Open 721: Pick Your Poison (Game Over)
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- northsidegal
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northsidegal Survivor
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HI, YOU ALL GOT APATHETIC NSG IN 1859
THIS GAME YOU GET LEFT SHIFT NSG- northsidegal
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btw i instantly asked to be on the replacement queue when i saw people voting mohab earlier in the game
go read newbie 1850 (linked on my wiki), come back and then read this game
i'm locktown- northsidegal
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sorry, what i meant to say was
I'M LOCKTOWN- northsidegal
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it's actually really annoying replacing mohab because he was one of my two locktowns just from what i skimmed, the other being ruru- northsidegal
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i think scioness might be scum, by the way
and this time the scumread is coming from an actual read and not oxy softing an innocent on scum throwing me off ( )- northsidegal
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it's not necessarily a scumread, just a "hmm, scioness doesn't look like her usual towny self here". looking back i've often found that those reads tend to be scum more than my actual scumreads, but they're the ones that i ignore the most often. (mutantdevle in tit for tat comes to mind). i don't want to make that same mistake this game.- northsidegal
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i have to sheep mith on the opinion that a vig "votecounter" seems like a worse idea than even just coming up with a collectively agreed upon pool.- northsidegal
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1130? no, probably not. if anything was a scum move meant to capitalize on my replace-in it'd be math reconsidering his scioness read.In post 1153, ruru wrote:NSG do you think 1130 could be designed specifically to make a first impression on you?- northsidegal
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In post 27, callforjudgement wrote:A simple way to see how having the vig is better is that instead of not vigging, you can just get town to vote on the vig kill. That makes it more or less equivalent to a lynch (except that if the vig themself is voted as the vig target, they can shoot someone else, thus giving town a bit more of an edge).In post 28, mith wrote:Yeah, that's another good way of looking at it (though that plan is actually demonstrably worse than letting the Vig make the decision randomly, if it's followed strictly; it tells Mafia who is likely to be killed, so they can kill someone else and avoid doubling up on a townie, and it also tells Mafia who the Vig is as soon as they don't die).
(If I weren't so busy, I'd put something together to calculate the EV of that. Actually might be an interesting setup to run, just having that as a weakened Vig role.)- northsidegal
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yeah i haven't read the game, i was just speaking from what little i knew of what your read what before apparently and you apparently switching it nowIn post 1157, Mathdino wrote:
NSG i literally said this earlier in the game lolIn post 305, Mathdino wrote:i'm unprepared to read scioness without understanding the difference between her towngame and her scumgame
my northside pal was able to identify the difference easily, so clearly there IS something, it's just not within my range right now to see it
that said her recent posting wasn't scummy so she's not currently my top scumspect- northsidegal
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do sunshine and uglyduck know each other?- northsidegal
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i just got that feeling from this post, although reading it a bit more closely there's not really any implication that would suggest that there.In post 1175, Sunshine13 wrote:UD is n00b town, please no lynch.
Well, I will accept possibly really bad scum, but with two friends likely guiding 'em, unlikely.
I'm saying that while being 20 pages back andstillpissed off with them, though.
You guys post a lot.- northsidegal
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okay, reading through the thread from the start now.- northsidegal
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are you meIn post 50, Sunshine13 wrote:
/lurkIn post 46, Mathdino wrote:I would feel bad about pushing scioness with maximum Mathdino weight on d1 off of 1 post
I would otherwise sheep you, as I agree the post is more scum indicative than null
Waiting til everyone checks in
I'm not seeing how the post is more scum indicative than not. In fact, I would be inclined to suggest it's more town indicative than anything else.
[not quite related to things]
Also, are there any procedural things I should know about regarding voting around the hammer point? L-1, L-2, that kinda dealio?
[/not quite related to things]- northsidegal
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preliminary:
{nsg}
{ruru}
{sunshine13, skitter13}
{AP, Mathdino, the worst, UglyDuck, Oxy, pinturicchio, ofrhz}
{}
{scioness, draynth}- northsidegal
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i feel like math describing his plan if he rolled scum in 90 only comes from scum him if he rolled scum with people who disagreed with the plan and so discarded it. of course, there's always the chance that he simply came up with another plan to actually use as scum and just said the other one, but that seems slightly unlikely. enough for me to at least move him up from null.
{nsg}
{ruru}
{sunshine13, skitter13}
{Mathdino}
{AP, the worst, UglyDuck, Oxy, pinturicchio, ofrhz}
{}
{scioness, draynth}- northsidegal
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i remember that ihadsome next level tell for reading pintu, but i don't actually remember what it was...- northsidegal
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{nsg}
{ruru}
{sunshine13, skitter13}
{Mathdino, AP}
{the worst, UglyDuck, Oxy, pinturicchio, ofrhz}
{}
{scioness, draynth}- northsidegal
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perhaps?
