VOTE: LucaLuca Blight wrote:VOTE: Prana
Devil be gone!
No U.
Also, my first game back in a while. So expect me to need to shake off some rust. (Ooh, scum preparing to return to this as defense later? Who knows?)
Erm... your theory and your vote don't add up.In post 26, UnaBombaH wrote:Ummmmm, OK.. Weird random votes all around.
I think PranaDevil is scum.
VOTE: LucaBlight
I mean... at this exact moment in time, nobody should be townreading anyone (well... bar one person, but y'know... anyone scum reading them needs a slap).In post 31, GeorgeBailey wrote:To build a wagon. What's the point of RVS if no one is pressured?In post 30, farside wrote:Any reason you switched to a bw vote after a joke vote?
I obviously don't scumread Persival right now. But I don't townread him either.
I'll go with "let's get everyone posting and solidly out of RVS stage", and even then, always question your town reads. Each new day phase double back and check on them just in case. Anyone who is 100% certain someone is town is either a Cop or Scum, or perhaps a Mason at a push.In post 35, Tanner wrote:How many pages does a game have to have before we can start throwing out ideas?
I've seen people enter and just throw a random vote on without paying attention to the thread, especially that early in the game. Not worth the risk.In post 46, GeorgeBailey wrote:What's wrong with putting someone to L-2? Hammering would be an obvious scum claim.In post 42, PranaDevil wrote:The L-2 is more a scum leaning thing in my mind than a faulty town read.
Like, I get this mindset if it was a newbie game, but most people have the incentive to either unvote or not hammer.
Are you somehow suggesting a quick lynch day one is somehow a good thing?In post 48, Drew-Sta wrote:You seem a little averse to votes, if I may say so. Isn't a bullshit lynch a clue to who is mafia? I'm never for townies dying, but I think we're all aware that they do and quite often - that usually gives clues, don't you think?
I threw down two RVS votes, then criticised Tanner for putting them at L-2.In post 53, Drew-Sta wrote:I think my issue is, Prana, that you threw down two votes, then criticised someone else for doing something not dissimilar to you.
I like the theory. Namely that we can look back at the wagon to gain more information.In post 61, UnaBombaH wrote:I'd be interested in a thing I've never seen or done before.
Feel free to call me a dummy dumb-dumb if it suits you, butwhat if we all agree that Wake doesn't vote for anyone today?
Hear me out - we obviously want his input and reads throughout the day as much as possible, simply because he is the only conf.town in the game so far.
But we won't be able to lynch scum 100% of the time D1 anyway, even if we had three conf.townies.
So my point is, thatwhoever we end up lynching D1, and whatever their flip might end up being, the wagon will only consist of unconfirmed players.
Does that make sense for anyone?
That's pretty much what I said.In post 135, mavsfan41 wrote:@Prana Devil: with a counter-claim, that means at least one is scum right? If I were scum and fake claiming Drew’s miller claim, that would effectively be trading one scum for the miller (drew flips miller and I’m lynched as a liar day 2). That’s such a horrible deal for scum and why would I fake claim a miller to force a mislynch of a miller? Drew fake claimed miller cause he thought he could get away with it. Or else he should just fake claim cop/nurse as a last resort. That way a counterclaim outs the cop/nurse. And he’s trading one scum for a townie power role. But to think scum!Mavs would fake counterclaim a miller to force a mislynch of miller!Drew is ludicrous.
No, but usually a counterclaim comes late in the game, not day one to a miller claim, which would lead to them being lynched day 2.In post 157, Drew-Sta wrote:And all counterclaims are right?In post 155, Tanner wrote:Because he's the counterclaim?
I am not a handbag.In post 229, Tanner wrote:Prada
What? No.In post 241, Persivul wrote:- Lynch Drew sooner rather than later.
Interesting theory, and something I'd never considered, but it's definitely worthy of thinking about. I'm still not quite sure I buy a double miller set up though. Have you any thoughts on if we have two millers, or if one of the two is lying?In post 261, farside wrote:In post 260, PranaDevil wrote:@farside, why are you viewing Drew as town? I assume as much as you viewed persivul as scum seemingly due to his vote on Drew.
(Also, I've spotted something rather interesting that I wish to bring up, but only after farside's response)
*puts on crazy/wifom hat*
I don't see scum claiming that early with little pressure. To be fair I was scum reading Drew from the start too. His post to Tanner about George was a bit much. His complaint about the votes was hypocritical and bias to say the least. But with manvs claim he believed in it and he even talked about it here with in regards to wifom: https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.p ... #p11747814.
