micro 69 thinkthread (COMPLETE) (IT WAS MICRO 840)

[Nibbui]

hmmm...

ok, I appreciate the fact I was nightkilled to be honest but it's sad that I couldn't lynch mafia even though my remaining PoE is basically the scum team...

[Nibbui]

I wonder if I should have towncased podoboq harder?

I didn't want to tell exactly how I read him (I mean, I spent 6 hours coming up with a metric on him and it was hard) but It'll be lame if he is lynched before Mastina/Sheep.

I can understand a lolwagons lynch but afterwards it needs to be Mastina/Sheep.

Pink Ball carry on justice, I trust you.

[Nibbui]

Hello duck

Yeah.

we were this close.

I even said before you getting to L-1 that my prefered lynch order was "Mastina > Sheep > You" but...

When you got to L-1 I just wanted do end the day and I wasn't town reading you...

I need to learn how to read you I guess. Really. (I'll start working on it)

It was fun solving the game with you too, let's hope next time we roll t/t again

I'm afraid that they aren't lynching sheep after Mastina though. Skitter seems to have take the town leader role and she doesn't seem enthusiastic in town reading [Pink, Podoboq, Meph]. Her position is understandable however, Pink is tricky as scum, Podo has been kind of lurking now and Meph needs to be read by a different metric than most players.

I hope Pink Ball and her jam it together, lolwagons seems to be coming around Mastina/Sheep as well.

[Nibbui]

I missed NSG in the game though (but I understand her replacing out and I know now I shouldn't have tried to read it deeper)

[Nibbui]

Also Slaxx. Good rap.

Too bad I'm not there for a rap battle, but good rhymes yes.

[Nibbui]

Yeah I'm testing out them

I think I'll settle on this one though

[Nibbui]

I hope Nibbui is smiling down on this thread with pride.

I am

I like that you are coming around Sheep/Mastina as well

You might be getting the Mastina tracker thing wrong though

It's not that Mastina was the less "likely" to get caught in my opinion. It is just that she knew that she very probably would be the next day lynch if she didn't claim something good, therefore Mastina made up this claim of half-truths to justify a possible tracker on her + try some WIFOM.

However, she was the one to make the kill also, in my opinion, to protect her partner of getting tracked because in the long-term view, he is the unique hope of the scum team (since her slot is in very bad waters) and if a guilty on him showed up, it was basically game over to mafia.

I can be wrong maybe though.

[Nibbui]

Mastina basically already seems to have suceeded on something with her claim:

Get out of the PoE lock that seemed to exist by the end of day 1 and give a leeway to Sheep.

I hope it doesn't work that effectively though. Let's see.

[Nibbui]

Yeah, 2/3 isn't bad for day 1 I guess

[Nibbui]

Pretty sure this is a town win?

tonight they need to kill either Meph or Pink and the lynch is probably Mastina

if they kill Pink, Meph slot will be alive in day 3, and even if the lynch isn't Sheep there, I think that 9 out of 10 times they vig sheep in n3

if they kill Meph tonight, Pink will be alive in day 3 and I doubt he'll not go for sheep there and I trust that he can leader town. Even if by any chance skitter goes after Pink or podoboq for some reason, in day 4 I trust they'll go for sheep.

so yeah...just quicklynch, end the game and let us read scum chat I guess

I'll be astonished if Mastina or Sheep can talk themselves out of this

[Nibbui]

I think that Pink and Meph are also more mislynchable than we think now that skitter has so much presence but...

Meph claims n3 vig and I think that they don't lynch her? I mean, scum doesn't have vig shots in a micro so you just wait until day 4 and if she vigs it's conftown.

Pink I don't know, really, but I imagine that sheep will look more attractive to everyone than Pink after Mastina flip.

Podoboq I don't know, it can end up happening but after Mastina flip they might just go "hmmm" and vote sheep.

[Nibbui]

wanna kno a secret

tell us

[Nibbui]

wait I actually misinterpreted stuff

I'm not sure how the setup works and it seems that Meph isn't a n3 vig right now but rather an investigative role

scum can still turn this around imo.

[Nibbui]

everytime I hear someone saying that d1 is useless I'll link this game to prove they wrong I guess

day 1 was really productive here and there was plenty of substantial discussion that resulted in a good PoE

[Nibbui]

I particularly like the comeback on sheep read.

He was getting town read in the begin but afterwards we just looked again and said:

"wait, he is not so town like that?"

and we all nodded to each other and did put him in the PoE

[Nibbui]

Sheep will probably try to claim vig to smooth the guilty.

Let's see how it'll work out.

[Nibbui]

am I the only one that is finding amusing the fact that power roles, that actually are made to benefit town, are getting in their way?

If there was no power role sheep very probably would be today lynch.

Quite interesting.

[Nibbui]

I particularly think that there was a chance for sheep to possibly really turn around this game but I'm not sure he did it as efficiently as it could be.

It wouldn't have been a bad idea to engage with Meph guilty basing himself on the explanation that he had received a "evil gun" and that the lack of scum PRs was due to the fact that town PRs sometimes could do more bad than good like it was doing right now with Meph's guilty on him and the suspicious on Meph.

He could even say that this all was orchestrated by Mastina, and that the fact that Meph received the cop was exactly to afterwards give the evil gun to Sheep as a false positive and to line up two mecanical mislynches. And the fact that Skitter received the Bulletproof IC was to make her a town leader that could mislynch Meph since she was the only one that didn't completely buy Meph being town before.

and he could put all the blame of it on Pink Ball right now tbh, because not only Skitter is suspicious of Pink right now as well, Pink had been going for a Mastina/Sheep from the start (what points out to it being orchestrated), however in the end of day would have sidetracked for tw to make Mastina give one of the gifts at night (since two gifts were given when it had 2 scum alive, and only one now that has 1 scum alive, it would kind of glue together).

I would find it quite belieavable if he had said this, especially before Meph lynch. If he comes up with that in day 4 it'll look more like an excuse to not be lynched than a actual game solve but maybe worth a try?

Let's see how day 4 plays out.

[Nibbui]

Like, he could WIFOM a lot by saying

"why would I ever give you a cop check when you were very suspicious of me since day 1 Nancy?"

Because it's indeed weird.

[Nibbui]

Then he would do his explanation, town probably would still tunnel Meph since the conflict became personal and they would probably have a lot of bias (especially since they seem to dislike AtE), and he would look a lot better on day 4 after Meph was mislynched?

Actually, I'm confident that if he had done that, at minimum, town would be more indecisive on who to lynch in day 4.

[Nibbui]

I'm ok if skitter ends up voting podoboq, I can understand her.

I don't think she will though, her posts so far have been leaning quite strongly to sheep?

Also, mastbinab, this morning duck and I had a telepathy chat about the game and I can say for sure that he hasn't any psychic powers whatsoever.