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- LuckyLuciano
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I've pretty much caught up on the DP. I'm going to be heading to sleep soon though. My preliminary thoughts are as follows (These were all notes being posted in the order I took them):
- Leaning scum on TSE. If TSE is scum, we are playing setup A or B. #30 likely to come from scum within a PR mafia that is looking for town to hint that the Goon + Goon theory is wrong. Any town that knows the setup is not C would only know so because they are a power role.
-- Further, in my initial reading, an again in my rereading, while I agree that the usage of "mafioso" could be a town slip (LR is a new player using the lingo he is used to, if the official lingo for mafioso on MS is Mafia Goon, then the term mafioso wouldn't be at the forefront of a new scum's mind when referring to mafia), I highly dislike it being called a "sorta" townslip. Either he believes it's a townslip or not. To even call this out as a town slip is rather acute analysis, and as town I believe he would read it more strongly. As mafia, he is incentivized to avoid heavily establishing townies as innocent. The whole post feels artificially constructed such for the reasons listed above, but also so that in event of a mislynch he can come back and say he read LR as a town early on in order to try and get town cred.
- Leaning town on QQ. This sort of play, in my experience, never comes from a truly new player. He either has experience on MS and is an alt account who actually shouldn't be in the game, or he has off-site experience. Either way, he's either trolling or actually trying to win. If he's trolling then it isn't work reading him. If he's trying to win, then there is a rationale behind his post. [I'm redacting the rest of my notes here as it is more beneficial to mafia than town.]
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Follow-up on TSE
- I dislike #31 and #35.
-- #31, TSE appears to be consistently avoiding taking a stance. Sure, it's the earliest stages of the game where reads are weakest, but that is even more reason for town to pursue their gut reads in order to generate discussion and establish behavioral reads. Mafia benefits from leaving as many doors open by avoiding a static advocacy. In my experience, players who stay light on their feet are more often mafia than town. As town, players are less likely to even consider the need to change their views until a reason to do so is presented. As a figure of speech, they navigate through the DP with their feet more firmly planted.
-- #35 Let's break down his logic. TSE claims that if there is a mafia PR listed in the mafia pm, then it would not be normal for a player who has read that mafia pm to use the term, "Mafioso." This is because, while "mafioso" may be their default lingo when referring to mafia, this would be subconsciously replaced by the specified name for the mafia role provided in the role pm. Therefore, either (1) there is no mafia power role in the mafia pm, or (2) LR is town and has not read the mafia pm. (1) is a faulty deduction because even lacking a power role, the mafia pm should still state that the players are mafia goons, and that specified name for the mafia players would still override "mafioso" in LR's subconscious. As TSE is an SE player, it's possible that he has made this logical mistake before in the past. If he can go through his own meta and show an instance in which he's done so as town, I would read this as NAI. Absent a case of him having done this before as town, it feels like artificial analysis and he looks like scum to me.
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- Titus is probably town. Of all players in the game, they have shown the most consistent conviction in their reads and development thereof. Even when people cling to RVS, Titus is trying to progress the game so that the town have substantive interactions to build reads off of.
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- Cheeky is also town; for similar reasons as Titus.
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- Scum is probably between TSE, Phoenix, Karnage, and Phi (Homura). Even though the Phi slot hasn't posted substance yet, I'm leaning town on everyone else so far so by PoE he's in this group. Reads can change later on, but I'm fine with a DP1 lynch of any of the above pending reasons to vote otherwise. As TSE is my strongest scumread atm, VOTE: TSE.- LuckyLuciano
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What is their scum meta?In post 210, TrueSoulEnergy wrote:VOTE: CheekyTeeky
I think there playing in their scum meta.
LL is Town.- LuckyLuciano
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14 This comes on strong and possible aggressive. Even though it's meant to be humorous and lackadaisical, I find it less likely for mafia to enter like this.In post 216, Titus wrote:@LL, I like your entry.
Can you elaborate on why Cheeky is town? I don't see it.
15 NAI
23 I thought the exact same thing while obvserving. You said you would put on your SE hat when a wagon started, and then moved to stop the wagon the moment it started picking up momentum. I understand why you ($Titus) hopped off the wagon and by no mean think it was the wrong move, but I also thought it was odd just like Cheeky did here. With me having access to my own role pm and knowing I'm town, and having thought that before even having a role pm (I think as a town while observing), this post makes me lean town on Cheeky through transposition. Also, it looks here like Cheeky is natural building reads.
39 NAI
40 NAI
41 Lean town. This read is the converse of why I lean town on TSE in 35
42 Null. Could have enough reasons now to justify a vote (town) or finally have someone to scapegoat if things go south (mafia).
93 Null. Both town and mafia have reason to drop votes on people using this sort of shtick.
95 Null. I'd need to read Cheeky's meta for this. In my experience, mafia are more likely to invoke OMGUS, but - and this is purely anecdotal and not meant to offend anyone - so are women of any alignment.
96 Null. Titus has been her target all game, it makes sense why QQ would be a consideration at this point.
102 Lean town. I thought this while observing as well. Lean town by transposition.
105 Lean town. Mafia doesn't want to generate discussion as to why their mislynch target is town.
126 NAI
127 Lean town. Still trying to generate content in the DP to base the final lynch vote on. More content is better for town.
134 NAI.
136 Lean town. Non-leading and non-aggressive questioning that gives an opportunity for someone she suspect's to give an unfiltered answer that might be alignment indicative.
141 Null. I'd like to see a bit more prodding here from town. The overall state of the game at the time of this post explains the dispassion, however.
143 Lean town. Scum could use QQ as an easy lynch, but instead Cheeky is leveling with QQ, and trying to get players to take meaningful stances. All the while Cheeky is taking a meaningful stance pretty consistently, much like I said Titus has been. Note how these two contrast from TSE, who stays light on his feet even when making reads.
