clues, I managed to guess that your identity anyway! Titus was still being mean and told me "I cannot confirm or deny" when I asked her if I was right... hmph!!
~Kiana- Bronya Zaychik
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This is where I 100% knew you were you btw. It's a unique brand on retort. Although I suspected when you first copped to being an alt + awkward sounding language.In post 674, OnTheMark wrote:
I love all subtlety.In post 667, Bronya Zaychik wrote:@On the Mark, we love all Creatures.- Bronya Zaychik
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Then why aren't you voting T and L?In post 700, Iconeum wrote:Hard-townreading OTM. His 1v1 with Tibor and Lumia, I believe it could be a TVS fight. I feel like T&L were trying to find all kinds of reaons to shade OTM, even trying to use activity as a scum indicator.
~Titus- Bronya Zaychik
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VOTE: Iconeum
Sure. I would have preferred you stayed on T and L a bit longer for VCA but this works well for pressure.
As for the other question, reask towards the end of d1. My hydra partner and I both think the game is moving too slow. I'd still use the same standards though atm.- Bronya Zaychik
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Yes.In post 717, Venmar wrote:can anyone with more meta comment on almost50's entry? am i the only one that feels like he's under-contributing than what i'd expect?- Bronya Zaychik
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To be clear, your position is no one should be able to read me town or scum?In post 741, Reasonably Rational wrote:
On what basis should you be townreading Titus? I can understand having a read one way or another on the other head, but not Titus, given the utter banality of their contributions so far.In post 740, Maid Cafe wrote:I also have this weird issue.
I should be town reading Titus but i am not.
~B
-Cerb
I am here now. Let's dance?- Bronya Zaychik
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Mine. I still have other engagements throughout the week.In post 744, Reasonably Rational wrote:
I think OTM already let it go when they saw nobody was actually buying into their case. As I said, I would have just let it lie myself but there are parts of that push that don't make sense for someone as familiar with me as they are to make.In post 742, Bronya Zaychik wrote:Mark, Please let this go. I don't want a devolve theory discussion.
Feel free to comeback later or cop them if you need to.
If you don't lynch RR today, they still lead to buddy lynches if scum. I also really don't want them to be scum as I really want a game where we work together.
~Titus
In other news.
How are you Titus? I haven't talked to you in forever. Your bday was yesterday ya, on Pi Day? Or was that the other head? How was it?
-Cerb- Bronya Zaychik
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He has not stood out to me so far.
Thoughts on Iconeum?
~Still Titus- Bronya Zaychik
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Their motivations. Why players act determines so much more than what. That is why when you hooded me in SU2 and reacted negatively to my steal I suspected you were scum. Not because of you hooding me but what you did when you got there. Once Farside was mathmatically town and scum had to use Math to avoid giving conftown power without outing, the possibilities for who was intellectually focused enough to be likely were narrowed dramatically. The fact we forced you to use your event was tbh your undoing although you thought it cleared you. I still can never lynch you as scum. It happens after my death.In post 759, Reasonably Rational wrote:Hey Titus, what do you think is the most important thing to know about a closed setup when it comes to solving the game, other than the alignments of the players?
-Cerb
Long diatribe aside certain players have certain skillsets. How they use those skills is indicative of alignment.
Relating this to me I will do a VCA if RL permits but my analysis of the VCs will reveal what I value. My values strongly suggest my alignment since I don't like losing anyone on my team as either alignment unless necessary or the boon is too great.
~Titus- Bronya Zaychik
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