Open 781: JK9++ Game Over!
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Blake Belladonna
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Blake Belladonna Mafia Scum
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I have this same impression. I've gotten some pings so far, but in context of what I would expect from each player on an individual level regarding the potential accuracy of such pings, they amount to very little.In post 154, MariaR wrote:Btw none of the past six pages have anything strongly alignment worthy. Take that as you will.
This looks like a game where lurking might end up being the best strategy for me, so don't expect me to come out swinging for at least the beginning of the game.-
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Blake Belladonna Mafia Scum
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Okay.In post 181, Firebringer wrote:
Im killing u tonight first.In post 179, Blake Belladonna wrote:
I have this same impression. I've gotten some pings so far, but in context of what I would expect from each player on an individual level regarding the potential accuracy of such pings, they amount to very little.In post 154, MariaR wrote:Btw none of the past six pages have anything strongly alignment worthy. Take that as you will.
This looks like a game where lurking might end up being the best strategy for me, so don't expect me to come out swinging for at least the beginning of the game.-
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Blake Belladonna
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Blake Belladonna Mafia Scum
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He does this pretty consistently in the majority of his games. I've seen him do it within the past couple of months.In post 232, Bingle wrote:Interesting take. What do you make of the repeated stance that he won’t engage until he’s scumread?-
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Blake Belladonna
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Blake Belladonna
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Blake Belladonna Mafia Scum
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I apologize for not being engaged into the game. I promise I will make it up to you by locktowning you.In post 368, Firebringer wrote:lol ok blake-
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Blake Belladonna
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Blake Belladonna Mafia Scum
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My intuition is telling me that this is not how Firebringer approaches this game as mafia.In post 408, MariaR wrote:I've read all of this games posts actually. Although I do wish this was my casual game at this point, I've made a commitment.
pedit: Why's that?
This is a low confidence read.-
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Blake Belladonna Mafia Scum
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The way he fluff posts across alignments is distinct enough that I think I would pick up on it if it's his scum fluffposting. I'd have to more thoroughly analyze it to be certain, but the way it appears right now leans town to me currently.In post 413, MariaR wrote:
How do you expect scum Fire to approach this playerlist?In post 411, Blake Belladonna wrote:
My intuition is telling me that this is not how Firebringer approaches this game as mafia.In post 408, MariaR wrote:I've read all of this games posts actually. Although I do wish this was my casual game at this point, I've made a commitment.
pedit: Why's that?
This is a low confidence read.-
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Blake Belladonna Mafia Scum
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This is fair.In post 513, Menalque wrote:@blake I’m happy for you to sit back if it helps you to get a better grasp on the game but I’d like you have offered hard takes on as many slots as possible when we’re halfway - 70% of the way to deadline
Would that work for you?-
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Blake Belladonna
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Blake Belladonna
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Blake Belladonna
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Blake Belladonna
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Blake Belladonna Mafia Scum
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This entrance is somewhat similar to my play in the first half of TM2020's large. The only significant difference is that I'm not trying to force anything.In post 597, MariaR wrote:Dw Mena if it makes you feel better there's about a list of 5 players that scare me/know how to read me. Just do your best and don't have your 'want me to be town' blind ya. As for Blake, I think I can read her if she plays the game more actively but I haven't played with half hearted Blake before so its hard.
I'm also having real life problems currently, so I'm not looking to hyperengage right now. I'm still following along, roughly.-
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Blake Belladonna
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Blake Belladonna Mafia Scum
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I don't believe I've read Datisi incorrectly yet, but I'd need another scumgame with him to be certain it's not a fluke.In post 667, Menalque wrote:@blake is there anyone in the PL you’re historically good at reading well?
Otherwise, Firebringer is somebody I can usually read intuitively. Everybody else I think would depend on the game.
