lange nonal 227 OHHH!!!! OHHH!!!!! ITS OVER OHHHHHH!!!! OHHH
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Not a strong read but,
Nothing of his rings townie, and I particularly see this post coming from scum.In post 146, ManateeDude wrote:
dont like this post it screams "im towny"In post 95, word321 wrote:while we r at it, lets try to make communications clean and fluid
the more content we have, the better
if we need to translate every 2 posts, we r looseing possibilities on interactions
While I dont like the idea behind this post im inclined to believe it comes from town for nowIn post 130, popopopopopopo wrote:in a large game like this, picking some VI to quicklynch isn't a bad idea day 1.- NDMath
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What's your thoughts on stan1ey?In post 171, midwaybear wrote:hum, that post seems more townie than scummy than me
idk how good my tone reading is though- NDMath
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Similar to what I was thinking when I read his iso so far. His answers to questions all seem natural.In post 175, midwaybear wrote:I like what he is doing so far. He is clarifying stuff and also trying to scumhunt(votato)
He said he was really good at scum though, but I still tl stan1ey
The more word talks the more I like his progression.- NDMath
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I've buddied much harder multiple times.In post 240, farside22 wrote: I also have a slight scum read on ND for 173 followed with post 177 reads buddish. Not sure why he felt the need to ask the question to mid about a town read and then just agreeing with him. Felt very much like mid should take a shower after getting hit on my someone gross.
The goal was more so to get thoughts out of midway because I'm more comfortable in my a ability to read him then other players. He went from a slight scumlean to probably town.
I don't like people who don't like people who share thoughts for the reason that they shared thoughts.In post 286, ManateeDude wrote:
I see youre very quick to drop opinions. NotedIn post 261, midwaybear wrote:ok fine
besides you, I agree with hoctac. Don't really like why Albert is fine with letting others decide his vote
You're the only townie person on the word wagon right now?In post 354, NorwegianboyEE wrote:I think my main gripe against the Madonna wagon at the moment is that most of the slots voting there are scummy, so i'm not touching it with a 3 foot pole.- NDMath
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I like 461 from nahdia a lot.
Using the readlist they posted to refer to their earlier posts, I'm able to see the possible town mindset behind them a lot clearer then first read of them.
I'm getting torn on midway I'm seeing it both ways right now.
I'll look at his iso again.- NDMath
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This is midway's VI post which Albert is mixing up the details of.In post 132, midwaybear wrote:
I disagree? I mean we probably will end up lynching a VI, but I don't think we should quicklynch.In post 130, popopopopopopo wrote:in a large game like this, picking some VI to quicklynch isn't a bad idea day 1.- NDMath
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A voyeur recieves every action type which visited the target.In post 761, midwaybear wrote:it is easy to make up because hoctac was killed
like I can claim tracker and say "hoctac went nowhere" and nobody could cc
So saying "killing action on hoctac" is no different than saying "no action on norwee"- NDMath
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Albert
votato, word321
aloratom, popo
stan1ey, Nahdia*
norwee, midway, gobble
Madonna, farside22
*Ignoring claim.
The only actually scummy thing nahdia has done is quickhammer, and there were multiple people there several minutes later who didn't realize it was a hammer. The claim has a chance of being confirmed or confirming someone else is another reason I want to leave them alive longer.
Reading through gobble's iso he is scummier then I remembered.
I have farside at the bottom tier but I'm not all that convinced of them being scum? That probably sounds really scummy.
Can someone explain why they're townreading Madonna? I don't think much has changed since when they were wagoned day 1.
Midway's point about norwee's questions kinda hold imo, but it kinda feels weird to consider it scummy.
I want to believe midway is town here but the possible scum teams I get assuming midway is town just look weird.
I'm trying to remember why I was tr'ing 1ey earlier and I'm not really sure. Gonna check their iso again.
The other five I townread enough to say I definitely don't support hanging them today.- NDMath
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885
Norwee prompted me for reads so naturally I gave them regardless of confidence.
As for norwee being low on my list, this is probably hypocritical but they don't actually have anything townie in their iso unless one considers asking questions to be townie.- NDMath
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@word this is my first large normal. I did however play a 12p mini where I had assumed 3 scum but there were only two.
