Mini Normal 2148 (Post Game)
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this was the 12th post afer mine VOTE: notscienceIn post 17, notscience wrote:In post 16, farside22 wrote:Town or scum im enjoying hk-50 commitment for posting style.- geraintm
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so very very useful?In post 102, notscience wrote:You’re a towel
I don't get to look at mafia much at the weekends, 5 pages of I have no clue what arguing about ?
Glad I am missing it...
you all do you, i'm going to wait until things become more clear- geraintm
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Yeah, I'm glad there are a few people here I've played with so my day1ness wont be too much of a problemIn post 109, Malakittens wrote:You know I’m glad I played a game with you before because that comment is just eh.- geraintm
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I am assuming 3In post 229, stungun0404 wrote:OK, I'm halfway through the pages. Making progress!
Would like to know how many scum are typically in a 13 player game though? 2? 3? Or 4? I am guessing 3, but not sure.- geraintm
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I have nothing at the moment. day 1 people talk but it doesn't mean anything. votes are the important thing and there just haven't been many so far. I'm very much the type of person who looks at people's voting patterns and trying to either spot inconsistencies or really, really bad logic used to justify themIn post 240, stungun0404 wrote:VOTE: Geraintm
Absolutely nothing in their ISO thus far points to scumhunting, and I do not like that. Especially paired together with their commitment to stalling that they admitted to in 108 by saying "you all do you, i'm going to wait until things become more clear."
That does not settle right with me at all.
when I say you all do you, it is just me saying I don't have the mental capacity to argue over perceived slights, misunderstandings or whatever- geraintm
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DAy 1 means little at the time. on later days of the game there might be useful info.In post 266, stungun0404 wrote:
Fervently disagree with D1 meaning nothing, and the reason why is because I have formed my best reads historically off D1 insights. It is possible to find an entire scum team on D1, and in that regard time has proven that my D1 reads are often my best of any day phase.In post 252, geraintm wrote:
I have nothing at the moment. day 1 people talk but it doesn't mean anything. votes are the important thing and there just haven't been many so far. I'm very much the type of person who looks at people's voting patterns and trying to either spot inconsistencies or really, really bad logic used to justify themIn post 240, stungun0404 wrote:VOTE: Geraintm
Absolutely nothing in their ISO thus far points to scumhunting, and I do not like that. Especially paired together with their commitment to stalling that they admitted to in 108 by saying "you all do you, i'm going to wait until things become more clear."
That does not settle right with me at all.
when I say you all do you, it is just me saying I don't have the mental capacity to argue over perceived slights, misunderstandings or whatever
Why can't you read votes that have already occurred in this day phase and analyze them?
you may well be able to catch scum teams on day 1, I am not that good a player to do that. as I said, you all do you but for me, Day 1 is just weird until some wagons form and I can see who is on them and who isn't.- geraintm
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That is an excellent idea.In post 272, stungun0404 wrote:Would it help you to encourage different wagons to form then in order to try and see how things evolve?
Wagons Assemble!!!!
{Did I do it right?}- geraintm
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In post 347, stungun0404 wrote:Just noting that the vote on Votato is now L-2.Be careful adding another vote, because votato could self-hammer, or someone else could before we get the chance to hear back from Votato, ending the day phase sooner than preferable.
Really? You think scum would self hammer on day 1? Dislike this post a lot, it is just like a drawing attention to themselves post, trying to make themselves look useful and pro town- geraintm
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you can try, but it won't force meto change.In post 350, votato wrote:so i painstakingly went over geraintm's entire ISO. there isnt even a an attempt to pretend to scumhunt. that slot definitely deserves pressure, but he is so brazen that I'm guessing town over scum actually. maybe. i dunno, its worth voting there and forcing some effort out of the slot.
I basically worked out that I hate day 1s, and I am better off being honest and upfront about this to people. I'd rather that than having to try and fake reads on players just to dovert attention from myself. i believe people should play honest, and so that is what i do- geraintm
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am I allowed to quote from another game in this game?In post 350, votato wrote:so i painstakingly went over geraintm's entire ISO. there isnt even a an attempt to pretend to scumhunt. that slot definitely deserves pressure, but he is so brazen that I'm guessing town over scum actually. maybe. i dunno, its worth voting there and forcing some effort out of the slot.