I'm not entirely sure why Bingle thinks I have a good read rate of him., usually he's the one scum I don't catch. I think he more believes this because I think my town playstyle counters his scum playstyle.-
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Blake Belladonna Mafia Scum
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I was in Grey Flag or whichever one it is some time back.In post 680, Datisi wrote:
another?In post 676, Blake Belladonna wrote:I don't believe I've read Datisi incorrectly yet, but I'd need another scumgame with him to be certain it's not a fluke.-
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Blake Belladonna
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Blake Belladonna
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Blake Belladonna
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Blake Belladonna Mafia Scum
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1. Determine early townreads intuitively within the first several pages.In post 732, gobbledygook wrote:
What are your usual Day 1 methods?In post 540, Blake Belladonna wrote:Honestly, though.
I am starting to get the impression that my usual day one methods may not work this game. Don't get too hyped up.
2. Determine what scum are likely to be doing assuming those slots are town. Get more townreads.
3. Determine which slot makes the most sense as scum from my read on the game.
4. Flip that slot.
5. Revise assumptions.
6. Repeat 3-5-
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Blake Belladonna Mafia Scum
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I have the feeling that if I don't stop the momentum on that thought immediately, it will result in paranoia scumreads in later days.In post 740, gobbledygook wrote:
I did not like this preemptive self-meta from you, Blake. Why did you feel compelled to bring this up in response to MariaR's post?In post 609, Blake Belladonna wrote:
This entrance is somewhat similar to my play in the first half of TM2020's large. The only significant difference is that I'm not trying to force anything.In post 597, MariaR wrote:Dw Mena if it makes you feel better there's about a list of 5 players that scare me/know how to read me. Just do your best and don't have your 'want me to be town' blind ya. As for Blake, I think I can read her if she plays the game more actively but I haven't played with half hearted Blake before so its hard.
I'm also having real life problems currently, so I'm not looking to hyperengage right now. I'm still following along, roughly.-
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Blake Belladonna
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Blake Belladonna Mafia Scum
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UNVOTE: Skitter30In post 753, MariaR wrote:Blake I'm finally getting Skitter to make some solid stances just wait a moment.
Okay.-
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Blake Belladonna
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Blake Belladonna
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Blake Belladonna Mafia Scum
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In post 715, skitter30 wrote:
ok, why do you think it's noteworthy that multiple people jumped in to defend him?In post 712, Something_Smart wrote:
It means exactly what it says. I don't really care that gobble's wagon reached L-2 quickly, but I do care that a bunch of people immediately stepped in to defend him. I wasn't suggesting that any particular conclusion should be drawn from it.In post 706, skitter30 wrote:what does this even mean? aren't you townreading gobbles?
I'm townleaning him.
This take is a very bizarre one. The fact that this is still the crux of the engagement with Something_Smart is even more bizarre.In post 720, skitter30 wrote:
ok and the conclusion is ...In post 717, Something_Smart wrote:
Because that rarely happens?In post 715, skitter30 wrote:ok, why do you think it's noteworthy that multiple people jumped in to defend him?
like why are you pointing it out if you think he's town anyways? isn't it a good thing that people are defendign him?
This entire engagement from the beginning is unnatural, and this specific point is where I believe it stems from.
As an aside, I don't think Something_Smart's point is bad or incongruent, and I would only call it as such if he specifically pointed it out as alignment indicative in some way. He did not. Because he appears to be approaching this in the way that I would suspect town Something_Smart in this position would, I believe he is the town in this exchange.
Regardless, this engagement makes no sense if both sides are scum, and I strongly doubt this engagement happens the way it does if both are town. And in this particular case, it makes a lot more sense if Skitter30 is the scum within this dichotomy.-
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Blake Belladonna
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Blake Belladonna Mafia Scum
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The beginning of it was unnatural from both sides.In post 829, Something_Smart wrote:
What makes you say this?In post 826, Blake Belladonna wrote:I strongly doubt this engagement happens the way it does if both are town.-
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Blake Belladonna Mafia Scum
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No.In post 833, Something_Smart wrote:
So you would be scumreading us both but you don't think we make sense as partners?In post 831, Blake Belladonna wrote:The beginning of it was unnatural from both sides.