He could have stayed quiet after the CC or he could have OMGUS voted manvs as scum.
Scum is going to know they are up shit creek with a CC and get defensive. Instead he is still scum hunting. questing people and know he will be lynched.
if he flips scum I would give him a high five for the deceiving so well.
^In post 235, Persivul wrote:So you're that sure we couldn't lynch scum?In post 153, Drew-Sta wrote:You can lynch me today if you need. I’m happy to be a martyr if you can’t settle on another townie.
He's not saying "Drew is scum", he's saying "So we should lynch you instead of scum"In post 266, Tanner wrote:How is that a scumslip?
Suggesting Drew has "flail[ed] like a fish" is really bad. He's actually been pretty straight with what he's said. I'm not suggesting that makes him town, I AM suggesting that trying to paint what he's done as anything other than having a clear directive is at best stupidity, and at worst, scummy.In post 372, Red Panda wrote:You could not flail like a fish and actually try to have solved the game or at least looked at it from a different point of view. The WIFOM hasn't really sat well.
Why is that a bad thing? I absolutely WANT to see scum buddying you. It gives us more information. You're the one person who should be posting a lot. You should be pushing every little thing anyone says because you need to make damned certain we get information from slots regarding how you push them, because there's no uncertainty that you are town as you're mod-confrmed. Not posting, and not reading the thread fully, is extremely anti-town.In post 378, Wake1 wrote:And I'm kind of leery of posting because as IC there's a very high likelihood Scum will try to buddy me to some extent, to get Town points.
No it's not.In post 387, mavsfan41 wrote:In post 81, Drew-Sta wrote:Sorry, dead by day two. I'm the obvious mafia kill, and I honestly don't think it's wise for me to try and 'fake it' to simply be a hero. Better to do my duty and help town.
And yes, I am.
Miller!Drew - as the miller, I’m the NK. Don’t worry about me guys
Also miller!Drew - as the miller, mavs you should push for your own lynch come day 2In post 365, Drew-Sta wrote:@mav: Do you think, given your future status as Shrodinger's town (BTW, I very much like that phrase), you should push for your own lynch to ensure town does not have such confusion moving forward?
This is weird coming from an actual miller!Drew.
Because it's still a different scenario.In post 401, mavsfan41 wrote:@PranaDevil: let me try to clarify this. Drew’s 81 was the resolution of the miller role. This was when he believed to be the only miller. If/when he is lynched, I will be the only unresolved miller claim come day 2 with Drew gone. Therefore it’s the same situation as one unresolved miller claim. So why shouldn’t his 81 apply to that scenario as well in day2? Instead Drew suggests I should push my own lynch which wouldn’t line up with his “let me be NK’ed by mafia.” In order words, suggesting an unresolved miller would attract mafia’s attention and scare them to target him at night, why then would he suggest an unresolved miller claim push their own lynch? Drew’s view of the miller role and how it should be resolved has changed. 81 was with one miller claim at that point. Day 2 (presumably after Drew’s lynch) there will be one miller claim as well. Does that make sense? It’s more how the single miller claim should be resolved.
I'll also point out Persivul is also pushing to rush the day to completion for the sake of it, and cut off extra discussion, seemingly to stop "WIFOM" discussion... and seems to ignore the fact that it's more we can look at later.In post 415, Luca Blight wrote:I'm struggling to see what town gains from that tbh. Maybe if Una could talk more about what kind of reactions he was expecting and what the lack of reaction actually means in this context, then it'd be helpful?
I mean... I've very much not gone "mostly quiet" after the CC. Sure, I've not gone looking through all of the past posts, which I'll aim to do over night, but I've definitely been posting, just because I'm not able to reply constantly doesn't mean I've gone quiet.In post 454, Drew-Sta wrote:George buddied me.
Mavs is either outright town or the ballsiest scum player on this site.
Pers is ok, I think.
Panda and Knightmare have questions. I read Knightmare as scum IMHO.
Una might be VI but reads scummy to to me.
Pran and Riabi went mostly quiet after the CC. Riabi’s refusal to talk due to my walls (apparently) was not the reaction I expected.
That’s all I got.
So... we have a cop AND rolecop... and the rolecop just claims immediately, knowing they would be a target tonight?Persivul wrote:I'm a rolecop.
Mavs is indeed a miller.
I'm headed camping see you in two days.
You are going to blindly believe ol' Persivul?Tanner wrote:Okay, so the game is not COMPLETELY bastard at least.