144 Null. If 141 is coming from town|cheeky, this this post is town.
145 Null.
154 Lean town. I would feel the same way if I was in the game already playing as town trying to be productive and everyone else is either posting nonsense or still needs to catch up to contribute.
155 Lean town. Despite ^above, still pushing the DP forward.
181 Null. The actual gameplay pattern cheeky mentions, however, I believe is accurate. In beginner games hosted on my former site, experienced players tended to avoid other experienced players as scum and opted to NK them early.
182 Lean town. While town take firm stances and scum do not, town still changes their stance when a reason arises to do so. Scum have to force cases to make them work and are far more likely to tunnel, and less likely to drop such an easy lynch target as QQ so lightly.
184 Lean town. Consistent with her play thus far and the reasons listed above.
191 Lean town. Wants information to act off of, but understands the value of a reaction test and doesn't try to tear it down so that they can be in-the-know.
198 Lean town. As always, trying to generate content.
199 Lean town. See above.
205 Null. Is it the case on mafiascum that scum players never make cases early?
207 NAI.
208 Lean scum. This is the one post I don't really like. If this is true, why not bring it up before I entered the game? Could be null, and probably is, but explaining why is less valuable than seeing how @Cheeky responds.
Yes. Lynches provide information. I'd rather lynch using a random number generator DP1 than no lynch, absent a setup that makes a no lynch advantageous. Granted that we have content to analyze, we've moved beyond the necessity of using RNG to determine a lynch target and have reasons to lynch or not lynch certain players based upon their behavior. Everyone outside of the 4 players I've mentioned have exhibited behavior or insight that leads me to not want to lynch them on DP1. I think that lynching on DP1 is good, and I think that lynching one of the 3 players in my bucket that I do null read provides more value than lynching a player I town read. This value is generated through multiple worlds theory. Assuming players who act town are town more often than not, and players who do not are town less often than so, lynching a player who does not act town will benefit the town in more worlds than it does not, and vice versa.In post 217, Ph0enix wrote:
So in the scenario where you no longer SR TSE, you are going to want to lynch anyone of the other 3 despite you not SRing them?In post 204, LuckyLuciano wrote:My only scumread is TSE. My scumbucket, or the pool of players who I currently think could be scum, consists of 4 players. I'm willing to lynch any of the 4 this DP, but I'd prefer TSE.- LuckyLuciano
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Phoenix is the second scum btw.In post 223, CheekyTeeky wrote:So I've voted both Titus and TSE and both have scumread me in return. Tap TR is strengthened by the timing of their vote on me although I do not understand their logic.
I'm currently at:
Tap, LL, Phoenix
Homura, Lunar, QQ
Titus, TSE- LuckyLuciano
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I'd rather not elaborate the case and split the wagon that I'm trying to build on TSE when over half the players in this game are inactive or disinterested. Just know if we lynch TSE and he flips scum, and I die in the night, that you lynch Phoenix tomorrow.In post 229, CheekyTeeky wrote:Oh I forgot Karnage will skim his ISO in a bit.
Pedit: what? Why is Phoenix scum?- LuckyLuciano
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You are missing the point entirely. You are saying that TSE more strongly believes that there are 2 mafia goons than LR making a townslip is indicative of him being town, but there is no reason for town!TSE to uniquely believe this. There is, however, unique reason for scum!TSE to believe this, he knows that there are two goons. The saving-face part of the analysis is the less important part.In post 233, Homura wrote:Spoiler:
Not convinced by your analysis of 30. I can see your rationale, but considering the context of the post (early game, barely post-RVS), it's far out to say TSE was trying spin Lunar's mafioso comment into a setup slip. From 30 and 35 it's evident TSE leaned on the latter of the two scenarios he presented, and therefore the wording of "sorta townslip" implies he didn't believe it was one. Subsequently, scum!TSE can't claim he read Lunar as town in case of a mislynch.
Phoenix is scum and Tapioca is new.In post 233, Homura wrote: WRT 31, feel like you're specifically taking issue with TSE taking Titus's vote progression as NAI when both Tapioca and Phoenix also took it as such. I found it NAI and leaned town-indicative only after Titus elaborated. What's different with TSE?
Fluff with potential. In other words, TSE gets to be active without meaningfully contributing to the DP, and if Titus doesn't give a good defense, then TSE can go for the easy mislynch target of QQ and still not have to combat Titus later on as he's tied his scum!Titus read to scum!QQ, allowing him to stay light on his feet when QQ flips town.In post 234, Homura wrote:What do you think of the TSE-Titus exchange in posts 164-168?
Look, the mafia is between TSE, Phoenix, you, and Karnage. TSE might be town, but if we lynch within this group we win. Unless strong reason can be given to lynch somebody outside of this pool, let's just start dropping the votes. DP1 has shown an immense amount of disinterest and inactivity with numerous replacements. Let's just get a lynch and move on to DP2. We'll have far more information from (1) the flip, (2) the NK, and (3) night phase actions. Dragging on DP1 is just going to cause players to further lose interest.- LuckyLuciano
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Could you give an example?In post 239, TrueSoulEnergy wrote:
Sheepyish.In post 213, LuckyLuciano wrote:
What is their scum meta?In post 210, TrueSoulEnergy wrote:VOTE: CheekyTeeky
I think there playing in their scum meta.
LL is Town.
No. I'm more inclined to believe phoenix is scum than Karnage. My position is simple. I believe lynching DP1 is net positive to the town in comparison to no lynching, absent reason derived from the setup to no lynch. I have reason specific to each player not in my scum bucket to believe they are town. I'd rather lynch someone who has not shown themselves to be town than someone who has. Just because I'm willing to lynch someone does not mean I think that they are scum. Who would you like to lynch this dp?In post 240, TrueSoulEnergy wrote:Spoiler:
Fair.
