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In post 18, Phi Kappa Phi wrote:Never had tapioca before. Is it any good?
Titus wins my vanity rvs townreadIn post 20, Titus wrote:
VOTE: PhiIn post 18, Phi Kappa Phi wrote:Never had tapioca before. Is it any good?
Gut.- Wooper
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Actually this one double wins a double vanity double rvs townreadIn post 25, LunarRest wrote:Hello everyone. 2 votes on me already!- Wooper
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I am a big fan of this entrance.In post 28, LunarRest wrote:
I can see a newbie mafia trying to cover up another mafia that way. But a SE player likely wouldn't be doing that, right?In post 23, CheekyTeeky wrote:
Strong enough gut ping for you to move off the rvs wagon prior to reaction from Tapi. Hmm.In post 20, Titus wrote:
VOTE: PhiIn post 18, Phi Kappa Phi wrote:Never had tapioca before. Is it any good?
Gut.
He's come in with the "two votes on me" thing without feeling necessarily obliged to act on it or do anything to alter the situation & this as an analytical post feels sincere and doesn't feel overstated.
Often newbie scum feel a pang of anxiety at being lolwagoned at the start of their first game. Often experienced scum playing in a new environment feel compelled to flex and show their stuff and overdisplay their {analytical, manipulative} prowess
This guy is posting pretty fast and doesn't seem all that phased
It's pretty subconscious but I think it's a reasonable confidence anti-survivalism tell- Wooper
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If there's scum in this interaction it's always TSEIn post 36, LunarRest wrote:
???In post 35, TrueSoulEnergy wrote:
I just don’t think “Mafioso” comes to mind if there is a mafia PR.In post 34, LunarRest wrote:
What? I was hoping that it's a person from the Mafia organization who gets voted and not me. I don't know if "Mafioso" only means goons here.In post 30, TrueSoulEnergy wrote:
“Mafioso”?In post 27, LunarRest wrote:
I only hope a mafioso would end up more popular than I am.In post 26, TrueSoulEnergy wrote:
Dang your more popular then me this game...In post 25, LunarRest wrote:Hello everyone. 2 votes on me already!
Hmm.
There is Mafia Goon and a Mafia PR or Mafia Goon.
You said Mafioso which means two things.
Your Town who made a sorta Town slip like this.
Or
Your mafia who unintentionally revealed the setup to be 2 Mafia Goons.
Could be wrong though but I just think it’s 2 Goons if your Mafia.
Mafioso means a member of Mafia organization. It could be a Mafia goon or a Mafia with powers, the point is it's a Mafia member. Why can't I say Mafioso when I'm hoping that it's a singular member of Mafia that gets lynched today?
Normally I'd quite like the abstract theory but I've recently discovered scum!TSE is capable of pulling some real bullshit out of thin air and he feels compelled to do this kind of thing as wither alignment soooo :shrug: I'm not sure if this realistically says as much about TSE's alignment as I wish it had but LR wins more town points at least- Wooper
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I'll try and engage with Titus about this head on once I've caught up. /o/In post 503, Homura wrote:Wooper, when you're done, thoughts on Titus's SR of your slot?- Wooper
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just clockin this for laterIn post 38, Tapiocaphobe wrote:TSE is v townie, not liking lunar's posts
I think I'd agree abt TSE if I wasn't crushed by the weight of knowing his meta- Wooper
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i can talk about why you won my rvs vanity townread but yeah basically this is a good sign.In post 53, Titus wrote:Yup. Gut it usually a weak indicator but weak indicator is better than a random vote.
+1 it's a talking point but a bad oneIn post 54, Titus wrote:This is artificial.
In post 55, Titus wrote:In post 47, Ph0enix wrote:Okay, I read what I had missed.
Titus changing her vote is NAI.
LunarRest using the word "mafioso" in that one post is NAI as well.
I'm ok tentatively placing you as town based on the top post.In post 49, Ph0enix wrote:@Titus: What's your opinion on the reaction some people have to your change of vote?