I kind of just assumed no multiball, since it was explicitly stated there was no sk.
Midway's quite associatable with nahdia on a red flip though?In post 1088, Aloratom wrote:
What about midway? As the counter, that's the logical choice, right?In post 1076, Albert B. Rampage wrote:If nahdia is town and ends up a mislynch idk where we go from there.- NDMath
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In post 700, schadd_ wrote:d1 final vote count
farside22, Aloratom,bob3141(9):gobbledygook,Madonna, NorwegianboyEE, stan1ey, midwaybear, word321,Nahdia
midwaybear (4):ManateeDude, Hoctac,Albert B. Rampage, NDMath
votatoManateeDude(1):
farside22 (1):bob3141
popopopopopopoNahdia(1):
not voting (0):
with 16 alive, it took 9 to lynch.
I looked at these during the night.In post 1209, schadd_ wrote:d2 final vote count
popopopopopopo, stan1ey,Nahdia(7):gobbledygook,NorwegianboyEE, Madonna, NDMath, farside22
stan1ey (2):Albert B. Rampage,Nahdia
NDMath (1):word321
Madonna (1):votato
not voting (2):midwaybear, Aloratom
with 13 alive, it took 7 to lynch.
I wasgonnasay that given I'm town and Albert's obvtown, midway should be scum because in the first votecount scum show a clear preference to hanging Bob over midway.
Not much info in the second votecount, at least yet.- NDMath
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I didn't see how we would get actual reactions out of anyone with 3-4 people dead set on hanging nahdia.In post 1230, word321 wrote:
pal, u need to update this like rnIn post 983, NDMath wrote:Albert
votato, word321
aloratom, popo
stan1ey, Nahdia*
norwee, midway, gobble
Madonna, farside22
*Ignoring claim.
The only actually scummy thing nahdia has done is quickhammer, and there were multiple people there several minutes later who didn't realize it was a hammer. The claim has a chance of being confirmed or confirming someone else is another reason I want to leave them alive longer.
either way, why did u vote nahdia while we r on the matter?
Popo
votato, word321
Farside, aloratom
albert
norwee, stan1ey
Madonna, midway
Gonna was italicized because that's what I was thinking before. Seeing Stan1ey's case I realize that is not true.NorwegianboyEE wrote:
?In post 1249, NDMath wrote:Albert's obvtown,- NDMath
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Norwe's claim matches completely with the odd things I noticed yesterday (namely confidence in hanging nahdia).
Both of their claims are scummy.In post 1488, NorwegianboyEE wrote:Can people start explaining in more detail why they actually town/scum read Albert/Stan so we can get more understanding of people's motivations?
I question how much it matters.
This reaction is really weird to me.Madonna wrote:I am here now, and missed a lot. A cop who unvotes with a guilty?- NDMath
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Looks like a readlist meant for after Albert is hung but stan1ey's spot on it makes no sense.
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In post 700, schadd_ wrote:d1 final vote count
farside22,[/color] Aloratom,bob3141 (9):gobbledygook,Madonna, NorwegianboyEE,stan1ey, midwaybear, word321,Nahdia
midwaybear (4):ManateeDude, Hoctac,Albert B. Rampage,NDMath
votatoManateeDude (1):
farside22 (1):bob3141
popopopopopopoNahdia (1):
not voting (0):
with 16 alive, it took 9 to lynch.
In post 1209, schadd_ wrote:d2 final vote count
popopopopopopo,Nahdia(7):stan1ey, gobbledygook,NorwegianboyEE, Madonna, NDMath,farside22
stan1ey (2):Albert B. Rampage, Nahdia
NDMath (1):word321
Madonna (1):votato
not voting (2):midwaybear, Aloratom
with 13 alive, it took 7 to lynch.
Based off these I would poe [midway, word, votato, aloratom]. Everyone else hit the day 2 wagon.schadd_ wrote:d3 final vote count
votato,stan1ey (6):Albert B. Rampage,popopopopopopo, Aloratom, midwaybear, NorwegianboyEE
Albert B. Rampage (4):stan1ey,NDMath,farside22,Madonna
not voting (1):word321
with 11 alive, it took 6 to lynch.