The dunn thing does actually seem like a plausible scumslip.
if you go look at my last game you'll find the same there- geraintm
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I am pretty sure I answered that just as I was going to bed, it was something I could do quicklyIn post 384, Green Crayons wrote: Is this the only example you have of him actively reading the thread? A quick response to the very last post, not directed at him, doesn't scream to me as actively monitoring the thread.- geraintm
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it is lazy. i'll move it though when i have somewhere better to move it to. i am notgoing to move it simply for the sake of moving it. that is the sort of thing i dislike others doing so i am not going to do it myselfIn post 386, stungun0404 wrote:GC has a fair point, geraintm is still voting not science based off RVS reasoning, which is just a very lazy vote park that is not seemingly going to get us anywhere this day phase. I'm not real fond of it.- geraintm
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sorry. but I was town then and I am the same now if that akes you feel any betterIn post 436, bob3141 wrote:I remember the first time I played with you where getting a read on you was like trying to get blood out of stone.- geraintm
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town. bad town, but I was townIn post 438, farside22 wrote:
What was his alignment?In post 436, bob3141 wrote:I remember the first time I played with you where getting a read on you was like trying to get blood out of stone.- geraintm
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thought I would lok over Dunnstral, as they are currently the biggest wagon.
they are throwing arounda bunch of "they are mafia" posts very easily.
they have a few posts where they say they think someone is town.
they seem a bit trigger happy with their calling people scum, but overall...nothing here I am too upset about yet.- geraintm
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you were scum and I was town!!!In post 493, Malakittens wrote:
I have never seen something more accurate.In post 436, bob3141 wrote:I remember the first time I played with you where getting a read on you was like trying to get blood out of stone.
how hard could it have been?!- geraintm
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I like this postIn post 535, Green Crayons wrote:
Also, I cannot express enough how bad it is to try to fill up scum team slots in D1. Associative suspicions are practically worthless in D1 without flips.In post 533, stungun0404 wrote:in the corresponding scum slot- geraintm
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In post 571, Green Crayons wrote:You have my name wrong.
that is true. Sorry.
I hope we are keeping score as I reckon I am going to win this game when we are all done and dusted- geraintm
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I didn't feel like I was coming out of the woodwork. I was only commenting on something I found odd. it wasn't sticking up for battle mage, instead on the attack coming from the other wayIn post 580, stungun0404 wrote:I find it weird that geraintm and dunn are suddenly coming out of the woodwork sticking up for BM, and dunn has already stuck up against geraintm being lynched, and geraintm weakly against dunn? Anyone else find this strange?- geraintm
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I'm right here....you could ask meIn post 597, DoctorPepper wrote:Could be trying to deflect it also so as it doesn't look like a counterwagon- geraintm
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Because I placed a random vote and I have not found anywhere better to move it to yet.In post 605, Green Crayons wrote:
Why is your vote on someone who is hella not suspicious.In post 600, geraintm wrote:
I'm right here....you could ask meIn post 597, DoctorPepper wrote:Could be trying to deflect it also so as it doesn't look like a counterwagon- geraintm
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Felt forced because it was too strong for any day 1 read. No one should feel that strongly on day 1 about anything. Means nothing about battle mage alignment. May mean nothing about crayons. But I wanted to note it for later if we find out anything about wither one of their alignments.In post 617, bob3141 wrote:In post 570, geraintm wrote:woah, Canyons is not letting this drop. I am not sure what to make of this *right now* but I want to keep it in mind for later in the game when we know more about canyons and Battle Mage/their replacement.
it seems overly forced
So germa your first real read is to say that green isn't letting his BM read go. And that it feels forced. But what about it feels forced to you? And the fact your implying its something he should drop. Does that mean you think greens push itself is scummy or just misguided?
So what is your read on both green and BM?
Now at the moment my gut feeling on green is whether right or wrong on BM, greens read does feel genuine. As I'm not surprised a fellow townie wouldnt drop his read if he thinks it has not properly been addressed. In another game I got exasperated when a player I was sure was scum kept dodging my questions. And everyone else was just ignoring it.