Not a fan of this, it casts suspicion on Persivul, while also going "but actually, it would be right to have two types of cop".In post 496, mavsfan41 wrote:@Prana Devil:I actually hate that claim from Persivul.It’s extremely easy to fake as scum. I claimed miller and if Persivul is scum he knows I’m not his scum buddy and that I’m likely not fake claiming so he can take a pretty low risk gamble and say I’m miller in an attempt to validate his claim.
As for the night kill, Farside’s death does link to Persivul. In addition to that, Farside did express how even if Drew flipped miller, she would fight against my lynch day 2. With her gone, there’s now less resistance to lynch me and if I’m lynched, when I flip miller, that will give Persivul’s claim more credit. I think the NK of farside might have been twofold as just described. I would vote Persivul but voting someone on V/LA seems in bad faith. So I’ll wait to do so.
I will say,two types of cops with two millers does make sense right?
Plus, any doc role we may have would be on Wake, absolutely no point in risking shooting the only confirmed town role.In post 502, Knightmare491 wrote:There's a lot to do with mafia not killing wake, killing PRs is a higher priority for them. Yes wake can't be lynched and they'll have to kill him at some point but killing him night 1 would be pointless.
Actually... that's a fair point, plus Persivul 100% has to be giving us reads if he stays alive for more than one day, it's no good him going "I won't say who I checked" every night. Because the chance of him hitting a PR each night is ridiculous, so we would either have him pretending he investigated scum and calling them vanilla town, which would just backfire eventually. Such as when he doesn't die, or when actual power roles start falling instead.In post 508, Tanner wrote:Because why? mavs otherwise would've been a free mislynch. why would scum!Persi stand up, claim Rolecop, throw away a mislynch option, and then screw himself further because he's gonna get under fire once a few Days pass and he doesn't get killed?In post 507, Riabi wrote:What I don't understand though is why that claim confirms Persivul? If he is a scum role-cop, mavs seems like a pretty easy/convenient target to gain town cred.
Not mentioning the fact that two Millers with Town not being able to confirm either (so with no role like Persi's) is borderline bastard. If there is a second Town Rolecop claim, sure, we can talk. But honestly. The fact someone would legit suspect Persi here is insane.
So... you suggest we lynch one of them no matter what? I want to be certain that's what you are saying.In post 515, UnaBombaH wrote:I read that yeah.
But if NEITHER of them gets lynched today, and we make another mislynch...think of the amount of WIFOM we have to deal with.
Do we lynch the claimed Miller, OR the one who confirmed that role?
Well, obviously Pers flipping town!RoleCop would confirm mavs as well, but it doesn't work the other way around.
Also - Pers is the one who might be able to retrieve more results for us, unlike mavs.
So no, IMO for Pers to be "townbinned" it doesn't require for him to yield any more results to us.
He can claim "no result" tomorrow, and it's still just as likely that he is speaking the truth, as it is for scum to have a roleblocker.
WINE ALL AROUND.
Not weird.In post 527, mavsfan41 wrote:In post 492, PranaDevil wrote: Also, I note only one kill, so either we have a doc and they protected mavs, or we have no vig (or it's an even night only one, which if this game has two millers, is entirely possible).Is this weird? First he suggests the doc is on me (why? I have no idea. With Drew flipping miller, I wouldn’t protect the other claimed miller if I was a doc) then he absolutely believes the doc was protecting Wake88.In post 524, PranaDevil wrote:Plus, any doc role we may have would be on Wake, absolutely no point in risking shooting the only confirmed town role.In post 502, Knightmare491 wrote:There's a lot to do with mafia not killing wake, killing PRs is a higher priority for them. Yes wake can't be lynched and they'll have to kill him at some point but killing him night 1 would be pointless.
Is the first one here speculating who a vig would target (trying to put themselves in the vigs’s shoes) and the other reads like justification of why scum didn’t target Wake?
Why not mention Wake in the first post instead of me? Cause of the target who was killed in Farside. To believe a vig would target her is ridiculous and therefore killed by scum. So only one death with two killing roles would mean I was saved by the doc from the vig which is extremely unlikely as the doc would be protecting Wake88. The adding of me in the first post reads like Prana trying to speculate on a vig knowing they shot at Farside.
This is weird right? Am I making sense?
