Open 721: Pick Your Poison (Game Over)
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- ruru
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ruru Mafia Scum
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I take my gambler's fallacies very seriously, so probably 10/10In post 27, the worst wrote:
on a scale of 1 to 10 how serious is this post?In post 26, ruru wrote:ofrhz is it you? You should know it's not me because I was scum last game- ruru
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Does it involve town voting on either a player to shoot or no shot and having the majority voted player claim?In post 94, Mathdino wrote:i also have a system for making sure vigs don't shoot PRs (they seem to do this a lot) but we'll talk about that more down the line
Vig feels super powerful to me. If town does it that way, it's like having 2 extra days to VCA / lynch scum
Vaguely similar to a 2-shot doc/JK that never guesses wrong, except the doc doesn't get extra information about who scum tried to NK, and the shot has to be decided without seeing the day's flip, and you don't get an extra day of investigative results (not super relevant in this setup I guess)?
I feel like I wouldn't want to give town vig if I were scum. I was trying to break the setup and I thought scum would pick either
IC+cop+tracker (based on power levels alone, but now scum have to claim JK)
IC+cop+JK (claim tracker, try to lynch JK claims)
IC+tracker+JK (claim cop, try to lynch JK claims)
Unlike JK, giving town a vig doesn't let you try to lynch the vig.
The other choices seemed less useful to me because they give town more objective power without adding to the fake claim space.
I came up with some strategy to reduce scum's claim space based on IC claiming D1. If IC gets shot, lynch all JK claims. Otherwise, there's a confirmed town that probably lives until JK dies. I'm not sure if it even makes sense though. I don't have a good understanding of how bad it is to out IC, and how bad it is for JK to be somewhat afraid to jail people other than the IC- ruru
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brassherald: My vote is currently on Mohab500
Fixed.Last edited by brassherald on Sat Apr 21, 2018 2:56 am, edited 1 time in total.- ruru
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I don't feel like that post should really change your thinking I guess? Hard question honestly...In post 102, AP wrote:
Do you think you thinking that should make me more or less likely to think the same?In post 25, ruru wrote:I'm thinking there's at least one scum in {ofrhz, Sunshine13} unless one of them gets an avatar
Do you think I should think that me thinking that should make you more or less likely to think the same?- ruru
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If I project confidence in this one, I'm faking it too, just as town this time!In post 59, skitter30 wrote:Remember how I kept on going about how nervous-awkward you were last game? And like you felt kinda distached from the gamestate? And like very passive and very careful? You don't really feel like that here, so townpoints. Oxy gets townpoints too for picking up on this here too.
I'm also always super awkward with people I haven't met before which was everyone last game- ruru
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Hi, I'm an actual newbie. This is my second game ever unless you count two IRL games where I got lynched D1 in 5 minutes. I read a bunch of games on another forum that got me re-interested in the gameIn post 205, the worst wrote:@RURU
tell me a bit about yourself?
where do you hail from mafia wise?
how would you describe your playstyle in say 100 words or less?
I guess I would be a mechanical player moreso than a reads player or a charismatic leader? I like to think about probabilities and nash equilibria and such. But, I'm not a very good mechanical player as evidenced by my first game here where I, umm, made a fake claim that solved the game for town as scum.- ruru
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What does this make skitter?In post 164, Mohab500 wrote:Scum to town
Theworst
Skitter
Sunshine, mathidino, ofrhz
Everybody else is null- ruru
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I agree SS's entrance was a little bit weird but I think this is weirderIn post 267, Mathdino wrote:anyway i didn't vote you because i didn't feel like pressure would make you more readable
and also i felt bad
I used this same excuse when I was scum. I think it's a little bit true but I think a town player would try anyway
And I think town!dino plays to win 100%, so the other reason is a bit fishy to me too
VOTE: Mathdino- ruru
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I can't imagine what SS looks like when she's about to get bussed but I actually feel like I would want to avoid that risk as scum due to her tendency to produce a lot of textIn post 287, Oxy wrote:Pretty decent shot scum!dino pushes that wagon on both town!Sajj and scum!Sajj- ruru
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Probably at least 50% thisIn post 34, ofrhz wrote:i'm so cute now- ruru
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In post 308, Sunshine13 wrote:I mean if we can’t take your townread seriously, why should we take your votes seriously?- ruru
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I have to afk soonish but
This seems like the worst reason to tr MdIn post 401, Draynth wrote: MathDino - I like his reasoning for scumreading TW, seems to be thinking about the game in a logical fashion.
