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Jormengand
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Post Post #662 (isolation #0) » Thu Mar 12, 2020 12:47 am

Post by Jormengand »

Hello, you wanted this slot to post?

I've given everything a read over and I'm kinda lost. Jeez, you people post a LOT.

I'll have a look at things soon, but I'd love it if no-one quickhammers me while I have some lunch and a bath and I'll come back and have a proper look to get a read on people.
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Post Post #669 (isolation #1) » Thu Mar 12, 2020 2:45 am

Post by Jormengand »

Okay so I clearly don't know what's going on, but it seems I haven't been lynched yet. Unfortunately, I don't have any info beyond "Woah, everything's kinda suspicious" and "Wait, please don't lynch me just 'cause I'm a replacement" and maybe "Hey I need to look through and get some reads because I've got no idea who I've got a read on."

And yeah, I guess I can
sorta
see "I don't want anyone to have to deal with being the third sub" because I'm now the third sub and trying to work out what's going on is headachey. On the other hand I don't know that I would want to lynch just to spare someone the effort there.
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Post Post #673 (isolation #2) » Thu Mar 12, 2020 7:52 am

Post by Jormengand »

Player by player:

Jormengand: Absolutely positively the worst.
Doobietime: Seems to be trying to cover bases in a very unusual way, and the thing where she FoSed a counterclaim, got an entire explanation of why that's a bad idea and then went... "Yeah okay sure I can't convince you", I dunno, that seems potentially suspicious.
Clidd: No real read so town on balance of probabilities, probably. If mafia, doing a good job of pretending not to be.
72: In general, I don't like people going "Aha, I have reasons but I'm not gonna tell you!" like in #565, but I know that's in a lot of people's townrange. There's nothing really suspicious about him, but nothing massively exonerating either.
Atarashi: Some decent analysis that makes me want to lean town, but I'm not sure. While I'm not happy that they've been spending a decent amount of time pointing at people who are now me, I'm not certain I can blame them, so I probably lean town on them.
WizenedWalrus: Hasn't had a great deal of chance to post but has been scumhunting a decent bit. Maybe a little eager to jump on people given a chance? Probably town but I'm not certain.
Elmo: A lot of her early reasoning seems to make more sense in context, but I don't totally appreciate someone trying to kill me before I even get a chance to speak.
Menalque: I know that there
exist
town players who make gambits like that, but unfortunately, I don't know Menalque enough to know if he would do that as town but I suspect the answer is "No". Unless he's known for making that kind of gambit?
Iconeum: Conversely, I don't think it would make the CC as mafia. Reads as town to me. I can sorta see the arguments against, but I don't really.
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Post Post #734 (isolation #3) » Fri Mar 13, 2020 3:41 am

Post by Jormengand »

In post 677, 72offsuit wrote:
In post 673, Jormengand wrote:Player by player:

Jormengand: Absolutely positively the worst.
Doobietime: Seems to be trying to cover bases in a very unusual way, and the thing where she FoSed a counterclaim, got an entire explanation of why that's a bad idea and then went... "Yeah okay sure I can't convince you", I dunno, that seems potentially suspicious.
Clidd: No real read so town on balance of probabilities, probably. If mafia, doing a good job of pretending not to be.
72: In general, I don't like people going "Aha, I have reasons but I'm not gonna tell you!" like in #565, but I know that's in a lot of people's townrange. There's nothing really suspicious about him, but nothing massively exonerating either.
Atarashi: Some decent analysis that makes me want to lean town, but I'm not sure. While I'm not happy that they've been spending a decent amount of time pointing at people who are now me, I'm not certain I can blame them, so I probably lean town on them.
WizenedWalrus: Hasn't had a great deal of chance to post but has been scumhunting a decent bit. Maybe a little eager to jump on people given a chance? Probably town but I'm not certain.
Elmo: A lot of her early reasoning seems to make more sense in context, but I don't totally appreciate someone trying to kill me before I even get a chance to speak.
Menalque: I know that there
exist
town players who make gambits like that, but unfortunately, I don't know Menalque enough to know if he would do that as town but I suspect the answer is "No". Unless he's known for making that kind of gambit?
Iconeum: Conversely, I don't think it would make the CC as mafia. Reads as town to me. I can sorta see the arguments against, but I don't really.
OK. So i can see you have a few town leans in there, but not really any specific scumleans.
In the
hypothetical situation
of you having the hammer right at this moment, who would you lynch?
I'm not really suspicious of myself (duh), Clidd, 72, Atarashi, Wizened or Icon, so it would have to be Doobie, Elmo or Menalque. I think Doobie's more SR, Elmo's more SL, and Menalque more just kinda suspicious, so if I had a king vote and no time left to use it, I would probably take off Doobie's head, though I could be persuaded otherwise.
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