The discussion around me and my vote change is awkward and stilted. A few slots say the same thing and get nowhere but NAI, essentially repeating what came before.
What's absent is more telling. Everyone wants to know why my gut was strong enough, yet no one looked at Phi's behavior. It's not enough to make a strong case out of, but it's still interesting. Phil comes across artificial and fake in the opening sequence.
Mod: I voted Phi not Phoenix.
Fixed, thank you --P
i'm quoting this to reflect on later
there is something really significant in here and i'm not sure what it tastes like quiteeee yet but i think titus is town- Wooper
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uh just to sum up this & tap's previous postIn post 58, Tapiocaphobe wrote:the way TSE approached my post screamed townie to me + I was already disliking that mafioso post when they pushed it
lunar's mafioso post and how they approached the idea of s/s; i think after their last two posts they're pretty solidly null for me though, maybe a little itsy bitsy townie
these are very early reads so they'll probably change but this is where my head is at
"woah tse is very towny
well i guess tse was towny for a moment then null
i dunnoooo he's getting nuller
this is early so my reads will change!"
calling tap/tse s/s now get your bets in- Wooper
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ironically i like tap's voting a lot from this perspectiveIn post 58, Tapiocaphobe wrote:what were people saying that's the same besides 'it's null'?
only cheeky mentioned the gut ping thing
I would like phi to come and speak, which is why I'm still voting for them, but I think most people would rather focus on the actual content that's been generated
like, I see wym with that phi post, but it's one rvs post, it's not exactly a lot to look at- Wooper
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: )In post 60, CheekyTeeky wrote:
I can see where you're coming from. I never assumed that Top/Titus were SvS just that I found it odd that as an SE Titus left the lead wagon before Top even reacted.In post 44, LunarRest wrote:Why would Titus even vote for Topi if she was mafia with him and then leave the wagon looking as suspicious as she does? A SE mafia wouldn't be doing that.I don't think Titus voting for Phi has to do with trying to get off the Topi wagon. She probably genuinely has a gut feeling that Phi is scum. But then again a SE town wouldn't be doing something which makes him look like a Mafia like this either. Titus isn't a definite mafia but isn't definite town either
It looks like she just had a stronger read elsewhere but often when an RVS wagon grows the people who jump off are the most interesting. In this scenario it's more likely that Top is town and Titus is scum knowing Top's alignment. It's still early but I too am following my gut.
cheeky and i would have fought this game
it's very lucky that we had the same slot- Wooper
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karnage's opening was like simultaneously super spicy and extremely hard to actually get behind and i think i'm just Firmly Null on him rn
suddenly unsure if tap is a wolf or his posting style is just really cute
help
i have never agreed so passionately with every single thing in a postIn post 79, QuantumQuasar wrote:
I'm suspecting cheekyteeky lunarrest and truesoulenergy as the latter two seem to know each other plus its so obvious its either a double goon or spec goon ingame right now but nobody is randoming because we win in two nightsIn post 51, Ph0enix wrote:
This one.In post 24, CheekyTeeky wrote:
Hiya! What game did we play in? I have an old person's memory.In post 17, Ph0enix wrote:Also hi, Cheeky.
tapiocaphobe might be clear at 67% thanks to overdefensiveness
however am voting phoenix because of an illegal move quoting another game and saying necessarily
vote ph0enix
doc on me otherwise someone else because I might get targeted for showing off and saying I'll win
Adding a colon so the automated vote counter will catch it: vote: ph0enix
--P
(except plot's comments, plot is objectively always right)- Wooper
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+1In post 86, Karnage wrote:@QQ if this is a schtick, please never stop- Wooper
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i hope u talked thru these reads karnage buddyIn post 99, Karnage wrote:I'm leaning town onTitusandTSEatm
tapiocaandphoenixwould be my guess for scum
everybody else is ???- Wooper
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In post 127, CheekyTeeky wrote:Yeah but based on what?