{nsg}
{ruru}
{sunshine13, skitter13}
{Mathdino, AP, Oxy}
{UglyDuck, , pinturicchio, ofrhz}
{the worst}
{scioness, draynth}- northsidegal
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it's just that a lot of his early game posting from what i read was kind of fluffing. yeah, everyone was fluffing, but the way he did it seemed to be kind of dodging having to play the game whereas other people had started playing the game at that stage.In post 1207, ruru wrote:
What do you find scummy about TW?In post 1199, northsidegal wrote:perhaps?
{nsg}
{ruru}
{sunshine13, skitter13}
{Mathdino, AP, Oxy}
{UglyDuck, , pinturicchio, ofrhz}
{the worst}
{scioness, draynth}- northsidegal
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In post 1429, the worst wrote:In my understanding NSG is one of the best town players around atm- northsidegal
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@math, can i have a votecount
i ask you because i expect that sometime during this game you setup the auto vc- northsidegal
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i would assume that if oxy were to be being wagoned here it would be from a difference between his towngame in 1859 and his play here, but when i look at that votecount skitter is the only one who was in that game.
someone provide a shorthand of scum!oxy for me?
that scioness wagon looks enticing for my vote (in terms of the people on there), but then again so does the draynth wagon to me.- northsidegal
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nothing pinged me about it upon a reading.In post 1583, skitter30 wrote:@nsg: what do you think of math's read on you?
i'm kind of deliberately taking it slow here, full LEFT SHIFT should come out after some flips so i can see if i'm on the right track or desperately need to re-evaluate.In post 1584, Mathdino wrote:i would have more of a read if NSG actually decided to post
tinfoil theory is that NSG is purposefully not posting in this game for exactly that reason
i expect to die tonight.- northsidegal
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zzz can't respond in depth right nowIn post 1589, Mathdino wrote:i'm sufficiently annoyed with NSG's play so far
VOTE: NSG
NSG if i die scumreading you, you get lynched 90% of the time
post some content please
you've posted a reads list and not actually taken any stances or given reasons for shit- northsidegal
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I feel like my stances are pretty clear from my readslist. If you want reasons for something, just ask?In post 1589, Mathdino wrote:i'm sufficiently annoyed with NSG's play so far
VOTE: NSG
NSG if i die scumreading you, you get lynched 90% of the time
post some content please
you've posted a reads list and not actually taken any stances or given reasons for shit- northsidegal
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Draynth had a horrible opening (even this was enough for me to vote him), really poorly developed reads (not a comment on skill or anything, comment on apparent depth) and nothing changed that for me reading his iso.
Scioness is a meta / tone / soul read. I'm concerned the vla may be throwing that off on that which is why I'm still voting draynth, but I still think she's scum. I hope to reach a point in reading scioness similar to where rc was in reading me after my first newbie games and games after that. I'm not sure if i'm on that level yet, but I think I have perhaps a better position than anyone else for reading her, perhaps only mitigated by me replacing in instead of starting.- northsidegal
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"On my sheet"?In post 1597, the worst wrote:on my sheet so far his math-interactions are nearly as much as everyone else combined
this comes from a place of admiration & buddying, not SvS- northsidegal
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i really just think draynth is much more likely to be scum than oxy. i feel like it's a cogito ergo sum situation here (math might be the only one who gets this). draynth is a silently scummy person with underdeveloped reads and a scummy vote on oxy. i'll try to quote some stuff to better show what i mean.- northsidegal
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I'll be taking all of these from newbie 1858, medical mafia.
Here Draynth says that he has just a gut read that he can't really explain. I think this kind of unexplainable feeling is something that comes from town more often than scum. I control+f-ed "feel" and "gut" in Draynth's ISO in this game. There were no uses of "gut" and only two uses of "feel" that followed the "instinctual" definition, both in 401. There were more (about 8?) uses in the other game, but perhaps it's not a fair comparison given the time differences.In post 92, Draynth wrote:
Gut, mostly.In post 89, schadd_ wrote:
is there anything in particular that you can point to for thisIn post 68, Draynth wrote:VOTE: Unvote
We're moving out of RVS, and Rei feels like newbTown to me right now
Obviously that's pretty useless for all of you so I'll try to solidify my gut feeling into something tangible
What I do think is a fair comparison is how, as compared in the other game when he was fine just calling something a gut read, this game (as others have noted) he's come up with just any sort of reasining at all to describe his reads. I think the "mentioning every slot even if you don't have much to say about any one person" is a scumtell (and one that caught pintu back in Open 714), and that would be even without the reasoning point.- northsidegal
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In post 314, Draynth wrote:
Just realised I find the wording of this readslist kinda strangeIn post 305, schadd_ wrote:
draynth just doesn't have anything that makes me think town. he doesn't seem to have much of a hierarchy in reads and he's doing a lot of agreeingIn post 219, ejjinami wrote:
can you elaborate about dra, rei and soul? What makes you susp them?In post 209, schadd_ wrote:town: 2c, ejji, espeon
not as town: shattiel, notmaf
more not as town: draynth, rei, soulshade
townlist is the only one that i really put credence into
rei is also just a lot of words and nothing that particularly makes me think town. i didn't like the push on 2c, 41/62, she seemed too shook for the subject matter in a way that seemed fake
ss i talked about
If myself, rei and soul are all being suspected why are we listed as 'more not as town' rather than 'slightly scummy' or whatever else
It's as if schadd doesn't want to step on any toes by calling people out as scum. Am I being too paranoid here?
