The Newbie NewD3 stats thread (upd. 2020-05-20, 51g)

[Kerset]

I want to join newbie game and yell that no-lynch on day 1 gives us 100% win.

[Kerset]

A few curiosities:

Setup A1 (Cop + Doc vs RB) is both the most played setup and has one of the highest town winrates. This stands in contrast to that same setup's winrate under the Matrix6 setup. There are many factors that could explain this, with the two that most immediately come to mind being the faster deadlines of modern newbie games as well as claiming considerations given the semi-open nature of setups.
Over 50% of friendly neighbors have replaced out. Granted, it is tied for being the least-common role in newbie games, but the Doctor which it is tied with has a below-average rate of replacing out.
There appears to be something going on with 3 slots/players replacing out?? Those numbers have the highest sample size as well as an unusually high town winrate. I'm not sure what to think of this. It's possible that it's a mistake in the spreadsheet, but I don't think that it is.

I would add one more:

• A3 and C3 have slightly different winrates (80% vs 44%) even that they are almost the same setups. Mafia receives different information on the beginning but it shouldn't be that relevant against masons. I think that it proves how tricky this sample size is.

[Kerset]

Ok so the movement in the red direction was significant
and we haven't been moved a statistically significant number of games
so really you should wait
I have to accept that since my desire for towns to suffer is probably idiosyncratic and subjective and butthurt from being bad at scum
I still don't like that the newbie setup is so complex though

First time i saw newd3 table i couldn't understand how can i pick a cell if there are no scum in there. Then i though that i need to pick a column header and combine it with row header... but it had just 'row 1' in it.
idk maybe this would look better

	Mafia Roleblocker	Mafia Rolecop	Mafia Goon
Vanilla Townie x5	Town Cop and Town Doctor	Town Tracker and Town Friendly Neighbor	Town Cop and Vanilla Townie
Vanilla Townie x5	Town Jailkeeper and Town Tracker	Town Jailkeeper and Town Friendly Neighbor	Town Jailkeeper and Vanilla Townie
Vanilla Townie x5	Town Mason and Town Mason	Town Tracker and Town Doctor	Town Mason and Town Mason