Madonna was also voting Albert d3, and voting for teammates twice looks unlikely considering the Albert/nahdia interaction.
Popo had basically caught nahdia.
Norwee's claim is townie.- NDMath
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Confirmation bias mostly. I liked what he was saying.In post 1576, Aloratom wrote:
@ndmath -- you can answer this?In post 1285, Aloratom wrote:
Like to see the answer to this.In post 1257, NorwegianboyEE wrote:And i don’t like your response to that.
WHY did you think Albert was obvtown?
@norwee Do I have permission to lead a mass claim?- NDMath
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Cool.In post 1613, NorwegianboyEE wrote:
Ok? I don’t mind.In post 1611, NDMath wrote:@norwee Do I have permission to lead a mass claim?
This is the claim order.
1. Aloratom
2. Votato
3. Word
4. Madonna
5. NDMath
6. Popo- NDMath
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I needed authority so votato and the gang couldn't force me to claim first.In post 1653, Aloratom wrote:
Why his permission?In post 1611, NDMath wrote:@norwee Do I have permission to lead a mass claim?- NDMath
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Might as well claim now since Madonna should be able to figure out the most of it.
I am confirm Town unless madonna/popo try to cc me.
Full Vigilante
N1 Manatee
-pet scumread. Also was my only off wagon scumread (lol).
N2 Madonna
-I considered shooting norwee but had gotten pr vibes from them. I hadn't town read Madonna at all and found the lack of much madonna/nabdia interaction weird.
-I assume the gobble kill was vig hunting because I have no clue what else it would be.
N3 Albert
-Outed scum.
Votato aliened either me or Madonna night 2.
Votato can't be mafia doctor because Albert died. Given current setup mafia roleblocker doesn't make sense. Even Night less so.
So votato is basically confirm town.
I put Tom first since I thought it looked like I might be softing a guilty on him, hoping scum!Tom would try covering a voyeur action or something.
I put popo last because I thought his confidence in hanging stan1ey was because he was some sort of jailkeeper and had blocked my night 2 kill, which would allow me to win a cc if someone went for that. (I was kinda worried about votato there.)
I'm expecting one of Madonna/popo to be a decent pr which will allow us to evaluate norwee's claim fitting with the ub or not better.
Role and Info was referring to that I knew the vigilante was full, and that almost certainly a townie blocked my n2 kill.
We'll be at 5 tomorrow so I only had 1 more shot no matter what.- NDMath
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Vigilante
Rolestopper
Ascetic Even Night Alien
Odd Night Tracker?
UB
Against voyeurs? They can tell if something blocks them or if their buddy gets tracked by the threatening odd night tracker.
Actually it probably means the tracker is real because nahdia decided to claim the kill.
Hang Tom, alien word, vig midway is probably what makes the most sense here?
Then hang ??? And track popo.
Then it's 3p lylo and norwee either is scum or knows who it is barring popo being a ninja.- NDMath
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Pretty sure this is the optimal plan. We just have to decide who is which letter.
--
A, B, C, and D represent Tom, midway, word, and Madonna in some order.
Hang A.
Math vigs B.
If A is scum, votato aliens C.
If A is town, votato doesn't say who they alien. (Not Math or B)
Hang [C/D]
Norwee tracks popo
Hang
-If this is 3p norwee is in a cc with someone.
-If this is 4p we have 2 kills in a pool of 3.- NDMath
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[hide=Word post]
[/hide]In post 1864, word321 wrote:We have this guy pinning on Aloratom:
Spoiler:
Until alarotam became too townread to be lynched (I know this is an alteration of the timeline, but this does reflect the thought process midway may have had at the time):
Spoiler:
Into a full blown stampede on the other townslots:
Spoiler:
Note the emphasis on my slot over the other, coincidentally being the most scumread over {Madonna, 7po, word321}
Not only it has incorrect facts, as Abr and Nahdia coluded on my wagon on D1, she never defended me once (u can go check it out if u want); he retracted about that only after being called out on it.