And I’m actually not great at communicating.
I’m better at getting good reads/solves.
So you say you lean scum on Karnage yes?- LuckyLuciano
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In post 215, Karnage wrote:
elaborateIn post 201, LuckyLuciano wrote:Scum is probably between TSE, Phoenix, Karnage, and Phi (Homura)In post 257, Karnage wrote:
Would the player who willingly replaced into this game, just perhaps, like to respond to the post below?In post 232, LuckyLuciano wrote:Would the players who willingly signed up for this game, just perhaps, like to play the game?In post 215, Karnage wrote:
elaborateIn post 201, LuckyLuciano wrote:Scum is probably between TSE, Phoenix, Karnage, and Phi (Homura)In post 203, Ph0enix wrote:@LL: Could you elaborate more on your scumreads, TSE excluded? Also, are you putting everyone you haven't townread as possible scum because you genuinely suspect them? Because if it's due to the fact that you have insufficient information for a given player, especially on D1, one usually gives them a null read. I mean, having 4 scumreads in the middle of D1 is a bit much, I find.
How many times are you two going to ask the same question before reading what I post? I've answered this three times, including in my first post in the game.In post 254, Ph0enix wrote:@Cheeky: Could you elaborate a bit more on your readslist in 223?
Same goes for TSE's townreads.
And LL's "scumbucket".
In post 201, LuckyLuciano wrote:- Scum is probably between TSE, Phoenix, Karnage, and Phi (Homura). Even though the Phi slot hasn't posted substance yet,Spoiler:I'm leaning town on everyone else so far so by PoE he's in this group.Reads can change later on, but I'm fine with a DP1 lynch of any of the above pending reasons to vote otherwise. As TSE is my strongest scumread atm, VOTE: TSE.In post 204, LuckyLuciano wrote:My only scumread is TSE. My scumbucket, or the pool of players who I currently think could be scum, consists of 4 players. I'm willing to lynch any of the 4 this DP, but I'd prefer TSE.In post 221, LuckyLuciano wrote:Spoiler:
Yes. Lynches provide information. I'd rather lynch using a random number generator DP1 than no lynch, absent a setup that makes a no lynch advantageous. Granted that we have content to analyze, we've moved beyond the necessity of using RNG to determine a lynch target and have reasons to lynch or not lynch certain players based upon their behavior.In post 217, Ph0enix wrote:
So in the scenario where you no longer SR TSE, you are going to want to lynch anyone of the other 3 despite you not SRing them?In post 204, LuckyLuciano wrote:My only scumread is TSE. My scumbucket, or the pool of players who I currently think could be scum, consists of 4 players. I'm willing to lynch any of the 4 this DP, but I'd prefer TSE.Everyone outside of the 4 players I've mentioned have exhibited behavior or insight that leads me to not want to lynch them on DP1. I think that lynching on DP1 is good, and I think that lynching one of the 3 players in my bucket that I do null read provides more value than lynching a player I town read.This value is generated through multiple worlds theory. Assuming players who act town are town more often than not, and players who do not are town less often than so, lynching a player who does not act town will benefit the town in more worlds than it does not, and vice versa.- LuckyLuciano
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This was answered days ago.In post 309, TrueSoulEnergy wrote:In post 283, TrueSoulEnergy wrote:In post 241, TrueSoulEnergy wrote:In post 214, Karnage wrote:
I dont know about their meta but I didn't like 205In post 210, TrueSoulEnergy wrote:VOTE: CheekyTeeky
I think there playing in their scum meta.
LL is Town.
@CheekyTeekyIn post 205, CheekyTeeky wrote:Wow nice entrance, I'm sold. Both on LL being town and TSEhaving no WIMbecause he'sscum here.
VOTE: TSE
LL is this your first game of mafia?
Elaborate on Bolded.
Cheeky still refuses to respond to this.
So until they do I’m never going to Unvote them.
In post 206, LuckyLuciano wrote:This is my first game on MS. I've played for a few years on the now defunt debate.org. It's been about a year or so since I've played, however. What's WIM?In post 207, CheekyTeeky wrote:I suppose that explains why you present so eloquently. WIM is Want It More, in the context of my usage I would translate as "passion" or "enthusiasm"In post 208, CheekyTeeky wrote:I have played with TSE and have found that he's a verypassionateplayer as town. He hasn't been hitting the right notes for me this game to townread him as yet so why not poke the bear?- LuckyLuciano
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I recommend everyone who is town or phoenix or scum on cheeky to read through https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?f=50&t=81548. Both were town in that game, yet Cheeky's play is identical to here and Phoenix's is far different. Focus primarily on Phoenix's conviction and the aggressiveness in his play. Literally everything he has posted this game has been either fluff and/or non-accusatory. The phrase "I believe" and its variants are omni-present when town!phoenix plays yet have been used 0 times this game. Further, there is a major contradiction between his town play in that game and his opening to this game. https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.p ... #p11445086 He specifically stated,
When questioned by Farren,So I decided to unvote Chazary in order to avoid starting some kind of wagon as with Gyro.
He responded,Why do you want to avoid starting wagons? Or is it something specific about not wanting to start a wagon on chazary specifically?
Yet, this game he willingly let the wagon on Tapi, a new player, build immediately upon game start without hesitation and without unvoting, which according to his past game, he believes would have been the pro-town move.Oh no, it's not player-related. I'm just not a fan of them during RVS, I don't believe they do a good job in providing people with information, and in our case, considering we're in a Newbie game, some players who are less experienced and are at the receiving end of a wagon may panic and slip up because of that, regardless of alignment, which, considering the ratio between Town and Mafia players, is not in Town's favor.