I think draynth showed obvious examples of doubt and uncertainty in his reads last game. After having reviewed his ISO here a few times, i don't think i saw a single expression of non-confidence or uncertainty. The opposite, in fact.In post 320, Draynth wrote:
I'm not sure what I think right nowIn post 317, ejjinami wrote: can you write what do you think about shadd?
On the one hand the way he tiptoed around calling people scum is suspicious to me, his follow up post reacting to my point is along the same vein so It could just be a playstyle thing.
I'll ISO schadd now and get some more in depth thoughts
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this is kind of a tinfoil point, but one i think is still worth mentioning.In post 393, Draynth wrote:Are you going to explain this or are you just happy to try get a free mislynch
In post 404, Draynth wrote:Strongly dislike the random no reasoning schadd vote
this was draynth's reaction to getting pretty much naked voted by schadd in 1858. it wasn't even to L-1 or anything, it was just to put him at 2 votes when 9 were alive.In post 405, Draynth wrote:Schadd also started talking about how he didn't think I was town at a similar time to when ejj started scumreading me. He has had little to no actual content outside of this.
I'd be happy with a wagon on him
VOTE: Schadd
This game, he had pretty much a non reaction to my entering in, typing VOTE: DRAYNTH, putting him at the bottom of my readslist, and then multiple other people also putting him at the bottom of his readslist. He didn't ask my for any explanation. I don't think he asked anyone for an explanation. I think the only thing that could be called close to that was him not liking people considering the constant catch-up to be a scumtell.In post 1448, Draynth wrote:I also laughed at this
Wait whatIn post 1177, Sunshine13 wrote:Also reading mohab/nsg as town for completely nai reasons, leaving me 10 people to sort. yay.In post 1206, ofrhz wrote:Him saying he will go read some cases but not doing so feels like stalling
Not voting Oxy despite the “Oxy sounds forced” narrative he’s pushing
I mean, he could be lazy town... or he could be lazy scum. He’s null at best
These are just two posts that I quoted while reading, there were more.In post 1423, Mathdino wrote:DOES ANYONE ELSE THINK PROMISING THINGS AND NOT DELIVERING IS A SCUMTELL
Basically everyone seems convinced that me saying I'd try to read a game to come up with meta reads and then not doing it is scummy.
A) I've already expressed that I dislike using meta personally. That doesnt excuse myself from not doing what I said I'd do mind.
B) I'm busy
C) If y'all are so obsessed with meta then why the hell have none of you done a meta check on me?
Seriously, people keep using a blanket excuse of it's old, etc. but wouldn't this solve most of the issues that people have with believing I'm town?
Like I'm happy to link games of both alignments if people aren't arsed looking through past topics.
I just find it hilarious how many people here are reading people based on meta, then refusing to do the same for me even though the biggest reason for scumreading me can easily be seen as a NAI trait in my previous games (I have a history of being super lazy when I shouldn't be).
I'm not trying to say that me doing this is a good thing, it routinely leads to me shooting myself in my foot, but it's a fact nonetheless.
Townie indignation at someone not recognizing that he's obviously town vs scum realizing that people are actually right? Like i said, kind of tinfoil, but still something worth drawing attention to, i think.- northsidegal
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where has the confidence come from?In post 1650, pinturicchio wrote:I have a game for you, answer this question:
Why is Oxy still alive?
a) He is scum, scum is stagnating his lynch
b) He is scum, Draynth is the counterwagon
c) He is scum and Dino is his partner
d) All of the above- northsidegal
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read on draynth? you haven't mentioned him once.- northsidegal
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do you believe players who you have little to say about or who just seem to be silently skating by are more likely to be town or scum? random statistics would suggest town - in my experience, i've actually found that it's scum.- northsidegal
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Never once have I said that him promising content and not delivering or him just being not active in general makes him scum.In post 1664, skitter30 wrote:I'm kinda getting cold feet wrt the oxy wagon.
I guess I dislike the draynth wagon less right now though?
But I don't really think that a lack of content/flaking is AI for him; nor is promising content and not following through. A quick meta-dive shows him flaking/replacing out of towngames.