There is also flawed logic; his first attitude was "If alarotam is scum, vig word instead of block, as he was deflective". U know, in the plan I was to be blocked; if u rly though I was the most likely partner, the best course of action would be to block, cause that would have easily shown a no kill on the day; this is for pragmatic reasons, as scum can actually not kill that night, so blocking on this scenario is faulty (unless, again, we r talking about the most possible partner)***. If bear is rly town, then even if he dies we win the game under that hypothesis. On the other hand, if Im not the most likely partner to Aloratom, then only if I was the most suspect would it be better to vig at night my slot, EXACTLY if im, again, not the most likely partner; the association does not amount to anything.
What does it amount, though? Bear survives the night, cause he is not vigged. Furthermore, Aloratom dstn evenneedto be scum; the current convention is that we will vigregardless of a flipand only blockupon a flip.
This is faulty logic in so many ways, and favors bear so much it is not even funny.
I thought to actually also post his "spectacular" defense on his (lack of) assosiation with albert, but u can all go iso him for that. Its funny considering one of the things that killed the most momentum of his wagon after nahdias lynch was alberts gambit, wich monopolized the day.
Overall, I RLY think at this point midwaybear is scum. How can a player pray so much for his own survival? Thats the only thing that makes me think that makes him town, cause no scum would be so blatantly obvious. But he isnt even trying to rly solve the game; again, the above argument isfactually wrongmeaning he didnt even bother to check how things rly went. I cant even associate it with newbieness; I saw him on 1997, he wasnt a bad player.
I just think he is playing every card to stay alive here.
And again I must repeat myself:We have so many little real information we r judgin ppl directly based upon comparatives, and not "hard" data. From the lynch list, the only one Im truly confident could be scum is midwaybear; our current process of choosing the lynch is naturally orbiting to leaving the most experient players alive, and not the most likely towns; proof of that is aloratoms current shift to block instead of lynch, midways bear drift towards the most scummy player and 7pos practical immunity. I feel this is highly faulty, specially considering (again, repeating myself) that the most likely scums to survive r the most experient ones; thats completely contradictory with bear. I have made every single call wrong this game, so I may be biased; but I RLY think the dices on this particular ocasion r better (upon a prearranged list, oc).
Upon the current arrangement of things, its pretty clear bear and me cant be partners; so under that hypothesis, considering Ill be in the trio of players to be lynched, it IS indeed more effective to lynch bear, then vig me and then block aloratom (excluding Madonna and 7po); but due to his recent attitude to aloratom, I think there should be another 3rd player instead of aloratom on the block in case bear effectlively flips scum. Notice Im currently proposing to ditch that particular bit of the current strategy though.
***This is why I dnt like NDMaths, plan. There r 2 main reasons:
1. Keep things deadsimple, if they r as effective; no need to put a lot of conditionals on this.
2. Confirming who u r blocking is a TERRIBLE idea on every single scenario; even if we do lynch scum, lets say we r wrong on the block, and scum dsnt kill that night. What would happen? Thats a free ticket to defeat. On the other hand, not disclosing the block actually has investigative values, cause scum dsnt know who will be blocked
The conditionals are important for optimization.
If scum no kill after we hang scum, we literally straight up win. That would be excellent.
The experienced players are the townie ones.
Norwee gets to survive because of the claim anyway.
I think scum team is either midway/tom or word/tom.- NDMath
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I'm still in favor of this.In post 1876, votato wrote:In post 1756, NDMath wrote:There are three votes on Tom right now. (Norwee, madonna, midway)
Hang Tom
vig midway
If Tom is mafia alien word
If Tom is town don't say who you're going to alien.
I'm ready for hammer if votato is.
If midway is hung then swap tom and midway.- NDMath
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In post 1915, NorwegianboyEE wrote:
When do we get this Midway?In post 1907, midwaybear wrote:ok, I'm actually going to defend myself but give me some time
no hurry- NDMath
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I'm kind of understanding 1922.
Day 1 popo does look like tmi if nahdia+midway are both scum.
The nahdia/midway/popo interaction day 2 sticks out the most.
Spoiler: midway+popo interaction with scum early/mid day 2
-Add in Albert defending nahdia.
Midway's interaction looks really scummy in this.
If midway is scum, it is crazy how much popo has interacted with and scumread these three members of the scum team. - NDMath
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