At this point I'm only townreading Phoneix and Tap. We need more wagons or something.
kinda wondering why there wasn't more attention to the tap townread hereIn post 128, Karnage wrote:
I went back and looked at ph0enix's ISO and I probably judged him too harshly for his reaction to QQ.In post 127, CheekyTeeky wrote:At this point I'm only townreading Phoneix and Tap. We need more wagons or something.
What are you seeing from tap that makes him a town read?- Wooper
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what gave you this impression titus?In post 137, Titus wrote:I just feel Karnage and Cheeky are doing good cop bad cop here. (Not cop roles but it's an interrogation tactic).
i might be tmi'd on cheeky's alignment but i didn't get a feeling of unison at all from these pages- Wooper
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this is like emphatically not a thing with daychatIn post 161, TrueSoulEnergy wrote:
I think Scum!QQ means Scum!TitusIn post 121, Titus wrote:TSE, I guess you're on translation duty.
Phoenix, I'll try to explain my theory tonight. It makes sense in my head as an aha type moment but I'm not the clearest.
And Titus is coaching QQ.- Wooper
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do you think a cheeky/karnage scumteam identifies you as the core threat to work around in this plist?In post 163, Titus wrote:Cheeky's been voting me since RVS and had a pretty static read there. He's the "bad cop". He accuses me of being evil, no matter what. You meanwhile are saying that everything I do is ok, making you the "good cop".
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quick qftIn post 168, Titus wrote:SE hat: Newbies, look over this type of exchange TSE and I had. Regardless of alignment (I don't know TSE's alignment), this is a good interaction. He calmly put forth his theory, I answered. He (probably) listened. This gives somewhat of an indication of both our alignments. Go ahead and post any theory you want feedback on. Feel free to critique my weak theory too. My theory is no more right or wrong because I am an SE. I care more about you guys enjoying this game and learning than I do winning. I assure you, I am doing my best as either alignment. Anything else doesn't help you.
[/SE hat]
this exchange actually has me thinking TSE is more likely town- Wooper
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no matter what TSE's alignment is thoIn post 169, TrueSoulEnergy wrote:
As an SE we wish to hope to make Newbies into site regulars.In post 168, Titus wrote:SE hat: Newbies, look over this type of exchange TSE and I had. Regardless of alignment (I don't know TSE's alignment), this is a good interaction. He calmly put forth his theory, I answered. He (probably) listened. This gives somewhat of an indication of both our alignments. Go ahead and post any theory you want feedback on. Feel free to critique my weak theory too. My theory is no more right or wrong because I am an SE. I care more about you guys enjoying this game and learning than I do winning. I assure you, I am doing my best as either alignment. Anything else doesn't help you.
[/SE hat]
Allowing them to enjoy an amazing FM experience.
To improve and have fun doing it.
To become part of this amazing community and grow to become an extraordinary player.
he's town irl
<3- Wooper
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I feel a lot better about my townreads than scumreads at this point
probably at like
{wooper]
{titus, ph0enix}
{lunarrest/luckyluciano slot}
{tse}
{homura, qq, karnage}
{tap/non lmh slot}
karnage is a null read that should be going one way or the other but i really don't know how to move him so far
tbh as a matter of policy i'm uncomfortable with the way he's been flashwagoned and there isn't really a major competing wagon
what he's posted so far is like,... in his townrange but also not very towny given i feel fairly good about nearly all my townreads
i think earlygame phi was v v high wagon equity but kinda mild actual scum equity so i am just hard reset on the homura repin- Wooper
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... this is a really interesting theory and makes me feel less warm about karnageIn post 178, Titus wrote:
Sure, although I'm phoning in post numbers on Cheeky. Cheeky immediately votes me for breaking RVS. Breaking RVS is usually a good thing. So why would experienced town vote me for that? Cheeky has had that hostile attitude since go. Hence, Cheeky bad cop.In post 177, Karnage wrote:In post 176, Titus wrote:Right now, yes.can you show examples of "good cop"/"bad cop" from before 94?
