Mini 2059: Secrets of the Anuket Topaz [Over]
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Hi! Reading up 150 pages right now.In post 3833, Chara wrote:welcome Tohru. sorry to see you go, Ankamius.- Tohru
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I think this game is as simple as "more / bigger posts = town, worse posts = scum".In post 3833, Chara wrote:welcome Tohru. sorry to see you go, Ankamius.- Tohru
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I'll consolidate them at the end of my readthrough.In post 3842, Chara wrote:Tohru, would you mind putting a few of these into one post instead of separate ones? listing your reads could be consolidated.
also i hope to head to bed. night!
Good night!- Tohru
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Sorry about that. It's a consequence of having a replacement read 150 pages all in one sitting. Some people write massive walls. Some people don't even read. IIn post 3846, Chara wrote:it's less about having a post with all your reads thannothaving ten one liners in quick succession. it's just a little hard to read.couldhave consolidated my reads on a Word Doc, I guess, but from past experience this is less of a hassle and also helps town connect with my thoughts.- Tohru
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In post 3833, Chara wrote:welcome Tohru. sorry to see you go, Ankamius.
This is top quality considering Flubber is actually scum.In post 2833, xRECKONERx wrote:
AUGHHH I WANT TO WRITE OFF NMSA SO BAD BUT THISIn post 2801, NotMySpamAccount wrote:I've completely lost my will to win this game, it died after the D1 lynch, and now it feels like diving into a pool of molasses just reading the thread. I'm perfectly willing to sheep Ank or skitter or someone if it will just get this game to the end or at least to a point where the game is moving fast than 2 posts a day. If Ank is scum taking advantage to lead town astray, then screw it the scumteam deserves the win because I just don't care enough anymore. VOTE: Flubber, I hope it's not L-1 or a hammer cause I'm sure not checking.
IS
SO
FUCKING
TERRIBLE- Tohru
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BadIn post 3024, Elbirn wrote:
i still dont know why flubber is scumIn post 3017, Ankamius wrote:does anyone need anything specific tho
What if I meet you halfway and iso him and we compare notes- Tohru
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Quality posting, right there!In post 3115, Flubbernugget wrote:No I'm scumclaiming- Tohru
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I can't find this from the first few posts, I'm probably going to have to go to the Queue to find out more.In post 3850, Chara wrote:
you should read the setup and the mod posts before you go further. i think it'd be more valuable to read the game knowing what the scum knew from the beginning.In post 3847, Tohru wrote:Something's up. Where's Night 2? I should read the setup information but there wasn't any indication this was a non-normal game.- Tohru
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Scratch this, it's announced at the End of Day 2. Jeez, what a delay.In post 3855, Tohru wrote:
I can't find this from the first few posts, I'm probably going to have to go to the Queue to find out more.In post 3850, Chara wrote:
you should read the setup and the mod posts before you go further. i think it'd be more valuable to read the game knowing what the scum knew from the beginning.In post 3847, Tohru wrote:Something's up. Where's Night 2? I should read the setup information but there wasn't any indication this was a non-normal game.- Tohru
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The game will change starting from Day 3. At this point, the Mafia will begin "escaping". Each night, in addition to a mandatory kill, one of the Mafia must choose to "escape", and will exit the game being revealed to be Mafia. However, at this point, if just one member of the Mafia is lynched, the Mafia loses.
Okay, this makes things extraordinarily easy.- Tohru
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Well, that's half the battle won.In post 3375, Nimueh wrote:
Yeah, Ank confitown now.In post 3357, Chara wrote:oldest trick in the fucking book. i'm stupid.
there's no way Ank was bussing with that ruleset.
we have two more chances to lynch a scum or we lose. that's basically it.- Tohru
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Correction: Creature is actually probably town.
Scumreads don't change.
@Nimueh, @Chara, @Reckoner, would really appreciate more votes on Succinct please.
I think you guys want this game to end way more than I do, so let's cooperate. I really do not want to make this hard, considering what you guys have been through so far.- Tohru
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In post 3874, xRECKONERx wrote:Maybe you could, I dunno, give a single reason why anyone should vote Succinct?
I hate alts.