In addition, while I've had Phoenix as gut-scum all game due to his noncommittal play and unnecessary fluffing, me straight out saying he was scum was a reaction test. His reaction of hard OMGUS here directly contradicts the way town!phoenix reacted in that game to being scumread,
UNVOTE: TSE VOTE: Phoenix.So I'll assume my response was unsatisfactory and you still suspect me. Quite interesting.- LuckyLuciano
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I think you, among others, are giving Phoenix far too much towncred for "contributing" when I cannot find one single read he's given in his iso. Given my recent dig into his meta showing that he would rather disrupt wagons on new players by unvoting than let them build, and your town-read on Tapi, are you willing to believe that Phoenix not unvoting Tapi to stop the wagon, and instead asking Titus for their opinion on the wagon, looks at least partially SvT?
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In post 293, Homura wrote:
What's your read of me, Cheeky?In post 279, CheekyTeeky wrote:I think the rest of my reads are pretty self-explanatory.
Is this valuable information? Why?In post 294, Homura wrote:
Same question for you.In post 281, TrueSoulEnergy wrote:I’m liking Titus enthusiasm this game.
LL had a Townie entrance
Phoenix is contributioning quite a bit. In a more Townie way then scummy.
Tap’s interaction with me felt Genuine Town.- LuckyLuciano
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I don't know how else you want me to say exactly what I have been. Every other player in the game, I believe have shown signs of being town. These 4 players have not. Obviously not all 4 of them are scum, there are only 2 scum in this game. They are the 4 players thatIn post 331, Karnage wrote:
I'm asking you to go deeper into why you have the reads you do. You say these four players are in your scumbucket but you don't give any real reasons for whyIn post 317, LuckyLuciano wrote:How many times are you two going to ask the same question before reading what I post? I've answered this three times, including in my first post in the game.couldbe scum. Some of them I have reason to believe on scum, others are in there simply through process of elimination.- LuckyLuciano
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Yes.In post 334, Ph0enix wrote:@LL: Do you genuinely believe that people display similar play depending on what their alignment is? I don't think that's the case.
What wagon from which game prompted this change in views? Is this the first game where you have decided that early wagons are valuable?In post 334, Ph0enix wrote:There are some things in the game you are referring to that I wish I had done differently as well as things I think I did right. I'm taking all of this into account for my future games. You can't expect people to behave in the same way when they play a certain role/alignment - it changes, especially when it comes to newbies, like myself. I guess, if you are talking about veterans that have played hundreds of games, there could be an argument that there is a certain pattern when they are playing Town, for example. But to make the same assumptions for a guy for whom this is his 4th game on site? No no no. Definitely not. What I've learned, for example, is that early wagons can potentially provide valuable information.
You replaced in on DP2 in 1976. It's pointless to use that game at this juncture as a proper read of your scum meta. DP1 plays out far differently than the rest of the game.In post 334, Ph0enix wrote:So I didn't judge the people on the Tap wagon and instead let it be. Do I contradict my past self from 1973 by doing that? Hell yes. Is that AI? Absolutely not. Plus, you are referring to 1973, but what about 1976 where I was scum and I played, dare I say, in almost the exact same way I did in 1973? So, same playstyle, different alignments. Here, in this game the playstyle is apparently different from the other two games, where the playstyles are similar. So if that's the case, how is that AI?
I am wondering, actually. Why is this the case?In post 334, Ph0enix wrote:In regard to your apparent reaction test on me. Here's one thing that's different from when I played my first game on site. Interpret it however you like - OMGUS gets a bad rap. If you accuse me of being scum right out of the gate without providing reasoning and just simply claiming it, I'm voting you and you should not wonder why I'm voting you. Period.
Yes.In post 334, Ph0enix wrote:"I think you, among others, are giving Phoenix far too much towncred for "contributing" when I cannot find one single read he's given in his iso." - Is giving reads the only thing that equals contributing in your opinion? If yes, well then I can see how you see my posts as fluff. If not, then how are my posts fluff, exactly?- LuckyLuciano
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Why is it that,In post 342, Ph0enix wrote:
Why is what the case? The phrasing confused me here.In post 338, LuckyLuciano wrote: I am wondering, actually. Why is this the case?In post 334, Ph0enix wrote:If you accuse me of being scum right out of the gate without providing reasoning and just simply claiming it, I'm voting you and you should not wonder why I'm voting you. Period.- LuckyLuciano
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Answering questions for other people, or derailing those questions before they are answered, does not help the town.In post 336, Ph0enix wrote:
I thought you were fond of reads, what's the problem?In post 324, LuckyLuciano wrote:In post 293, Homura wrote:
What's your read of me, Cheeky?In post 279, CheekyTeeky wrote:I think the rest of my reads are pretty self-explanatory.
Is this valuable information? Why?In post 294, Homura wrote:
Same question for you.In post 281, TrueSoulEnergy wrote:I’m liking Titus enthusiasm this game.
LL had a Townie entrance
Phoenix is contributioning quite a bit. In a more Townie way then scummy.
Tap’s interaction with me felt Genuine Town.- LuckyLuciano
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Elabortate.In post 339, Ph0enix wrote:
1976 started with a very early wagon and it's what got the game going. Granted, I was not there when it happened as I replaced, but still, form a Town POV I think Town managed to gain information from that.In post 338, LuckyLuciano wrote: What wagon from which game prompted this change in views? Is this the first game where you have decided that early wagons are valuable?