Also seems like the worst reason to tr youofrhz - The structured approach to breaking down cases and stuff feels super townie (See 386)
Huh? Like most of his posts have been super agreeable or explaining what other people saidOxy - I find myself agreeing with a lot of what he's saying here
xdruru - seems pretty genuine
I don't think it's actually scum-indicative at all for now, more baity than scummyScum
Mohab500 - Lot of posting, lot of fluff.
If I had to fake a readslist I would put Mohab as scum- ruru
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I'm still curious to hear your full reasoning hereIn post 387, pinturicchio wrote:Guys, I got the first freshly baked tinfoil hat theory just for you: scum!Dino and scum!the worst. Enemies of the heir ... beware.- ruru
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Why do you find this town-indicative for him?In post 501, ofrhz wrote:- I see Oxy has toned down the LAMIST the game. town++ lmao- ruru
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Yeah it's pro-town if he's town but that's not exactly the same thing as town-indicative
I guess I'm wondering who is more likely to tone down the LAMIST, town!oxy or scum!oxy? I'm inclined to believe self-awareness is more scummy than towny and that "writes a post and then deletes it because it felt too awkward" is like a scum trait, having done this like 500 times myself last game
Like he was even a PR last game and still LAMISTed like every other post- ruru
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I think I'm one of those players too but I still did itIn post 517, Mathdino wrote:some players rewrite their posts over and over by default thoughmoreas scum- ruru
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Also I kind of want to hear actual reads/analysis because a lot of your posts haven't been too game-relatedIn post 531, ruru wrote:This is a clear departure from your original stance on ducks, pin
?????In post 533, Mathdino wrote:the rest of the newbies from 1859 would probably stay out of my way as scum (also partially why oxy is likely town. scum-him should be buddying me about now since i'm hard townreading him)
In post 388, Oxy wrote:Mathdino is obv!townIn post 335, Oxy wrote:truuuuuuueIn post 93, Oxy wrote:I like your style =)In post 88, Oxy wrote:I would love to hear your plan, Dino =)- ruru
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Well, 7 players from this game were in it, so it might help you form better readsIn post 557, UglyDuck wrote:no. Is it really worth my time? I mean I will if I have to, but if it sucks I am gonna be pissed lol
Can you give us your wall on why Md is town? I think I'm most interested in that atm- ruru
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Why isn't UD in your acceptable D1 lynches?In post 564, AP wrote:Acceptable D1 lynches: the worst/ruru
Acceptable N1 Vig shots: UglyDick/Pintu/skitter (in that order.. I think)- ruru
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Are you willing to be lynched if I flip green?In post 587, AP wrote:
Because I'm not SURE he's scum, so I would rather lynch my confident SRs and let the Vig take care of the shaky ones. (and of course, being ugly it's not that hard to see where I'm coming from)In post 578, ruru wrote:
Why isn't UD in your acceptable D1 lynches?In post 564, AP wrote:Acceptable D1 lynches: the worst/ruru
Acceptable N1 Vig shots: UglyDick/Pintu/skitter (in that order.. I think)- ruru
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Well, he put a very lynchable player in the vig shots and the less lynchable players in the "sure" categoryIn post 602, the worst wrote:What the actual fuck ruru
AP's reads are terrible and slightly funny, pretend it's not there
I want to know if he's really sure- ruru
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Apologies if I'm actually gamethrowing? ButIn post 612, the worst wrote:
In a lot of detail, explain to me why you came to the conclusion that self voting was smartIn post 607, ruru wrote:
Well, he put a very lynchable player in the vig shots and the less lynchable players in the "sure" categoryIn post 602, the worst wrote:What the actual fuck ruru
AP's reads are terrible and slightly funny, pretend it's not there
I want to know if he's really sure
1. Something about AP's categories pings me, and his explanation involves me surely being scum
2. I suspect he does not actually want to lynch me or TW
3. I look to test my hypothesis- ruru
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But you haven't really explained why you're sure of me+TWIn post 611, AP wrote:OK.. I'll leave now and come back tomorrow. If nobody wants to listen then I'll yield and go back to role-playing and sheeping Mathdino.