Your 64 is good cop. You're supposing I'm town and have players sucking up to me. This can interfere with natural town blocks. You starting from the supposition that I'm town and working outwards is good cop. You shouldn't know, at this point, that I am town.
actually as far as d1 solves go i can actually digest this
it's wrong, but i like the way titus is thinking.- Wooper
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i think i just want this slot deadIn post 187, Tapiocaphobe wrote:analyzing- Wooper
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non lmh does like, 2 alignment indicative things a year, and i'm not convinced he does them on purpose.
i'm off work shortly so when my brain unmelts i'm gonna go finish catching up. the more i think about tap the more i think a lot of his more substantial takes are just quite likely to come from newbscum.
non if you're town & see this pleaseeee do one of those weird unexpected towny things
if not np we'll lynch u- Wooper
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VOTE: non lmhIn post 475, Plotinus wrote:Deadline: 0 days, 4 hours, 2 minutes.
placeholder vote
i'll hammer karnage if we get close to deadline and this isn't happening but i'd kinda rather not?- Wooper
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What do you mean non?In post 112, Karnage wrote:
I really like these two posts from Titus. They show a strong town mindset imo. Granted they could be faked which is why I only lean town for now.In post 110, Ph0enix wrote:Can the people who have provided reads/theories for scumteams and haven't explained the reasoning behind them do so :/
I think that's all. Also, I don't like how Karnage called out TSE in 98 for not providing reasoning behind his theory, but later he posts his townleans without us knowing why he feels this way about the particular people he's leaning town on.Karnage wrote:I'm leaning town on Titus and TSE atm
Spoiler:
Re: 98 - that was "calling out" Titus, not TSE. I dont think saying I called them out is a fair description though. It was meant to be kinda snarky to just point out that without reasoning I don't think the vote should be taken too seriously. Also, I think there's a difference between voting somebody without saying why and having a town lean on somebody without saying why.- Wooper
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ngl i find LL towny and i found his pred towny and ph0enix was like... very obvtown and i had a really hard time parsing karnage's alignment so I'm not sure why the votes would have swung any other way - are you thinking we should be reevaluating LL?
like if i was here I'd have voted karnage there as well- Wooper
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I feel like I'm going thru the motions here but
non why did you hammer your townread before deadline while i was still catching up?
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This is part of my dilemma tbh. I could see non lolhammering as either alignment and he has a meta of kinda just whimsically lolhammering or doing sweet faIn post 575, Homura wrote:
Does town!Non lolhammer like that?In post 574, Wooper wrote:non why did you hammer your townread before deadline while i was still catching up?
I think his pred was scummy. The lolhammer comes from non as either alignment but given he had an actual read trajectory i'm pretty sure town!non can give us a convincing update of what his actual thoughts are.
Sorry if you were looking for a more decisive answer, ive played exactly one game with non and frankly getting his alignment right required mighty strong forceps- Wooper
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^^^ This is like my exact read & Titus' question threw me off for exactly the same reason.In post 576, Homura wrote:
Happy birthday!In post 571, Titus wrote:My curious thing is why the votes switched to Karnage and not LL if the bulk of the votes were because of Phoenix v LL bogging up the thread?
Can't parse your question. Karnage was the leading scumread, Luciano the leading townread. The Luciano-Ph0enix interaction factored little into my intent on Karnage. Why do you think Luciano should have been the wagon?
Homura-chan...if walpurgisnacht comes and kills all the other towneis... let's go back to day one together to save madoka and save the world...- Wooper
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i kinda wanted to talk to titus about this but i have a bit of free time rn and i am not a patient boi
this piece of vca is really really interesting and i'm pasting it recoloured here so i can come back to it
bluntly going by EoD i'm really concerned that i was just incorrect on Titus' early phase. the way the ph0enix wagon (sans homura) + titus + ph0enix himself consoldiated onto karnage in about 17 seconds flat suggests fairly strongly to me that there is scum in this push.