My mistake, you replaced in 330 posts into a DP1 which is still far different than starting the game as mafia. You understood the point I was making.In post 341, Ph0enix wrote:
But I replaced on D1.In post 338, LuckyLuciano wrote: You replaced in on DP2 in 1976. It's pointless to use that game at this juncture as a proper read of your scum meta. DP1 plays out far differently than the rest of the game.- LuckyLuciano
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Why don't you try?In post 349, Ph0enix wrote:
If you think it needs explaining in the first place, I can't possibly explain it to you.In post 345, LuckyLuciano wrote:Spoiler:
Why is it that,In post 334, Ph0enix wrote:If you accuse me of being scum right out of the gate without providing reasoning and just simply claiming it, I'm voting you and you should not wonder why I'm voting you. Period.
If you think so, then perhaps if you really are town you should sit on the sideline and let more experienced town find the scum.In post 349, Ph0enix wrote:
Such questions won't help much, either.LuckyLuciano wrote: Answering questions for other people, or derailing those questions before they are answered, does not help the town.- LuckyLuciano
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@Phoenix, who would you like to lynch this dp?In post 350, Ph0enix wrote:
You gotta be kidding me.In post 348, LuckyLuciano wrote:@Phoenix, who would you like to lynch this dp?- LuckyLuciano
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This chain of events literally lead to a mislynch on DP1. You stated in a prior game that you dislike wagons because new players mishandle them and get misread as scum. And you are now citing a wagon, which was mishandled by a new player, which then led to that new player being lynched, as your inspiration for changing your views. Am I reading this correctly?In post 351, Ph0enix wrote:
It led to Norway accusing Map for his post he made when he joined the wagon.In post 347, LuckyLuciano wrote:
Elaborate.In post 339, Ph0enix wrote:
1976 started with a very early wagon and it's what got the game going. Granted, I was not there when it happened as I replaced, but still, form a Town POV I think Town managed to gain information from that.In post 338, LuckyLuciano wrote: What wagon from which game prompted this change in views? Is this the first game where you have decided that early wagons are valuable?
Norway's push led to people questioning him.
Which led to an exchange between the players.
Which led to post 75 in that game.
Which led to GBJ's questionable vote on Norway.
Norway's post during that time regarding the events above made people TR him.
etc...- LuckyLuciano
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Do you still believe that new players could make mistakes when facing a wagon on them that causes them to be misread as scum?
Do you believe that town can establish town cred without wagoning new players and putting them under the sort of pressure that, as you stated, could cause them to make mistakes and be misread as scum?
What is the value of town cred anyway?- LuckyLuciano
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Why?In post 356, Ph0enix wrote:
As of now, the one asking the question.In post 353, LuckyLuciano wrote:
@Phoenix, who would you like to lynch this dp?In post 350, Ph0enix wrote:
You gotta be kidding me.In post 348, LuckyLuciano wrote:@Phoenix, who would you like to lynch this dp?- LuckyLuciano
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[/quote]In post 360, Ph0enix wrote:
Mistakes, probably. Harsh enough to be seen as scum? Not so sure.In post 357, LuckyLuciano wrote:Do you still believe that new players could make mistakes when facing a wagon on them that causes them to be misread as scum?
Do you believe that town can establish town cred without wagoning new players and putting them under the sort of pressure that, as you stated, could cause them to make mistakes and be misread as scum?
What is the value of town cred anyway?
I don't know.
Rephrase the question, please.
How do you define town cred, and why is it an important concept?
With what have we, 8ish days played and 360 posts made, the only thing that has happened thus far that has sparked any desire for a lynch as the day draws closer to its end is the fact that somebody thinks you are mafia? Nothing else has caught your eye? Nothing else stands out to you?In post 360, Ph0enix wrote:
Are you not fond of the fact that I made a push on you, or about the details of the push?In post 361, Ph0enix wrote:
I'm not particularly fond of your push on me.LuckyLuciano wrote:
Why?In post 356, Ph0enix wrote: As of now, the one asking the question.
In post 360, Ph0enix wrote:
I don't know.LuckyLuciano wrote:In addition, if for some reason the moderator intervened and said I could not be lynched this dp, who would you lynch in my stead?- LuckyLuciano
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I'm going to fix up that last post.
How do you define town cred, and why is it an important concept?In post 360, Ph0enix wrote:
Mistakes, probably. Harsh enough to be seen as scum? Not so sure.In post 357, LuckyLuciano wrote:Do you still believe that new players could make mistakes when facing a wagon on them that causes them to be misread as scum?
Do you believe that town can establish town cred without wagoning new players and putting them under the sort of pressure that, as you stated, could cause them to make mistakes and be misread as scum?
What is the value of town cred anyway?
I don't know.
Rephrase the question, please.
Are you not fond of the fact that I made a push on you, or about the details of the push?In post 360, Ph0enix wrote:In post 361, Ph0enix wrote:
I'm not particularly fond of your push on me.LuckyLuciano wrote:
Why?In post 356, Ph0enix wrote: As of now, the one asking the question.
With what have we, 8ish days played and 360 posts made, the only thing that has happened thus far that has sparked any desire for a lynch as the day draws closer to its end is the fact that somebody thinks you are mafia? Nothing else has caught your eye? Nothing else stands out to you?[/quote]In post 360, Ph0enix wrote:
I don't know.LuckyLuciano wrote:In addition, if for some reason the moderator intervened and said I could not be lynched this dp, who would you lynch in my stead?- LuckyLuciano
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@Phoenix, if you could address this, that would be great.