As I said, I dont know what it means. Could be just that crayons is overly confident in their reads and I need to note that later on when they are "sure" someone is scum- geraintm
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I get it, I do. I want to be better at day 1s, and pester me by all means on my thoughts, and i'll do my best to give them.In post 623, Malakittens wrote:So I’m prob gonna leave Gera alone at least for D1. I don’t really like the “I’m bad at D1”, but I do know where’s he’s been and I have experienced it. I just don’t want to let that be a smokescreen for him being scum.- geraintm
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thought i'd look at the leading wagon at the moment.
Dunnstral had a weird Malakittens fetish at the start of the game. wasn't a fan of that.
I like their post 578 though, it is the sort of thing I pick up on (occasionaly). you just get a weird vibe from someone.
overall, fairly null on them. they started off weird, then ducked from the game, and then popped up to vote for Not_mafia- geraintm
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just looked at Not_mafia's posts.
urgh hate them.
spewing votes around, just a ton of "this person is scum" with nothing to back it up
This random post, no idea how they can object to anyone else's votes.In post 507, Not_Mafia wrote:Votato's GC vote was really bad
find this slot incredibly unhelpful and providing no value. think this is the person I would most want to not be in day 2 so far- geraintm
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In post 643, Green Crayons wrote:Not sure why mala, votato, gerain, or bob are still voting for who they are voting.
I have answered your question alreadyIn post 618, geraintm wrote:
Because I placed a random vote and I have not found anywhere better to move it to yet.In post 605, Green Crayons wrote:
Why is your vote on someone who is hella not suspicious.In post 600, geraintm wrote:
I'm right here....you could ask meIn post 597, DoctorPepper wrote:Could be trying to deflect it also so as it doesn't look like a counterwagon- geraintm
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doubt I guess. I want my vote to actually mean something. i'd rather everyone placed fully formed votes, rather than people who place 27 in a day. that isn't helpful either when trying to sort them. at least you know when I vote I mean it.In post 647, Green Crayons wrote:Like, 637 suggests you would at least want to vote NM instead of your random vote.
But nope.
Are you paralyzed by doubt? Lazy? Scum? Who knows!
You *not* updating your vote is going to make sorting you much more difficult in later days.- geraintm
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sorry for absence over weekend. I kept looking in and thinking about posting, but I have limited access and a few short one liners would not have been acceptable.In post 650, Green Crayons wrote:Surely there is some middle ground between a "fully formed vote"--which, this is mafia, so ????--and "plac[ing] 27 in a day."
What do you think about a Dunn vote?
there may be a middle ground, but I have not found a comfortable one for myself.- geraintm
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I have posted a few times when I have seen something that I didn't like the look of, and I think I have gone over 2 players who were with high vote counts.In post 655, bob3141 wrote:
Germa there is one thing not voting until you're sure, if there is plenty of time still till deadline but it's entirely different not giving reads either way. There are 13 players in this game and one of them is you. I find it impossible if your town that you haven't at the very least got some slight reads. Maybe not strong reads but reads at least slightly off null.In post 648, geraintm wrote:
doubt I guess. I want my vote to actually mean something. i'd rather everyone placed fully formed votes, rather than people who place 27 in a day. that isn't helpful either when trying to sort them. at least you know when I vote I mean it.In post 647, Green Crayons wrote:Like, 637 suggests you would at least want to vote NM instead of your random vote.
But nope.
Are you paralyzed by doubt? Lazy? Scum? Who knows!
You *not* updating your vote is going to make sorting you much more difficult in later days.
Clearly one vote is not enough pressure to get you to actually post some basic content. At this stage you have less committal content then bambi last game. And we collectively let him lurk that game.
If you're not scum then. Not even giving us some basic reads makes it harder for us to sort you. Risking us being tricked into mislynching you.- geraintm
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you make valid points....but I am not going to vote for the sake of it. I feel awful when I get bamboozled into a vote/lynch because of pressure when I don't want to vote for soeone, I just want to avoid that as much as I can when I don't want to vote for someone.In post 656, stungun0404 wrote:
Can you see my points here? Anything you disagree with or cannot understand?
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I also agree with Mala that I also would not want you to skate through this game as scum behind what would be a lazy facade here for scum to implement. And I also used to be mislynched a lot D1, or at the very least was very much mislynch bait like Mala said she has been as town, but I have certainly become a more difficult D1 lynch as town over time.
when I do think someone is vote worthy, I will stick with them for a long long time - see my last game with trollie- geraintm
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meh. I aint that motivated either. please add me to this listIn post 702, stungun0404 wrote:OK. No discussion since earlier? How about a simpler version of my cases.Lie. No follow through (which in this case is anti-town).