Sure. Apart from his abysmally low postcount, post quality, and thereby remarkably poor contribution to the game, I also have not been able to find a single reason to townread him in a 150-pager. Looking at his ISO, it's scummily-barren, he isn't trying to gamesolve or have the conviction that town would. I did think Elbirn was scummy, however, after re-examining and eliminating my biases, I conclude that Succinct is more likely to be scum.
If I could bet right now, I'd be betting a good amount of money on Succinct to flip scum.
Oh, and, please do take that negativity out of here. We've already had enough players replace out of this game as it is.- Tohru
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Hello, Creature, thank you for your contributions. It's stuff like this that reassure me that you're town.In post 3876, Creature wrote:was gonna say Tohru is town, but Ank already has been enough.
Could you vote Succinct with me? He's one of the five in your PoE, correct? I'd like it a lot if you could help me with this lynch, so that we could end this behemoth of a Theme Game.- Tohru
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Corollary: I understand that Succinct did distance/bus with his currently-flipped partner, Flubbernugget, in his ISO, which was the only reason I hesitated slightly on him yesterday. But, I observed his lack of emotion and/or conviction in those posts [compare to NMSA], hinting that it may be indicative of a distancing attempt on a scumpartner who was already under fire (and therefore also the prime candidate to escape the game). Therefore those posts do not overshadow the extraordinarily scummy things behavior he had demonstrated this game.In post 3874, xRECKONERx wrote:Maybe you could, I dunno, give a single reason why anyone should vote Succinct?
I hate alts.- Tohru
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Yes, he definitely has. Two negative behaviors he has demonstrated are 1. Flying under the radar, and 2. Lack of gamesolving.In post 3887, xRECKONERx wrote:Has he done anythingscummy? Because what you just said was "I see no town reasons" which to me would mean a null read not a scum read.
I think I have to explain a bit more context into how I develop my reads too. Think about my methodology as a sort of "checklist": If you exhibit towny behaviors, you get some points. If you don't, you get no points. If you do something actively scummy, you gain negative points.
If you take a look at my list, you will notice that quite a large number of the players in this game I have a definitive townread on -- that means that they have actual points or instances which I have good evidence and reason to read them as town. This includes you, too, Mister Reckoner.
Just like in any standardized test, if you get more points, you get a higher score, which is optimal. If you don't get any points, well, that means you probably fail, which is not good. If everyone in the class gets a high score, and you are the only one who failed the test, you're probably going to be in some trouble.
That's what Succinct is to me right now.
In other words, Mister Reckoner, I may have a "null read", in your words, on Succinct, but in a 150 page game with 3800 posts, not just words, but posts, of content, spanning over a month, that "null read" is wholly unacceptable. It's okay to see a moose in a zoo, but not on the street.
I hope I've adequately explained my point of view and hope that you could join me in voting user Succinct.- Tohru
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I think the impact that Succinct had on the Flub wagon was low, and the fact that Flub claimed IC when he did was perfectly controlled and calculated. In other words, Succinct had such a low impact on the Flub wagon that his presence was more or less inconsequential. I believe that town was mainly responsible for the correct Flub wagon which threw the scumteam's plans sideways.In post 3889, xRECKONERx wrote:So you think Succinct bussed Flub in a high risk play?- Tohru
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^This post is also a pretty bad look.In post 3775, Succinct wrote:
I know it's your strongest tool.In post 3494, Ankamius wrote:THIS is saying that my strongest tool for scumhunting is not going to be useful here.
It's usually one of mine.
But given the setup, unfortunately, it's what I think; lacking a mastermind, scum were going to show high self-preservation, masking interactions with scumbuddies.
This applies toIn post 3494, Ankamius wrote:1. NMSA thinks that sheeping me throughout d2 is his best odds at surviving, even far enough to be willing to bus Flubber and conftown all but FOUR towns in the process.allFlubber voters; voting him risked conftowning all but four town. Do you think every Flubber voter was town? I don't.- Tohru
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In post 3895, tris wrote:
Does Enter come into your read of the slot?In post 3884, Tohru wrote:In post 3874, xRECKONERx wrote:Maybe you could, I dunno, give a single reason why anyone should vote Succinct?
I hate alts.
Sure. Apart from his abysmally low postcount, post quality, and thereby remarkably poor contribution to the game, I also have not been able to find a single reason to townread him in a 150-pager. Looking at his ISO, it's scummily-barren, he isn't trying to gamesolve or have the conviction that town would. I did think Elbirn was scummy, however, after re-examining and eliminating my biases, I conclude that Succinct is more likely to be scum.