Why don't you try?In post 349, Ph0enix wrote:
If you think it needs explaining in the first place, I can't possibly explain it to you.In post 345, LuckyLuciano wrote:Spoiler:
Why is it that,In post 334, Ph0enix wrote:If you accuse me of being scum right out of the gate without providing reasoning and just simply claiming it, I'm voting you and you should not wonder why I'm voting you. Period.- LuckyLuciano
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First off, I didn't vote you, I just said you were scum without context in 228. Second, if I gain no information from a reaction test, that does mean the reaction test isn't worth trying. However, I do think your reaction is very curious. Are you claiming that you reacted by voting me as a reaction test to see if I would vote you back? Further, why do you care if somebody thinks you are scum?In post 365, Ph0enix wrote:
1)You are Town and do this to get a reaction:In post 352, LuckyLuciano wrote:
Why don't you try?In post 349, Ph0enix wrote:
If you think it needs explaining in the first place, I can't possibly explain it to you.In post 345, LuckyLuciano wrote:Spoiler:
Why is it that,In post 334, Ph0enix wrote:If you accuse me of being scum right out of the gate without providing reasoning and just simply claiming it, I'm voting you and you should not wonder why I'm voting you. Period.
Scenario A) I ignore the vote and don't make much of it
Scenario B) I do what I did and vote you
So scenario A is NAI and scenario B can easily be misinterpreted, so I wouldn't rely on it, either.
2) You are Scum:
Scenario A) I ignore the vote and don't make much of it
Scenario B) I do what I did and vote you
Scenario 2 is still NAI, scenario B gives you a reason to start a push on me.
So you either gain no information, or start a push on me because of me voting you. I think there's better ways to gain information and judge someone than this one.
"If you think so, then perhaps if you really are town you should sit on the sideline and let more experienced town find the scum."
Are you referring to yourself here?- LuckyLuciano
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Why? How does not answering this question benefit the town?
We only discovered recently that an extension was being granted. At what point were you planning to advocate a no lynch? In particular, when Titus moved their vote to Cheeky, putting her at L-1, in 307, you questioned the motive. When she stated it was due to the deadline, why did you not begin advocating a no lynch?In post 366, Ph0enix wrote:"With what have we, 8ish days played and 360 posts made, the only thing that has happened thus far that has sparked any desire for a lynch as the day draws closer to its end is the fact that somebody thinks you are mafia? Nothing else has caught your eye? Nothing else stands out to you?"
I'm a fan of NL instead of random lynch, so if I don't have enough information, which I don't, imo, I'd rather abstain.
Is your vote on me because my reasoning is incorrect, or because it feels artificial?In post 366, Ph0enix wrote:"Are you not fond of the fact that I made a push on you, or about the details of the push?"
The latter. I don't mind people calling me out on my bullshit. There's not much for you to call me out on, that's the point.- LuckyLuciano
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Is it questionable to think that a player might be scum because they take a course of action that contradicts how they claimed to play the game as town in the past? I understand that you are claiming you have changed your views on early wagons, but do you really believe that finding such a change in behavior suspicious is questionable?In post 370, Ph0enix wrote:
I did wrote "ignore the vote" in the previous post, my bad.In post 368, LuckyLuciano wrote: First off, I didn't vote you, I just said you were scum without context in 228. Second, if I gain no information from a reaction test, that does mean the reaction test isn't worth trying. However, I do think your reaction is very curious. Are you claiming that you reacted by voting me as a reaction test to see if I would vote you back? Further, why do you care if somebody thinks you are scum?
What, no? I did because if you make such a reaction test, as I pointed out in a previous post in 2/4 scenarios you gain no information and in the other 2/4 scenarios you gain information which can be easily misinterpreted if you're Town and used as a straight up reason for a vote if you're scum. All in all, I see more value in the reaction test from a scum POV.
It's not that you think I'm scum, it's that you're making a push on me with questionable reasoning.- LuckyLuciano
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I expect a two-part answer. First, how do you define town cred? Second, why is it important? Generally if you don't know why answering a question would help the town, but there isn't reason for it to harm the town, you should answer the question. If it is not harmful to the town to take a course of action, then the result must either be zero sum or net-positive.In post 372, Ph0enix wrote:"Why? How does not answering this question benefit the town?"
How does it do? And quite frankly, it is such a broad question that I don't know what answer you expect.
What's the point of advocating a no lynch if you are just going to watch a lynch happen in front of you that you do not necessarily agree with?In post 372, Ph0enix wrote:"We only discovered recently that an extension was being granted. At what point were you planning to advocate a no lynch? In particular, when Titus moved their vote to Cheeky, putting her at L-1, in 307, you questioned the motive. When she stated it was due to the deadline, why did you not begin advocating a no lynch?"
Should've been more clear, I meant NL on my part, as in, me not voting, not no lynching in general.
Why is being incorrect scum? Have you ever been wrong as town before?In post 372, Ph0enix wrote:"Is your vote on me because my reasoning is incorrect, or because it feels artificial?"
The former. What do you mean by artificial?
When I use the word artificial - or fabricated - to discuss the detail's of a player's action, I mean to call into question whether a town player would naturally find reason to take that course of action. Often times when scum do things they have to contrive a reason for doing so. So when I ask if you find my push on you to be artificial, I am asking if you believe a town player might naturally make that push for the reasons in which I decided to do so, or if only a scum player would make that push on you. Consider this, if the majority of the town is town-reading you, why would I start a last minute push against you as scum instead of just night-killing you? Why does it make sense for scum!Lucky to start a random push on you when it would require convincing so many people that they are wrong about you? Short of scum!Cheeky + scum!Lucky it makes more sense for scum!Lucky to not stir up discussion and just let town!Cheeky get lynched, no? (Yes, I know this is mad WIFOM, but I consider WIFOM scenarios a lot when I play as my reads are made by looking at motivations).- LuckyLuciano
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So are you claiming that reading someone as scum without absolutely certainty is questionable? What degree of certainty is required for a scum-read to be reasonable?In post 373, Ph0enix wrote:
Given the fact that said player does not have a defined style of play and you are judging off of two games alone, yes.In post 371, LuckyLuciano wrote: Is it questionable to think that a player might be scum because they take a course of action that contradicts how they claimed to play the game as town in the past? I understand that you are claiming you have changed your views on early wagons, but do you really believe that finding such a change in behavior suspicious is questionable?- LuckyLuciano
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In addition, why is it that my push on TSE was not reason enough for you to vote me, Phoenix? By the reasoning you are providing now, my push against him should be equally as questionable as my push against you. It seems that the only difference between the two, to be frank, is that one of them accuses you of being scum, and the other does not.- LuckyLuciano
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I must have missed it, can you show me where in this DP you ever tried to convince somebody that there was either (A) a better lynch alternative than Cheeky, or (B) that a no lynch would be better than lynching Cheeky. You literally watched the wagon build up and now you are saying that all you could do to stop it is /shrug and throw your hands in the air.In post 379, Ph0enix wrote:
"What's the point of advocating a no lynch if you are just going to watch a lynch happen in front of you that you do not necessarily agree with?"