Lie. No follow through. Took over a day only to state another reason, which might be genuine, but also notably allows him not to post any content to avoid a prod.
In post 663, HK 50 wrote:I'm sorry, but I'm not really motivated rn with this game (and I'm not white sure why).I'll try to self-motivated myself tonight.Might havelied again, as he did not post at all after that during that night.
In post 391, votato wrote:i have a little but i cant talk about it. by day 2 or 3 ill probably give some more details. as for the association you're drawing between me and dunn, stun, you're right that we aren't scumbuddies, but i dont think your reasons why are all that strong.plus the only reason you know that is cuz you and i are scumbuddies.Lies. Tries to implicate me in case he flips, since he was the leading wagon.
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lying is one thing, saying you aim to post and not going through with it is a totally different thing. back off I think. you really don't want to be this aggressive over small things, where do you go from here??In post 703, stungun0404 wrote:They have all three lied. Lynch all liars. Lying about simple and clear intentions with no follow-through and lying to implicate me is what can be considered scummy here. Simple as that.
OTOH, Dunn hasnotmade one single blatant lie in this game. You can ISO everything he has said to confirm that there is no blatant lie. That's the difference between town and scum I think in this particular game.
Not that the "lynch all liars" approach always works, but in this case I think it leads us to the correct solve.- geraintm
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your level of certainty on DAy 1 I find bizarre. I basically cannot take your seriously as aplayer because of this. why should I trust any of your reads if you claim to have solved the game already??In post 712, stungun0404 wrote:@HK: I like that you responded. The one alternative scenario right now where I can see you are town would mean to me a scum team of BM/Clidd-Votato-and Geraintm. Like, I really feel good enough about everyone else to assert that I feel fairly confident that all 4 scum are in those 4 folks, with BM and Votato being a super obvious pair. I can't see those two not being partners. Too much of a clear link to be coincidental.
It would be only after those 4 are lynched that I would want to see a potential Dunnstral/nm lynch.
I really want your response to this though:
I will respond to the rest of your case either tomorrow or the following day.In post 669, stungun0404 wrote: @HK50, how do you feel about the alignments of Clidd and Votato? And why?- geraintm
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see, this is what I hate, I feel alredy under pressure to join a wagon I don't want toIn post 717, stungun0404 wrote:This vote situation appears tricky...It's 4 vs. 4, and 3 more votes are needed to secure either lynch. The 2 sides seem pretty set overall. Off of the wagons, we have 2 of my scumspects I don't think will move (Clidd and Votato), and then Geraintm and Dunn who are on useless wagons right now.- geraintm
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posts like this ^^^In post 719, stungun0404 wrote:
that townflip is not going to happen, I am that convinced, which is why I am willing to offer that.In post 718, Dunnstral wrote:
nopeIn post 717, stungun0404 wrote:If Clidd flukily flips town, we lynch Dunn, guaranteed tomorrow.- geraintm
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nope. stupid ideaIn post 745, stungun0404 wrote:Should Dunnstral and Clidd's slot role claim? Why or why not?
man I dislike everything you are posting. I aint saying you are scum, but I disagree with nearly all your posts- geraintm
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dislike this post. shouldn't be changing your mind on someone's quick read list like thatIn post 766, votato wrote:this read list won me over on GC.
you are not in my town pile- geraintm
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In post 686, Not_Mafia wrote:Why has the BM slot not been lynched yet?
this posted whilst they were not voting clidd of courseIn post 706, Not_Mafia wrote:Dunn vote clidd
or thisIn post 716, Not_Mafia wrote:HK vote clidd
not sure why this is a bad vote, considering they spent posts 155/178/185/195In post 754, Not_Mafia wrote:
This is a bad voteIn post 750, votato wrote:Ok I'm caught up. It seems like a lot of people scum read bm but not that many people are actually voting there. VOTE: bm. Can we get this wagon rolling?
not mafia sucks- geraintm
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yep. not seen anyone so far in this game I am confident is scum. there aren't even many people I want lynched for other reasons like not being useful.In post 858, Dunnstral wrote:Hm, when was the last time geraintm placed a vote...