i thought homura unvoting => actually asking for reads about karnage => offering to compromise hammer => not actually lolhammering on karange showed a mindset of legitimately solving karnage's mindset which now that i'm reviewing it in isolation is making me think she's instinctively resisting the agenda and most likely just town
tl;dr i'm pretty heavily reevaluating in {tse-slot,titus,ll} today
that being said i'm still uncomfortable with non
so like
gth i'd say there's roughly one scum in these three
In post 419, Plotinus wrote:(3): LuckyLuciano, Homura, TrueSoulEnergyPh0enix
CheekyTeeky(1): Crush
TrueSoulEnergy(1): CheekyTeeky
Titus(1):Karnage
(1): Titus, Non lmhKarnage
LuckyLuciano(1):Ph0enix
Not Voting(0):None.In post 425, Plotinus wrote:(3): LuckyLuciano, Homura, TrueSoulEnergyPh0enix
CheekyTeeky(2): Crush, Titus
LuckyLuciano(1):Ph0enix
Titus(1):Karnage
(1): Non lmhKarnage
TrueSoulEnergy(1): CheekyTeeky
Not Voting(0):None.In post 450, Plotinus wrote:(4): Non lmh, TrueSoulEnergy, Titus, LuckyLucianoKarnage
TrueSoulEnergy(1): CheekyTeeky
Titus(1):Karnage
CheekyTeeky(1): Crush
LuckyLuciano(1):Ph0enix
Not Voting(1): HomuraIn post 475, Plotinus wrote:(4): TrueSoulEnergy, Titus, LuckyLuciano,KarnagePh0enix
Titus(2):Karnage, Non lmh
CheekyTeeky(1): Crush
TrueSoulEnergy(1): CheekyTeeky
Not Voting(1): HomuraIn post 544, Plotinus wrote:(4): TrueSoulEnergy, Titus, LuckyLuciano,KarnagePh0enix
Titus(2):Karnage, Non lmh
Wooper(1): Crush
Non lmh(1): Wooper
Not Voting(1): HomuraIn post 551, Plotinus wrote:(4): TrueSoulEnergy, Titus, LuckyLuciano,KarnagePh0enix
Non lmh(2): Wooper, Crush
Titus(2):Karnage, Non lmh
Not Voting(1): HomuraIn post 558, Plotinus wrote:(5): TrueSoulEnergy, Titus, LuckyLuciano,KarnagePh0enix, Non lmh<-- LYNCH
Non lmh(2): Wooper, Crush
Titus(1):Karnage
Not Voting(1): Homura- Wooper
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i can't like quite remember it off the top of my head but it didn't strike me as super AIIn post 582, Homura wrote:What do you think of TSE's sheep on the Ph0enix wagon yesterday?
i'll go reraed- Wooper
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this one?In post 403, TrueSoulEnergy wrote:Ok.
Now normally I’d Go Karnage but LL and Phoenix both share the same Playstyle.
(Main reason for my Phoenix read)
I’ve decided that I’d rather not both of them be here for Day 2.
It could cause unnecessary chaos regardless if TvT.
Take one of my newbies games for example.
Despite me being scum that was lynched Day 1. If I was Town and Luca and Koba were still town the game wouldn’t be favouring town.
Koba and Luca have similar play style.
So when they engaged and started to both scum read each other it created a bad environment that favours mafia.
Thus I don’t want a repeat of this as I got Town this game.
VOTE: Phe0nix
I’d like a Day 2 Karnage lynch though.