If I could bet right now, I'd be betting a good amount of money on Succinct to flip scum.
Oh, and, please do take that negativity out of here. We've already had enough players replace out of this game as it is.
Hello.In post 3909, Nimueh wrote:
What about Enter, his predecessor? Did his ISO seem scummy to you?In post 3884, Tohru wrote:In post 3874, xRECKONERx wrote:Maybe you could, I dunno, give a single reason why anyone should vote Succinct?
I hate alts.
Sure. Apart from his abysmally low postcount, post quality, and thereby remarkably poor contribution to the game, I also have not been able to find a single reason to townread him in a 150-pager. Looking at his ISO, it's scummily-barren, he isn't trying to gamesolve or have the conviction that town would. I did think Elbirn was scummy, however, after re-examining and eliminating my biases, I conclude that Succinct is more likely to be scum.
If I could bet right now, I'd be betting a good amount of money on Succinct to flip scum.
Oh, and, please do take that negativity out of here. We've already had enough players replace out of this game as it is.
No, Enter's read completely did not factor into my read on the slot. In fact, I don't remember a single thing they have posted; they are either not memorable or just as scummy as for the same reasons Succinct was. Which is funny, because looking back at my speednotes that I've posted previously, I actually wrote that "Enter is town". But, my overall conclusive stance after reading 150 pages in a single sitting will be authoritative on the read of the slot, and I unequivocally pronounce the Succinct slot as scum.
I believe that my perspective on the game as a late-game replacement is the most accurate and objective, because I have read through the entire game with no preconceived notions or biases towards certain slots, allowing me to have a clear and definitive picture of the gamestate. I understand that my perspective of the game will be vastly different from you guys', simply because the game has spanned for close to a month, and some of you rely either on at best hazy memory, or worse, have completely forgotten the events of the early game with exceptions to the most prominent ones. Therefore I will put my best efforts into convincing the rest of you of my viewpoint.
I really need all of you who are town to work with me today, so that we can conclusively end this game in a win, which I'm sure you all want. I believe from my readthrough that my predecessor has already earned your trust in the fact that my slot is town-aligned, so that helps. But it will be a struggle to convince some of you of my viewpoint, so I really hope for your support.- Tohru
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I believe that Reck is clearly and undoubtedly town-aligned, and I will be upset to see any more mentions or suggestions for him to be lynched.In post 3906, Chara wrote:
is this early game distancing between Reck and Enter or am i too far gone down the rabbit hole?In post 153, Enter wrote:
"Ouch I got played and now I look dumb pls vote for this guy so I don't feel as bad for voting for lynchbait"In post 136, xRECKONERx wrote:...
ok.
so just to summarize
enter: *does a really scummy thing by changing his mind on a read out of nowhere*
people: *vote enter for doing the scummy thing*
enter: but aha you see it is i who is a genius because imeantto be scummy
cool okay hey everyone you can ignore the last six pages this is everything right here ^^^
Wow. I'm cranky, sorry about that. I'm gonna go eat bekfast, see you in a bit
there's probably no way to actually tell and i'm jumping at nothing because it might fit with what i think the team is.
Sure, his reads may not be the best; in fact, I'm struggling to convince him of my own reads currently, but I really strongly believe that Reck is town in this game.
I would really appreciate it if you helped me with the Succinct push.- Tohru
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That would be a colossal mistake. Enter has only been in the game for a fraction of its duration, and Succinct was responsible for most of the game. And Succinct is pretty darn scummy. That tips the balance waaaaaay against the odds of a Succinct slot.In post 3908, Nimueh wrote:
I hardtown read Enter, who was Succinct’s predecessor, so I don’t think he’s scum.In post 3873, Tohru wrote:Correction: Creature is actually probably town.
Scumreads don't change.
@6Nimueh, @Chara, @Reckoner, would really appreciate more votes on Succinct please.
`
I think you guys want this game to end way more than I do, so let's cooperate. I really do not want to make this hard, considering what you guys have been through so far.
If anything, it's a good credit to Enter's scum game, being able to portray towniness when he actually isn't.