And now I feel like you're avoiding actually playing the game- ruru
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But why are you sure of me+TW?In post 631, AP wrote:
I'm going to sheep Dino for ease of mind, not because I think his reads are any better than mine.In post 614, pinturicchio wrote:
If you're sheeping Dino, why are you voting for one of his locktowns? Or why are you even scumreading one of his locktowns?In post 611, AP wrote:OK.. I'll leave now and come back tomorrow. If nobody wants to listen then I'll yield and go back to role-playing and sheeping Mathdino.
There can only be one town leader, and I only offer my hand once. (How do you go from Austin Powers to Gladiator??)
And ftr, I don't think ruru voting herself makes her likely to be town. In fact, she's just admitted she was playing chicken with me to see if I will go all the way with my push. Think about it: Scum wanting to appear daring and not afraid of getting lynched.. or Ton who decided it was a good idea to get mislynched on D1 and possibly get another Townie miclynched on D2? Because, having never played with me before she can never be sure of my alignment from the playstyle or reads I have provided. Think, and let me know what you decide.- ruru
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In post 629, ruru wrote:But you haven't really explained why you're sure of me+TW
And now I feel like you're avoiding actually playing the gameIn post 629, ruru wrote:But you haven't really explained why you're sure of me+TW
And now I feel like you're avoiding actually playing the gameIn post 629, ruru wrote:But you haven't really explained why you're sure of me+TW
And now I feel like you're avoiding actually playing the gameIn post 629, ruru wrote:But you haven't really explained why you're sure of me+TW
And now I feel like you're avoiding actually playing the game- ruru
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Why would you ever think UD is scum then?In post 641, AP wrote:Ok.. TW was being lol.wagonned on page one, and you came in with your 17 titally ignoring the wagon and trying to divert attention elsewhere. (yet you only saw "one duck" when TW's name didn't even have the word "duck" in it. How could you have possibly missed UglyDUCK was in the game? This is part of why I'm skeptical about him being your 3rd, btw)- ruru
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Wait did you actually read the iso of me+TW that you told others to read?In post 655, AP wrote:it looks like the two have played together before
???It also doesn't explain why HE would interrupt her wagoning. I could see scum.her seeing a wagon being built on a townie and deciding to avoid it, but I don't see why town.TW would interrupt a wagon (and a relatively small one, mind you) on ruru.
Like, you're coming up with these things now, but that's like retconning because before you were seriously proposing ruru+TW+UD.
I really want to know why you, in the past, thought ruru+TW+UD was more likely than ruru+TW+not UD- ruru
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In post 666, ruru wrote:I really want to know why you, in the past, thought ruru+TW+UD was more likely than ruru+TW+not UD- ruru
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What do you think about the rest of his posts?In post 683, skitter30 wrote:-> If ruru is town, AP is very, very, very likely town as well. Or, more accurately, I don't think scum!AP posts 594 knowing that town!ruru flips green.- ruru
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Can you summarize the differences because of everyone from 1859 he kinda feels most similar to meIn post 690, Mathdino wrote:and because multiple people have noted that he's different from 1859- ruru
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@UD
In post 574, ruru wrote:
Well, 7 players from this game were in it, so it might help you form better readsIn post 557, UglyDuck wrote:no. Is it really worth my time? I mean I will if I have to, but if it sucks I am gonna be pissed lol
Can you give us your wall on why Md is town? I think I'm most interested in that atm- ruru
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Okay so AP
0. Is an experienced player, as evidenced by 641 (knows the reputation of another player, TW) and the fact that he was bored enough on his main account to make an alt
1. Somehow comes to the conclusion of ruru+TW+UD
2. Votes for TW/ruru as lynches and UD as a vig shot when there's an actual lynch wagon on UD, and TW and I are harder to lynch (also if there's no vig, scum know it and have way less responsibility for their vig votes)
3. When put on the spot, claims he was "less sure" of UD for a reason that should honestly make UD 95% town rather than "less sure scum" if TW+ruru are scum. c.f. I picked up on 524 and I'm new and terrible at this game
4. Evades my questions and none of the above has actually been explained
Is this not super scummy to anyone else like why are we duckhunting?????- ruru
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Okay never mind actually
Ugh I feel like I really need input from skitter and SS
PE: SS confused you and TW, which is unlikely to happen naturally if there is scumteam with SS + a duck. So I'm like 80% ready to rule out SS+you and SS+TW and this is one of the reasons I think all three of you are not so good lynches today - ruru
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