And, like, this isn't for draynthIn post 1423, Mathdino wrote:DOES ANYONE ELSE THINK PROMISING THINGS AND NOT DELIVERING IS A SCUMTELL
#NOBAMBOOZLE
He got lynched as town day4 in the Newbie 1858; repped out after a week of low content as town in open 692 (made some of those 'I'm reading now, sorry for the inactivity' posts without following through ); did the same in Newbie 1822 as town; got nk'd n1 in newbie 1820; got nk'd n1 in newbie 1817 (his ISO looks fairly active and contributing here); got lynched day4 in lylo as town in newbie 1811 (shared some self-meta here, and was fairly involved and contributing); jumped to scum!draynth in newbie 1803 cuz I got bored - had a few of the 'sorry for inactivity posts', was fairly active otherwise, was present but his content looked kinda empty; looking at some older games he got replaced by the mod for inactivity as town without asking to be replaced.
Like I just don't know if the lack of content is AI for him.
And a metadive indicates that the above *isn't* a scumtell for him; it's an 'I'm busy in real-life' tell and not AI.
And like from *Math* to push that without checking is pretty gross and lazy.
VOTE: Math- northsidegal
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i resent this.In post 1699, Mathdino wrote:
welcome to NSG casesIn post 1697, the worst wrote:Yeah I'm tearing my hair out on EOD Skitter. On one hand voting you like that struck me as ridiculous from scum!skitter but otoh it felt like she hadnt read everything properly...?
It was definitely an NSG case
I don't think I'm actually convinced by it, felt very much like fitting evidence to a theory rather than vice versa
Math how would you feel if I said I think one of you and skitter is scum and I have no idea currently which one it is
i would say you have about a 60% chance of being wrong because skitter is only about 40% scum to me- northsidegal
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perhaps instead of simply calling my case bad, you could explain where you disagree or where what i said doesn't seem valid to you.- northsidegal
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cases are scummy
On a serious note, while i appreciate the humor, that's not actually a response.- northsidegal
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I'm not asking you to comment on my alignment. I'm asking you to justify your belief in the validity of my case.- northsidegal
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i'm not really convinced that oxy is scum, if that's what you're asking.
the scioness wagon seems nonexistant to me looking at the latest votecount, so i'm inclined to say no?- northsidegal
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Hm. With draynth and scioness being unlikely lynches today, that kind of leaves me without a lot of direction.
Here's an idea.
VOTE: pintu- northsidegal
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i thought thisIn post 2041, Mathdino wrote:did you think AP was a PR and now think that he's significantly less likely to be a PR due to 2 PR claims- northsidegal
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not forgiving you if pintu is scum mathIn post 2048, pinturicchio wrote:skitter and Dino cooperating? What a plot twist amirite or amirite fellas? I'll give 100% credit to my Haiku.
Yo Ho, Yo Ho, a tinfoil's hat for me! Uglyduck and Sunshine are scum together, don't know who the last one is!
i guess we can call it even for 1859
(even though i came around to scumreading him as the game was winding down)- northsidegal
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not hugely for that post specifically
just in general, and that was an opportunity for me to mention that thought i had to math- northsidegal
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as long as we're desperately searching for compromise wagons, i think UD is a better one than most.
VOTE: uglyduck- northsidegal
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It seems the most likely to me that a jailkeeper exists and that draynth is scum.- northsidegal
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No? I'm not sure where you get that assumption from at all.In post 2240, Oxy wrote:@nsg @skitter
This theory assumes that the jk targeted draynth, right?
And in doing so, the jk must have believed draynth was scum, otherwise they were trying to stop vig!Draynth or 1shotcop! Draynth from using their role?- northsidegal
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Explain?In post 2244, Sunshine13 wrote:If there’s a jk, it would probably mean there were no scum on math’s wagon as to avoid him outing himself.
I think it may have been suggested last time I was scum in a pick your poison game, don't really remember.Contextually appropriate play would be to protect math, meaning scum would be looking for the jk. You have a 1 in 3 chance of blocking the kill, versus a guarantee of protecting town.
Would scum be silly enough to put an IC and a jk in the game though?- northsidegal
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Yeah nevermind don't bother explaining you already realized. Never do gamma-style catchups kids.- northsidegal
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I think i've been mislynched maybe once this entire year. if that's their plan, it's not going to work out.In post 2257, pinturicchio wrote:I'm more convinced about the idea of living Dino alive because he wasn't townreading NSG, implying that they want to mislynch NSG today- northsidegal
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northsidegal Survivor
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- Joined: August 23, 2017
I mean, draynth is scum, right?
Like, why isn't he dead.- northsidegal
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northsidegal Survivor
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- Joined: August 23, 2017
I think it's far more likely that the reason scum didn't kill math is because a jailkeeper exists in the setup rather than that he doesn't have good reads, unless math is very, very deep within scum's pockets. - northsidegal
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