i think like i keep coming out anxious but net kinda liking tse
i've been fooled by scum!tse before (with the caveat that we were in autowin so i kinda stopped reading his alignment half way thru the game) and know that he's fairly good at like mostly associatives, but also very good at just vomiting meta and theory based reasoning @ the thread
i think this vote is pretty firmly within his scumrange but like, reading the content sincerely it's a kinda surface level towny vote
but ph0enix is now flipped town
and karnage is now flipped town
so he's tossing over a t/t dichotomy which he recognises is likely a t/t dichotomy and decides he wants to systematically murder both of them
it's kinda nagl (not a good look) but then againnnnnn TSE does a lot of things which aren't a good look as both alignments and has an intentionally polarising playstyle
so i'm not really sure i can divine his alignment off this vote
if i had to? i'd hail mary and say town- Wooper
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this anxiety is kinda reminding me of a decision i made a while ago
half #teachingmoment, half life experience
but like, except when you're dealing with a scumsided playerlist (lots of chaotic people, lots of hard to read people, lots of people who are good at playing scum)
i realised that if you can read an action as coming from a town pov, it's probably coming from a town pov. adjust probability levels. you find the scums.
allowing that TSE has a fairly broad scumrange and **could** do that kind of thing + stepping off his titus tunnel etc. as scum, i think he's more /likely/ to do that kind of thing as town
there are a fair few slots in this game who i think have reasonable scum equity
i like tse for town- Wooper
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This is actually a really big reservation I have about it as well. Bluntly like I agree that scum!TSE would look at that TvT and be like "yas I can exploit this". I do think he has the ability, as scum, to play this off as something measured and intentional. But when you look at tendencies of opposing alignments, ~generally~:In post 590, Homura wrote:Kind of on the fence about it. On one hand, I generally trust my gut for players like TSE, but feel now that I may have gotten the wrong impression of him.
Like, I see what you mean about his town and scumrange being broad, but looking at the timing of his vote on Ph0enix it felt a lot more beneficial for scum!TSE? Both Luciano and I were pushing Ph0enix and his reasoning for his sheep vote amounted to wanting Ph0enix as a policy lynch. 403 felt like he was townspewing Ph0enix despite his subsequent vote on him. Find it hard to see that vote coming from a town-motivated perspective.
- scum do things engineered to look 'good'. more artificial, 'clean' things have a tendency to come from scum.
- town do things based on how they feel, and what their brain is actually presenting as a solve. there's always a temptation to push people for like "bad" play, or stuff that looks bad in hindsight, but paradoxically sloppy-and-inperfect-but-sincere things are more likely to come from town.
like going at ph0enix over karnage was more confusing and *felt* more opportunistic
the fact he voted ph0enix despite calling him/karnage effective t/t in the same post *felt* ridiculous.
I'm just kinda wondering if this is actually too outlandish to legitimately come from scum!TSE.
like if he's scum, as a self-aware player, what's his motivation in making it?
what it accomplishes is making him look worse if it's outed that ph0enix/karnage are actually t/t. or he's trying to mindscrew us so that some crazy townie like me looks back at it and thinks that it's too bizarre to come from scum. which is possible but like somewhat vaguely less likely
i hope this makes some semblance of sense. i'm anxious about this read because at a meta level, TSE is someone whodoesdo weird stuff as either alignment. but i also only care about meta as far as it defines people's scum vs. town ranges - i wish i felt confident enough to call him like locktown but i'm not 100% sure. but the more i strip it back, i'm kinda thinking that level of sloppiness is likely town-indicative as well.
can definitely understand where you're coming from btw; i don't dislike your read at all. i think i'm just trying to go a level ~deeper~ and work out if he's scum, what his motivation was when he made the post- Wooper
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in an ideal world we'd have a cop/clearing TPR on someone like {tse, non} - slight preference for non because ://
unfortunately we either have a tracker, a FN or nothing so
:shrug:
i guess a tracker can get guilties which is cool - if they track anyone who goes to anyone they're auto-scum bc the tracker would be the only TPR left alive
so anyone visiting someone else is either a goon or the rolecop- Wooper
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ok i ended up rambling i'm tired
the key take-away: if we have a tracker, we need to lynch scum to get reliable action results.
if we have a FN, then like if anyone got a "____ is town!" pm from the mod, they should act as though they townread that person, but not really explain it in much detail.
but i'd prefer to swing into reads because we lost our most powerful town power role n1
readlist to follow tomorrow - i'm waiting on a couple of things first. - Wooper
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