I agree with this fully.In post 539, mavsfan41 wrote:I will say that George Bailey accepted the possibility of two millers so much easier than anyone else that it felt off. Meaning if he was scum, he would know Drew is a miller as the only players who knew Drew was a miller is Drew and scum. But if he did know Drew was miller, with the amount he defended Drew, the tiny amount of town Cred scum!George would gain didn’t even make sense as a CC’ed miller almost certainly leads to a lynch and anyone on the wagon would therefore have plausible deniability. So town cred for not being on the Drew wagon specifically is a wash. Scum didn’t need to be on that wagon to push a lynch.In post 537, Knightmare491 wrote:@mavs talk to me about your GB read please.
There was zero chance Drew was surviving day 1 after you CC'd him. The only reason you aren't being lynched right now is because Persivul Rolecopped you, meaning either you are both town, or you played a blinder of a shot, and it's worked... of course, it needs to continue working for that to pay off in that case. So the above, is understandable, because even if someone believes there's a chance of double miller, keeping them both alive day 1 is also completely stupid.In post 539, mavsfan41 wrote:But.....352 and 433 are both weird implying George knew Drew would flip miller. This combined with the fact that George put Drew at L-1 after spending so much of the day supporting the theory of a 2 miller set up with the only real justification for flipping and voting Drew is an awkward post in 350. All the posts mentioned in this clumsy paragraph are clumsy themselves with “i guess, if I have to vote Drew I will, but I think he’s town.”
Actually.. if there's day talk, the "why would scum fake claim miller?" strategy is blown out of the water. If the scum have day talk, it's entirely possible that scum have a rolecop, and suggested someone fake claim miller, and roll with the rolecop "clearing" the miller.In post 547, mavsfan41 wrote:I don’t know if I’m tunneling too much onto Prana Devil but this is awkward. There’s no really reason to bring this up with the context of what he’s said in the rest of the post other than to slip this in there to play innocent “if I ask about day talk, it suggests I’m not scum or I’d know the answer.”In post 544, PranaDevil wrote: Question to everyone... do we know if the scum have day talk?
Tanner has brought this up before... but I am not the claimed rolecop, that would be Persivul.In post 561, Red Panda wrote:And were giving Prana a pass as well as Mavs. Do you believe the Rolecop to be town sided then?
This is very much true.In post 569, Tanner wrote:In post 568, UnaBombaH wrote:Persivul could be a scum going for the towncred when mavs flips.Town having two Millers with no ways to confirm either one of them (i.e. - without something like a Rolecop) cannot be Normal as it basically gives scum 2 free mislynches.
Also, are you serious in saying Panda is scum, or...?
No it wouldn't.In post 591, mavsfan41 wrote:Drew flipping miller would actually give more credit to my miller CC.
You mean if scum have day talk an planned it?In post 591, mavsfan41 wrote:Why would scum!mavs CC an actual miller knowing he’ll flip miller?
A great reason for scum to make a ploy that their rolecop investigated you. While investigating elsewhere, either for a proper target tonight, or to know who is "safe" to announce as vanilla when pushed.In post 591, mavsfan41 wrote:You can’t push for my lynch for the fact that Persivul cleared me. No one would vote with you regardless of how hard you tried.
Yes, what benefit, if we have a big, is there to suggest the big keeps the Miller alive? No "Persivul is a rolecop" is not a defence.In post 649, Tanner wrote:In post 648, PranaDevil wrote:Persivul #241 is bad. Pushing for quick lynching of Drew, and suggesting the vig doesn't shoot if we have one, which... we have a perfect vig shot in the other miller after Drew flipped green. I'd rather we fixed the miller situation over not shooting.I see no town motivation for this.Are... Are you genuinely serious right now?
If he's a scum rolecop, yes.In post 665, UnaBombaH wrote:The only thing I'm pondering, is that would scum!Pers claim rolecop here without knowing whether he'd be counterclaimed or not?
So... in the past you pulled me up on something long after you had ignored it, purely to latch onto it after someone else mentioned it, and now, after I actually start reading fully, and state I don't wish to get drawn into set up discussion... you try claiming that's all I'm trying to do...
Didn't you claim something Drew did was a scum claim too? I do not think that phrase means what you think it means.In post 722, Persivul wrote:I'm happy to flip, as it will conftown mavs, but this should have been done earlier.Starting a new wagon with 1 day left is pretty much a scum claim. You know you should vote somewhere, but you don't want to vote your buddy.
If mavs is a miller as claimed, and I currently believe him, a scum rolecop will search elsewhere, knowing they can confirm mavs. Scum already know if mavs is a miller, so don't need to rolecop him. Simples.In post 723, Tanner wrote:...I still have no clue how can you see Persi scum without mavs. You also know that wagon isn't gonna go anywhere. We need a claim from Panda, and we need to start moving.