Here's a thought exercise. Imagine a game with user RadiantCowbells (renowned for commonly being townread when scum), who replaces out after a short stint in the game, into user Creature (Hello, I know you're in the game, I hope you're not offended by the use of you as an example ^~^) who is commonly known to be extremely easy to read and transparent in his alignments. Who would you pay more attention into reading and trying to determine the alignment of?
I hope you answered Creature.
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Same logic: Succinct is extraordinarily scummy and therefore we can infer that he is arguably a lot worse at hiding his alignment than Enter. This should result in a Succinct scumread, not an Enter townread.
I hope you can vote Succinct with me, please.- Tohru
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You'll never be always accurate with associative reads, simply because the scum know the alignments of their teammates and can therefore plan their interactions accordingly. In the absence of information, the scum always have the advantage.In post 3901, Chara wrote:at this stage i'm less interested in what feels town (for example, Elbirn feels very town to me but i'm not comfortable locktowning him) and more interested in what makes sense as a partner with Flubber.
i also have posts from Reck that felt town but i'm not convinced he actually is.
Succint, i need to see if they were orchestrating a bus or not. should remember to do that when i have more time.
This is why behavioral reads are always superior. It puts the power into town to portray their towniness, rather than associative reads which puts the power into scum where they control how they interact with the rest of the game.
It also doesn't help your case that Town was so behind this entire game, that the entire game was going 100% according to scum's plans. Associative reads work best when scum are caught off guard and their teammates are caught by accident. But if they actuallychoosewhich teammate gets to leave the game, then you're just playing into their hand.- Tohru
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I'm really hoping that you'll help me with Succinct. It's a tough mountain to climb, changing people's opinions.In post 3898, tris wrote:
Yeah, so all three of my candidates are on this list. I'm not sure which one I'd think has the best chances, but if I had to choose now, I'd go with Elbirn. Never NMSA who I think is town.In post 3883, Creature wrote:Elbirn
Succint
Chara
NotMySpamAccount
tris
It's 5p LyLo, two of you are scum, the rest of us are treestumps. If you lynch someone wrong, you lose (not in practice, but let's do like this).
Elbirn is pretty dodgy, yeah, but Succinct is actuallyscummy.- Tohru
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10 players alive:
8 town : 2 scum
6 players are needed to lynch; since this is a White Flag setup, we can expect scum to never bus in this game. All 6 players that I need to convince for a scum lynch need to be town.
6 town players out of 8.
I comprise one of the town players.
I require the aid of 5 town players.
I can do this!!
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I'm not going to let Chara lynch you. I'm not going to let Chara lynch Reck.In post 3927, Nimueh wrote:
Town!Chara is not usually as flipfloppy as this. I’m starting to wonder if she could possibly be the deep wolf to Elbirn, who is still my strongest sr. NMSA is still objectively scummy by play but VCA spews him as godawful town. I’m not convinced on Succinct scum. Gun to head, I think scum is hardpushing Reck or me for mislynches. Chara’s posting today, should definitely concern you, it does me. Town!Chara is anything if consistent. She keeps wafffling on her read on me. Watch, Chara will suddenly find reasons to tr me but for no clear reason will conveniently evaporate until the next time I push her.In post 3918, Tohru wrote:
I believe that Reck is clearly and undoubtedly town-aligned, and I will be upset to see any more mentions or suggestions for him to be lynched.In post 3906, Chara wrote:
is this early game distancing between Reck and Enter or am i too far gone down the rabbit hole?In post 153, Enter wrote:
"Ouch I got played and now I look dumb pls vote for this guy so I don't feel as bad for voting for lynchbait"In post 136, xRECKONERx wrote:...
ok.
so just to summarize
enter: *does a really scummy thing by changing his mind on a read out of nowhere*
people: *vote enter for doing the scummy thing*
enter: but aha you see it is i who is a genius because imeantto be scummy
cool okay hey everyone you can ignore the last six pages this is everything right here ^^^
Wow. I'm cranky, sorry about that. I'm gonna go eat bekfast, see you in a bit
there's probably no way to actually tell and i'm jumping at nothing because it might fit with what i think the team is.
Sure, his reads may not be the best; in fact, I'm struggling to convince him of my own reads currently, but I really strongly believe that Reck is town in this game.
I would really appreciate it if you helped me with the Succinct push.