All it means is that I don't believe that the engagement would happen if you both were town. The engagement extending like this for so long is what makes me think you both are not scumpartners.-
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Blake Belladonna
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Blake Belladonna
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Blake Belladonna
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Blake Belladonna
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Blake Belladonna
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Blake Belladonna
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Blake Belladonna
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Blake Belladonna
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Blake Belladonna
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Blake Belladonna
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Blake Belladonna Mafia Scum
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Nothing.In post 1369, skitter30 wrote:blake what changed on me ?
I don't believe this dichotomy needs to be resolved right now, especially when I have another lead that I'd like to pursue currently.-
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Blake Belladonna Mafia Scum
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The fact that you're not in my townpile is why I think you're scum.In post 1375, lilith2013 wrote:lol okay, gtfo out of here with your trash votes
blake, how do you have a “current lead” on me you’d like to pursue if your reason for voting me is that i’m not in your townpile, and not anything that i’ve actually done
gobbles, are you literally just joining any wagon that crops up so you don’t die today?
mena, why are you voting me?
I have the impression that I should have a townread on you by now. I do not.-
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Blake Belladonna Mafia Scum
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I never said I was pushing you.In post 1382, lilith2013 wrote:
okay but the words “lead that you’re currently pursuing” imply that you have some specific reason to be voting and pushing me..... and btw, where’s the push?In post 1379, Blake Belladonna wrote:
The fact that you're not in my townpile is why I think you're scum.In post 1375, lilith2013 wrote:lol okay, gtfo out of here with your trash votes
blake, how do you have a “current lead” on me you’d like to pursue if your reason for voting me is that i’m not in your townpile, and not anything that i’ve actually done
gobbles, are you literally just joining any wagon that crops up so you don’t die today?
mena, why are you voting me?
I have the impression that I should have a townread on you by now. I do not.-
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Blake Belladonna Mafia Scum
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Because it pushes the game in a direction that is more likely to provide me with readable reactions.In post 1403, lilith2013 wrote:then why say you’re pursuing a lead?-
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Blake Belladonna Mafia Scum
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Hello.In post 1599, Bingle wrote:Fair. All of my scum prospects are weak reads though. I'm pretty sure I'm mostly right on townreads, but the people who could be scum are all frustratingly nullish.
Maybe I'm just not going to get a read I'm sure enough about to lynch over gobbles.
I do want to hear from Blake about the state of the game and Chemslot about pretty much anything though.-
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Blake Belladonna
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Blake Belladonna
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Blake Belladonna Mafia Scum
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Interesting.In post 1609, skitter30 wrote:oh mariar too
Scum are most likely to be in the rest of the votes, especially ones that suddenly appeared after the SK reveal. Bonus points if they have a very low content to noise ratio.-
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Blake Belladonna Mafia Scum
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In post 1619, Bingle wrote:
Gobbles was L-1 before the SK reveal.In post 1616, Blake Belladonna wrote:Scum are most likely to be in the rest of the votes, especially ones that suddenly appeared after the SK reveal.
There were unvotes after, but I don't think anyone jumped on.
I'd have to double check to determine who is in the gobbles must die vs gobbles must vig camps.
That's where I would look first.In post 1620, skitter30 wrote:
there isn't really anybody who fits taht description i think? nobody joined the wagon except for fire and he didn't know gobble claimed skIn post 1616, Blake Belladonna wrote:
Interesting.In post 1609, skitter30 wrote:oh mariar too
Scum are most likely to be in the rest of the votes, especially ones that suddenly appeared after the SK reveal. Bonus points if they have a very low content to noise ratio.
i think taht there's at least one scum in that least of names
Who in general has a very low content to noise ratio? Scum drowning out the game in nonsense would help explain why people are seemingly coming to conclusions regarding their reads, yet there is low cohesion.-
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Blake Belladonna
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Blake Belladonna
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Blake Belladonna
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Blake Belladonna
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Blake Belladonna Mafia Scum
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How long ago was this, roughly?In post 1632, skitter30 wrote:
Yeah a bunch of people were like:In post 1630, Blake Belladonna wrote:The wagons have been mostly static for quite a few pages now.
That is definitely unnatural.
Yeah we should just lynch gobbles and then the game froze
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