In post 25, geraintm wrote:
this was the 12th post afer mine VOTE: notscienceIn post 17, notscience wrote:In post 16, farside22 wrote:Town or scum im enjoying hk-50 commitment for posting style.- geraintm
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In post 886, bob3141 wrote:In post 872, geraintm wrote:
yep. not seen anyone so far in this game I am confident is scum. there aren't even many people I want lynched for other reasons like not being useful.In post 858, Dunnstral wrote:Hm, when was the last time geraintm placed a vote...
In post 25, geraintm wrote:
this was the 12th post afer mine VOTE: notscienceIn post 17, notscience wrote:In post 16, farside22 wrote:Town or scum im enjoying hk-50 commitment for posting style.
Ok so you want to tell us who you think is scum. You might claim to say you aren't confident but even that would not prevent you from saying, who you weakly feel is scum. Nor even who you do not want to lynch at all.
So far all this game you have been refusing to make choices. Insisting on sitting on the fence the entire day.
So if you are town then:
A who do you weakly scum read?
And
B who do you not want to lynch today at all?
Even the latter is still a choice you have not yet even after 8 days made.
I replied to this but it got lost
I had not mafia as bad, I hated all his posts saying BM was scum, sure of it, then pushing everyone else to vote elsewhere before they moved their own vote.
and I dislike stungun, I cannot deal with anyone so sure of all their reads, I will bash heads at some point against them.
rest no huge feelings any which way- geraintm
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AgreeIn post 994, Not_Mafia wrote:I don't think you should be allowed to proxy your vote in normals
Thank you for coming to my TED Talk- geraintm
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I hate cdemands for claims like this. it never seems to help. if it is scum, they can flush out someone else or else send town onto a wild lynch chase that won't go anywhere good. if it is town...how is getting them to claim and out themselves going to help?In post 1043, stungun0404 wrote:We have one day left in this day phase and about 5 hours, which means
@Porkens: it is really important that you claim in your next post so that if your role is important to us that are town, we can keep you and have more time to make a well-informed decision to move elsewhere.- geraintm
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geraintm Mafia Scum
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no, but asking for a claim when it isn't going to be much use for town...I hate those scenarios. like when someone is at L-1 and someone has announced intent to hammer....like what use is a claim there? claims should not be expected when someone is close to a lynch, claims should come when they are useful to town. these are not the same.In post 1081, Green Crayons wrote:yeah, geraintm, are you just against role claims as a matter of policy until the end of the game?
now, someone can claim when they are close to being lynch if they believe that coming forward with their role is in towns best interests, but it should not come from people about to lynch them.
I would like to point out that I can't rememeber the last time I had a role where I would need to claim...so this is all hypothetical for me- geraintm
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geraintm Mafia Scum
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just going to say, I didn't realise that this might be seen as a slip. I just assume all scum can talk at any time.In post 1087, stungun0404 wrote:
I don't like this right here at all. What angle do you have to be coming from to assume that "I know scum has daytalk" from this post? Like, how are you interpreting that from this? It's definitely aIn post 1063, Green Crayons wrote:In post 1058, stungun0404 wrote:I think you are overthinking if you are town here. Porkens and his supposed scumteam might not have even thought about that. They might have just gone with what was conveniently there so they would not be refuted/denied and lose a scum mate on D1. They want to protect him, because there is only supposedly 3 scum/13 players in this game.
Losing a member on D1 is a huge risk, any way you slice it, and so claiming something that could be refuted would possibly be seen as a bad move to themThis reads like you know scum have daytalk.
I don't know if I believe in scum slips but jeeze.stretchto get that conclusion from this post.- geraintm
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geraintm Mafia Scum
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so close....In post 1105, stungun0404 wrote:VOTE: GC
I know one of these wagons between Porkens/GC has to flip scum -- because I can't possibly comprehend this game just does not make sense to me.
I can never understand people so certain of their reads. no one should (without info from teir role) be certain of anything
I include myself in this- geraintm
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geraintm Mafia Scum
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I am kinda getting happier with my day 1 now. as in I am happy just not having good reasons to lynch anyone ever. can no lynch day 1 be a thing, that can be better for town than randomly lynching someone, right?In post 1106, notscience wrote:
Geraintm I don’t know how to feel because I don’t like him saying we need to prod him to be better day one even though he really wants to improve but I’m not sure it’s necessarily scummy
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geraintm Mafia Scum
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having seen nearly a whole day of stungun's posts, I can understand why he believes he is so good at findin scum on day 1. they have around so many ideas today that,like a stopped clock, they are bound to be right at some point.In post 536, stungun0404 wrote:
Just a minute. I will look over it.In post 534, Green Crayons wrote:Neat.