Can you stop saying I'm advocating for a NL? If there's a lynch happening that I don't agree with and I can't convince the people on the wagon that there's about to be a mislynch or that there's a better lynch alternative, what am I supposed to do?
It is incorrect that your play as town in another game contradicts your play as town in this game? By stating that you have changed your style are you not conceding that your current play contradicts your former play?In post 379, Ph0enix wrote:"Why is being incorrect scum? Have you ever been wrong as town before?"
It isn't necessarily. When you base your push solely on things that are incorrect, though, I think a line should be drawn.
Which means what, exactly?In post 379, Ph0enix wrote:"So are you claiming that reading someone as scum without absolutely certainty is questionable? What degree of certainty is required for a scum-read to be reasonable?"
Reading someone as scum should be justified.
So you only found my case against TSE questionable after I said you are scum? Interesting. I really am enjoying this exchange. You know that shovel I gave you a few hours ago when this conversation started? I would appreciate it if you could return it to me for future use after you are lynched.In post 379, Ph0enix wrote:"In addition, why is it that my push on TSE was not reason enough for you to vote me, Phoenix? By the reasoning you are providing now, my push against him should be equally as questionable as my push against you. It seems that the only difference between the two, to be frank, is that one of them accuses you of being scum, and the other does not."
Cause I reread your case on TSE only when I already had voted you as I pointed out in 304.- LuckyLuciano
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@Phoenix, at this point I'm really just waiting for others to chime in. I feel that I've made my point. The one thing you have going for you is not hammering Cheeky when you had the chance, but that's partially off-set by what could be scum!Phoenix trying to get a good reason to hammer from town!Titus. Either way I've convinced by the extent to which you find the mere possibility of somebody viewing you as scum repulsive that your play this game is either bad!town or !scum.- LuckyLuciano
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Spoiler:
Spoiler:
Spoiler:
I'm just dropping this here for later use. The one thing I do want to point out as striking me as suspicious - among other things - is the following in conjunction:
Karnage says Phoenix is scum without giving a reason,
Phoenix has been called scum three times. His reactions to QQ and I were OMGUS and votes. He never addressed Karnage calling him scum. His case against me should apply to Karnage as well. A few posts later, Phoenix literally QUOTES the above post and ignores being read as a scum team while asking other players to explain their buddy reads,In post 99, Karnage wrote:I'm leaning town on Titus and TSE atm
tapioca and phoenix would be my guess for scum
everybody else is ???
The hypocrisy of trying to lynch two players for thinking he's scum and at the same time erasing somebody calling you scum as part of a buddy readIn post 110, Ph0enix wrote:Can the people who have provided reads/theories for scumteams and haven't explained the reasoning behind them do so :/
That would be:
Titus wrote: Theory, Karnage Cheeky scumteamTrueSoulEnergy wrote: I don’t think Cheeky is but I do think Karnage could be.
I think that's all. Also, I don't like how Karnage called out TSE in 98 for not providing reasoning behind his theory, but later he posts his townleans without us knowing why he feels this way about the particular people he's leaning town on.Karnage wrote:I'm leaning town on Titus and TSE atmin a post that you made for the purpose of questioning the buddy reads that have been made so faris truly impressive.
Finally, Karnage just randomly rereads Phoenix's iso and decides he's not scum after all, again without reasoning, immediately after Cheeky townreads Phoenix,
What is everyone's thoughts on Karnage + Phoenix as SvS?In post 128, Karnage wrote:
I went back and looked at ph0enix's ISO and I probably judged him too harshly for his reaction to QQ.In post 127, CheekyTeeky wrote:At this point I'm only townreading Phoneix and Tap. We need more wagons or something.