I am going to need you to help me on Succinct scum. Townreading Enter is not a correct way to conclude on a Enter/Succinctslot read, because in a replacement situation you should always aim to read the easier and more transparent slot, not the one which is better at scum.- Tohru
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I don't have a good feel for skitter30 as I have on Succinct. It is an educated guess.In post 3928, Nimueh wrote:
Explain.In post 3923, Tohru wrote:I think last scum is skitter30. No longer interested in NMSA or Elbirn.
NMSA has demonstrated strong town flashes during the course of the game. He isn't the best; I do wish he was lynched instead of say, Brigitte or Xtoxm, but this is what it is.
As for Elbirn I acknowledged that I am biased against his way of playing. After accounting for this bias he is definitely looking a lot townier than originally thought.
skitter30 played a strong game but pales in comparison to the rest.- Tohru
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I think your read is wrong.In post 3934, Nimueh wrote:
I have meta on Enter and that’s a big part of why I tr him here. At worst, Succinct is a null. I’m not rushing this lynch.
I think we need to follow the reads/votes. Scum literally can’t bus in this setup, so I think we’ll have a pretty clear idea who the remaining scum are, once they vote. I am becoming increasingly suspicious of Chara, because of the bolded. Too many people are pinging me rn and I want to wait for more info. I think it’s best not to rush this.
At least two to three of my townreads are being headstrong stubborn preventing me from getting a Succinct lynch. I'm sorry but I straight up do not believe that "you'll get a pretty clear idea of the remaining scum once they vote". You will only fall prone to inaccurate reads and confirmation bias.
There is no "more info" to wait for. This game has lastedone month and is 150 pages long. All the information anyone needs is in the thread.
I've read through the entire thread and have a full understanding of the context and intricacies of the game. I really want to help us win so please I really seek your cooperation.- Tohru
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In post 3936, Nimueh wrote:In post 3932, Tohru wrote:I need you to trust me on this.
I trust you’re locktown and all of your posts have a strong pro-town agenda but your also asking me to go against my current read on that slot. If Succinct makes suspicious reads/votes, I’ll definitely reconsider but I’m not seeing it rn. Not when other slots are pinging me more. I am open to changing my mind on Succinct but like I said, I still tr that slot and at worst, it’s a null but that could change.In post 3933, Tohru wrote:Help me help you get on the same page. For starters, are you convinced and trust that my efforts are currently town-aligned and are strongly working towards town interests?We still have time and I want to get as much info as possible first.
Thank you.
Look, a lot of town players have had rather wrong reads as a collective in this game, which has led to a grand total ofzeroscum lynches so far during the course of a month. I'm not blaming anyone here, this is a team game, but this emphasizes the fact that all the more you guys have to work together and be open to new perspectives.
I've written a mini-essay already to Reck regarding my Succinct read, and it's disappointing that I've been unable to convince you as well. Perhaps I need to be more persuasive? I'm trying my best.
I'm very concerned, because both yourself, Reck, and it appears Chara and tris as well do not seem very open to the idea of a Succinct lynch at all, even when my town-alignment is undoubted and uncontested. This makes me extremely worried for the sake of the game. The activity levels upon the time I have replaced in has also been very low.
I'm not going to sit down and rest on my laurels because "we have time". I've dedicated quite a lot of time to reading this novel of a game and I strongly believe that the path to winning the game is a shoe-in with giant neon letters. I'm definitely not going to twiddle my thumbs and watch you guys drive down the cliff.- Tohru
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Tohru Goon
- Tohru
- Goon
- Goon
- Posts: 288
- Joined: March 21, 2019
In post 3803, xRECKONERx wrote:
there is more subtext to interactions than TOWN MAN DEFEND BAD MAN TOWN MAN BAD MANIn post 3796, skitter30 wrote:
uh the fact that you badly townread him the whole time he was alive and refused to vote himIn post 3785, xRECKONERx wrote:
again, ill ask: what part of me/flub interacting makes sense SvSIn post 3759, Nimueh wrote:Scumteam has to be Elbirn/Reck. I think it’s Flubber/Elbirn/Reck and I’ve solved the game. If I’m right, I want bragging rights.
Mister Reck, there is also more subtext to interactions than MAN VOTE BAD MAN MAN TOWN MAN. I truly hope that this could dispel your Succinct townread that may be solely on the basis of his vote on Flubber. - Tohru
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