I've already tried to get you to engage with my BM suspicions. You've ignored me. I also just expounded on them. You're ignoring that as well.
Things like this have worked for me before on D1. I can remember a few times I have done it before off the top of my head, but there probably are more somewhere.In post 535, Green Crayons wrote:
Also, I cannot express enough how bad it is to try to fill up scum team slots in D1. Associative suspicions are practically worthless in D1 without flips.In post 533, stungun0404 wrote:in the corresponding scum slot
https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.p ... #p10269994
I made a hot take that all scum were in a group of 4 players, which actually ended up being correct, because all three scum were in that group of players.
Now granted, I replaced out of that game early, but when I get a strong intuition about scum on D1, my past games have proven that I am best to follow it.
Also did it in another game on D1 here
https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.p ... #p10373659
And my later intuition that Kokichi was clearly the scum between the two after analyzing everyone on D1 was correct.
I can remember another game on another site that I had really really strong reads on all the scum on D1, so all I am saying is if I get really strong intuitions that something is the case on D1, I have yet to see/don't recall that it has been proven wrong. I have been consistent in how I have formed those reads too; it seems it has helped more than hurt town.
just, I cannot work out which 95% of their posts I am meant to ignore to find the gold- geraintm
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geraintm Mafia Scum
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I don't think anyone else is really talking to me much, s i'll reply when talked toIn post 1180, stungun0404 wrote:literally 11 of your last 21 posts were responses to me. are you focusing on me and no one else?- geraintm
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geraintm Mafia Scum
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273 and 274? Really, that's what ypive got?In post 1190, Porkens wrote:My pool is a mix of three factors:
Ger+stun circa 274
Stun+Dunn+vot circa 389 (targeting GC)
Bob circa the first 30pages not expressing one firm read then calling Dunn town. Also votato and stun both have bob town.
Sorry for absence, wife's birthday here and hottest day of the year- geraintm
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geraintm Mafia Scum
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Yeah , I do think no lynch is better than a bad lynch. Odds for town tomorrow are better at 9/12 than 8/11In post 1191, bob3141 wrote:
Germa we are at the eleventh hour of the day. With no lynch approaching and yet you are still on your vanity vote. You keep saying shogun is wrong but who do you think is the best lynch today. Because as it stands we are a poaching the deadline and porkens is the lead lynch. Followed by dun and green.
Do you see a no lynch as better than lynching Porkens?
As if you are town that what your lack of anything but vanity vote is contributing too.
As most of your posts have been about how you don't like shoguns pushes but you have not come up with any of your own. So who do you want to lynch today? That is a realistic prospect.- geraintm
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geraintm Mafia Scum
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3 does not equal 3In post 1197, Porkens wrote:
Funny, I count three scum on my wagonIn post 1173, stungun0404 wrote:Hmm, one more thought I'd like to put out there right now.
I think it is highly unlikely scum is aiding us towards a lynch right now given that the wagon of Porkens has only 3 votes, and I think if they were really pushing someone, there would be a majority with more than 3 votes right now.
Thus, it is highly unlikely there is more than one scum on the Porkens lynch right now, and if I am reading this right they may all be town (Mala, bob, Vot? (still have a slight question mark there, but this does provide a little reason to believe he is town).- geraintm
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geraintm Mafia Scum
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In post 1216, votato wrote:this day has dragged on far too long. it needs to end so we can get some flips and move past day 1. i really dont care who we lynch all that much at this point.
Quoting this for no reason- geraintm
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geraintm Mafia Scum
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Well...this is a bad reason to lynch someone day 1In post 1239, Green Crayons wrote:
I do think his flip would be very informative associative wise, though.In post 1237, Green Crayons wrote:i like Porkens posting- geraintm
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geraintm Mafia Scum
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Not obvious to me. Not helpful.reading a threadIn post 1265, Not_Mafia wrote:Scratchings is Prokens and votato is Maris, for obvious reasons - geraintm
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