What are you seeing from tap that makes him a town read?- LuckyLuciano
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How does that make someone not scum? If they were mafia do you expect them to claim mafia goon?In post 548, Non lmh wrote:karnage isn't scum, she claimed vt- LuckyLuciano
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It's code for no claim. I saw it when he made the post but in this setup, and somebody more experienced can correct me if I'm wrong as it's a new one for me, I expect mafia will always claim vanilla except under extremely specific circumstances.In post 553, Non lmh wrote:I don't like they're [p]112[/p] though
he intentionally changed letters around in the spoiler
n o c m maybe that's code for no comment, maybe he gave up early on- LuckyLuciano
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lrXIQQ8PeRsIn post 570, Crush wrote:@LL, to me you seem like an analytical player (based on your D1), what do you make of the D1 votes? Everyone else can chime in as well. I have some thoughts on my own, but I'm interested in what you guys think before I share them.- LuckyLuciano
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I've looked a bit at the D1 votes, but I don't dig too deep into them under we have at least 2 DPs of votes to look at. What do you think of 139 and 140, especially with consideration to timestamps?In post 610, Titus wrote:
If LL and Phoenix were scummy for the same reason and the wagons were town motivated, I'd expect LL to get heat not Karnage.In post 576, Homura wrote:Can't parse your question. Karnage was the leading scumread, Luciano the leading townread. The Luciano-Ph0enix interaction factored little into my intent on Karnage. Why do you think Luciano should have been the wagon?- LuckyLuciano
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One player had mentioned at the time that they would policy lynch either Phoenix or myself, whom were both listed as that player's town reads. I made a case against Phoenix. Could you elaborate what you mean when you say that Phoenix and I were scummy for the same reason?In post 610, Titus wrote:
If LL and Phoenix were scummy for the same reason and the wagons were town motivated, I'd expect LL to get heat not Karnage.In post 576, Homura wrote:Can't parse your question. Karnage was the leading scumread, Luciano the leading townread. The Luciano-Ph0enix interaction factored little into my intent on Karnage. Why do you think Luciano should have been the wagon?- LuckyLuciano
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I've looked a bit at the D1 votes, but I don't dig too deep into them under we have at least 2 DPs of votes to look at. What do you think of 139 and 140, especially with consideration to timestamps?In post 570, Crush wrote:@LL, to me you seem like an analytical player (based on your D1), what do you make of the D1 votes? Everyone else can chime in as well. I have some thoughts on my own, but I'm interested in what you guys think before I share them.
EBWOP.- LuckyLuciano
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I am currently looking at the wagon against Cheeky. In 303 Titus put Cheeky at L-1. Phoenix and myself were the only players not on the wagon to post between then and 320 when TSE unvoted Cheeky. If town!cheeky, would scum!TSE unvote here?
In 307 Titus states that her vote moved from Karnage to Cheeky due to deadline concerns. In 314 Plotinus announces there will be an extension when a replacement for tapioca is found, alleviating deadline concerns. Titus then failed to post either after work on a weeknight or before work the following weekday. This is only the second time in the two weeks this game has been going on where this has happened. The prior was during a lull just before I replaced in where the only posts were players prodging and expressing disinterest in the game. I know life happens out of the game, this is just food for thought. I will say, however, that I think TSE and Titus don't make sense as a scumteam, but I feel there is at least one scum between them.- LuckyLuciano
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@Wooper, I may have missed it, but what do you think of Homura?In post 613, LuckyLuciano wrote:
I've looked a bit at the D1 votes, but I don't dig too deep into them under we have at least 2 DPs of votes to look at. What do you think of 139 and 140, especially with consideration to timestamps?In post 610, Titus wrote:
If LL and Phoenix were scummy for the same reason and the wagons were town motivated, I'd expect LL to get heat not Karnage.In post 576, Homura wrote:Can't parse your question. Karnage was the leading scumread, Luciano the leading townread. The Luciano-Ph0enix interaction factored little into my intent on Karnage. Why do you think Luciano should have been the wagon?- LuckyLuciano
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I feel the same about Homura. Prior to replacing in myself, my strongest town reads as an observer were QQ (Crush) and Cheeky (You). The QQ slot is probably my strongest townread in the game. That leaves Titus, Non, and CJN (TSE). We have one mislynch left. Assuming we lynch one of the three aforementioned players this DP, which flip do you believe reveals the most information?In post 622, Wooper wrote:
make sure you get back on top of the weather soon!!In post 620, LuckyLuciano wrote:I don't know why I quoted myself instead of pressing reply. Sorry, I'm a bit under the weather atm.
i'll use rain dance : ]
also i hope you aren't at risk of COVID, stay safe.
Maybe. I live in an exposed area and am getting sick. I'm not going in to work until I am better though. It's doubtful I have COVID, as this time every year, literally within the same 2-3 week time frame in March, my allergies flare up really badly and I get sick in all the same ways I am now.In post 621, Wooper wrote:homura is one of my strongest townreads- LuckyLuciano
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The bolded statement has been bothering me all game. Literally, the following post put Tapi at 3/5. In the span ofIn post 13, Titus wrote:Hi everyone. I am Titus, one of the three SEs this game. There's three of us, so you see three different ways of playing. If you're trying to find scum, you're doing it right. All of us only get better with practice.
The first part of the game is RVS. We randomly vote each other until someone has a serious read somewhere. We then just play.
I'll interrupt in SE voice again when a wagon gets going.
~~~~
VOTE: tapone postfor a wagon to get going. Then instead of interrupting in SE voice, Titus takes the first possible opportunity to disrupt the wagon on the basis of "gut" in 20.- LuckyLuciano
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I'm looking back at Karnage's ISO now that we know he is town. He immediately called out Tapi and Titus both as scum in 64.
When Tapi responds to this post in 76 he removes the parts of the quote where Karnage accuses him of buddying Titus.
Titus' first post after Karnage's entrance is in 72 where she seems to be asking other players to start pressing against Karnage for her. In the interim QQ posts what seems to be nonsense, giving Titus room to make a fluff post in 83 and then after enough time has passed to avoid it looking like OMGUS, Titus votes Karnage in 94. Keep in mind, Titus claims that Karnage is scum with Cheeky, the other player whom immediately began to suspect her of being scum.
I'm still really bothered by the fact that in 220 Titus asked for me to elaborate my townread on Cheeky, which I did in 221 by ISOing every single Cheeky post thus far. When I later asked Titus about this she responded in 424, effectively dismissing the entire analysis as being flawed because early aggression isn't a sign of being town even though she earlier claimed to like my entrance when the largest portion of it was townreading herfor her early aggression.
Non's iso bothers me. All I really gather from it is (A) they want to lynch Cheeky without reason, (B) they are fine with just hammering, also without reason, and (C) they are obsessed with providing bipolar reads of Titus that will inevitably change directions faster than a ping pong ball.- LuckyLuciano
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LuckyLuciano Mafia Scum
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