In post 728, PranaDevil wrote:(ANYONE attacking me for not looking at the most recent stuff at this exact second... scummy as fuck, and looking for excuses later).
Well done. However I'm about to start reading page 20. So you can sit there and wait while pretending you're doing anything of use, like you did day 1, or you can actually read what the hell I'm doing rather than pretending you are. Scum.Persivul wrote:LOL - you're not allowed to just declare that your prior positions don't matter. Positions can change, but you should be able to explain the change.In post 732, PranaDevil wrote:In post 728, PranaDevil wrote:(ANYONE attacking me for not looking at the most recent stuff at this exact second... scummy as fuck, and looking for excuses later).
This was bad posting, considering I'm still mid catch up, check this tomorrow lads. Because I see no town reason to hammer while I'm still posting thoughts on stuff.
Aha! I missed Una's unvote. Carry on.Tanner wrote:...That's L-1.
That's fair, I don't know they will have an obviously scummy role, I was thinking you would also get "mafia goon" as a response or similar. But that would be more normal cop territory.In post 742, Persivul wrote:You keep saying this. How do you know that scum have roles that are obviously scummy? And why do scum want to 100% conftown mavs, which happens when I flip?In post 741, PranaDevil wrote:persivul is the last to die out of those as he has to be a scum kill if he's town, because they cannot risk him surviving and outing some of them
Tomorrow? Oh no, that will be Knightmare almost for certain. You are either killed by scum or lynched when it's obvious you are scum in two day phases. But you are scum, your lack of any worthwhile scum hunting at any stage of this game is enough evidence of that.Persivul wrote:Part of me thinks you're bad town rather than scum, but the way you're setting me up for a lynch tomorrow doesn't feel like bad town.
At least I started... what's your excuse?Persivul wrote:This from the person who waited until the end of D2 to even read D1?In post 744, PranaDevil wrote:your lack of any worthwhile scum hunting
Agreed. Myself, you and Knightmare have all said we'll hammer if need be. I get up, at the latest, in 14 hours from now. So I can confirm that I can hammer then if it's needed.In post 758, UnaBombaH wrote:19 hours.
Gonna need some quick moves from Panda if they have anything to say.
Final reads etc.
If they claim a PR this late they can just blame themselves for that IMO.
We do not want to risk a no lynch.
^ This is backpedalling to avoid having to give future results and an "excuse" as to why Persivul will survive future nights. "Why would the scum target a one shot?"In post 773, Persivul wrote:VOTE: Prana
Town encryptor, but not neighbor or neighborizer, is really weird.
Full disclosure: I was 1X. I withheld that yesterday to see if scum would target me N2. Prana's setup attempt largely negated that. Still, scum probably don't have something obvious like strongman.
So... 3 anti-town roles, and a 1x shot town rolecop which would weaken town...?In post 774, UnaBombaH wrote:Not necessarily true..?In post 772, PranaDevil wrote:Panda was an encryptor, I have no clue what that means, does that mean we have a neighborizer on our hands, or another role that allows people to speak? Because without something to let Panda talk to someone, the role was utterly pointless...
Also, can't you see the potential "theme" taking shape in the game?
Immediately when I saw that Panda-flip I got a vibe like "townies you'd sort of want dead, but are still town"..
Miller, and potentially even double-Miller, and now an encryptor to potentially provide a false-guilty to the rolecop.
A 1x shot rolecop still leaves us hopelessly outmatched useless garbage.In post 774, UnaBombaH wrote:Like said, a "false guilty" for the assumed Rolecop. That flip makes me think that we really NEED to have a real cop somewhere too, or we are hopelessly outmatched by all this WIFOM-negative utility..In post 772, PranaDevil wrote:It also does not strike me inherently as an anti-town role. It wasn't there so the scum could talk, as Panda had to be in whatever chat it was.
You somewhat make sense here... but again, Why a 1x shot? It does nothing for town as a 1x shot... so I don't buy it.In post 774, UnaBombaH wrote:Interestingly I have it totally backwards.In post 772, PranaDevil wrote:This should also make everyone realise the rolecop is not required to be town. Anyone believing it just "because we have two millers" needs to step back and take a rethink.
I was absolutely paranoid and leaning towards it being a scum-gambit yesterday, but now believe it to be more likely true with that flip.
Or can you give a meaning for Pandas role outside of providing a "false guilty"?