I think our main priority should be figuring out who we town and scum read. Proposals can be made by multiple people and we should take advantage of that. This creates better debate than just one person making the proposal (whoever seems towny on D1). I can't remember of the top of my head who proposed that, but it seems like a really bad idea.
Long posts aren't really my style, but I feel like there's too much of a spammy feel going and not enough substansive content, so I feel pressured into making one.
That said these are my reads.
Town Tier (in no particular order)
Almost50 - It's been a while since I have played mafia but when I did, I think I played quite a bit with a50. As far as I remember, a50 plays town and scum fairly similar, with solid scumhunting being a priority, even if it means a little busing. However, the difference tends to be the tone. While some players use fake anger as scum, a50's scum game is played much more on building relationships and being supportive. He uses the strategy of pocketing well. Town a50, on the other hand, is more prone to using saracasm as seen in
this post. It is very possible that his playstyle has evolved and I will need to do a deeper meta dive if we both make it to the later stages of the game, but for now, he is a townread.
Vecna - By far the towniest player in the game, imo. I may not agree with all his reads (for example a50) but I like the approach. Honestly, I don't have hardcore meta or logic reasons for this one. It's just the way I feel.
CheekyTeeky - I get the sense that CT is building her meta so that she can be spammy and hide as both town and scum. She's clearly beeen working on it but I don't think it's indistinguishable yet. I've only had time to really look at one of her scum games
(this one) but it feels like she tries a little bit more when she is scum. I think that ingrained notion that you have to appear town gets to her. Given that this is a recent game, I'm assuming much hasn't changed since then. The vibes I'm getting from that game and this one are different, and therefore she is town.
Lil Uzi Vert - He only has five posts, so this may be very premature but I think he's town. Scum wouldn't want two of the towniest players being neighbors. That means that they can't silence them both without leaving the King alive for day 3. It would allow those players to live because there would be more pressing kills. Then, when one of them is killed, the other still has access to their thoughts and can use their name to convince people. That move would be too anti-scum for scum to propose.
popsofctown - I have never played with pops but they are showing a great ability to go against what is being accepted. Going against my the reasons for me saying people requesting a role was scum, but still thinking they are scum. Calling out a50 for the Independence Day thing, calling out Vecna, and exposing what would be ideal scum strats. This is town.
Iconeum - This is a weak read and he has said some scummy things. That said, just skimming through a couple of his past games, the tone feels town.
This post would probably not come from scum with daytalk. He's treating this gamestate as time for a regular, early game RVS wagon. I don't think having two teammates with daychat would result in someone playing like this. Also, when he backs up his stance with
this post, it makes him feel even more town.
The people that have substantial posts, but I'm not sure about
Hidden Happiness - The tone of these posts as happy seems like a real gimmick, created on purpose to make them hard to read. I don't think I have played with either one of the heads and have honestly no idea what to expect. This is the reason I don't like hydras. When you have a grasp on the individual heads, they're fine, but it's situations like these that make meta diving (as opposed to playing with them) weak and honestly annoying. I can't read these guys. If anyone has played with them, feel free to give your thoughts. That said, I would be most comfortable giving them an inconsequential role today.
No content
Apthet - Literally one post just saying he has to go away.
Nero Cain - He has seven posts but they aren't actually substantive. Just usual early game conversation. If this continues, it may be scummy, but for now, it's nothing.
Gamma Emerald - 4 posts. For me right now, the key to getting an early game read on him is clear. His fourth post, the one saying that he will probs have a lot of mechanical questions. I have played with him but it has been a while. For people that have played with Gamma more recently, is a normally mechanic intensive or not.
The Scum Team
As the subheading suggests, this is my scumteam. Given his lack of appearance in the earlier sections, RC is in this scum team (which I'll get to later). Coupled with that and daytalk, it is clear that the scum team has a strategy going into day one. The key, imo is to look for associations and more importantly common themes. I believe that a theme of disdain/disinterest can be found in the scumteam, at least until they get certain powers. Here is my logic.
RC/Baezu hydra - At the time of me starting to write this post, I don't think Baezu has posted yet. I believe that this is because of direction from RC. RC said that at least his head will be relatively inactive. This is the first piece of deception. Knowing RC, I highly doubt that he would allow two heads in a hydra to have completely different approaches. Furthermore, he expressed disappointment in the setup. RC is known for keeping arrogance throughout his meta, both as town and scum. I think he pushed this onto his scumbuddies as well. He knows that normally, his meta required him to be a leader. The perfect WIFOM manipulation would be sitting out the beginning. That said, RC is still active he is directing the other members of the scumteam.
Sadude - This bring us to Sadude. Sadude's own meta (in I think Micro 874 and 877) indicates that as scum he puts slightly less effort as town. He tries to appear more casual. RC in scum chat directs Sadude to appear disinterested in this game. For scum, it is key to manipulate the PRs and get at least one, if not two people into good position. The hardest part is surviving the early game. The easiest way for Sadude to do this is to be active but appear low effort. The disclaimer in the beginning is very telling.
Oversoul - Finally oversoul. He opens by saying "these roles are lame." He also requested roles. On top of this, Oversoul had light buses on both RC and Sadude. Nothing substantial and nothing he needs to commit to, but they are there.
This one for Sadude and
this one for RC. He is right, RC is active, and he is directing this scum game.
Baezu is also normally an active player. His lack of activity shows clearly that RC is calling shots - private and at a degree of extremity he wouldn't use as town. As of right now, I think this is the scum team.